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← Back to GamesNov 26, 2023Week 13
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

UCLA by 12.2

Home Win Probability

UCLA 77%

Market (Bovada)

UCLA -9.5

Edge: UCLA -9.5 (2.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 26, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
CaliforniaCalifornia
61401333
UCLAUCLA
07007

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-30-67-67-217-237-33
UCLACalifornia

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20UCLCALUCLCALUCLCALUCLCALUCLUCLCALUCLCALUCLCALUCLCALUCLCALCALUCLCALUCLTO1455ydFG754ydPUNT34ydFG943ydDOWNS1052ydTO524ydMISS845ydTO24ydTD38ydPUNT418ydPUNT722ydTO1-8ydTD311ydEND1-1ydPUNT3-3ydTO548ydPUNT419ydDOWNS1559ydFG1048ydTD425ydDOWNS734ydFG1251ydEND1351yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing California and UCLA
StatisticCaliforniaUCLA
Passing19-3030-47
Pass Yards178309
Rush Yards12471
Total Yards302380
Turnovers24
3rd Down6-158-19
Penalties5-455-41
Possession30:0129:59

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

California
passing
Fernando Mendoza
19/30, 178 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Jadyn Ott
21 CAR, 80 YDS
receiving
Jeremiah Hunter
8 REC, 101 YDS, 2 TD
defense
UCLA
passing
Dante Moore
23/38, 266 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Carson Steele
12 CAR, 53 YDS
receiving
Logan Loya
9 REC, 88 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Ethan Garbers pass complete to TJ Harden for 9 yds to the UCLA 34

2nd & 1Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.91

Ethan Garbers pass complete to J. Michael Sturdivant for a loss of 4 yards to the UCLA 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.59

Ethan Garbers pass complete to Logan Loya for 6 yds to the UCLA 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.46

Ethan Garbers pass complete to Kyle Ford for 16 yds to the CAL 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Ethan Garbers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Carson Steele run for 5 yds to the CAL 43

3rd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.75

Ethan Garbers pass complete to Logan Loya for 9 yds to the CAL 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Ethan Garbers run for 5 yds to the CAL 29

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

TJ Harden run for 2 yds to the CAL 27

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.80

TJ Harden run for no gain to the CAL 27

4th & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.38

Ethan Garbers pass complete to Logan Loya for 5 yds to the CAL 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Ethan Garbers pass complete to Keegan Jones for 2 yds to the CAL 20

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Ethan Garbers pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.68

Dante Moore pass intercepted, touchback. Craig Woodson return for no gain

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Trond Grizzell for 7 yds to the CAL 27

2nd & 3Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.13

Jaydn Ott run for a loss of 3 yards to the CAL 24

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

California Penalty, False Start (Trond Grizzell) to the CAL 19

3rd & 11Pass Reception+49 ydsPPA +4.37

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Jeremiah Hunter for 49 yds to the UCLA 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.29

Jaydn Ott run for a loss of 4 yards to the UCLA 36

2nd & 14Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Taj Davis for 6 yds to the UCLA 30

3rd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Jaydn Ott run for 4 yds to the UCLA 26

4th & 4Field Goal Good+43 yds

Mateen Bhaghani 43 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Dante Moore pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

TJ Harden run for 4 yds to the UCLA 29

3rd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Dante Moore run for no gain to the UCLA 29

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Will Powers punt for 33 yds, downed at the CAL 38

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

California Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the CAL 29

1st & 19Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.85

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Jack Endries for 21 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

(03:23) MENDOZA, Fernando pass deep to the right incomplete intended for HUNTER, Jeremiah thrown to the UCL25, clock 03:19. PENALTY UCL Pass Interference on KIRKWOOD, Devin enforced 15 yards to the UCL35 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Jaydn Ott run for 1 yd to the UCLA 34

2nd & 9Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.87

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Mavin Anderson for no gain to the UCLA 34

3rd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.65

Justin Williams-Thomas run for 8 yds to the UCLA 26

4th & 1Penalty+5 yds

UCLA Penalty, Delay Of Game (5 Yards) to the UCLA 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Fernando Mendoza pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Jaydn Ott run for 2 yds to the UCLA 19

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Fernando Mendoza pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Good+36 yds

Mateen Bhaghani 36 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Carson Steele run for 12 yds to the UCLA 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Dante Moore pass complete to Logan Loya for 5 yds to the UCLA 42

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Carson Steele run for 3 yds to the UCLA 45

