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← Back to GamesOct 14, 2023Week 7
USCUSC
20
-Final
48
Notre DameNotre Dame

House Prediction

Model Margin

Notre Dame by 5.3

Home Win Probability

Notre Dame 57%

Market (Bovada)

Notre Dame -3

Edge: Notre Dame -3 (2.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 14, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
USCUSC
337720
Notre DameNotre Dame
71771748

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-07-310-324-631-1331-2048-20
Notre DameUSC

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20USCNDUSCNDUSCNDUSCNDUSCNDUSCNDUSCNDUSCNDUSCNDUSCNDUSCUSCNDUSCUSCNDTO412ydTD312ydPUNT422ydPUNT416ydFG1059ydFG846ydDOWNS1242ydPUNT34ydTO310ydTD12ydTO410ydTD550ydFG844ydPUNT33ydPUNT3-4ydPUNT36ydTD657ydTD668ydPUNT714ydPUNT727ydTD518ydDOWNS74ydFG49ydTD1-2ydTO211ydEND48yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing USC and Notre Dame
StatisticUSCNotre Dame
Passing23-3713-20
Pass Yards199126
Rush Yards103125
Total Yards302251
Turnovers50
3rd Down6-133-10
Penalties9-755-54
Possession34:3525:25

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

USC
passing
Caleb Williams
23/37, 199 YDS, 1 TD, 3 INT
rushing
MarShawn Lloyd
8 CAR, 46 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Michael Jackson III
6 REC, 51 YDS
defense
Notre Dame
passing
Sam Hartman
13/20, 126 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Audric Estime
22 CAR, 95 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Chris Tyree
2 REC, 62 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

MarShawn Lloyd run for 1 yd to the USC 26

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Caleb Williams run for no gain to the USC 26

3rd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.02

Caleb Williams pass complete to Brenden Rice for 11 yds to the USC 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -1.95

Caleb Williams pass intercepted by Xavier Watts at USC 50, returned 38 yds to USC 12

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Audric Estime run for 6 yds to the USC 6

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Audric Estime run for 2 yds to the USC 4

3rd & 2Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.56

Sam Hartman pass complete to Gi'Bran Payne for 4 yds for a TD (Spencer Shrader KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Austin Jones run for 5 yds to the USC 24

2nd & 5Penalty+10 yds

WILLIAMS, Caleb pass to the right incomplete intended for JACKSON III, Michael thrown to the USC34. PENALTY UND Holding on MORRISON, Benjamin enforced 10 yards from the USC24 to the USC34 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Caleb Williams run for 4 yds to the USC 38

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

USC Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the USC 33

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Austin Jones run for 3 yds to the USC 36

3rd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Caleb Williams pass complete to Tahj Washington for 5 yds to the USC 41

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Eddie Czaplicki punt for 45 yds

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.58

Audric Estime run for 11 yds to the ND 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Sam Hartman pass complete to Audric Estime for 4 yds to the ND 29

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Audric Estime run for 1 yd to the ND 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Sam Hartman pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Bryce McFerson punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Zachariah Branch at the USC 33

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.89

Caleb Williams run for 11 yds to the ND 44 for a 1ST down Notre Dame Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the ND 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Austin Jones run for 1 yd to the ND 45

2nd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.40

Caleb Williams pass complete to Dorian Singer for 11 yds to the ND 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Austin Jones run for 3 yds to the ND 31

2nd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Caleb Williams pass complete to Zachariah Branch for 7 yds to the ND 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

WILLIAMS, Caleb pass to the right complete for 13 yards to SINGER, Dorian caught at the UND11 and advanced to the UND11, out of bounds. PENALTY USC Pass Interference on SINGER, Dorian enforced 15 yards to the UND39 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 25Penalty+12 yds

Notre Dame Penalty, Personal Foul (Benjamin Morrison) to the ND 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Caleb Williams pass complete to MarShawn Lloyd for 1 yd to the ND 12

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

MarShawn Lloyd run for 3 yds to the ND 9

3rd & 6Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Caleb Williams pass complete to Michael Jackson III for 1 yd to the ND 8

4th & 5Field Goal Good+25 yds

Denis Lynch 25 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Denis Lynch kickoff for 57 yds , return for no gain to the ND 36

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.21

Jeremiyah Love run for a loss of 1 yard to the ND 35

2nd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.43

Sam Hartman pass complete to Jordan Faison for 7 yds to the ND 42

3rd & 4Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.63

Sam Hartman pass complete to Chris Tyree for 16 yds to the USC 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.57

Jordan Faison run for 16 yds to the USC 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Jeremiyah Love run for 3 yds to the USC 23

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Sam Hartman pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Sam Hartman pass complete to Mitchell Evans for 5 yds to the USC 18

