Skip to main content
← Back to GamesOct 21, 2023Week 8
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Oregon by 21.4

Home Win Probability

Oregon 90%

Market (Bovada)

Oregon -19

Edge: Oregon -19 (2.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 21, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Washington StateWashington State
3103824
OregonOregon
31414738

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-33-310-1017-1324-1631-1638-1638-24
OregonWashington State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20WSOREWSOREWSOREWSOREWSOREWSOREOREWSOREWSOREWSOREWSOREWSOREPUNT615ydMISS650ydFG752ydFG766ydPUNT36ydPUNT635ydTD797ydTD975ydDOWNS836ydTD461ydFG659ydEND00ydPUNT525ydPUNT36ydTD453ydFG942ydTD575ydDOWNS1139ydTD964ydDOWNS964ydPUNT32ydTD554ydEND1-3yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Washington State and Oregon
StatisticWashington StateOregon
Passing34-4918-25
Pass Yards438293
Rush Yards57248
Total Yards495541
Turnovers00
3rd Down4-145-10
Penalties8-537-45
Possession32:5427:06

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Washington State
passing
Cameron Ward
34/48, 438 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Cameron Ward
11 CAR, 30 YDS
receiving
Lincoln Victor
16 REC, 161 YDS
defense
Oregon
passing
Bo Nix
18/25, 293 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Mar'Keise Irving
15 CAR, 129 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Tez Johnson
6 REC, 94 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 5 yds to the WSU 30

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Nakia Watson run for 3 yds to the WSU 33

3rd & 2Penalty-5 yds

Washington State Penalty, False Start (Andre Dollar) to the WSU 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.79

Cameron Ward pass complete to Kyle Williams for 8 yds to the WSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 2 yds to the WSU 38

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Nakia Watson run for 2 yds to the WSU 40

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Cameron Ward pass incomplete to Nakia Watson

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Nick Haberer punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ORE 21

1st & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +2.79

Bo Nix pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for 33 yds to the WSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.70

Gary Bryant Jr. run for 15 yds to the WSU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.58

Bucky Irving run for no gain to the WSU 31

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.42

Bucky Irving run for a loss of 3 yards to the WSU 34

3rd & 13Penalty-10 yds

Nix, Bo pass complete to Franklin, Troy for 34 yards to the WASHST0, PENALTY OREGON holding (Cornelius, Ajani) 10 yards to the WASHST44, NO PLAY.

3rd & 23Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.85

Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 15 yds to the WSU 29

4th & 8Field Goal Missed+47 yds

Camden Lewis 47 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Cameron Ward pass incomplete to Kyle Williams

2nd & 10Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +3.67

Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 37 yds to the ORE 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.26

Cameron Ward run for 10 yds to the ORE 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 7 yds to the ORE 17

2nd & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.71

Nakia Watson run for a loss of 2 yards to the ORE 19

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

Washington State Penalty, False Start (Josh Kelly) to the ORE 24

3rd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 5 yds to the ORE 19

4th & 5Field Goal Good+36 yds

Dean Janikowski 36 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 14 yds to the ORE 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Bucky Irving run for 5 yds to the ORE 44

2nd & 5Pass Reception+46 ydsPPA +2.23

Bo Nix pass complete to Tez Johnson for 46 yds to the WSU 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 0Penalty-5 yds

Johnson, Tez pass incomplete to Nix, Bo, PENALTY OREGON ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the WASHST15, NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.09

Bucky Irving run for 6 yds to the WSU 9

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Bo Nix pass incomplete to Traeshon Holden

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Bo Nix pass incomplete to Traeshon Holden

4th & 9Field Goal Good+27 yds

Camden Lewis 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Cameron Ward pass complete to Josh Kelly for 3 yds to the WSU 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Cameron Ward pass complete to Josh Kelly for 3 yds to the WSU 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Cameron Ward pass incomplete to Josh Kelly

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Nick Haberer punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Tez Johnson at the ORE 25

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Bucky Irving run for 2 yds to the ORE 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Bo Nix pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for 1 yd to the ORE 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +3.74

Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 32 yds to the WSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Bo Nix pass complete to Tez Johnson for 3 yds to the WSU 37

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Bo Nix pass incomplete to Troy Franklin

3rd & 7Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.64

Bo Nix pass complete to Tez Johnson for a loss of 3 yards to the WSU 40

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Bo Nix punt for 37 yds, downed at the WSU 3

