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← Back to GamesOct 8, 2023Week 6
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Oregon State by 12.9

Home Win Probability

California 18%

Market (Bovada)

California +7.5

Edge: Oregon State -7.5 (5.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 8, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Oregon StateOregon State
714141752
CaliforniaCalifornia
01715840

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842560-73-710-1417-2124-2824-3532-4232-5240-52
CaliforniaOregon State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20CALOSCALOSCALOSCALOSCALOSCALOSOSCALOSCALOSCALOSCALOSCALOSDOWNS728ydTD953ydPUNT637ydPUNT36ydFG954ydTD426ydTD519ydTO118ydTD749ydTD1175ydPUNT39ydEND1-1ydTD350ydTD1075ydTD966ydTD875ydTD964ydTO224ydTD449ydTO428ydFG1661ydTD575ydEND27yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Oregon State and California
StatisticOregon StateCalifornia
Passing21-2821-32
Pass Yards296207
Rush Yards203241
Total Yards499448
Turnovers12
3rd Down6-135-10
Penalties5-553-25
Possession37:1722:43

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Oregon State
passing
D.J. Uiagalelei
19/25, 275 YDS, 5 TD
rushing
Damien Martinez
17 CAR, 89 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Anthony Gould
7 REC, 117 YDS
defense
Kitan Oladapo
1 TFL, 1 PD
California
passing
Fernando Mendoza
21/32, 207 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Isaiah Ifanse
11 CAR, 86 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Jack Endries
4 REC, 66 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Fernando Mendoza pass incomplete to Jeremiah Hunter

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Taj Davis for 8 yds to the CAL 33

3rd & 2Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.02

Jaydn Ott run for 12 yds to the CAL 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Jaydn Ott run for 3 yds to the CAL 48

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Taj Davis for 5 yds to the ORST 47

3rd & 2Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.14

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Trond Grizzell for no gain to the ORST 47

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.25

Fernando Mendoza pass incomplete to Taj Davis

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

DJ Uiagalelei run for 6 yds to the CAL 47

2nd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.59

Damien Martinez run for 8 yds to the CAL 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.48

DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Damien Martinez for 16 yds to the CAL 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.64

DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Anthony Gould for 9 yds to the CAL 14

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Damien Martinez run for 1 yd to the CAL 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Deshaun Fenwick run for 8 yds to the CAL 5

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Anthony Gould run for 1 yd to the CAL 4

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.27

Deshaun Fenwick run for 2 yds to the CAL 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Jack Velling for 2 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +2.15

Jaydn Ott run for 24 yds to the CAL 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Jaydn Ott run for no gain to the CAL 49

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.86

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Jack Endries for 11 yds to the ORST 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Fernando Mendoza pass incomplete to Monroe Young

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Fernando Mendoza pass incomplete to Jeremiah Hunter

3rd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Jaydn Ott run for 2 yds to the ORST 38

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Lachlan Wilson punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Anthony Gould at the ORST 9

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Damien Martinez

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.09

Damien Martinez run for 2 yds to the ORST 11

3rd & 8Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY OSU False Start (Fuaga,Taliese) 5 yards from OSU11 to OSU06. NO PLAY.

3rd & 13Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.08

DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Anthony Gould for 9 yds to the ORST 15

4th & 4Punt+8 yds

Josh Green punt for 50 yds , Jeremiah Hunter returns for 8 yds to the CAL 43

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jaydn Ott run for no gain to the CAL 43

2nd & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.61

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Jack Endries for 21 yds to the ORST 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.31

Fernando Mendoza run for 11 yds to the ORST 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Jaivian Thomas for 2 yds to the ORST 23

2nd & 8Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.52

Isaiah Ifanse run for 14 yds to the ORST 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Jeremiah Hunter for 4 yds to the ORST 5

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Isaiah Ifanse run for 2 yds to the ORST 3

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Fernando Mendoza pass incomplete to Jaydn Ott

4th & 3Field Goal Good+20 yds

Mateen Bhaghani 20 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+59 yds

Mateen Bhaghani kickoff for 65 yds , Silas Bolden return for 59 yds to the ORST 6 California Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (-15 Yards) to the CAL 26

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.15

Damien Martinez run for 10 yds to the CAL 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Damien Martinez run for no gain to the CAL 16

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY OSU False Start (Gray,Joshua) 5 yards from Cal16 to Cal21. NO PLAY.

