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← Back to GamesNov 11, 2023Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Oregon State by 33.2

Home Win Probability

Oregon State 97%

Market (Bovada)

Oregon State -21.5

Edge: Oregon State -21.5 (11.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 11, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
StanfordStanford
737017
Oregon StateOregon State
142021762

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284256707-014-021-728-1041-1048-1055-1762-17
Oregon StateStanford

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20STAOSSTAOSSTAOSSTAOSSTAOSSTAOSSTAOSSTAOSSTAOSSTAOSSTAOSSTAOSSTAOSTO535ydTD558ydPUNT3-3ydTD670ydTO552ydPUNT3-6ydTD335ydTD585ydPUNT515ydTD253ydFG1465ydTD1075ydEND13ydTD1275ydTO5-2ydTD534ydTO22ydTD358ydTD175ydPUNT532ydPUNT417ydPUNT43ydPUNT718ydTD474ydDOWNS1029ydEND47yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Stanford and Oregon State
StatisticStanfordOregon State
Passing14-3218-28
Pass Yards242321
Rush Yards82277
Total Yards324598
Turnovers40
3rd Down3-132-7
Penalties4-455-51
Possession29:1330:47

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Stanford
passing
Ashton Daniels
10/16, 200 YDS, 1 TD, 3 INT
rushing
Ashton Daniels
9 CAR, 37 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Elic Ayomanor
3 REC, 122 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Oregon State
passing
D.J. Uiagalelei
12/19, 240 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Damien Martinez
15 CAR, 146 YDS, 4 TD
receiving
Anthony Gould
1 REC, 61 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Justin Lamson run for no gain to the STAN 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.22

Ashton Daniels pass complete to Sam Roush for 17 yds to the STAN 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

DANIELS, Ashton pass deep to the right incomplete intended for AYOMANOR, Elic broken up by ROBINSON, Jaden at the OSU20. PENALTY OSU Pass Interference on ROBINSON, Jaden enforced 15 yards to the OSU43 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Justin Lamson run for 1 yd to the ORST 42

2nd & 9Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Ashton Daniels pass complete to E.J. Smith for 2 yds to the ORST 40

3rd & 7Interception0 ydsPPA -2.33

Ashton Daniels pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Damien Martinez run for 2 yds to the ORST 44

2nd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.56

DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Jack Velling for 8 yds to the STAN 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Damien Martinez run for 2 yds to the STAN 46

2nd & 8Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +2.09

DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Jack Velling for 39 yds to the STAN 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Damien Martinez run for 7 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Ashton Daniels pass complete to Tiger Bachmeier for 5 yds to the STAN 30

2nd & 5Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.95

Justin Lamson run for a loss of 2 yards to the STAN 28

3rd & 7Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.40

Ashton Daniels sacked by Andrew Chatfield Jr. for a loss of 6 yards to the STAN 22

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Aidan Flintoft punt for 48 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.59

Damien Martinez run for 8 yds to the ORST 38

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.63

DJ Uiagalelei run for 1 yd to the ORST 39

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.93

DJ Uiagalelei run for 2 yds to the ORST 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+59 ydsPPA +5.80

Damien Martinez run for 59 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +2.94

Ashton Daniels pass complete to Elic Ayomanor for 36 yds to the ORST 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.46

Tiger Bachmeier run for 15 yds to the ORST 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Ashton Daniels pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

E.J. Smith run for 1 yd to the ORST 23

3rd & 9Interception0 ydsPPA -3.45

Ashton Daniels pass intercepted for a 1ST down Oregon State Penalty, Personal Foul (Yards) to the ORST 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Deshaun Fenwick run for 1 yd to the ORST 10

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Aidan Chiles pass incomplete

3rd & 9Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.12

Aidan Chiles sacked by Tevarua Tafiti for a loss of 7 yards to the ORST 3

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Josh Green punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.87

