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← Back to GamesSep 23, 2023Week 4
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Oregon by 24.2

Home Win Probability

Oregon 94%

Market (Bovada)

Oregon -21

Edge: Oregon -21 (3.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 23, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
ColoradoColorado
00066
OregonOregon
13227042

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-013-021-028-035-042-042-6
OregonColorado

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ORECOLORECOLORECOLORECOLORECOLORECOLCOLORECOLORECOLORECOLORECOLTD1072ydPUNT3-1ydTD1152ydPUNT637ydTD1389ydPUNT3-13ydTO21ydPUNT66ydTD582ydPUNT54ydTD670ydEND1-2ydPUNT513ydTD876ydTO3-5ydDOWNS857ydPUNT1145ydPUNT732ydTD1493ydPUNT3-1ydEND15yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Colorado and Oregon
StatisticColoradoOregon
Passing23-3330-35
Pass Yards159282
Rush Yards40240
Total Yards199522
Turnovers01
3rd Down5-143-10
Penalties12-1069-80
Possession24:5435:06

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Colorado
passing
Shedeur Sanders
23/33, 159 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Anthony Hankerson
5 CAR, 31 YDS
receiving
Xavier Weaver
9 REC, 75 YDS
defense
Oregon
passing
Bo Nix
28/33, 276 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Mar'Keise Irving
10 CAR, 89 YDS
receiving
Troy Franklin
8 REC, 126 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+24 yds

Jace Feely kickoff for 61 yds , Gary Bryant Jr. return for 24 yds to the ORE 28

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.91

Bo Nix sacked by Cam'Ron Silmon-Craig for a loss of 1 yard to the ORE 27

2nd & 11Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.30

Bucky Irving run for 16 yds to the ORE 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.32

Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 18 yds to the COLO 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.40

Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 12 yds to the COLO 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.04

Bo Nix pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for 6 yds to the COLO 21 Oregon Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the COLO 31

1st & 14Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Noah Whittington run for 5 yds to the COLO 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.59

Bo Nix pass complete to Tez Johnson for 14 yds to the COLO 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.30

Bo Nix pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for no gain to the COLO 12

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.36

Bo Nix pass complete to Tez Johnson for 9 yds to the COLO 3

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.47

Noah Whittington run for 3 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 3 yds to the COLO 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Shedeur Sanders pass incomplete to Xavier Weaver

3rd & 7Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -0.37

Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Jimmy Horn Jr. for a loss of 4 yards to the COLO 24

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Mark Vassett punt for 29 yds, downed at the ORE 47

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.00

Noah Whittington run for 15 yds to the COLO 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Bo Nix pass complete to Bucky Irving for 7 yds to the COLO 31

2nd & 3Penalty-5 yds

Oregon Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the COLO 36

2nd & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.35

Gary Bryant Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the COLO 38

3rd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.71

Bo Nix run for 8 yds to the COLO 30

4th & 2Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.43

Bo Nix pass complete to Gary Bryant Jr. for 4 yds to the COLO 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Bucky Irving run for 8 yds to the COLO 18

2nd & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA -0.29

Bo Nix pass complete to Gary Bryant Jr. for 6 yds to the COLO 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Bucky Irving run for 7 yds to the COLO 5

2nd & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.56

Bucky Irving run for a loss of 2 yards to the COLO 7

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Bo Nix pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for 2 yds to the COLO 5 for a 1ST down Colorado Penalty, Personal Foul (2 Yards) to the COLO 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 0Penalty+1 yds

Irving, Bucky rush for no gain to the COLORADO2, PENALTY COLORADO offside 1 yards to the COLORADO1, NO PLAY.

1st & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Casey Kelly 1 Yd pass from Bo Nix (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Tar'Varish Dawson for 4 yds to the COLO 29

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Dylan Edwards run for 1 yd to the COLO 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +3.55

Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Javon Antonio for 15 yds to the ORE 45 for a 1ST down Oregon Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the ORE 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Shedeur Sanders pass incomplete to Xavier Weaver

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Shedeur Sanders pass incomplete to Xavier Weaver

3rd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 2 yds to the ORE 38

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Mark Vassett punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Tez Johnson at the ORE 11

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Bo Nix pass incomplete to Traeshon Holden

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.20

Noah Whittington run for a loss of 2 yards to the ORE 9

3rd & 12Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.08

Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 8 yds to the ORE 17

4th & 4Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.01

Casey Rogers run for 18 yds to the ORE 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Bo Nix run for 2 yds to the ORE 37

2nd & 8Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.20

Bucky Irving run for 5 yds to the ORE 42 Oregon Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the ORE 32

2nd & 13Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Bo Nix pass complete to Bucky Irving for 9 yds to the ORE 41

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

Oregon Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ORE 36

3rd & 9Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +3.67

Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 11 yds to the COLO 47 for a 1ST down Colorado Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the COLO 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-11 ydsPPA -3.04