2nd & 15Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.45

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Anthony Gould for 10 yds to the CAL 11

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.86

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Silas Bolden for 11 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+26 yds

kickoff for 10 yds , Ryan McCulloch return for 26 yds to the ORST 19

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Fernando Mendoza pass incomplete to Jack Endries

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.65

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Jeremiah Hunter for 11 yds to the ORST 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Jaydn Ott run for 1 yd to the ORST 9

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Fernando Mendoza pass incomplete to Taj Davis

3rd & 9Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +3.01

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Isaiah Ifanse for 9 yds for a TD (Mateen Bhaghani KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Mateen Bhaghani kickoff for 45 yds , Akili Arnold return for 20 yds to the ORST 40

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+18 ydsPPA +1.46

DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Silas Bolden for 18 yds Silas Bolden fumbled, recovered by CAL Patrick McMorris

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.00

Jaydn Ott run for 21 yds to the ORST 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.18

Fernando Mendoza run for 11 yds to the ORST 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Jaydn Ott run for 9 yds to the ORST 8

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.09

Jaydn Ott run for 2 yds to the ORST 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Isaiah Ifanse run for 2 yds to the ORST 4

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Jaivian Thomas run for 3 yds to the ORST 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Isaiah Ifanse run for 1 yd for a TD (Mateen Bhaghani KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Mateen Bhaghani kickoff for 39 yds , Jermaine Terry II return for no gain to the ORST 25

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Damien Martinez run for 6 yds to the ORST 31

2nd & 4Rush+24 ydsPPA +2.27

Damien Martinez run for 24 yds to the CAL 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +0.87

DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Jack Velling for 26 yds to the CAL 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Anthony Gould for 6 yds to the CAL 13

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Deshaun Fenwick run for 1 yd to the CAL 12

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

DJ Uiagalelei run for 2 yds to the CAL 10

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.55

DJ Uiagalelei run for 1 yd to the CAL 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Damien Martinez run for 5 yds to the CAL 4

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Deshaun Fenwick run for 2 yds to the CAL 2

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Damien Martinez run for 1 yd to the CAL 3

4th & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.92

DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Jack Velling for 3 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Jaydn Ott for 3 yds to the CAL 22

2nd & 13Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.93

Jaydn Ott run for 12 yds to the CAL 34

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jaydn Ott run for no gain to the CAL 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Lachlan Wilson punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Anthony Gould at the ORST 23

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.73

D. Uiagalelei takes a knee

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+50 yds

Mateen Bhaghani kickoff for 65 yds , Silas Bolden return for 50 yds to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.35

DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Jermaine Terry II for 6 yds to the CAL 44

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Damien Martinez run for 6 yds to the CAL 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+38 ydsPPA +3.09

DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Jesiah Irish for 38 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Jeremiah Hunter for 6 yds to the CAL 31

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Jaydn Ott run for 1 yd to the CAL 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.32

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Taj Davis for 4 yds to the CAL 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Fernando Mendoza run for 5 yds to the CAL 41

2nd & 5Rush+24 ydsPPA +2.07

Isaiah Ifanse run for 24 yds to the ORST 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Ashton Stredick run for 5 yds to the ORST 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.31

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Taj Davis for 13 yds to the ORST 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Mendoza,Fernando pass incomplete short middle to Endries,Jack PENALTY Cal Illegal Formation 5 yards from OSU17 to OSU22. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.35

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Taj Davis for 9 yds to the ORST 13

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.72

Isaiah Ifanse run for 8 yds to the ORST 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Isaiah Ifanse run for 5 yds for a TD (Mateen Bhaghani KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+11 yds

Mateen Bhaghani kickoff for 42 yds , Semisi Saluni return for 11 yds to the ORST 34

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Deshaun Fenwick run for 5 yds to the ORST 39

2nd & 5Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.69

DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Jesiah Irish for 15 yds to the CAL 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Jesiah Irish

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Deshaun Fenwick run for no gain to the CAL 46

3rd & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.95

DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Anthony Gould for 22 yds to the CAL 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.14

Deshaun Fenwick run for 11 yds to the CAL 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Deshaun Fenwick run for 3 yds to the CAL 10

