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← Back to GamesOct 29, 2023Week 9
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Oregon State by 9

Home Win Probability

Arizona 28%

Market (Bovada)

Arizona +3

Edge: Oregon State -3 (6.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 29, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Oregon StateOregon State
7301424
ArizonaArizona
3731427

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-73-710-1013-1013-1727-1727-24
ArizonaOregon State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20OSARIOSARIOSARIOSARIOSARIOSARIOSARIOSARIOSARITD1275ydFG1441ydPUNT635ydTD794ydFG961ydTO622ydEND841ydFG967ydPUNT727ydTO614ydTD980ydPUNT621ydPUNT513ydTD240ydPUNT30ydTD1055ydTD475ydEND49yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Oregon State and Arizona
StatisticOregon StateArizona
Passing18-3325-32
Pass Yards276275
Rush Yards13188
Total Yards407363
Turnovers01
3rd Down6-125-11
Penalties2-204-20
Possession29:1430:46

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Oregon State
passing
D.J. Uiagalelei
16/30, 218 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Damien Martinez
14 CAR, 87 YDS
receiving
Jack Velling
5 REC, 71 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Arizona
passing
Noah Fifita
25/32, 275 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jonah Coleman
11 CAR, 55 YDS
receiving
Tetairoa Mcmillan
8 REC, 80 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Damien Martinez run for 5 yds to the ORST 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.84

DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Anthony Gould for 6 yds to the ORST 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

DJ Uiagalelei run for no gain to the ORST 36

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Damien Martinez run for 4 yds to the ORST 40

3rd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.30

DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Jesiah Irish for 8 yds to the ORST 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Damien Martinez run for 3 yds to the ARIZ 49

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Damien Martinez

3rd & 7Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.64

DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Silas Bolden for 16 yds to the ARIZ 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Deshaun Fenwick run for 3 yds to the ARIZ 30

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Deshaun Fenwick run for 5 yds to the ARIZ 25

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.38

Deshaun Fenwick run for 3 yds to the ARIZ 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +2.65

Jack Velling 22 Yd pass from DJ Uiagalelei (Atticus Sappington Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Noah Fifita pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 7 yds to the ARIZ 32

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Jonah Coleman run for 2 yds to the ARIZ 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

Jonah Coleman run for 2 yds to the ARIZ 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Noah Fifita pass complete to Michael Wiley for 9 yds to the ARIZ 45

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.44

Michael Wiley run for no gain to the ARIZ 45

3rd & 1Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.28

Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 4 yds to the ARIZ 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

DJ Williams run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Noah Fifita pass incomplete to Tanner McLachlan

3rd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Noah Fifita pass complete to Tanner McLachlan for 8 yds to the ORST 42

4th & 1Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +2.01

Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 3 yds to the ORST 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Rayshon Luke run for 1 yd to the ORST 38

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Jacob Cowing run for 4 yds to the ORST 34

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Noah Fifita pass incomplete

4th & 5Field Goal Good+51 yds

Tyler Loop 51 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.03

DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Jack Velling for 12 yds to the ORST 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.36

Damien Martinez run for 15 yds to the ARIZ 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.81

Damien Martinez run for 16 yds to the ARIZ 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.12

DJ Uiagalelei sacked by Taylor Upshaw for a loss of 8 yards to the ARIZ 40

2nd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Anthony Gould

3rd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Jack Velling

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Josh Green punt for 34 yds, downed at the ARIZ 6

1st & 10Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +2.71

Noah Fifita pass complete to Malachi Riley for 40 yds to the ARIZ 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Rayshon Luke run for 5 yds to the ORST 49

2nd & 5Sack-4 ydsPPA -2.03

Noah Fifita sacked by Calvin Hart Jr. for a loss of 4 yards to the ARIZ 47

3rd & 9Penalty+15 yds

Fifita, Noah pass incomplete to McMillan, Tetairoa, PENALTY OREGONST roughing passer (Oladapo, Kitan) 15 yards to the OREGONST38, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ARIZONA.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Noah Fifita pass incomplete to Montana Lemonious-Craig

