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← Back to GamesNov 12, 2023Week 11
USCUSC
27
-Final
36
OregonOregon
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Oregon by 19.2

Home Win Probability

Oregon 87%

Market (Bovada)

Oregon -16.5

Edge: Oregon -16.5 (2.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 12, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
USCUSC
7701327
OregonOregon
1397736

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-713-719-722-729-1436-2136-27
OregonUSC

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20USCOREUSCOREUSCOREUSCOREUSCOREOREUSCOREUSCOREUSCOREUSCOREPUNT523ydTD283ydTD1075ydTD381ydPUNT415ydTD1375ydPUNT1042ydFG1084ydTD675ydEND1-3ydTD1285ydPUNT614ydPUNT31ydTO323ydTD548ydTD1075ydMISS952ydTD677ydEND721yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing USC and Oregon
StatisticUSCOregon
Passing20-3523-32
Pass Yards306412
Rush Yards73140
Total Yards379552
Turnovers10
3rd Down6-124-9
Penalties6-4513-120
Possession29:1830:42

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

USC
passing
Caleb Williams
19/34, 291 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
MarShawn Lloyd
9 CAR, 37 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Tahj Washington
4 REC, 82 YDS
defense
Oregon
passing
Bo Nix
23/31, 412 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
Mar'Keise Irving
19 CAR, 118 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Troy Franklin
2 REC, 147 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Evan Williams
1 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

MarShawn Lloyd run for no gain to the USC 25

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

WILLIAMS, Caleb sacked for a loss of 3 yards at the USC22 (DORLUS, Brandon). PENALTY ORE Face mask on FLORENCE, Jahlil enforced 15 yards from the USC25 to the USC40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.28

Mario Williams pass complete to Caleb Williams for 15 yds to the ORE 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Austin Jones run for 1 yd to the ORE 44

2nd & 9Penalty0 yds

USC Penalty, Offensive Holding (Justin Dedich) declined

3rd & 9Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.75

Caleb Williams sacked by Brandon Dorlus for a loss of 8 yards to the USC 48

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Eddie Czaplicki punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Tez Johnson at the ORE 17

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Bucky Irving run for 6 yds to the ORE 23

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+77 ydsPPA +6.27

Bo Nix pass complete to Tez Johnson for 77 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Caleb Williams pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.54

Austin Jones run for 10 yds to the USC 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Caleb Williams pass complete to Austin Jones for 8 yds to the USC 43

2nd & 2Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.11

Caleb Williams pass complete to Tahj Washington for 4 yds to the USC 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.68

Caleb Williams sacked by Teitum Tuioti for a loss of 9 yards to the USC 38

2nd & 19Pass Reception+44 ydsPPA +4.18

Caleb Williams pass complete to Dorian Singer for 44 yds to the ORE 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.35

Caleb Williams pass complete to Lake McRee for no gain to the ORE 18

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

MarShawn Lloyd run for 5 yds to the ORE 13

3rd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Caleb Williams run for 8 yds to the ORE 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

MarShawn Lloyd run for 5 yds for a TD (Denis Lynch KICK)

1st & 10Rush-8 ydsPPA -0.87

Bucky Irving run for a loss of 8 yards to the ORE 11

2nd & 18Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Bo Nix run for 5 yds to the ORE 16

3rd & 13Passing Touchdown+84 ydsPPA +7.30

Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 84 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.70

MarShawn Lloyd run for 19 yds to the ORE 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.03

MarShawn Lloyd run for no gain to the ORE 46

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

LLOYD, MarShawn rush to the left for a gain of 13 yards to the ORE33 (STEPHENS IV, Steve;WILLIAMS, Evan). PENALTY USC Holding on MONHEIM, Jonah enforced 10 yards from the ORE46 to the USC44 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 20Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Caleb Williams pass complete to Duce Robinson for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Caleb Williams pass incomplete

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Eddie Czaplicki punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Tez Johnson at the ORE 25

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Bucky Irving run for 12 yds to the ORE 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Bucky Irving run for 9 yds to the ORE 46

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.43

Bo Nix pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Jordan James run for no gain to the ORE 46

4th & 1Penalty+5 yds

QB Keeper NIX, Bo rush up the middle for no gain to the ORE46 (COBB, Mason;MUHAMMAD, Jamil). PENALTY USC Offsides on BYRD, Solomon enforced 5 yards from the ORE46 to the USC49 and results in a 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Bo Nix pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.85

Bucky Irving run for 13 yds to the USC 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Bo Nix pass complete to Tez Johnson for 5 yds to the USC 31

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.25

Bucky Irving run for 7 yds to the USC 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Bucky Irving run for 4 yds to the USC 20

2nd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Bo Nix pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for 3 yds to the USC 17

3rd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Bucky Irving run for 7 yds to the USC 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Oregon Penalty, False Start (Jackson Powers-Johnson) to the USC 15