3rd & 2Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.02

Carson Steele run for 12 yds to the CAL 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Dante Moore pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.50

Dante Moore pass complete to Kyle Ford for 14 yds to the CAL 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

UCLA Penalty, Illegal Snap on CLEMENS, Duke enforced (-5 Yards) to the CAL 34

1st & 15Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.09

Dante Moore pass complete to Moliki Matavao for 13 yds to the CAL 21

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.60

Carson Steele run for no gain to the CAL 21

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Carson Steele run for 1 yd to the CAL 20

4th & 1Rush-3 ydsPPA -3.64

Carson Steele run for a loss of 3 yards to the CAL 23

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Jaydn Ott run for 3 yds to the CAL 26

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Trond Grizzell for 5 yds to the CAL 31

3rd & 2Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.22

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Jack Endries for 15 yds to the CAL 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Mavin Anderson for 1 yd to the CAL 47

2nd & 9Penalty-15 yds

California Penalty, Personal Foul (Jeremiah Hunter) to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

TJ Harden run for 2 yds to the CAL 48

2nd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.42

Dante Moore pass complete to Moliki Matavao for 11 yds to the CAL 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +0.51

Dante Moore pass complete to Ryan Cragun for 24 yds to the CAL 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

UCLA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Ryan Cragun) to the CAL 22

1st & 19Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.90

Dante Moore pass complete to TJ Harden for 16 yds to the CAL 6

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

TJ Harden run for 1 yd to the CAL 5

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Dante Moore pass incomplete

4th & 2Field Goal Missed+23 yds

Blake Glessner 23 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Jeremiah Hunter for 4 yds to the CAL 24

2nd & 6Pass Interception Return+21 ydsPPA -0.53

Fernando Mendoza pass intercepted Laiatu Latu return for 21 yds to the CAL 8

1st & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Carson Steele run for 3 yds to the CAL 5

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Dante Moore pass incomplete

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.76

Dante Moore pass complete to Logan Loya for 5 yds for a TD (Blake Glessner KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return Touchdown+100 yds

Jaydn Ott 100 Yd Kickoff Return (Mateen Bhaghani Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.54

Dante Moore pass complete to Carsen Ryan for 17 yds to the UCLA 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Dante Moore run for 3 yds to the UCLA 46

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Dante Moore pass incomplete

3rd & 7Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.91

Dante Moore sacked by Cade Uluave for a loss of 2 yards to the UCLA 44

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Will Powers punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jeremiah Hunter at the CAL 16

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.65

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Jeremiah Hunter for 11 yds to the CAL 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.77

Jaydn Ott run for no gain to the CAL 27

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.75

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Jeremiah Hunter for 11 yds to the CAL 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Jaydn Ott run for 4 yds to the CAL 42

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jaydn Ott run for 4 yds to the CAL 46

3rd & 2Penalty-10 yds

California Penalty, Illegal Block (Brian Driscoll) to the CAL 38

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Fernando Mendoza pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Lachlan Wilson punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Logan Loya at the UCLA 19

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.87

Dante Moore sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the UCLA 11

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.47

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Jeremiah Hunter for a loss of 3 yards to the UCLA 14

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Fernando Mendoza pass incomplete

3rd & 13Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +3.37

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Jeremiah Hunter for 14 yds for a TD (Mateen Bhaghani KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

[NH] Kneel down by UCL at UCL43 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Fernando Mendoza pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

Fernando Mendoza pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.14

Fernando Mendoza sacked by Grayson Murphy for a loss of 3 yards to the CAL 15

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Lachlan Wilson punt for 73 yds, downed at the UCLA 12

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.88

TJ Harden run for 9 yds to the UCLA 21

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

TJ Harden run for no gain to the UCLA 21

3rd & 1Rush+24 ydsPPA +2.44

TJ Harden run for 24 yds to the UCLA 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.09

Dante Moore pass complete to Kyle Ford for 15 yds to the CAL 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.81

Dante Moore pass intercepted Cade Uluave return for no gain to the CAL 34

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.33

Jaydn Ott run for 14 yds to the CAL 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Jaydn Ott run for 4 yds to the UCLA 48

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Jaydn Ott run for 1 yd to the UCLA 47

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Fernando Mendoza pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Lachlan Wilson punt for 42 yds, downed at the UCLA 5

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Carson Steele run for 1 yd to the UCLA 6

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Dante Moore pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.22

Dante Moore pass complete to Logan Loya for 19 yds to the UCLA 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Carson Steele run for 3 yds to the UCLA 28

