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← Back to GamesNov 26, 2023Week 13

House Prediction

Model Margin

Notre Dame by 26.5

Home Win Probability

Stanford 6%

Market (Bovada)

Stanford +26

Edge: Notre Dame -26 (0.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 26, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Notre DameNotre Dame
72121756
StanfordStanford
1330723

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842563-06-713-1416-2116-3516-4216-5623-56
StanfordNotre Dame

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20STANDSTANDSTASTANDSTANDSTANDSTANDSTANDSTANDSTANDSTASTANDSTANDSTANDFG759ydTO339ydPUNT56ydTD478ydFG870ydTD230ydTD1075ydPUNT35ydTO2-2ydFG40ydTD1075ydTO643ydTD956ydEND1-1ydTD1075ydDOWNS821ydTD145ydDOWNS520ydTD545ydTD937ydTO323ydTO10ydTD947ydPUNT38ydDOWNS718ydEND522yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Notre Dame and Stanford
StatisticNotre DameStanford
Passing8-1521-42
Pass Yards140216
Rush Yards381143
Total Yards521359
Turnovers42
3rd Down7-95-16
Penalties5-492-15
Possession26:5833:02

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Notre Dame
passing
Sam Hartman
8/14, 140 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Audric Estime
25 CAR, 238 YDS, 4 TD
receiving
Jordan Faison
3 REC, 66 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Stanford
passing
Ashton Daniels
15/25, 152 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Justin Lamson
10 CAR, 82 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
E.J. Smith
7 REC, 116 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Ashton Daniels pass complete to Elic Ayomanor for 5 yds to the STAN 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Ashton Daniels pass complete to Elic Ayomanor for 4 yds to the STAN 34

3rd & 1Rush+49 ydsPPA +3.52

Justin Lamson run for 49 yds to the ND 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.42

E.J. Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the ND 18

2nd & 11Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.56

Ashton Daniels sacked by Marist Liufau and Javontae Jean-Baptiste for a loss of 7 yards to the ND 25

3rd & 18Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.76

Ashton Daniels run for 9 yds to the ND 16

4th & 9Field Goal Good+34 yds

Joshua Karty 34 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Audric Estime run for 9 yds to the ND 34

2nd & 1Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA -0.03

Sam Hartman pass complete to Rico Flores Jr. for 5 yds to the ND 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+25 ydsPPA -2.14

Sam Hartman run for 25 yds to the STAN 36 Sam Hartman fumbled, recovered by STAN Jshawn Frausto-Ramos [SG] HARTMAN, Sam scrambles to the right for a gain of 25 yards, HARTMAN, Sam fumbled at STA36 forced by FRAUSTO-RAMOS, Jshawn, recovered by STA FRAUSTO-RAMOS, Jshawn at the STA36, returned 0 yards to the STA36, End of Play, clock 09:52.

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Ashton Daniels pass complete to Bryce Farrell for 2 yds to the STAN 38

2nd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.78

Ashton Daniels pass complete to Bryce Farrell for 10 yds to the STAN 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.60

Ashton Daniels pass complete to E.J. Smith for a loss of 2 yards to the STAN 46

2nd & 12Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.29

Ashton Daniels sacked by Rylie Mills for a loss of 4 yards to the STAN 42

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Ashton Daniels pass incomplete

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Aidan Flintoft punt for 36 yds

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.94

Audric Estime run for 12 yds to the ND 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Audric Estime run for 1 yd to the ND 35

2nd & 9Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +3.01

Sam Hartman pass complete to Chris Tyree for 26 yds to the STAN 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+39 ydsPPA +3.14

Audric Estime run for 39 yds for a TD (Spencer Shrader KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Ashton Daniels pass complete to Elic Ayomanor for 1 yd to the STAN 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+53 ydsPPA +4.03

Ashton Daniels pass complete to E.J. Smith for 53 yds to the ND 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.30

Ashton Daniels run for 1 yd to the ND 20

2nd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.42

Ashton Daniels pass complete to E.J. Smith for 10 yds to the ND 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Ashton Daniels pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Ashton Daniels run for 5 yds to the ND 5

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Ashton Daniels pass incomplete

4th & 5Field Goal Good+23 yds

Joshua Karty 23 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+30 yds

Joshua Karty kickoff for 65 yds , Jadarian Price return for 30 yds to the ND 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.27

Ashton Daniels pass complete to Elic Ayomanor for 16 yds to the ND 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.55

Tiger Bachmeier run for 14 yds for a TD (Joshua Karty KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Sam Hartman pass complete to Jordan Faison for 9 yds to the ND 34