2nd & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.27

Jonah Coleman run for 19 yds to the ORST 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.41

Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 12 yds to the ORST 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 7 yds for a TD (Tyler Loop KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Tyler Loop kickoff for 62 yds , Silas Bolden return for 19 yds to the ORST 22

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Damien Martinez run for 4 yds to the ORST 26

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Aidan Chiles run for 8 yds to the ORST 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+6 ydsPPA +0.39

OLDEN, Silas rush to the left for a loss of 12 yards, BOLDEN, Silas fumbled at OSU25 , recovered by OSU BOLDEN, Silas at the OSU22, returned 6 yards to the OSU28

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

Aidan Chiles pass incomplete to Jesiah Irish

3rd & 16Pass Reception+52 ydsPPA +4.61

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Anthony Gould for 52 yds to the ARIZ 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Silas Bolden for 6 yds to the ARIZ 14

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Damien Martinez run for 2 yds to the ARIZ 12

3rd & 2Fumble Recovery (Own)+3 ydsPPA +0.25

CHILES, Aidan rush to the left for a loss of 3 yards, CHILES, Aidan fumbled at ARI13 , recovered by OSU CHILES, Aidan at the ARI15, returned 3 yards to the ARI12

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

Oregon State Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the ARIZ 17

4th & 7Field Goal Good+35 yds

Atticus Sappington 35 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Noah Fifita pass complete to Michael Wiley for 2 yds to the ARIZ 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Noah Fifita pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 1 yd to the ARIZ 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.37

Noah Fifita pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 14 yds to the ARIZ 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.87

Noah Fifita sacked by Joe Golden for a loss of 4 yards to the ARIZ 38

2nd & 14Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.79

Noah Fifita pass complete to Tanner McLachlan for 9 yds to the ARIZ 47

3rd & 5Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.36

Noah Fifita pass intercepted John McCartan return for no gain to the ARIZ 48

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Anthony Gould

2nd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.79

DJ Uiagalelei run for 13 yds to the ARIZ 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Jack Velling

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

DJ Uiagalelei run for 3 yds to the ARIZ 32

3rd & 7Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.40

DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Jack Velling for 16 yds to the ARIZ 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Damien Martinez

3rd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.38

Atticus Sappington run for 9 yds to the ARIZ 7

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.70

Noah Fifita pass complete to Jacob Cowing for no gain to the ARIZ 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +3.02

Noah Fifita pass complete to Kevin Green Jr. for 26 yds to the ORST 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.82

Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 8 yds to the ORST 41

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Jonah Coleman run for 3 yds to the ORST 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +0.56

Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 25 yds to the ORST 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Noah Fifita pass complete to Jonah Coleman for 2 yds to the ORST 11

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Jonah Coleman run for 3 yds to the ORST 8

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Noah Fifita pass incomplete to Tetairoa McMillan

4th & 5Field Goal Good+25 yds

Tyler Loop 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Damien Martinez run for 3 yds to the ORST 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Silas Bolden for 6 yds to the ORST 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

DJ Uiagalelei run for 2 yds to the ORST 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Arizona Penalty, Defensive Offside (Tiaoalii Savea) to the ORST 41

1st & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.40

Damien Martinez run for 7 yds to the ORST 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.60

Damien Martinez run for a loss of 2 yards to the ORST 46

2nd & 12Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Jack Velling for 6 yds to the ARIZ 48

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Silas Bolden

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Josh Green punt for 48 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Noah Fifita pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 5 yds to the ARIZ 25

2nd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.06

Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 10 yds to the ARIZ 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.40

DJ Williams run for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Noah Fifita pass incomplete to Tetairoa McMillan

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

Williams, DJ rush for 10 yards to the OREGONST40, PENALTY ARIZONA holding (Savaiinaea, Jonah) 10 yards to the ARIZONA40, NO PLAY.