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Deshaun Fenwick run for 3 yds to the CAL 7

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.73

DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Jack Velling for 7 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Isaiah Ifanse run for 9 yds to the CAL 34

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Ashton Stredick run for 2 yds to the CAL 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Fernando Mendoza pass incomplete to Jack Endries

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Jeremiah Hunter for 3 yds to the CAL 33

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Fernando Mendoza pass incomplete to Jack Endries

4th & 13Penalty+15 yds

Wilson,Lachlan punt 31 yards to the OSU36 PENALTY OSU Roughing The Kicker (Reichle,Jake) 15 yards from Cal33 to Cal48, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Isaiah Ifanse run for 2 yds to the CAL 46

2nd & 12Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.79

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Monroe Young for 9 yds to the ORST 45 for a 1ST down Oregon State Penalty, Roughing The Passer (15 Yards) to the ORST 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +2.81

Jack Endries 30 Yd pass from Fernando Mendoza (Fernando Mendoza Pass to Jeremiah Hunter for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Mateen Bhaghani kickoff for 29 yds , Gabe Milbourn return for no gain to the ORST 36

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Damien Martinez run for 2 yds to the ORST 38

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Anthony Gould

3rd & 8Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +3.75

DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Anthony Gould for 31 yds to the CAL 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.22

Silas Bolden run for 11 yds to the CAL 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.42

Damien Martinez run for 13 yds to the CAL 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Anthony Gould

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Damien Martinez run for 4 yds to the CAL 3

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Damien Martinez run for 2 yds to the CAL 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Damien Martinez run for 1 yd for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Fernando Mendoza run for 14 yds to the CAL 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+10 ydsPPA -2.14

Ashton Stredick run for 10 yds to the CAL 49 Ashton Stredick fumbled, recovered by ORST Sione Lolohea

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.67

Jesiah Irish run for 11 yds to the CAL 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +0.77

DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Anthony Gould for 30 yds to the CAL 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Damien Martinez run for 6 yds to the CAL 2

2nd & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Isaac Hodgins for 2 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Jack Endries for 4 yds to the CAL 29

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Fernando Mendoza pass incomplete to Trond Grizzell

3rd & 6Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +3.23

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Taj Davis for 24 yds to the ORST 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -3.39

Fernando Mendoza pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Damien Martinez run for no gain to the ORST 25

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Deshaun Fenwick run for 4 yds to the ORST 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Silas Bolden for 5 yds to the ORST 34

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.75

DJ Uiagalelei run for 3 yds to the ORST 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.81

DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Jeremiah Noga for 22 yds to the CAL 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Fenwick,Deshaun rush middle for 1 yard gain to the Cal40 (Correia,Ricky) PENALTY OSU Chop Block (Levengood,Jake) 15 yards from Cal41 to OSU44. NO PLAY.

1st & 25Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.59

DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Deshaun Fenwick for 8 yds to the CAL 48

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Silas Bolden

3rd & 17Rush+23 ydsPPA +3.76

Deshaun Fenwick run for 23 yds to the CAL 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Deshaun Fenwick run for 6 yds to the CAL 19

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Isaiah Newell run for 3 yds to the CAL 16

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Deshaun Fenwick pass incomplete to Rweha Munyagi Jr.

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.62

Deshaun Fenwick run for 2 yds to the CAL 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Silas Bolden

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Deshaun Fenwick run for 2 yds to the CAL 16

3rd & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

DJ Uiagalelei run for 2 yds to the CAL 14

4th & 10Field Goal Good+32 yds

Atticus Sappington 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Asher Alberding for 5 yds to the CAL 30

2nd & 5Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.98

Isaiah Ifanse run for 18 yds to the CAL 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Isaiah Ifanse run for 5 yds to the ORST 47

2nd & 5Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +1.48

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Trond Grizzell for 38 yds to the ORST 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Jaivian Thomas 9 Yd Run (Fernando Mendoza Pass to Trond Grizzell for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.67

Deshaun Fenwick run for 8 yds to the CAL 34

2nd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.09

D. Uiagalelei takes a knee

Situational Analysis

Oregon State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
71%
31 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
25%
4 plays
57%
7 plays
0%
7 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
20%
5 plays
100%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
5 plays

California

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
48%
29 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
56%
9 plays
67%
9 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
50%
6 plays
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play