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Cameron Ward pass complete to Kyle Williams for 6 yds to the WSU 9

2nd & 4Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.01

Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 20 yds to the WSU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+47 ydsPPA +3.09

Cameron Ward pass complete to Kyle Williams for 47 yds to the ORE 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Nakia Watson run for 4 yds to the ORE 20

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Cameron Ward pass incomplete to Lincoln Victor

3rd & 6Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.49

Cameron Ward pass complete to Cooper Mathers for 16 yds to the ORE 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Nakia Watson run for 4 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jordan James run for 3 yds to the ORE 28

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jordan James run for 5 yds to the ORE 33

3rd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.54

Bucky Irving run for 7 yds to the ORE 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Bo Nix pass incomplete to Troy Franklin

2nd & 10Rush+37 ydsPPA +3.22

Jordan James run for 37 yds to the WSU 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Jordan James run for 6 yds to the WSU 17

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.05

Jordan James run for 6 yds to the WSU 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Bucky Irving run for 7 yds to the WSU 4 for a 1ST down Washington State Penalty, Illegal Use of Hands (Ahmad McCullough) to the WSU 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Bucky Irving run for 2 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK)

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.07

Cameron Ward sacked by Brandon Dorlus for a loss of 5 yards to the WSU 20

2nd & 15Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.29

Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 19 yds to the WSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.11

Cameron Ward pass complete to Kyle Williams for no gain to the WSU 39

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.42

Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 15 yds to the ORE 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Cameron Ward pass incomplete to Cooper Mathers

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Cameron Ward pass incomplete to Lincoln Victor

3rd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.50

Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 7 yds to the ORE 39

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.87

Lincoln Victor pass incomplete to Kyle Williams

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Bucky Irving run for 6 yds to the ORE 45

2nd & 4Rush+40 ydsPPA +1.89

Bucky Irving run for 40 yds to the WSU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Jordan James run for 8 yds to the WSU 7

2nd & 2Penalty+5 yds

Nix, Bo pass incomplete to Franklin, Troy, PENALTY WASHST pass interference (Lampkin, Cam) 5 yards to the WASHST2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OREGON.

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Bo Nix run for 2 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +3.14

Cameron Ward pass complete to Kyle Williams for 41 yds to the ORE 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.29

Cameron Ward run for 12 yds to the ORE 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Cameron Ward pass incomplete to Josh Kelly

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 6 yds to the ORE 16

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Cameron Ward pass incomplete

4th & 4Field Goal Good+33 yds

Dean Janikowski 33 yd FG GOOD

4th & 4Kickoff Return (Offense)+6 yds

Colton Theaker kickoff for 42 yds , Patrick Herbert return for 6 yds to the ORE 29

0th & 4End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Oregon Penalty, False Start (Ajani Cornelius) to the ORE 20

1st & 15Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.29

Bo Nix pass complete to Patrick Herbert for 7 yds to the ORE 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.25

Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 18 yds to the ORE 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Bo Nix pass complete to Bucky Irving for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.20

Bo Nix pass incomplete to Tez Johnson

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Bo Nix pass incomplete to Troy Franklin

4th & 5Punt+43 yds

Ross James punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Hamilton at the WSU 13 Washington State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Ansel Din-Mbuh) to the WSU 6

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.36

Cameron Ward sacked by Jahlil Florence for a loss of 2 yards to the WSU 4

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Cameron Ward pass incomplete to Lincoln Victor

3rd & 12Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.06

Cameron Ward pass complete to Cooper Mathers for 8 yds to the WSU 12

4th & 4Punt+11 yds

Nick Haberer punt for 52 yds , Tez Johnson returns for 11 yds to the ORE 47

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.18

Bucky Irving run for 9 yds to the WSU 44

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.23

Bucky Irving run for no gain to the WSU 44

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.85

Bucky Irving run for 2 yds to the WSU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+42 ydsPPA +3.29

Bo Nix pass complete to Bucky Irving for 42 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 8 yds to the WSU 33

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.21

Nakia Watson run for 5 yds to the WSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.27

Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 14 yds to the ORE 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Cameron Ward run for 5 yds to the ORE 43

2nd & 5Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.75

Cameron Ward pass complete to Josh Kelly for 12 yds to the ORE 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Cameron Ward pass incomplete to Josh Kelly

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Cameron Ward pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.42

Cameron Ward sacked by Blake Purchase for a loss of 2 yards to the ORE 33

4th & 12Field Goal Good+50 yds

Dean Janikowski 50 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jordan James run for 4 yds to the ORE 29