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Carson Steele run for 5 yds to the UCLA 33

3rd & 2Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.93

Carson Steele run for 11 yds to the UCLA 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Keegan Jones run for 1 yd to the UCLA 45

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Dante Moore pass complete to Kyle Ford for 6 yds to the CAL 49

3rd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.65

Dante Moore pass complete to Carsen Ryan for 2 yds to the CAL 47

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +2.20

Dante Moore run for 3 yds to the CAL 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.51

Dante Moore pass complete to Logan Loya for 11 yds to the CAL 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

TJ Harden run for 4 yds to the CAL 29

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Dante Moore pass incomplete

3rd & 6Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.36

Dante Moore sacked by Ricky Correia and Xavier Carlton for a loss of 7 yards to the CAL 36

4th & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Dante Moore pass incomplete

1st & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.43

Jaydn Ott run for 6 yds to the CAL 43

2nd & 3Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.96

Jaydn Ott run for 12 yds to the UCLA 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Fernando Mendoza pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jaydn Ott run for 4 yds to the UCLA 41

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jaydn Ott run for 5 yds to the UCLA 36

4th & 1Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.93

Justin Williams-Thomas run for 15 yds to the UCLA 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

California Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UCLA 26

1st & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Justin Williams-Thomas run for 3 yds to the UCLA 23

2nd & 12Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.42

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Monroe Young for 9 yds to the UCLA 14

3rd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.57

Jaydn Ott run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 15

4th & 4Field Goal Good+32 yds

Mateen Bhaghani 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.15

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Mavin Anderson for 11 yds to the UCLA 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Justin Williams-Thomas run for 1 yd to the UCLA 13

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Fernando Mendoza pass incomplete

3rd & 9Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +3.12

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Jeremiah Hunter for 13 yds for a TD (Mateen Bhaghani KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Dante Moore pass complete to TJ Harden for 3 yds to the UCLA 23

2nd & 7Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.35

Dante Moore pass complete to Logan Loya for 22 yds to the UCLA 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.14

Dante Moore pass complete to Carson Steele for 16 yds to the CAL 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-7 ydsPPA -2.31

Dante Moore run for a loss of 7 yards to the CAL 46

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Dante Moore pass incomplete

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Dante Moore pass incomplete

4th & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Dante Moore pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.92

Jaydn Ott run for 8 yds to the UCLA 46

2nd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.17

Jaydn Ott run for 8 yds to the UCLA 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Justin Williams-Thomas run for 4 yds to the UCLA 34

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Justin Williams-Thomas run for 3 yds to the UCLA 31

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.72

Justin Williams-Thomas run for 5 yds to the UCLA 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Jaydn Ott run for 3 yds to the UCLA 23

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jaydn Ott run for 5 yds to the UCLA 18

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.26

Justin Williams-Thomas run for 5 yds to the UCLA 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Justin Williams-Thomas run for 4 yds to the UCLA 3

2nd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.48

Justin Williams-Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 4

3rd & 4Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Jack Endries for 1 yd to the UCLA 3

4th & 3Field Goal Good+20 yds

Mateen Bhaghani 20 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Dante Moore pass complete to Josiah Norwood for 6 yds to the UCLA 31

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Dante Moore run for 1 yd to the UCLA 32

3rd & 3Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.77

Dante Moore sacked by David Reese for a loss of 5 yards to the UCLA 27

4th & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.18

Dante Moore pass complete to J. Michael Sturdivant for 10 yds to the UCLA 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.64

Dante Moore pass complete to Carson Steele for 19 yds to the CAL 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Dante Moore pass complete to Logan Loya for 6 yds to the CAL 38

2nd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.28

Dante Moore pass complete to Braden Pegan for 7 yds to the CAL 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Dante Moore sacked by Xavier Carlton for a loss of 2 yards to the CAL 33

2nd & 12Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.92

Dante Moore pass complete to J. Michael Sturdivant for 11 yds to the CAL 22

3rd & 1Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.27

Dante Moore pass complete to Carson Steele for 8 yds to the CAL 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.27

Dante Moore sacked by David Reese for a loss of 10 yards to the CAL 24

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Dante Moore pass incomplete

3rd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Dante Moore pass incomplete

Situational Analysis

California

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
27%
22 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
0%
4 plays
38%
8 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
33%
6 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play

UCLA

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
44%
32 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
0%
4 plays
17%
6 plays
60%
10 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
44%
9 plays
60%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
67%
3 plays
100%
1 play
0%
2 plays