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Bucky Irving pass incomplete

2nd & 15Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +3.10

Bo Nix pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for 15 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.55

Caleb Williams pass complete to Brenden Rice for 13 yds to the USC 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Oregon Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Jahlil Florence) to the USC 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Caleb Williams run for no gain to the USC 37

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Caleb Williams pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.68

Caleb Williams pass complete to Tahj Washington for 10 yds to the USC 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Austin Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the USC 46

2nd & 11Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.12

MarShawn Lloyd run for 11 yds to the ORE 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-13 ydsPPA -3.37

Caleb Williams sacked for a loss of 13 yards to the USC 44

2nd & 23Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Caleb Williams pass complete to Zachariah Branch for 2 yds to the USC 46

3rd & 21Penalty+5 yds

WILLIAMS, Caleb pass deep to the left incomplete intended for ROBINSON, Duce thrown to the ORE21. PENALTY ORE Offsides on AUMAVAE, Popo enforced 5 yards from the USC46 to the ORE49 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Caleb Williams pass incomplete

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Eddie Czaplicki punt for 48 yds

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+2 ydsPPA -0.15

run for 2 yds to the ORE 3 fumbled, recovered by ORE Jordan James [NHSG] ORE rush up the middle for a gain of 2 yards, fumbled at ORE0 , recovered by ORE JAMES, Jordan at the ORE3, returned 0 yards to the ORE3, End of Play.

3rd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.54

Bo Nix pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for 8 yds to the ORE 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.85

Jordan James run for 9 yds to the ORE 20

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Jordan James run for 2 yds to the ORE 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+63 ydsPPA +3.71

Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 63 yds to the USC 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Bo Nix pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Bucky Irving run for 3 yds to the USC 12

3rd & 7Penalty-10 yds

NIX, Bo pass short up the middle complete for 10 yards to IRVING, Bucky caught at the USC10 and advanced to the USC2 (HEIGHT, Romello;CURTIS, Tackett). PENALTY ORE Holding on CONERLY JR., Josh enforced 10 yards from the USC12 to the USC22 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 17Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Bo Nix pass complete to Bucky Irving for 7 yds to the USC 15

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Bo Nix pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Good+33 yds

Camden Lewis 33 yd FG GOOD

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Caleb Williams pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.89

Caleb Williams pass complete to Kyron Hudson for 9 yds to the USC 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+59 ydsPPA +3.49

Caleb Williams pass complete to Tahj Washington for 59 yds to the ORE 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Austin Jones run for 1 yd to the ORE 2

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Caleb Williams pass complete to Zachariah Branch for 4 yds to the USC 29

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Caleb Williams run for 2 yds for a TD (Denis Lynch KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.53

[NHSG] Kneel down by ORE at ORE16 (team loss of 3), clock 00:00.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Denis Lynch kickoff for 64 yds , return for no gain to the ORE 15

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Bucky Irving run for 3 yds to the ORE 18

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

Oregon Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ORE 13

2nd & 12Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.08

Bo Nix pass complete to Tez Johnson for 6 yds to the ORE 19

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.09

Bo Nix pass complete to Gary Bryant Jr. for 7 yds to the ORE 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Bucky Irving run for 7 yds to the ORE 33

2nd & 3Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +0.24

Bo Nix pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for 3 yds to the ORE 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Bo Nix pass complete to Bucky Irving for 1 yd to the ORE 37

2nd & 9Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.39

Bo Nix pass complete to Gary Bryant Jr. for 16 yds to the USC 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Bo Nix pass complete to Tez Johnson for 7 yds to the USC 40

2nd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Bo Nix pass complete to Tez Johnson for 5 yds to the USC 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Jordan James run for 4 yds to the USC 31

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Bo Nix pass complete to Tez Johnson for 5 yds to the USC 26

3rd & 1Penalty+5 yds

JAMES, Jordan rush up the middle for a gain of 3 yards to the USC23 (WILLIAMS, Max). PENALTY USC Offsides on ALEXANDER, Bear enforced 5 yards from the USC26 to the USC21 and results in a 1ST DOWN [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.63

Bo Nix pass complete to Tez Johnson for 21 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

MarShawn Lloyd run for 2 yds to the USC 16

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Caleb Williams pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.20

Caleb Williams pass complete to Zachariah Branch for 10 yds to the USC 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.93

MarShawn Lloyd run for a loss of 2 yards to the USC 24

2nd & 12Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Caleb Williams run for 6 yds to the USC 30

3rd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Caleb Williams run for 3 yds to the USC 33

4th & 3Penalty-5 yds

USC Penalty, Delay Of Game (Max Williams) to the USC 28

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Eddie Czaplicki punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Bo Nix pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Bucky Irving run for 1 yd to the ORE 34

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Bo Nix pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Luke Dunne punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Zachariah Branch at the USC 25