Bo Nix sacked by Jordan Domineck for a loss of 11 yards to the COLO 49

2nd & 21Rush+25 ydsPPA +3.45

Bucky Irving run for 25 yds to the COLO 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Bo Nix pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 3 yds to the COLO 21

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Noah Whittington run for 5 yds to the COLO 16

3rd & 2Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.75

Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 16 yds for a TD (Bo Nix pass to Troy Franklin for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Anthony Hankerson run for 1 yd to the COLO 26

2nd & 9Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.68

Shedeur Sanders sacked by Jordan Burch for a loss of 9 yards to the COLO 17

3rd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.04

Shedeur Sanders pass incomplete

4th & 18Penalty-5 yds

Colorado Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the COLO 12

4th & 23Punt0 yds

Mark Vassett punt for 45 yds, downed at the ORE 43

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Noah Whittington run for 1 yd to the ORE 44

2nd & 9Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.61

Bo Nix pass intercepted Jahquez Robinson return for no gain to the COLO 33

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 6 yds to the COLO 39

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Shedeur Sanders pass incomplete to Xavier Weaver

3rd & 4Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.31

Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Michael Harrison for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.52

Shedeur Sanders sacked by Brandon Dorlus and Jamal Hill for a loss of 7 yards to the COLO 43

2nd & 17Sack-16 ydsPPA -1.02

Shedeur Sanders sacked by Evan Williams and Jordan Burch for a loss of 16 yards to the COLO 27

3rd & 33Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.08

Anthony Hankerson run for 12 yds to the COLO 39

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Mark Vassett punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Tez Johnson at the ORE 18

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.88

Jordan James run for 13 yds to the ORE 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Bo Nix pass complete to Jordan James for 5 yds to the ORE 36

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.84

Jordan James run for 5 yds to the ORE 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +1.65

Jordan James run for 23 yds to the COLO 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+36 ydsPPA +3.01

Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 36 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Dylan Edwards for 7 yds to the COLO 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.72

Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 8 yds to the COLO 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 4 yds to the COLO 44

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Shedeur Sanders pass incomplete to Jimmy Horn Jr.

3rd & 6Sack-15 ydsPPA -1.34

Shedeur Sanders sacked by Teitum Tuioti for a loss of 15 yards to the COLO 29

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Mark Vassett punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ORE 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.68

Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 18 yds to the ORE 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.07

Bo Nix pass complete to Tez Johnson for 18 yds to the COLO 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Bo Nix pass complete to Tez Johnson for 7 yds to the COLO 27

2nd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA -0.04

Bucky Irving run for 9 yds to the COLO 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 7 yds to the COLO 11

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.28

Bo Nix run for 11 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the COLO 23

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Colorado Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the COLO 20

1st & 15Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.07

Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 11 yds to the COLO 31

2nd & 4Sack+8 ydsPPA +0.89

Shedeur Sanders sacked by Jamal Hill and Brandon Dorlus for a loss of 7 yards to the COLO 24 for a 1ST down Oregon Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (15 Yards) to the COLO 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Shedeur Sanders run for no gain to the COLO 39

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.52

Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Javon Antonio for 7 yds to the COLO 46

3rd & 3Penalty-15 yds

Sanders, Shedeur pass complete to Wilkerson, Sy'veon for 9 yards to the OREGON45, PENALTY COLORADO personal foul 15 yards to the COLORADO31, NO PLAY.

3rd & 18Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.09

Sy'veon Wilkerson run for 7 yds to the COLO 38

4th & 11Punt+18 yds

Mark Vassett punt for 56 yds , Tez Johnson returns for 18 yds to the ORE 24

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Noah Whittington run for 2 yds to the ORE 26

2nd & 8Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.02

Noah Whittington run for 16 yds to the ORE 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.99

Bo Nix pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 8 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 2Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +0.94

Bo Nix pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 29 yds to the COLO 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Nix, Bo pass incomplete, PENALTY COLORADO pass interference 15 yards to the COLORADO6, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OREGON.

1st & 6Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Bo Nix pass complete to Noah Whittington for 1 yd to the COLO 5

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jordan James run for 4 yds to the COLO 1

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Bo Nix pass incomplete to Troy Franklin

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Jordan James run for 1 yd for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Dylan Edwards for 1 yd to the COLO 26

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Dylan Edwards run for 3 yds to the COLO 29

3rd & 6Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.52

Shedeur Sanders sacked by Evan Williams for a loss of 9 yards to the COLO 20

4th & 15Punt-3 yds

Mark Vassett punt for 39 yds , Tez Johnson returns for no loss to the ORE 38 Tez Johnson fumbled, recovered by ORE Tez Johnson

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Bucky Irving run for 1 yd to the ORE 39

2nd & 9Penalty+15 yds

Nix, Bo pass sacked for loss of 8 yards to the OREGON31 (Domineck, Jordan), PENALTY COLORADO face mask 15 yards to the COLORADO46, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OREGON.

