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← Back to GamesSep 24, 2023Week 4
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Washington by 21.4

Home Win Probability

Washington 91%

Market (Bovada)

Washington -20

Edge: Washington -20 (1.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 24, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
CaliforniaCalifornia
6671332
WashingtonWashington
24217759

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-014-621-624-631-1238-1252-1252-1952-2559-32
WashingtonCalifornia

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20CALCALCALWASCALWASCALWASCALWASCALWASCALWASCALWASCALWASCALWASCALWASCALWASCALTD618ydTD616ydTD875ydTD773ydTO32ydFG43ydPUNT33ydTD575ydTD780ydTO37ydTO10ydTD648ydPUNT825ydTD680ydEND215ydTD768ydPUNT35ydDOWNS760ydTD977ydPUNT67ydTD887ydTD975ydTD1175ydPUNT33ydEND658yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing California and Washington
StatisticCaliforniaWashington
Passing27-4623-32
Pass Yards363389
Rush Yards139140
Total Yards502529
Turnovers31
3rd Down10-175-11
Penalties2-109-83
Possession29:5030:10

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

California
passing
Ben Finley
17/32, 207 YDS, 2 TD, 3 INT
rushing
Jadyn Ott
14 CAR, 40 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Trond Grizzell
4 REC, 86 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Washington
passing
Michael Penix Jr.
19/25, 304 YDS, 4 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Dillon Johnson
10 CAR, 66 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Ja'Lynn Polk
8 REC, 127 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jaydn Ott run for no gain to the CAL 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Ben Finley pass complete to Jaydn Ott for 9 yds to the CAL 34

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.05

Jaydn Ott run for 3 yds to the CAL 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jaydn Ott run for 4 yds to the CAL 41

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Jaydn Ott run for 2 yds to the CAL 43

3rd & 4Interception Return Touchdown+45 ydsPPA -8.15

Ben Finley pass intercepted for a TD Edefuan Ulofoshio return for 45 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Grady Gross kickoff for 65 yds , Mavin Anderson return for 19 yds to the CAL 19

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Jaydn Ott run for 4 yds to the CAL 23

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Ben Finley pass complete to Jack Endries for 4 yds to the CAL 27

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.99

Ben Finley run for 4 yds to the CAL 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Jaydn Ott run for 1 yd to the CAL 32

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Ben Finley run for 3 yds to the CAL 35

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Ben Finley pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt+83 yds

Lachlan Wilson punt for 48 yds , Rome Odunze returns for 83 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Washington Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Mishael Powell) to the CAL 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Isaiah Ifanse run for 3 yds to the CAL 43

2nd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Ben Finley pass complete to Jeremiah Hunter for 4 yds to the CAL 47

3rd & 3Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +1.51

Ben Finley pass complete to Monroe Young for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.90

Ben Finley pass complete to Jack Endries for 16 yds to the WASH 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Ben Finley pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Ben Finley pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.29

Ben Finley pass complete to Taj Davis for 27 yds to the WASH 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Ben Finley pass complete to Jeremiah Hunter for 7 yds for a TD (Michael Luckhurst PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Michael Luckhurst kickoff for 54 yds , Germie Bernard return for 16 yds to the WASH 27

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.75

Dillon Johnson run for 19 yds to the WASH 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Washington Penalty, False Start (Nate Kalepo) to the WASH 41

1st & 15Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.81

Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Devin Culp for 8 yds to the WASH 49

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Dillon Johnson run for 2 yds to the CAL 49

3rd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.08

Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Dillon Johnson for 9 yds to the CAL 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +0.61

Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 23 yds to the CAL 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Will Nixon run for 9 yds to the CAL 8

2nd & 1Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +1.96

Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ja'Lynn Polk for 8 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Ben Finley run for 2 yds to the CAL 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Ben Finley pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA +0.01

Ben Finley pass intercepted Dominique Hampton return for no gain to the CAL 27

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Dillon Johnson run for 3 yds to the CAL 24

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete

4th & 7Field Goal Good+41 yds

Grady Gross 41 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Isaiah Ifanse run for 4 yds to the CAL 29

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Ben Finley pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.36

Ben Finley pass complete to Jeremiah Hunter for a loss of 1 yard to the CAL 28

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Lachlan Wilson punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Rome Odunze at the WASH 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+44 ydsPPA +3.24

Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 44 yds to the CAL 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Dillon Johnson run for 7 yds to the CAL 24