4th & 2Field Goal Good+36 yds

Spencer Shrader 36 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Tahj Washington run for 10 yds to the USC 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Austin Jones run for 6 yds to the USC 41

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Austin Jones run for no gain to the USC 41

3rd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.73

Caleb Williams pass complete to Mario Williams for 4 yds to the USC 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-6 yds

WILLIAMS, Caleb pass short to the right complete for 6 yards to WILLIAMS, Mario caught at the USC47 and advanced to the USC47 (BERTRAND, JD). PENALTY Before the snap, UND Illegal Substitution USC Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass , Offsetting penalties [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Caleb Williams pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.57

MarShawn Lloyd run for 7 yds to the ND 48

3rd & 3Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.59

MarShawn Lloyd run for a loss of 3 yards to the USC 49

4th & 6Penalty+5 yds

CZAPLICKI, Eddie punt 32 yards to the UND19, fair catch by TYREE, Chris, clock 08:24. PENALTY UND Running Into the kicker on SNEED, Jaylen enforced 5 yards from the USC49 to the UND46. NO PLAY (replay the down).

4th & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.43

Caleb Williams run for 8 yds to the ND 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Caleb Williams pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

QB Keeper WILLIAMS, Caleb rush up the middle for a gain of 38 yards to the UND0, TOUCHDOWN USC, score nullified by penalty, clock 07:39 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY USC Holding on PREGNON, Emmanuel enforced 10 yards from the UND38 to the UND48 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 20Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.51

Zachariah Branch run for 17 yds to the ND 31

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Austin Jones run for 2 yds to the ND 29

4th & 1Rush-4 ydsPPA -3.06

Austin Jones run for a loss of 4 yards to the ND 33

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Audric Estime run for 4 yds to the ND 37

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Sam Hartman pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Sam Hartman pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Bryce McFerson punt for 51 yds , Zachariah Branch returns for no gain to the USC 6

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Caleb Williams pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.61

Caleb Williams pass complete to Zachariah Branch for 10 yds to the USC 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -0.42

Caleb Williams pass intercepted by Xavier Watts at USC 25, returned 23 yds to USC 2.

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Audric Estime run for 2 yds for a TD (Spencer Shrader KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Caleb Williams pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.54

Caleb Williams pass complete to Mario Williams for 10 yds to the USC 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Caleb Williams pass incomplete

2nd & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -0.74

Caleb Williams pass intercepted by Benjamin Morrison at UND 50

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.12

Sam Hartman pass complete to Rico Flores Jr. for 24 yds to the USC 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.17

Sam Hartman run for 12 yds to the USC 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Audric Estime run for 5 yds to the USC 9

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.54

Audric Estime run for 8 yds to the USC 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Audric Estime run for 1 yd for a TD (Spencer Shrader KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Caleb Williams pass complete to Tahj Washington for 9 yds to the USC 34

2nd & 1Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.28

Caleb Williams pass complete to Mario Williams for 20 yds to the ND 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Caleb Williams run for 3 yds to the ND 43

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

MarShawn Lloyd run for 4 yds to the ND 39

3rd & 3Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.33

Caleb Williams pass complete to Tahj Washington for 14 yds to the ND 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Caleb Williams pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.75

Caleb Williams sacked by Boubacar Traore for a loss of 6 yards to the ND 31

3rd & 16Field Goal Good+48 yds

Denis Lynch 48 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Denis Lynch kickoff for 60 yds , return for no gain to the ND 22

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Sam Hartman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Sam Hartman pass complete to Holden Staes for 3 yds to the ND 25

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Sam Hartman pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Bryce McFerson punt for 50 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Caleb Williams pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -0.66

Caleb Williams pass complete to Mario Williams for a loss of 4 yards to the USC 26

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Caleb Williams pass incomplete

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Eddie Czaplicki punt for 51 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Sam Hartman pass complete to Jordan Faison for 1 yd to the ND 26

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Jeremiyah Love run for 4 yds to the ND 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Sam Hartman pass complete to Devyn Ford for 1 yd to the ND 31

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Bryce McFerson punt for 47 yds

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

WILLIAMS, Caleb pass short to the left complete for 10 yards to WASHINGTON, Tahj caught at the USC45 and advanced to the UND47 (LIUFAU, Marist), out of bounds. PENALTY USC Pass Interference on WILLIAMS, Mario enforced 15 yards to the USC28 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 25Penalty+15 yds

WILLIAMS, Caleb pass deep to the left incomplete intended for RICE, Brenden thrown to the UND25. PENALTY UND Pass Interference on MORRISON, Benjamin enforced 15 yards to the USC43 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Zachariah Branch run for no gain to the USC 43

