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← Back to GamesSep 2, 2023Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Notre Dame by 26.1

Home Win Probability

Notre Dame 92%

Market (Bovada)

Notre Dame -48

Edge: Tennessee State +48 (21.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 2, 2023

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Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Tennessee State
30003
Notre DameNotre Dame
72814756

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-07-314-328-335-349-356-3
Notre DameTennessee State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NDTSTSNDTSNDTSNDTSNDTSTSNDTSNDTSTSNDTSNDTSNDTD1075ydFG1555ydMISS40ydTD880ydTO2-3ydTD457ydPUNT35ydTD853ydMISS920ydTD680ydEND1-2ydPUNT626ydPUNT830ydPUNT616ydTD782ydTD23ydPUNT723ydTD787ydPUNT34ydPUNT38ydPUNT35ydEND210yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Tennessee State and Notre Dame
StatisticTennessee StateNotre Dame
Passing8-2224-30
Pass Yards67336
Rush Yards91221
Total Yards158557
Turnovers21
3rd Down4-149-11
Penalties5-454-36
Possession26:1633:44

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Tennessee State
passing
Deveon Bryant
5/12, 43 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Deveon Bryant
6 CAR, 29 YDS
receiving
Da'Shon Davis
1 REC, 22 YDS
defense
Notre Dame
passing
Sam Hartman
14/17, 194 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Audric Estime
13 CAR, 116 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jayden Thomas
4 REC, 62 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Audric Estime run for 9 yds to the ND 34

2nd & 1Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.91

Audric Estime run for a loss of 4 yards to the ND 30

3rd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.88

Sam Hartman run for 9 yds to the ND 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Devyn Ford run for 3 yds to the ND 42

2nd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.67

Sam Hartman pass complete to Rico Flores Jr. for 11 yds to the TNST 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.28

Audric Estime run for a loss of 1 yard to the TNST 48

2nd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.55

Sam Hartman pass complete to Audric Estime for 7 yds to the TNST 41

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.34

Gi'Bran Payne run for 5 yds to the TNST 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.72

Sam Hartman run for no gain to the TNST 36

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+36 ydsPPA +3.73

Jeremiyah Love run for 36 yds for a TD (Spencer Shrader KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jalen Rouse run for 15 yds to the TNST 40 Tennessee State Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the TNST 18

1st & 17Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Jalen Rouse run for 2 yds to the TNST 20

2nd & 15Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.14

Deveon Bryant pass complete to Jalen Rouse for 7 yds to the TNST 27

3rd & 8Penalty+10 yds

BRYANT, Deveon pass to the right incomplete intended for DAVIS, Da'Shon thrown to the TSU35; QB hurried by LIUFAU, Marist. PENALTY UND Pass Interference on HARPER, Thomas enforced at the spot of the foul for 10 yards to the TSU37 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jalen Rouse run for 4 yds to the TNST 41

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Deveon Bryant pass complete to Karate Brenson for 4 yds to the TNST 45

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.45

Deveon Bryant run for 4 yds to the TNST 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.12

Jalen Rouse run for 9 yds to the ND 42

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.44

Jalen Rouse run for 1 yd to the ND 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Deveon Bryant pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Jordan Gant run for 3 yds to the ND 38

3rd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.79

Deveon Bryant pass complete to Chayil Garnett for 13 yds to the ND 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Deveon Bryant pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Jalen Rouse run for 5 yds to the ND 20

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Deveon Bryant pass incomplete

4th & 5Field Goal Good+38 yds

James Lowery 38 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

James Lowery kickoff for 61 yds , return for no gain to the ND 12 Devyn Ford fumbled, recovered by TNST Sammy Taylor

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Draylen Ellis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Jalen Rouse run for no gain to the ND 12

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Draylen Ellis pass incomplete

4th & 10Blocked Field Goal+29 yds

James Lowery 29 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Sam Hartman run for no gain to the ND 20

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.25

Audric Estime run for 7 yds to the ND 27

3rd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.09

Sam Hartman pass complete to Tobias Merriweather for 4 yds to the ND 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+50 ydsPPA +3.00