2nd & 3Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.43

Will Nixon run for 18 yds to the CAL 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Will Nixon run for 3 yds to the CAL 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Dillon Johnson run for 3 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK)

2nd & 7Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Grady Gross kickoff for 64 yds , Mavin Anderson return for 19 yds to the CAL 20

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Jaydn Ott run for 4 yds to the CAL 24

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Jaydn Ott run for 2 yds to the CAL 26

3rd & 4Penalty+5 yds

Washington Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the CAL 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Ben Finley pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.74

Ben Finley pass complete to Trond Grizzell for 20 yds to the WASH 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.08

Ben Finley pass complete to Jeremiah Hunter for 25 yds to the WASH 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Ben Finley pass incomplete

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +3.12

Ben Finley pass complete to Taj Davis for 24 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )

2nd & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Michael Luckhurst kickoff for 65 yds , Germie Bernard return for 18 yds to the WASH 47 Washington Penalty, Personal Foul (9 Yards) to the WASH 9

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.44

Dillon Johnson run for a loss of 3 yards to the WASH 6

2nd & 13Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.27

Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 10 yds to the WASH 16

3rd & 3Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.00

Michael Penix Jr. pass intercepted Lu-Magia Hearns III return for no gain to the WASH 37

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+42 ydsPPA -3.95

Ben Finley pass intercepted Jabbar Muhammad return for 42 yds to the CAL 48

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Will Nixon run for 7 yds to the CAL 41

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.19

Michael Penix Jr. run for 5 yds to the CAL 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Will Nixon run for 2 yds to the CAL 34

2nd & 8Penalty-10 yds

Washington Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the CAL 44

2nd & 18Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.70

Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Germie Bernard for 20 yds to the CAL 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +2.68

Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ja'Lynn Polk for 24 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Isaiah Ifanse run for 6 yds to the CAL 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.69

Ben Finley pass complete to Taj Davis for 6 yds to the CAL 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Ben Finley pass complete to Marquis Montgomery for 7 yds to the CAL 44

2nd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.77

Ben Finley pass complete to Taj Davis for 2 yds to the CAL 46

3rd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.56

Isaiah Ifanse run for 8 yds to the WASH 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Ben Finley pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Ben Finley pass incomplete

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

California Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the CAL 49

3rd & 15Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Ben Finley pass complete to Taj Davis for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Lachlan Wilson punt for 50 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.55

Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ja'Lynn Polk for 9 yds to the WASH 29

3rd & 1Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.64

Sam Adams II run for 11 yds to the WASH 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.07

Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ja'Lynn Polk for 12 yds to the CAL 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.71

Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ja'Lynn Polk for 13 yds to the CAL 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+35 ydsPPA +2.97

Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 35 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Grady Gross kickoff for 57 yds , Mavin Anderson return for 17 yds to the CAL 25

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Ashton Stredick run for 10 yds to the CAL 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Ashton Stredick run for 5 yds to the CAL 40

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+32 yds

Michael Luckhurst kickoff for 65 yds , Germie Bernard return for 32 yds to the WASH 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.91

Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ja'Lynn Polk for 21 yds to the CAL 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.88

Dillon Johnson run for 18 yds to the CAL 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ja'Lynn Polk for 5 yds to the CAL 24

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.14

Dillon Johnson run for 8 yds to the CAL 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Dillon Johnson run for 3 yds to the CAL 13

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.67

Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 13 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK)

2nd & 7Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Grady Gross kickoff for 56 yds , Mavin Anderson return for 19 yds to the CAL 28

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.10

Jaydn Ott run for a loss of 3 yards to the CAL 25

2nd & 13Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Ben Finley pass complete to Jaydn Ott for 3 yds to the CAL 28

3rd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Ben Finley run for 5 yds to the CAL 33

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Lachlan Wilson punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Germie Bernard at the WASH 17

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Tybo Rogers run for 4 yds to the WASH 21

2nd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.75

Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jack Westover for 7 yds to the WASH 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Dillon Johnson run for 6 yds to the WASH 34

2nd & 4Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +2.66

Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ja'Lynn Polk for 35 yds to the CAL 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

Washington Penalty, Illegal Touching (Devin Culp) to the CAL 31

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Will Nixon for 4 yds to the CAL 27

3rd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Will Nixon for 4 yds to the CAL 23

