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← Back to GamesSep 30, 2023Week 5
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Oregon by 24.3

Home Win Probability

Stanford 6%

Market (Bovada)

Stanford +27

Edge: Stanford +27 (2.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 30, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
OregonOregon
01421742
StanfordStanford
33006

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428423-06-06-76-146-216-286-356-42
StanfordOregon

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20STAORESTAORESTAORESTAORESTAOREORESTAORESTAORESTAORESTAOREFG1546ydPUNT36ydFG1351ydPUNT37ydPUNT55ydTD669ydPUNT34ydTD876ydPUNT38ydMISS755ydTD1080ydPUNT36ydTD464ydDOWNS1246ydTD773ydDOWNS524ydTD759ydDOWNS1332ydEND722yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Oregon and Stanford
StatisticOregonStanford
Passing28-3314-24
Pass Yards298133
Rush Yards20889
Total Yards506222
Turnovers00
3rd Down6-96-18
Penalties2-204-25
Possession24:2435:36

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Oregon
passing
Bo Nix
27/32, 290 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
Mar'Keise Irving
13 CAR, 88 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Troy Franklin
7 REC, 117 YDS, 2 TD
defense
Stanford
passing
Justin Lamson
11/20, 106 YDS
rushing
Justin Lamson
22 CAR, 32 YDS
receiving
Mudia Reuben
4 REC, 40 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Benjamin Yurosek run for 8 yds to the STAN 43

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.09

Sedrick Irvin run for 1 yd to the STAN 44

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.45

Justin Lamson run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Justin Lamson pass complete to Mudia Reuben for 8 yds to the ORE 42

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Justin Lamson run for no gain to the ORE 42

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Justin Lamson run for 1 yd to the ORE 41

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.86

Ashton Daniels run for 1 yd to the ORE 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Ashton Daniels pass complete to E.J. Smith for 3 yds to the ORE 37

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Ashton Daniels pass complete to Mudia Reuben for 6 yds to the ORE 31

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.49

Ashton Daniels run for 6 yds to the ORE 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Oregon Penalty, Delay Of Game (Brandon Dorlus) to the ORE 20

1st & 5Penalty-10 yds

IRVIN, Sedrick rush to the left for a gain of 1 yard to the ORE19 (JACKSON, Khyree). PENALTY STA Holding on YUROSEK, Benjamin enforced 10 yards from the ORE20 to the ORE30 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 15Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.66

Ashton Daniels pass complete to Elic Ayomanor for 18 yds to the ORE 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Sedrick Irvin run for 2 yds to the ORE 10

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Ashton Daniels pass incomplete

3rd & 8Rush-9 ydsPPA -1.87

run for a loss of 9 yards to the ORE 19

4th & 17Field Goal Good+37 yds

Joshua Karty 37 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Bucky Irving run for 1 yd to the ORE 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Bo Nix pass complete to Gary Bryant Jr. for 5 yds to the ORE 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Bo Nix pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Ross James punt for 55 yds, downed at the STAN 14

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Justin Lamson run for 3 yds to the STAN 17

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Justin Lamson pass incomplete

3rd & 7Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.39

Justin Lamson run for 12 yds to the STAN 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.12

Justin Lamson pass complete to Mudia Reuben for 12 yds to the STAN 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.18

Justin Lamson pass complete to Mudia Reuben for 14 yds to the ORE 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.68

Justin Lamson sacked by Khyree Jackson for a loss of 8 yards to the STAN 47

2nd & 18Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Justin Lamson run for 2 yds to the STAN 49

3rd & 16Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.77

Justin Lamson pass complete to Bryce Farrell for 14 yds to the ORE 37

4th & 2Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.06

Benjamin Yurosek run for 10 yds to the ORE 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.57

Justin Lamson sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the ORE 34

2nd & 17Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.40

Sedrick Irvin run for a loss of 2 yards to the ORE 36

3rd & 19Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Justin Lamson run for 1 yd to the ORE 35