Justin Lamson run for a loss of 1 yard to the ORST 36

2nd & 11Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.29

Ashton Daniels run for 22 yds to the ORST 14 for a 1ST down Oregon State Penalty, Personal Foul (Jaden Robinson) to the ORST 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Ashton Daniels run for 7 yds for a TD (Joshua Karty KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Damien Martinez run for 3 yds to the ORST 18

3rd & 7Pass Reception+61 ydsPPA +4.51

DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Anthony Gould for 61 yds to the STAN 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Damien Martinez run for 6 yds to the STAN 15

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.44

Damien Martinez run for 15 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42

Ashton Daniels run for no gain to the STAN 14

2nd & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.13

Ashton Daniels pass complete to Tiger Bachmeier for 24 yds to the STAN 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.27

Justin Lamson run for a loss of 1 yard to the STAN 37

2nd & 11Penalty0 yds

Stanford Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Justin Lamson) to the STAN 33

3rd & 15Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.23

Ashton Daniels sacked by Calvin Hart Jr. and John McCartan for a loss of 4 yards to the STAN 29

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Aidan Flintoft punt for 24 yds

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.91

Deshaun Fenwick run for 13 yds to the STAN 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+40 ydsPPA +3.19

DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Jermaine Terry II for 40 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

E.J. Smith run for 1 yd to the STAN 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Ashton Daniels pass incomplete

3rd & 9Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.70

Ashton Daniels run for 18 yds to the STAN 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Justin Lamson run for a loss of 1 yard to the STAN 43

2nd & 11Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.27

Ashton Daniels pass complete to Tiger Bachmeier for 12 yds to the ORST 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Ryan Butler run for 2 yds to the ORST 43

2nd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.21

Ashton Daniels pass complete to E.J. Smith for 13 yds to the ORST 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Ashton Daniels run for 1 yd to the ORST 29

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Justin Lamson run for 5 yds to the ORST 24

3rd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.63

Justin Lamson pass complete to Bryce Farrell for 10 yds to the ORST 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.38

Justin Lamson run for a loss of 1 yard to the ORST 15

2nd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Justin Lamson run for 5 yds to the ORST 10

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Justin Lamson pass incomplete

4th & 6Field Goal Good+28 yds

Joshua Karty 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Damien Martinez run for 11 yds to the ORST 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.09

Damien Martinez run for 11 yds to the ORST 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.28

DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Silas Bolden for 18 yds to the STAN 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.39

DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Silas Bolden for 18 yds to the STAN 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Damien Martinez run for 7 yds to the STAN 10

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.39

Deshaun Fenwick run for 5 yds to the STAN 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Damien Martinez run for 5 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

E.J. Smith run for 3 yds to the STAN 28

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.80

DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Jesiah Irish for 20 yds to the ORST 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.66

Damien Martinez run for 7 yds to the STAN 48

2nd & 3Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.98

Damien Martinez run for a loss of 3 yards to the ORST 49

3rd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.46

DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Jesiah Irish for 12 yds to the STAN 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -1.88

DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Jermaine Terry II for a loss of 5 yards to the STAN 44

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete

3rd & 15Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.09

DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Damien Martinez for 10 yds to the STAN 34

4th & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +2.14

DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Damien Martinez for 6 yds to the STAN 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Damien Martinez run for 6 yds to the STAN 22

2nd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.01

Isaiah Newell run for 8 yds to the STAN 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Isaiah Newell run for 1 yd to the STAN 13

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.79

DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Deshaun Fenwick for 13 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Ashton Daniels pass complete to Sam Roush for 2 yds to the STAN 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.87

Ashton Daniels pass complete to Sam Roush for 14 yds to the STAN 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-18 ydsPPA -2.66

Ashton Daniels sacked for a loss of 18 yards to the STAN 23

2nd & 28Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

Ashton Daniels pass incomplete

3rd & 28Interception0 ydsPPA +0.37

Ashton Daniels pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.55

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Jack Velling for 8 yds to the STAN 26

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.25

Deshaun Fenwick run for 5 yds to the STAN 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.39

Aidan Chiles run for no gain to the STAN 21

2nd & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +2.08

Aidan Chiles run for 20 yds to the STAN 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Aidan Chiles run for 1 yd for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