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.89

Zachariah Branch run for 21 yds to the USC 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Caleb Williams pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+5 yds

WILLIAMS, Caleb pass to the right incomplete intended for HUDSON, Kyron thrown to the ORE39; QB hurried by TUIOTI, Teitum. PENALTY ORE Offsides on UIAGALELEI, Matayo enforced 5 yards from the USC46 to the ORE49 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 5Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-3 ydsPPA -2.92

Austin Jones run for a loss of 3 yards to the USC 48 Austin Jones fumbled, recovered by ORE Evan Williams [NHSG] JONES, Austin rush up the middle for a loss of 3 yards, JONES, Austin fumbled at USC48 , recovered by ORE WILLIAMS, Evan at the USC48, returned 0 yards to the USC48, End of Play, clock 02:26.

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Jordan James run for 6 yds to the USC 42

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.26

Jordan James run for 4 yds to the USC 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.39

Bo Nix pass complete to Jordan James for 13 yds to the USC 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Oregon Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the USC 30

1st & 15Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.69

Bucky Irving run for 11 yds to the USC 19

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.50

Bucky Irving run for 19 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Caleb Williams pass complete to Tahj Washington for 9 yds to the USC 34

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.28

Caleb Williams pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.95

MarShawn Lloyd run for a loss of 3 yards to the USC 31

4th & 4Penalty+15 yds

WILLIAMS, Caleb pass deep to the right incomplete intended for WASHINGTON, Tahj thrown to the ORE30, clock 13:21. PENALTY ORE Pass Interference on JOHNSON, Tysheem enforced 15 yards to the USC46 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Caleb Williams pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Austin Jones run for 5 yds to the ORE 49

3rd & 5Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +2.85

Caleb Williams pass complete to Duce Robinson for 40 yds to the ORE 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Caleb Williams pass incomplete

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Caleb Williams pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Caleb Williams pass incomplete

4th & 9Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +3.40

Caleb Williams pass complete to Brenden Rice for 9 yds for a TD (Denis Lynch KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Bucky Irving run for 4 yds to the ORE 29

2nd & 6Penalty+5 yds

USC Penalty, Delay Of Game (5 Yards) to the ORE 34

2nd & 1Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.17

Bo Nix pass complete to Bucky Irving for 7 yds to the ORE 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.42

Bo Nix pass complete to Bucky Irving for 18 yds to the USC 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

JAMES, Jordan rush to the right for a gain of 5 yards to the USC36 (FEGANS, Tre'Quon;LEE, Shane). PENALTY ORE Holding on JONES, Steven enforced 10 yards from the USC41 to the ORE49 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.94

Bo Nix pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for 9 yds to the USC 42

2nd & 11Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.71

Bo Nix pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for 22 yds to the USC 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

NIX, Bo pass up the middle incomplete intended for FRANKLIN, Troy broken up by JACKSON, Domani at the USC5. PENALTY ORE Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on JONES, Steven enforced 5 yards from the USC20 to the USC25 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 15Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.29

Bucky Irving run for 8 yds to the USC 17

2nd & 7Fumble Recovery (Own)-5 ydsPPA -1.00

run for a loss of 5 yards to the USC 23 fumbled, recovered by ORE Bucky Irving [NHSG] ORE rush up the middle for a loss of 5 yards, fumbled at USC17 , recovered by ORE IRVING, Bucky at the USC22, returned -1 yard to the USC23 (SULLIVAN, Jack).

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Bo Nix pass incomplete

4th & 13Field Goal Missed+41 yds

Camden Lewis 41 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +3.02

Caleb Williams pass complete to Brenden Rice for 37 yds to the ORE 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Caleb Williams pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Caleb Williams pass complete to Zachariah Branch for 5 yds to the ORE 35

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

WILLIAMS, Caleb pass to the right complete for 13 yards to ROBINSON, Duce caught at the ORE21 and advanced to the ORE21 (BRIDGES, Trikweze), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN. PENALTY USC Holding on KINGSTON, Jarrett ORE Holding on JOHNSON, Tysheem , Offsetting penalties [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.27

Caleb Williams pass complete to Brenden Rice for 10 yds to the ORE 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.16

Caleb Williams pass complete to Brenden Rice for 12 yds to the ORE 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.54

Austin Jones run for 13 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Bucky Irving run for 6 yds to the USC 38

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.18

Bucky Irving run for 4 yds to the USC 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.66

Jordan James run for no gain to the USC 34

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Bucky Irving run for 3 yds to the USC 31

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Bo Nix pass incomplete

4th & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.23

Bo Nix pass complete to Bucky Irving for 10 yds to the USC 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.39

[NHSG] Kneel down by ORE at USC23 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

USC

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
38%
26 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
57%
7 plays
80%
5 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
80%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Oregon

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
26 plays
75%
4 plays
2nd
60%
5 plays
86%
7 plays
29%
7 plays
100%
4 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
33%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play