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Bo Nix pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for 6 yds to the COLO 40

2nd & 4Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.60

Bucky Irving run for 19 yds to the COLO 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.21

Bo Nix pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 12 yds to the COLO 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Bucky Irving run for 1 yd to the COLO 8

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Bo Nix pass incomplete to Kyler Kasper

3rd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Bo Nix pass complete to Bucky Irving for 3 yds to the COLO 5

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.95

Bo Nix pass incomplete to Traeshon Holden

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Anthony Hankerson run for 7 yds to the COLO 12

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.15

Anthony Hankerson run for 7 yds to the COLO 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-9 yds

Sanders, Shedeur rush for 6 yards to the COLORADO25, PENALTY COLORADO holding 9 yards to the COLORADO10, NO PLAY.

1st & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Shedeur Sanders pass incomplete to Javon Antonio

2nd & 19Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 4 yds to the COLO 14

3rd & 15Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.64

Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 16 yds to the COLO 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Anthony Hankerson run for 4 yds to the COLO 34

2nd & 6Penalty-15 yds

Sanders, Shedeur pass complete to Antonio, Javon for 4 yards to the COLORADO38, PENALTY COLORADO pass interference 15 yards to the COLORADO19, NO PLAY.

2nd & 21Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.06

Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Dylan Edwards for 1 yd to the COLO 20

3rd & 20Rush+28 ydsPPA +3.33

Shedeur Sanders run for 28 yds to the COLO 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.82

Shedeur Sanders sacked by Casey Rogers and Jordan Burch for a loss of 10 yards to the COLO 38

2nd & 20Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.25

Dylan Edwards run for 17 yds to the ORE 45

3rd & 3Penalty-5 yds

Colorado Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard line

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Shedeur Sanders pass incomplete to Michael Harrison

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Mark Vassett punt for 40 yds, downed at the ORE 10

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jordan James run for 5 yds to the ORE 15

2nd & 5Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.72

Ty Thompson run for 11 yds to the ORE 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Jordan James run for 3 yds to the ORE 29

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.26

Ty Thompson pass complete to Kenyon Sadiq for 8 yds to the ORE 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Jayden Limar run for no gain to the ORE 37

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Oregon Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ORE 32

2nd & 15Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.26

Ty Thompson run for 7 yds to the ORE 39

3rd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Ty Thompson run for 3 yds to the ORE 42

4th & 5Punt+2 yds

Ross James punt for 53 yds , Jimmy Horn Jr. returns for 2 yds to the COLO 7

1st & 10Penalty-3 yds

Colorado Penalty, False Start (-3 Yards) to the COLO 4

1st & 13Rush0 ydsPPA -0.17

Alton McCaskill run for no gain to the COLO 4

2nd & 13Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.13

Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Javon Antonio for 20 yds to the COLO 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Tar'Varish Dawson for 5 yds to the COLO 29

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Shedeur Sanders pass incomplete to Jimmy Horn Jr.

3rd & 5Penalty+10 yds

Sanders, Shedeur pass incomplete to Weaver, Xavier, PENALTY OREGON holding 10 yards to the COLORADO39, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN COLORADO.

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Alton McCaskill run for 5 yds to the COLO 44

2nd & 5Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.27

Shedeur Sanders run for 11 yds to the ORE 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Alton McCaskill run for 3 yds to the ORE 42

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Michael Harrison for 5 yds to the ORE 37

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.81

Alton McCaskill run for 4 yds to the ORE 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Tar'Varish Dawson for 5 yds to the ORE 28

2nd & 5Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Alton McCaskill for 1 yd to the ORE 27

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Shedeur Sanders pass incomplete to Tar'Varish Dawson

4th & 4Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.09

Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 21 yds to the ORE 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Michael Harrison for 6 yds for a TD (Alejandro Mata PAT BLOCKED)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Dante Dowdell run for 4 yds to the ORE 29

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Dante Dowdell run for 2 yds to the ORE 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.55

Ty Thompson pass complete to Kenyon Sadiq for a loss of 2 yards to the ORE 29

4th & 6Penalty-5 yds

Oregon Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the ORE 24

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Ross James punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Jimmy Horn Jr. at the COLO 33

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Alton McCaskill run for 5 yds to the COLO 38

Situational Analysis

Colorado

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
37%
19 plays
33%
3 plays
2nd
100%
2 plays
29%
7 plays
33%
6 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
40%
5 plays
0%
3 plays
80%
5 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Oregon

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
56%
32 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
40%
5 plays
60%
5 plays
50%
10 plays
100%
4 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
2 plays
50%
2 plays