Audric Estime run for 50 yds to the TNST 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Audric Estime run for 4 yds to the TNST 15

2nd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.94

Sam Hartman pass complete to Jadarian Price for 11 yds to the TNST 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.75

Gi'Bran Payne run for a loss of 1 yard to the TNST 5

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Sam Hartman run for 5 yds for a TD (Spencer Shrader KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.96

Deveon Bryant pass complete to Dayron Johnson for a loss of 3 yards to the TNST 22

2nd & 13Interception0 ydsPPA +0.03

Deveon Bryant pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.68

Sam Hartman pass complete to Jayden Thomas for 7 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.53

Jeremiyah Love run for a loss of 1 yard to the ND 49

3rd & 4Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.63

Sam Hartman pass complete to Jayden Thomas for 27 yds to the TNST 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +2.68

Sam Hartman pass complete to Chris Tyree for 24 yds for a TD (Spencer Shrader KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Jordan Gant run for 2 yds to the TNST 23

2nd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Jordan Gant for 3 yds to the TNST 26

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Draylen Ellis pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Jackson Foster punt for 27 yds, downed at the ND 47

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Sam Hartman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Sam Hartman pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +3.40

Sam Hartman pass complete to Jayden Thomas for 23 yds to the TNST 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Sam Hartman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Jeremiyah Love run for 8 yds to the TNST 22

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.34

Gi'Bran Payne run for 5 yds to the TNST 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.70

Gi'Bran Payne run for 12 yds to the TNST 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Audric Estime run for 5 yds for a TD (Spencer Shrader KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Jordan Gant run for 3 yds to the ND 35

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Deveon Bryant run for 5 yds to the ND 30

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.68

Jordan Gant run for 1 yd to the ND 29

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.18

Deveon Bryant run for 1 yd to the ND 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+13 ydsPPA +0.21

Deveon Bryant run for 13 yds to the ND 11 Deveon Bryant fumbled, recovered by TNST Canen Adrian for a 1ST down

1st & 5Penalty-5 yds

Tennessee State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ND 10

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Draylen Ellis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Jalen Rouse run for 2 yds to the ND 8

3rd & 8Penalty-5 yds

Tennessee State Penalty, False Start (Jalen Rouse) to the ND 13

3rd & 13Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.55

Draylen Ellis sacked by Jordan Botelho for a loss of 5 yards to the ND 18

4th & 18Field Goal Missed+35 yds

James Lowery 35 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Sam Hartman pass complete to Gi'Bran Payne for 3 yds to the ND 23

2nd & 7Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.96

Sam Hartman pass complete to Mitchell Evans for 18 yds to the ND 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.42

Sam Hartman pass complete to Mitchell Evans for 18 yds to the TNST 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.48

Sam Hartman pass complete to Mitchell Evans for 13 yds to the TNST 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.08

Sam Hartman pass complete to Jaden Greathouse for 24 yds to the TNST 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Sam Hartman pass complete to Holden Staes for 4 yds for a TD (Spencer Shrader KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

[NH] Kneel down by BRYANT, Deveon at TSU23 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jalen Rouse run for no gain to the TNST 25

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Jalen Rouse run for 4 yds to the TNST 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.08

Deveon Bryant pass complete to Da'Shon Davis for 22 yds to the ND 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.56

Jalen Rouse run for a loss of 2 yards to the TNST 49

2nd & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Deveon Bryant run for 2 yds to the ND 49

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Deveon Bryant pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Jackson Foster punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Chris Tyree at the ND 16

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Audric Estime run for 5 yds to the ND 21

2nd & 5Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Steve Angeli pass complete to Tobias Merriweather for 1 yd to the ND 22

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.99

Steve Angeli pass complete to Jayden Thomas for 5 yds to the ND 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Steve Angeli pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Audric Estime run for 6 yds to the ND 33