4th & 18Field Goal Good+53 yds

Joshua Karty 53 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Bucky Irving run for 4 yds to the ORE 29

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Bo Nix pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Bo Nix pass complete to Bucky Irving for 3 yds to the ORE 32

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Ross James punt for 46 yds

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.17

Justin Lamson run for 9 yds to the STAN 31

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Justin Lamson run for 1 yd to the STAN 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Justin Lamson run for 1 yd to the STAN 33

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Justin Lamson run for 1 yd to the STAN 34

3rd & 8Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.55

Ashton Daniels sacked by Evan Williams for a loss of 7 yards to the STAN 27

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Connor Weselman punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Tez Johnson at the ORE 31

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Bo Nix pass complete to Patrick Herbert for 4 yds to the ORE 35

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Bucky Irving run for 1 yd to the ORE 36

3rd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.08

Bo Nix run for 8 yds to the ORE 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.02

Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 13 yds to the STAN 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.54

Jordan James run for 13 yds to the STAN 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +2.81

Jordan James run for 30 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Stanford Penalty, False Start (Benjamin Yurosek) to the STAN 20

1st & 15Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Justin Lamson pass complete to Casey Filkins for 8 yds to the STAN 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Justin Lamson pass complete to Tiger Bachmeier for 2 yds to the STAN 30

3rd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.42

Casey Filkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the STAN 29

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Aidan Flintoft punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Gary Bryant Jr. at the ORE 24

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Bucky Irving run for 6 yds to the ORE 30

2nd & 4Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.54

Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 15 yds to the ORE 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.92

Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 12 yds to the STAN 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.39

Bo Nix pass complete to Traeshon Holden for a loss of 2 yards to the STAN 45

2nd & 12Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.37

Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 11 yds to the STAN 34

3rd & 1Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.70

Bucky Irving run for 11 yds to the STAN 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Bo Nix pass complete to Kenyon Sadiq for 6 yds to the STAN 17

1st & 10Penalty+6 yds

IRVING, Bucky rush to the left for a gain of 6 yards to the STA17 (SLOCUM, Jaden), 1ST DOWN. PENALTY ORE Holding on JOHNSON, Tez STA Illegal use of the hands on SINCLAIR, Tristan , Offsetting penalties [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.47

Bucky Irving run for 17 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Justin Lamson pass complete to Sam Roush for 5 yds to the STAN 30

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Casey Filkins run for 4 yds to the STAN 34

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Casey Filkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the STAN 33

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Connor Weselman punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Bo Nix pass complete to Bucky Irving for 7 yds to the ORE 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.81

Bo Nix pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 9 yds to the ORE 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Bo Nix pass complete to Bucky Irving for 13 yds to the STAN 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Bo Nix pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.56

Bo Nix run for 10 yds to the STAN 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.31

Bucky Irving run for 11 yds to the STAN 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Stanford Penalty, Delay Of Game (5 Yards) to the STAN 20

1st & 5Field Goal Missed+38 yds

Camden Lewis 38 yd FG MISSED

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Bucky Irving run for 3 yds to the ORE 23

2nd & 7Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.67

Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 15 yds to the ORE 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Bo Nix pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.58

Bucky Irving run for 1 yd to the ORE 39

3rd & 9Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +3.61

Bo Nix pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for 25 yds to the STAN 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.42

Bo Nix pass complete to Gary Bryant Jr. for 18 yds to the STAN 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.43

Jordan James run for a loss of 1 yard to the STAN 19

2nd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.46

Bo Nix run for no gain to the STAN 19

3rd & 11Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.45

Bo Nix pass complete to Gary Bryant Jr. for 9 yds to the STAN 10

4th & 2Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +3.03

Bo Nix pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for 10 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Justin Lamson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Justin Lamson pass complete to Casey Filkins for 6 yds to the STAN 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Justin Lamson pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Connor Weselman punt for 33 yds

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Bucky Irving run for 8 yds to the ORE 44

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.01

Bucky Irving run for 3 yds to the ORE 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Bo Nix pass complete to Gary Bryant Jr. for 7 yds to the STAN 46