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.08

Caleb Williams pass complete to Dorian Singer for 11 yds to the ND 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.98

Caleb Williams sacked by Nana Osafo-Mensah and JD Bertrand for a loss of 10 yards to the USC 44

2nd & 20Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +3.55

Caleb Williams pass complete to Lake McRee for 21 yds to the ND 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Caleb Williams run for 4 yds to the ND 31

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+31 ydsPPA +3.04

MarShawn Lloyd run for 31 yds for a TD (Denis Lynch KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Denis Lynch kickoff for 57 yds , return for no gain to the ND 32

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.69

Audric Estime run for 7 yds to the ND 39

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.36

Audric Estime run for 4 yds to the ND 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Audric Estime run for 3 yds to the ND 46

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.35

Sam Hartman pass complete to Mitchell Evans for 8 yds to the USC 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.03

Audric Estime run for no gain to the USC 46

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+46 ydsPPA +4.57

Sam Hartman pass complete to Chris Tyree for 46 yds for a TD (Spencer Shrader KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Caleb Williams pass complete to Tahj Washington for 13 yds to the USC 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Caleb Williams pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

MarShawn Lloyd run for 4 yds to the USC 42

3rd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.48

Caleb Williams pass complete to Michael Jackson III for 10 yds to the ND 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.69

Caleb Williams sacked by Marist Liufau for a loss of 8 yards to the USC 44

2nd & 18Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.94

Caleb Williams sacked by Rylie Mills and Nana Osafo-Mensah for a loss of 10 yards to the USC 34

3rd & 28Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.14

Caleb Williams pass complete to Michael Jackson III for 10 yds to the USC 44

4th & 18Penalty-5 yds

USC Penalty, False Start (Jac Casasante) to the USC 39

4th & 23Punt0 yds

Eddie Czaplicki punt for 54 yds

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.54

Audric Estime run for 14 yds to the ND 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Audric Estime run for 4 yds to the ND 25

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Audric Estime run for 1 yd to the ND 26

3rd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.45

Sam Hartman pass complete to Holden Staes for 7 yds to the ND 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Audric Estime run for 1 yd to the ND 34

2nd & 9Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.62

Sam Hartman pass complete to Jadarian Price for no gain to the ND 34

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Sam Hartman pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Bryce McFerson punt for 44 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Austin Jones run for 1 yd to the ND 17

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.22

Austin Jones run for 7 yds to the ND 10

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.44

Austin Jones run for 3 yds to the ND 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Caleb Williams pass incomplete

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.61

Caleb Williams pass complete to Brenden Rice for 7 yds for a TD (Denis Lynch KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return Touchdown+99 yds

Jadarian Price 99 Yd Kickoff Return (Spencer Shrader Kick)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Spencer Shrader kickoff for 59 yds , return for no gain to the USC 10

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.40

MarShawn Lloyd run for a loss of 1 yard to the USC 9

2nd & 11Penalty0 yds

USC Penalty, False Start (Jonah Monheim) to the USC 5

2nd & 15Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.03

Caleb Williams run for 6 yds to the USC 11

3rd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.94

Caleb Williams pass complete to Michael Jackson III for 10 yds to the USC 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.73

Caleb Williams sacked by Thomas Harper for a loss of 2 yards to the USC 19

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Caleb Williams pass incomplete

3rd & 12Penalty-5 yds

USC Penalty, False Start (Dorian Singer) to the USC 14

3rd & 17Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.05

Caleb Williams pass complete to Michael Jackson III for 8 yds to the USC 22

4th & 9Sack-8 ydsPPA +0.30

Caleb Williams sacked by Jaylen Sneed for a loss of 8 yards to the USC 14

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Audric Estime run for 7 yds to the USC 7

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Audric Estime run for 1 yd to the USC 6

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Audric Estime run for 1 yd to the USC 5

4th & 1Field Goal Good+23 yds

Spencer Shrader 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -0.46

Caleb Williams pass complete to Mario Williams for a loss of 2 yards for a TD Mario Williams fumbled, recovered by ND Xavier Watts for a TD (Spencer Shrader KICK)

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Quinten Joyner run for 10 yds to the USC 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+1 ydsPPA -1.76

Quinten Joyner run for 1 yd to the USC 36 Quinten Joyner fumbled, recovered by ND Javontae Jean-Baptiste

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Audric Estime run for 3 yds to the USC 33

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.56

Audric Estime run for 9 yds to the USC 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.43

Kneel down by HARTMAN, Sam at USC26 (team loss of 2).

2nd & 12Rush0 ydsPPA -0.69

Kneel down by HARTMAN, Sam at USC28 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

USC

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
21%
33 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
53%
15 plays
50%
6 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
100%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play

Notre Dame

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
43%
21 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
43%
7 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
4th