3rd & 4Penalty+10 yds

ANGELI, Steve pass to the left incomplete intended for LOVE, Jeremiyah thrown to the UND31. PENALTY TSU Holding on BEARD III, Monroe enforced 10 yards from the UND33 to the UND43 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Audric Estime run for 3 yds to the ND 46

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Audric Estime run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Gi'Bran Payne run for 1 yd to the TNST 49

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

Notre Dame Penalty, False Start (Pat Coogan) to the ND 46

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Bryce McFerson punt for 54 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Tre Boone III run for 3 yds to the TNST 23

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Tre Boone III run for 2 yds to the TNST 25

3rd & 5Penalty+15 yds

ELLIS, Draylen pass deep to the right incomplete intended for DAVIS, Da'Shon thrown to the TSU45. PENALTY UND Pass Interference on LEWIS, Clarence enforced at the spot of the foul for 15 yards to the TSU40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Tennessee State Penalty, Personal Foul (Romello Tarver) to the TNST 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Tre Boone III for 10 yds to the TNST 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Tre Boone III run for 1 yd to the TNST 36

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Draylen Ellis pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Draylen Ellis pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Jackson Foster punt for 46 yds, downed at the ND 18

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Steve Angeli pass complete to Jaden Greathouse for 6 yds to the ND 24

2nd & 4Rush+26 ydsPPA +2.38

Audric Estime run for 26 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Audric Estime run for 2 yds to the TNST 48

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Steve Angeli pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.57

Steve Angeli pass complete to Mitchell Evans for 12 yds to the TNST 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.50

Jadarian Price run for a loss of 4 yards to the TNST 40

2nd & 14Passing Touchdown+40 ydsPPA +4.51

Steve Angeli pass complete to Jadarian Price for 40 yds for a TD (Spencer Shrader KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Tre Boone III run for 3 yds to the TNST 28

2nd & 7Interception Return Touchdown+33 ydsPPA -7.63

Clarence Lewis 33 Yd Interception Return (Spencer Shrader Kick)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Draylen Ellis run for 5 yds to the TNST 30

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Jordan Gant run for 4 yds to the TNST 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

Jordan Gant run for 2 yds to the TNST 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Delanie Majors for 11 yds to the TNST 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Jordan Gant run for 4 yds to the ND 49

2nd & 6Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.78

Jordan Gant run for a loss of 3 yards to the TNST 48

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Draylen Ellis pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Jackson Foster punt for 45 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Steve Angeli pass complete to Jeremiyah Love for 4 yds to the ND 17

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.61

Jeremiyah Love run for 7 yds to the ND 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.78

Steve Angeli pass complete to Rico Flores Jr. for 20 yds to the ND 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.26

Jadarian Price run for 9 yds to the TNST 47

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.31

Steve Angeli pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.13

Gi'Bran Payne run for 5 yds to the TNST 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+42 ydsPPA +3.29

Steve Angeli pass complete to Gi'Bran Payne for 42 yds for a TD (Zac Yoakam KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Deveon Bryant run for 4 yds to the TNST 29

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

Tre Boone III run for no gain to the TNST 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Deveon Bryant pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jackson Foster punt for 48 yds

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.70

Jeremiyah Love run for a loss of 4 yards to the ND 34

2nd & 14Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Kenny Minchey pass complete to Chase Ketterer for 4 yds to the ND 38

3rd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Kenny Minchey pass complete to Davis Sherwood for 8 yds to the ND 46

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Bryce McFerson punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Dayron Johnson at the TNST 22

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.70

Craig Cunningham run for a loss of 1 yard to the TNST 21

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Demeatric Crenshaw run for 1 yd to the TNST 22

3rd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Demeatric Crenshaw run for 5 yds to the TNST 27

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Jackson Foster punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Skip Velotta run for 9 yds to the ND 46

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Sam Assaf run for 1 yd to the ND 47 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Tennessee State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
26%
23 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
1 play
0%
4 plays
20%
10 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
33%
6 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play

Notre Dame

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
67%
3 plays
50%
28 plays
2nd
0%
4 plays
80%
5 plays
67%
9 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
100%
4 plays
100%
3 plays
4th