2nd & 3Passing Touchdown+46 ydsPPA +3.46

Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 46 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Sedrick Irvin run for 1 yd to the STAN 28

2nd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.52

Justin Lamson pass complete to Elic Ayomanor for 9 yds to the STAN 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Justin Lamson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Justin Lamson run for 4 yds to the STAN 41

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

Stanford Penalty, False Start (Benjamin Yurosek) to the STAN 36

3rd & 11Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +3.19

Justin Lamson pass complete to Casey Filkins for 16 yds to the ORE 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Justin Lamson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Justin Lamson pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.80

Justin Lamson pass complete to Elic Ayomanor for 12 yds to the ORE 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Casey Filkins run for 1 yd to the ORE 35

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Justin Lamson pass incomplete

3rd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.67

Justin Lamson run for 8 yds to the ORE 27

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -3.21

Ryan Butler run for no gain to the ORE 27

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.08

Bo Nix pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 12 yds to the ORE 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Bo Nix pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 2 yds to the ORE 41

2nd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.61

Jordan James run for 8 yds to the ORE 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Jordan James run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.85

Bo Nix pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for 8 yds to the STAN 42

3rd & 1Rush+37 ydsPPA +2.08

Jordan James run for 37 yds to the STAN 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 5 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Casey Filkins run for 2 yds to the STAN 37

2nd & 8Penalty+15 yds

LAMSON, Justin pass deep to the left incomplete intended for AYOMANOR, Elic thrown to the ORE35. PENALTY ORE Pass Interference on REED, Nikko enforced 15 yards to the ORE48 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Casey Filkins run for 2 yds to the ORE 46

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Justin Lamson run for 6 yds to the ORE 40

3rd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.37

Ryan Butler run for a loss of 1 yard to the ORE 41

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.67

Justin Lamson pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.18

Bucky Irving run for 14 yds to the STAN 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Bo Nix pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Bo Nix pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 3 yds to the STAN 42

3rd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.93

Bucky Irving run for 8 yds to the STAN 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Bo Nix pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for 6 yds to the STAN 28

2nd & 4Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.28

Bo Nix pass complete to Gary Bryant Jr. for 19 yds to the STAN 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Bo Nix pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 9 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

E.J. Smith run for 5 yds to the STAN 30

2nd & 5Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.61

E.J. Smith run for 14 yds to the STAN 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Justin Lamson run for 5 yds to the STAN 49

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.44

E.J. Smith run for 3 yds to the ORE 48

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.22

Justin Lamson run for 3 yds to the ORE 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

E.J. Smith run for 2 yds to the ORE 43

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Justin Lamson pass incomplete

3rd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

E.J. Smith run for 4 yds to the ORE 39

4th & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +2.36

Justin Lamson run for 6 yds to the ORE 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.15

E.J. Smith run for a loss of 3 yards to the ORE 36

2nd & 13Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Casey Filkins run for 6 yds to the ORE 30

3rd & 7Sack-5 ydsPPA -2.00

Justin Lamson sacked by Jerry Mixon for a loss of 5 yards to the ORE 35

4th & 12Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.18

Justin Lamson sacked by Brandon Dorlus for a loss of 8 yards to the ORE 43

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jayden Limar run for 5 yds to the ORE 48

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.74

Jayden Limar run for 5 yds to the STAN 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jayden Limar run for 5 yds to the STAN 42

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Dante Dowdell run for 3 yds to the STAN 39

3rd & 2Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Ty Thompson pass complete to Kris Hutson for 8 yds to the STAN 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.58

[NHSG] Kneel down by ORE at STA33 (team loss of 2).

2nd & 12Rush0 ydsPPA -0.90

[NHSG] Kneel down by ORE at STA35 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Oregon

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
60%
30 plays
2nd
100%
3 plays
57%
7 plays
71%
7 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play

Stanford

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
35%
23 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
33%
12 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
50%
6 plays
0%
2 plays
43%
7 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
50%
4 plays
100%
1 play
0%
1 play