E.J. Smith run for 2 yds to the STAN 27

2nd & 8Interception0 ydsPPA -0.47

Justin Lamson pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Isaiah Newell run for 1 yd to the ORST 43

2nd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Jeremiah Noga for 5 yds to the ORST 48

3rd & 4Penalty+15 yds

CHILES, Aidan pass to the right incomplete intended for NEWELL, Isaiah thrown to the STA46. PENALTY STA Unnecessary Roughness on JORGENSEN, Spencer enforced 15 yards from the OSU48 to the STA37 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+37 ydsPPA +3.05

Deshaun Fenwick run for 37 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+75 ydsPPA +6.08

Ashton Daniels pass complete to Elic Ayomanor for 75 yds for a TD (Joshua Karty KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Jimmy Valsin III for 13 yds to the ORST 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.71

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Bryce Caufield for 21 yds to the STAN 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.88

Isaiah Newell run for no gain to the STAN 41

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.47

Isaiah Newell run for a loss of 2 yards to the STAN 43

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Aidan Chiles pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Josh Green punt for 37 yds, downed at the STAN 6

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.69

Ashton Daniels run for 17 yds to the STAN 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Justin Lamson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Justin Lamson pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Justin Lamson pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Aidan Flintoft punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Anthony Gould at the ORST 33

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Oregon State Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the ORST 28

1st & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Isaiah Newell run for 5 yds to the ORST 33

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Isaiah Newell run for 3 yds to the ORST 36

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Aidan Chiles pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Josh Green punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Bryce Farrell at the STAN 22

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Justin Lamson run for 2 yds to the STAN 24

2nd & 8Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.39

Justin Lamson pass complete to Jackson Harris for 21 yds to the STAN 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Justin Lamson run for a loss of 1 yard to the STAN 44

2nd & 11Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.18

Justin Lamson pass complete to Elic Ayomanor for 11 yds to the ORST 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Justin Lamson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Justin Lamson pass incomplete

3rd & 10Penalty-15 yds

LAMSON, Justin scrambles to the right for a gain of 12 yards to the OSU33 (CHISOM, Isaiah). PENALTY STA Block below the waist on SMITH, E.J. enforced 15 yards from the OSU45 to the STA40 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 25Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Justin Lamson pass incomplete

4th & 25Punt0 yds

Aidan Flintoft punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.96

Jake Reichle run for 11 yds to the ORST 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.36

Jake Reichle run for 15 yds to the STAN 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Stanford Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Braden Marceau-Olayinka) to the STAN 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+28 ydsPPA +2.76

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Riley Sharp for 28 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Justin Lamson run for 7 yds to the STAN 32

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Justin Lamson run for 1 yd to the STAN 33

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Justin Lamson pass incomplete

4th & 2Penalty+10 yds

LAMSON, Justin pass short up the middle incomplete intended for BACHMEIER, Tiger broken up by YOUNG, Jaydin at the STA36, clock 04:24. PENALTY OSU Holding on YOUNG, Jaydin enforced 10 yards from the STA33 to the STA43 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Justin Lamson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Justin Lamson pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +3.28

Justin Lamson run for 17 yds to the ORST 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.85

Justin Lamson pass complete to Sam Roush for no gain to the ORST 40

2nd & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -2.04

Justin Lamson sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the ORST 45

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Justin Lamson pass incomplete

4th & 15Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.26

Justin Lamson sacked by Isaiah Chisom for a loss of 1 yard to the ORST 46

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Ben Gulbranson pass complete to David Wells Jr. for 6 yds to the STAN 48

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.46

Isaiah Newell run for 5 yds to the STAN 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.94

Kneel down by GULBRANSON, Ben at STA45 (team loss of 2).

2nd & 12Rush0 ydsPPA -1.03

Kneel down by GULBRANSON, Ben at STA47 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Stanford

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
25%
28 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
43%
14 plays
80%
5 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays
33%
6 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Oregon State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
56%
32 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
100%
4 plays
69%
13 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play