2nd & 20Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.62

Noah Fifita sacked by Easton Mascarenas-Arnold for a loss of 10 yards to the ARIZ 30 Arizona Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Noah Fifita) to the ARIZ 30

3rd & 30Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Noah Fifita pass complete to Michael Wiley for 4 yds to the ARIZ 34

4th & 26Punt-8 yds

Kyle Ostendorp punt for 54 yds , Anthony Gould returns for a loss of 8 yards to the ORST 20 Anthony Gould fumbled, recovered by ORST Anthony Gould

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Jesiah Irish

2nd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.99

DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Jimmy Valsin III for 18 yds to the ORST 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.41

DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Jimmy Valsin III for 16 yds to the ARIZ 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.75

Damien Martinez run for 17 yds to the ARIZ 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Damien Martinez run for 6 yds to the ARIZ 23

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Deshaun Fenwick run for 4 yds to the ARIZ 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.28

DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Deshaun Fenwick for 11 yds to the ARIZ 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete

2nd & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.68

Silas Bolden run for 8 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jonah Coleman run for 4 yds to the ARIZ 29

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.04

Jonah Coleman run for 7 yds to the ARIZ 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 11 yds to the ARIZ 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Noah Fifita pass incomplete to Tetairoa McMillan

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Arizona Penalty, False Start (Jacob Cowing) to the ARIZ 42

2nd & 15Sack-12 ydsPPA -1.08

Noah Fifita sacked by Andrew Chatfield Jr. for a loss of 12 yards to the ARIZ 30

3rd & 27Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.43

Noah Fifita pass complete to Tanner McLachlan for 16 yds to the ARIZ 46

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Noah Fifita punt for 49 yds, downed at the ORST 5

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Damien Martinez run for 6 yds to the ORST 11

2nd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Silas Bolden for 6 yds to the ORST 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Damien Martinez run for 1 yd to the ORST 18

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Jack Velling

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Anthony Gould

4th & 9Punt+20 yds

Josh Green punt for 42 yds , Jacob Cowing returns for 20 yds to the ORST 40

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Michael Wiley run for no gain to the ORST 40

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+40 ydsPPA +4.03

Noah Fifita pass complete to Michael Wiley for 40 yds for a TD (Tyler Loop KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

DJ Uiagalelei run for no gain to the ORST 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Jack Velling

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Damien Martinez

4th & 10Punt+16 yds

Josh Green punt for 46 yds , Jacob Cowing returns for 16 yds to the ARIZ 45

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.38

DJ Williams run for 6 yds to the ORST 49

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.48

DJ Williams run for 5 yds to the ORST 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.60

DJ Williams run for 14 yds to the ORST 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.69

Jonah Coleman run for 9 yds to the ORST 21

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Jonah Coleman run for 2 yds to the ORST 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Jonah Coleman run for no gain to the ORST 19

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.41

Noah Fifita pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 9 yds to the ORST 10

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.36

Noah Fifita run for 3 yds to the ORST 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Jonah Coleman run for 4 yds to the ORST 3

2nd & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Noah Fifita pass complete to Michael Wiley for 3 yds for a TD (Tyler Loop KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +2.73

DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Silas Bolden for 32 yds to the ARIZ 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.69

DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Damien Martinez for 8 yds to the ARIZ 35

2nd & 2Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.04

DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Jack Velling for 15 yds to the ARIZ 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.62

DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Jimmy Valsin III for 20 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

DJ Williams run for 1 yd to the ORST 47

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.56

DJ Williams run for 7 yds to the ORST 40

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.86

DJ Williams run for 2 yds to the ORST 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.98

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the ORST 39

Situational Analysis

Oregon State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
52%
29 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
60%
5 plays
45%
11 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
60%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
4th

Arizona

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
48%
29 plays
2nd
20%
5 plays
75%
4 plays
56%
9 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
0%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play