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.07

Audric Estime run for 6 yds to the ND 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.52

Audric Estime run for 19 yds to the STAN 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Sam Hartman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Audric Estime run for 2 yds to the STAN 39

3rd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.97

Sam Hartman pass complete to Chris Tyree for 12 yds to the STAN 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Audric Estime run for 5 yds to the STAN 22

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Audric Estime run for 3 yds to the STAN 19

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.27

Gi'Bran Payne run for 4 yds to the STAN 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.56

Sam Hartman pass complete to Jaden Greathouse for 15 yds for a TD (Spencer Shrader KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Ashton Daniels run for 4 yds to the STAN 29

2nd & 6Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.94

Ashton Daniels run for a loss of 4 yards to the STAN 25

3rd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Ashton Daniels pass complete to Sam Roush for 5 yds to the STAN 30

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Aidan Flintoft punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Chris Tyree at the ND 26

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.93

Chris Tyree run for a loss of 2 yards to the ND 24

2nd & 12Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.07

Sam Hartman pass intercepted Che Ojarikre return for no gain to the ND 38

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Ashton Daniels pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Ashton Daniels pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Ashton Daniels pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Good+56 yds

Joshua Karty 56 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Audric Estime run for 16 yds to the ND 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.00

Audric Estime run for 8 yds to the ND 49

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.04

Audric Estime run for 4 yds to the STAN 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Jeremiyah Love run for 2 yds to the STAN 45

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Sam Hartman run for 6 yds to the STAN 39

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.88

Jeremiyah Love run for 1 yd to the STAN 38

4th & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.99

Audric Estime run for 10 yds to the STAN 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Sam Hartman run for 7 yds to the STAN 21

2nd & 3Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.37

Jeremiyah Love run for 15 yds to the STAN 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Audric Estime run for 6 yds for a TD (Spencer Shrader KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Ashton Daniels run for 1 yd to the STAN 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Ashton Daniels pass incomplete

3rd & 9Penalty+15 yds

DANIELS, Ashton pass short up the middle incomplete intended for ROUSH, Sam thrown to the STA29; QB hurried by LIUFAU, Marist. PENALTY NOT Roughing the Passer on LIUFAU, Marist enforced 15 yards from the STA26 to the STA41 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.97

Ashton Daniels pass complete to Elic Ayomanor for 11 yds to the ND 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Sam Roush run for 1 yd to the ND 47

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Ashton Daniels pass incomplete

3rd & 9Penalty+15 yds

DANIELS, Ashton pass deep to the left incomplete intended for AYOMANOR, Elic thrown to the NOT3. PENALTY NOT Pass Interference on HART, Cam enforced 15 yards to the NOT32 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

Notre Dame Penalty, Offensive Holding (Nana Osafo-Mensah) to the ND 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Sam Hartman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Gi'Bran Payne run for 7 yds to the STAN 49

3rd & 3Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.06

Sam Hartman pass complete to Tobias Merriweather for 16 yds to the STAN 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.72

Gi'Bran Payne run for 9 yds to the STAN 24

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Sam Hartman pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.35

Gi'Bran Payne run for 12 yds to the STAN 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Sam Hartman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.36

Sam Hartman run for 9 yds to the STAN 3

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.47

Gi'Bran Payne run for 3 yds for a TD (Spencer Shrader KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

[NH] Kneel down by DANIELS, Ashton at STA24 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Audric Estime run for 9 yds to the ND 34

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.17

Audric Estime run for 7 yds to the ND 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Audric Estime run for 1 yd to the ND 42

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Sam Hartman pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.91

Sam Hartman pass complete to Jordan Faison for 12 yds to the STAN 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.73

Audric Estime run for 16 yds to the STAN 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.23

Audric Estime run for 13 yds to the STAN 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Audric Estime run for 7 yds to the STAN 10

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.39

Jadarian Price run for 5 yds to the STAN 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Audric Estime 5 Yd Run (Spencer Shrader Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Ashton Daniels pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.46

Ashton Daniels sacked by Javontae Jean-Baptiste for a loss of 3 yards to the STAN 22

3rd & 13Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.44

Ashton Daniels pass complete to E.J. Smith for 12 yds to the STAN 34

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.75

Justin Lamson run for 3 yds to the STAN 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Justin Lamson run for 6 yds to the STAN 43

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.41

Justin Lamson run for a loss of 1 yard to the STAN 42

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Ashton Daniels pass complete to Jayson Raines for 4 yds to the STAN 46

4th & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Justin Lamson pass incomplete