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

Oregon Penalty, False Start (Jackson Powers-Johnson) to the ORE 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.73

Bo Nix pass complete to Tez Johnson for 12 yds to the ORE 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Jordan James run for 2 yds to the ORE 38

2nd & 8Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.44

Bo Nix pass complete to Tez Johnson for 19 yds to the WSU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+43 ydsPPA +3.35

Bucky Irving run for 43 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Washington State Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jaden Hicks) to the 50 yard line

1st & -5Kickoff Return (Offense)+8 yds

Camden Lewis kickoff for 33 yds , Josh Kelly return for 8 yds to the WSU 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Cameron Ward pass complete to Nakia Watson for 7 yds to the WSU 32

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.33

Nakia Watson run for 4 yds to the WSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Cameron Ward pass complete to Nakia Watson for 2 yds to the WSU 38

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Cameron Ward run for 6 yds to the WSU 44

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.78

Dylan Paine run for 1 yd to the WSU 45

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +2.24

Dylan Paine run for 3 yds to the WSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Washington State Penalty, False Start (Esa Pole) to the WSU 43

1st & 15Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.08

Cameron Ward run for 18 yds to the ORE 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Cameron Ward pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Cameron Ward pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Dylan Paine run for 3 yds to the ORE 36

4th & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.65

Cameron Ward pass incomplete to Lincoln Victor

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Bo Nix pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 9 yds to the ORE 45

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.44

Jordan James run for no gain to the ORE 45

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.11

Bo Nix run for 2 yds to the ORE 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.19

Jordan James run for 20 yds to the WSU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jordan James run for 5 yds to the WSU 28

2nd & 5Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.40

Bo Nix pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for 19 yds to the WSU 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 0Penalty-10 yds

Oregon Penalty, Offensive Holding (Iapani Laloulu) to the WSU 19

1st & 0Penalty-5 yds

Oregon Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Ajani Cornelius) to the WSU 24

1st & 0Pass Reception+4 yds

Bo Nix pass complete to Bucky Irving for 4 yds to the WSU 20

2nd & 0Rush+3 yds

Bucky Irving run for 3 yds to the WSU 17

3rd & 0Passing Touchdown+17 yds

Bo Nix pass complete to Tez Johnson for 17 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK)

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Cameron Ward sacked by Matayo Uiagalelei for a loss of 1 yard to the WSU 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception-7 ydsPPA -0.46

Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 3 yds to the WSU 27 Washington State Penalty, Illegal Block (-10 Yards) to the WSU 17

2nd & 18Rush0 ydsPPA -0.09

Nakia Watson run for no gain to the WSU 17

3rd & 18Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +3.80

Cameron Ward pass complete to Tsion Nunnally for 37 yds to the ORE 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +0.96

Cameron Ward pass complete to Nakia Watson for 29 yds to the ORE 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.14

Cameron Ward sacked by Jestin Jacobs for a loss of 8 yards to the ORE 25

2nd & 18Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.76

Cameron Ward pass complete to Tsion Nunnally for 12 yds to the ORE 13

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 5 yds to the ORE 8

4th & 1Sack-3 ydsPPA -4.08

Cameron Ward sacked by Evan Williams for a loss of 3 yards to the ORE 11

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Jordan James run for 4 yds to the ORE 15

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Jordan James run for 3 yds to the ORE 18

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Bo Nix pass incomplete to Troy Franklin

4th & 3Penalty-5 yds

Oregon Penalty, Delay of Game (Ross James) to the ORE 13

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Ross James punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Hamilton at the WSU 46

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Cameron Ward pass complete to Josh Kelly for 3 yds to the WSU 49

2nd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 4 yds to the ORE 47

3rd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.42

Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 4 yds to the ORE 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +0.78

Cameron Ward pass complete to Josh Kelly for 27 yds to the ORE 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.57

Cameron Ward pass complete to Isaiah Hamilton for 16 yds for a TD (Cameron Ward pass to Kyle Williams for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Dean Janikowski kickoff for 8 yds , Jordan James return for no gain to the WSU 43

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.61

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the WSU 46

Situational Analysis

Washington State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
48%
29 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
67%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
40%
10 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
60%
5 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
33%
3 plays
0%
1 play

Oregon

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
63%
24 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
50%
6 plays
50%
8 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
75%
4 plays
0%
1 play
33%
3 plays
100%
1 play
4th