4th & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -3.37

Michael Penix Jr. run for no gain to the CAL 23

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.87

Jaydn Ott run for 8 yds to the CAL 31

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Ben Finley pass incomplete

3rd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.46

Jaydn Ott run for 7 yds to the CAL 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+50 ydsPPA +2.42

Ben Finley pass complete to Jeremiah Hunter for 50 yds to the WASH 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Ben Finley pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

California Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the WASH 17

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Ben Finley pass incomplete

3rd & 15Penalty+9 yds

Washington Penalty, Face Mask (9 yards) (9 Yards) to the WASH 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Jaydn Ott run for no gain to the WASH 8

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Jaydn Ott run for 6 yds to the WASH 2

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Jaydn Ott run for 2 yds for a TD (Michael Luckhurst KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tybo Rogers run for no gain to the WASH 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Dylan Morris pass complete to Camden Sirmon for 8 yds to the WASH 33

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.15

Tybo Rogers run for 3 yds to the WASH 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.70

Dylan Morris run for a loss of 5 yards to the WASH 31

2nd & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Tybo Rogers run for 1 yd to the WASH 32

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Dylan Morris pass incomplete

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Jack McCallister punt for 55 yds, downed at the CAL 13

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.49

Sam Jackson V pass complete to Brian Hightower for 10 yds to the CAL 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Sam Jackson V pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Isaiah Ifanse run for 4 yds to the CAL 27

3rd & 6Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +3.29

Sam Jackson V pass complete to Jack Endries for 26 yds to the WASH 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Isaiah Ifanse run for 5 yds to the WASH 42

2nd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Sam Jackson V pass complete to Brian Hightower for 9 yds to the WASH 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.29

Sam Jackson V pass complete to Marquis Montgomery for 13 yds to the WASH 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.62

Sam Jackson V pass complete to Trond Grizzell for 20 yds for a TD (Michael Luckhurst PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Dylan Morris pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Tybo Rogers run for 5 yds to the WASH 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +3.83

Dylan Morris pass complete to Tybo Rogers for 47 yds to the CAL 23 for a 1ST down Washington Penalty, Illegal Block (-10 Yards) to the CAL 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-8 ydsPPA -2.18

Tybo Rogers run for a loss of 8 yards to the CAL 41

2nd & 18Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.44

Dylan Morris pass complete to Rashid Williams for 12 yds to the CAL 29

3rd & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.34

Sam Adams II run for a loss of 2 yards to the CAL 31

4th & 3Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.83

Dylan Morris pass complete to Rashid Williams for 18 yds to the CAL 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Sam Adams II run for 4 yds to the CAL 9

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.56

Sam Adams II run for 9 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Ashton Stredick run for 3 yds to the CAL 28

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Ashton Stredick run for 6 yds to the CAL 34

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.05

Ashton Stredick run for 3 yds to the CAL 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Sam Jackson V pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Sam Jackson V run for 3 yds to the CAL 40

3rd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.79

Sam Jackson V pass complete to Brian Hightower for 13 yds to the WASH 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Sam Jackson V pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.65

Sam Jackson V pass complete to Marquis Montgomery for 11 yds to the WASH 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +1.55

Sam Jackson V pass complete to Trond Grizzell for 33 yds to the WASH 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Sam Jackson V pass incomplete

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Ashton Stredick run for 3 yds for a TD (Mateen Bhaghani KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Tybo Rogers run for 1 yd to the WASH 26

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Tybo Rogers run for 2 yds to the WASH 28

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Dylan Morris pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt+2 yds

Jack McCallister punt for 56 yds , Jeremiah Hunter returns for 2 yds to the CAL 18

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.75

Sam Jackson V pass complete to Jack Endries for 8 yds to the CAL 26 for a 1ST down Washington Penalty, Personal Foul (Jacob Lane) to the CAL 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.46

Sam Jackson V pass complete to Trond Grizzell for 13 yds to the WASH 39 for a 1ST down Washington Penalty, Personal Foul (Jacob Lane) to the WASH 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.64

Jaivian Thomas run for 13 yds to the WASH 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.54

Jaivian Thomas run for 8 yds to the WASH 25

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Jaivian Thomas run for 1 yd to the WASH 24

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jaivian Thomas run for no gain to the WASH 24

Situational Analysis

California

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
47%
38 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
33%
6 plays
46%
13 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
88%
8 plays
25%
4 plays
100%
4 plays
0%
1 play
4th

Washington

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
46%
26 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
100%
3 plays
100%
4 plays
60%
10 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play
4th
50%
2 plays