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+45 ydsPPA +3.48

Sam Hartman pass complete to Jordan Faison for 45 yds for a TD (Spencer Shrader KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Ashton Daniels pass complete to Elic Ayomanor for 11 yds to the STAN 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-13 ydsPPA -2.12

Ashton Daniels sacked by Nana Osafo-Mensah for a loss of 13 yards to the STAN 23

2nd & 23Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.36

Ashton Daniels run for 12 yds to the STAN 35

3rd & 11Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.66

Ashton Daniels pass complete to E.J. Smith for 10 yds to the STAN 45

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Justin Lamson run for no gain to the STAN 45

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Audric Estime run for 3 yds to the STAN 42

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Audric Estime run for 6 yds to the STAN 36

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.68

Audric Estime run for 6 yds to the STAN 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jeremiyah Love run for 5 yds to the STAN 25

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +2.74

Audric Estime run for 25 yds for a TD (Spencer Shrader KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Justin Lamson run for 3 yds to the STAN 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Justin Lamson pass incomplete

3rd & 7Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.47

Justin Lamson run for 15 yds to the STAN 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-6 ydsPPA -2.17

Justin Lamson pass complete to Bryce Farrell for a loss of 6 yards to the STAN 37

2nd & 16Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +3.54

Justin Lamson pass complete to E.J. Smith for 25 yds to the ND 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Justin Lamson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Justin Lamson run for no gain to the ND 38

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Justin Lamson pass incomplete

4th & 10Blocked Field Goal Touchdown+60 ydsPPA -8.13

Javontae Jean-Baptiste 60 Yd Return of Blocked Field Goal (Spencer Shrader Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Ari Patu pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Ari Patu pass incomplete

3rd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+23 ydsPPA +0.13

Ari Patu run for 23 yds to the STAN 48 Ari Patu fumbled, recovered by ND Ramon Henderson [NHSG] QB Keeper PATU, Ari rush up the middle for a gain of 23 yards, PATU, Ari fumbled at STA37 forced by SNEED, Jaylen, recovered by NOT HENDERSON, Ramon at the STA48, returned 0 yards to the STA48, End of Play, clock 12:21.

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+9 ydsPPA -3.31

Steve Angeli pass intercepted Spencer Jorgensen return for 9 yds to the ND 47

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Ari Patu run for 7 yds to the ND 40

2nd & 3Penalty-10 yds

SMITH, E.J. rush to the left for a gain of 2 yards to the NOT38 (BOWEN, Drayk). PENALTY STA Holding on ROGERS, Levi enforced 10 yards from the NOT40 to the STA50 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 13Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.48

Ari Patu pass complete to Mudia Reuben for 11 yds to the ND 39

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.86

Justin Lamson run for 3 yds to the ND 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Ari Patu pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.94

Ari Patu run for no gain to the ND 36

3rd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.06

Ari Patu pass complete to Mudia Reuben for 16 yds to the ND 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.10

Ari Patu pass complete to Elic Ayomanor for 10 yds to the ND 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Stanford Penalty, Delay Of Game (Ari Patu) to the ND 15

1st & 15Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.15

Ari Patu run for 7 yds to the ND 8 for a 1ST down Notre Dame Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Christian Gray) to the ND 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Justin Lamson run for 4 yds for a TD (Emmet Kenney KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jeremiyah Love run for 3 yds to the ND 28

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jadarian Price run for 5 yds to the ND 33

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.60

Gi'Bran Payne run for no gain to the ND 33

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Ben Krimm punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Bryce Farrell at the STAN 23

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.87

Beau Nelson pass complete to E.J. Smith for 8 yds to the STAN 31

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Beau Nelson pass incomplete

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.17

Ryan Butler run for 4 yds to the STAN 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Beau Nelson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Beau Nelson run for 6 yds to the STAN 41

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Beau Nelson pass incomplete

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Beau Nelson pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.54

Jeremiyah Love run for 16 yds to the STAN 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jeremiyah Love run for 5 yds to the STAN 20

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.08

Jadarian Price run for 6 yds to the STAN 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Notre Dame Penalty, False Start (Xavier Watts) to the STAN 19

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Jadarian Price run for 1 yd to the STAN 18

2nd & 14Rush0 ydsPPA -0.50

Kneel down by ANGELI, Steve at STA19 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Notre Dame

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
63%
30 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
71%
7 plays
67%
3 plays
75%
8 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
71%
7 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Stanford

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
32%
28 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
1 play
0%
3 plays
38%
13 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
67%
6 plays
75%
4 plays
4th
33%
3 plays
0%
1 play
0%
1 play