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← Back to GamesSep 16, 2023Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

Washington State by 30

Home Win Probability

Washington State 95%

Market (William Hill (New Jersey))

Washington State -48

Edge: Northern Colorado +48 (18.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 16, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Northern Colorado
077721
Washington StateWashington State
222114764

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284256708-015-022-029-036-043-750-1464-1464-21
Washington StateNorthern Colorado

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20WSNCWSNCWSNCWSNCWSNCWSNCWSNCWSNCWSNCWSNCWSNCWSNCTD1075ydPUNT31ydTD670ydPUNT36ydTD464ydPUNT613ydTD642ydPUNT32ydTD764ydPUNT512ydTD774ydTD875ydEND1-1ydPUNT518ydTD793ydTD775ydTD275ydPUNT521ydTD1080ydTD575ydTO967ydPUNT960ydPUNT422ydEND219yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Northern Colorado and Washington State
StatisticNorthern ColoradoWashington State
Passing18-3029-38
Pass Yards208479
Rush Yards158239
Total Yards366718
Turnovers01
3rd Down5-138-10
Penalties7-805-56
Possession29:1130:49

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Northern Colorado
passing
Jacob Sirmon
16/24, 171 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
David Afari
17 CAR, 116 YDS
receiving
Blake Haggerty
6 REC, 70 YDS
defense
Washington State
passing
Cameron Ward
20/26, 327 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
Dylan Paine
7 CAR, 81 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Lincoln Victor
6 REC, 119 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Nakia Watson run for 1 yd to the WSU 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Cameron Ward pass complete to Isaiah Hamilton for 7 yds to the WSU 33

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.15

Nakia Watson run for 3 yds to the WSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.04

Cameron Ward pass complete to Isaiah Hamilton for no gain to the WSU 36

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.63

John Mateer run for no gain to the WSU 36

3rd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.41

Cameron Ward pass complete to Carlos Hernandez for 8 yds to the WSU 44

4th & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +2.40

Cameron Ward run for 4 yds to the WSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

(11:20) WARD, Cameron pass deep to the left incomplete intended for WILLIAMS, Kyle thrown to the UNC7, clock 11:17. PENALTY UNC Pass Interference on GILLIS, Nathaniel enforced 15 yards to the UNC37 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

(11:20) WARD, Cameron pass deep to the left incomplete intended for WILLIAMS, Kyle thrown to the UNC7, clock 11:17. PENALTY UNC Pass Interference on GILLIS, Nathaniel enforced 15 yards to the UNC37 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Nakia Watson run for 3 yds to the UNCO 34

2nd & 7Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +0.97

Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 26 yds to the UNCO 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Cameron Ward 8 Yd Run (Cameron Ward Pass to Billy Riviere III for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

David Afari run for 1 yd to the UNCO 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Jacob Sirmon pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Jacob Sirmon pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Hunter Green punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Hamilton at the WSU 30

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Nakia Watson run for 5 yds to the WSU 35

2nd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.03

Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 7 yds to the WSU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

(08:23) VICTOR, Lincoln rush to the left for a gain of 6 yards to the WSU48 (BROWN, Joe), clock 08:20. PENALTY WSU Illegal Block in the Back on HILBORN, Christian enforced 10 yards from the WSU42 to the WSU32 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

(08:23) VICTOR, Lincoln rush to the left for a gain of 6 yards to the WSU48 (BROWN, Joe), clock 08:20. PENALTY WSU Illegal Block in the Back on HILBORN, Christian enforced 10 yards from the WSU42 to the WSU32 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.15

Cameron Ward pass complete to Cameron Johnson for 15 yds to the WSU 47

2nd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.10

Cameron Ward pass complete to Billy Riviere III for 10 yds to the UNCO 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 6 yds to the UNCO 37

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+37 ydsPPA +3.06

Cameron Ward pass complete to Kyle Williams for 37 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Blake Haggerty for 9 yds to the UNCO 34

2nd & 1Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.79

David Afari run for a loss of 3 yards to the UNCO 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Jacob Sirmon pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Hunter Green punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Hamilton at the WSU 36

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Cameron Ward pass complete to Josh Kelly for 6 yds to the WSU 42

2nd & 4Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.61

Cameron Ward pass complete to Nakia Watson for 19 yds to the UNCO 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.38

Nakia Watson run for 11 yds to the UNCO 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+28 ydsPPA +2.76

Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 28 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Hank Gibbs run for 6 yds to the UNCO 31

2nd & 4Penalty-5 yds

Northern Colorado Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UNCO 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Darius Stewart for 4 yds to the UNCO 30

3rd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.98

Jacob Sirmon run for 10 yds to the UNCO 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12

Darius Stewart run for no gain to the UNCO 40

2nd & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.97

Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Jamarii Robinson for a loss of 2 yards to the UNCO 38

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Jacob Sirmon pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Hunter Green punt for 44 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Cameron Ward pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.15

Cameron Ward pass complete to Kyle Williams for 12 yds to the UNCO 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Jaylen Jenkins run for 1 yd to the UNCO 44

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Cameron Ward pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.73

Cameron Ward pass complete to Cooper Mathers for 26 yds to the UNCO 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.59

Josh Kelly 18 Yd pass from Cameron Ward (Dean Janikowski Kick)

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.11

Jacob Sirmon sacked by Ron Stone Jr. for a loss of 6 yards to the UNCO 19

2nd & 16Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.06

Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Blake Haggerty for 3 yds to the UNCO 22

3rd & 13Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Darius Stewart run for 5 yds to the UNCO 27

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Hunter Green punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Hamilton at the WSU 36

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Northern Colorado Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Vincent King) to the UNCO 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.68

Cameron Ward pass complete to Josh Kelly for a loss of 3 yards to the UNCO 48

2nd & 13Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.42

Cameron Ward pass complete to Josh Kelly for 21 yds to the UNCO 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Cameron Ward pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Cameron Ward pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.85

Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 21 yds to the UNCO 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Nakia Watson run for 6 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Hank Gibbs run for 1 yd to the UNCO 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.52

Hank Gibbs pass complete to Blake Haggerty for 10 yds to the UNCO 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.21

David Afari run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNCO 35

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Hank Gibbs pass incomplete

3rd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

David Afari run for 2 yds to the UNCO 37

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Hunter Green punt for 37 yds, downed at the WSU 26

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Nakia Watson run for 5 yds to the WSU 31

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Josh Kelly run for 3 yds to the WSU 34

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.19

Nakia Watson run for 3 yds to the WSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +2.21

Cameron Ward pass complete to Josh Kelly for 32 yds to the UNCO 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Cameron Ward pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Cameron Ward pass incomplete

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+31 ydsPPA +4.22

Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 31 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

David Afari run for no gain to the UNCO 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.86

Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Blake Haggerty for 24 yds to the UNCO 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

David Afari run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

2nd & 9Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.91

Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Jamarii Robinson for 17 yds to the WSU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Jacob Sirmon pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.28

Jacob Sirmon sacked by Brennan Jackson for a loss of 2 yards to the WSU 35

3rd & 12Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.23

Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Blake Haggerty for 17 yds to the WSU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.59

Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Jamarii Robinson for 18 yds for a TD (Hunter Green KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

(00:10) [NH] Kneel down by WSU at WSU24 (team loss of 1), clock 00:03.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jacob Sirmon pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Darius Stewart run for 3 yds to the UNCO 28

3rd & 7Penalty+15 yds

SIRMON, Jacob pass to the left incomplete intended for HAGGERTY, Blake thrown to the UNC35. PENALTY WSU Roughing the Passer on MALANI, Nusi enforced 15 yards from the UNC28 to the UNC43 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

David Afari run for no gain to the UNCO 43

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Jacob Sirmon pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.49

Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Caden Meis for no gain to the UNCO 43

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Hunter Green punt for 50 yds, downed at the WSU 7

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Dylan Paine run for 6 yds to the WSU 13

2nd & 4Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.34

John Mateer pass complete to Josh Meredith for 21 yds to the WSU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Dylan Paine run for 7 yds to the WSU 41

2nd & 3Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.49

Djouvensky Schlenbaker run for 20 yds to the UNCO 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.49

John Mateer pass complete to Carlos Hernandez for 17 yds to the UNCO 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.32

John Mateer pass complete to Carlos Hernandez for 7 yds to the UNCO 15

2nd & 3Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.33

John Mateer pass complete to Josh Meredith for 15 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK)

1st & 10Rush+29 ydsPPA +2.53

David Afari run for 29 yds to the WSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+34 ydsPPA +1.01

David Afari run for 34 yds to the WSU 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Darius Stewart run for no gain to the WSU 12

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.31

Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Alec Pell for no gain to the WSU 12

3rd & 10Penalty0 yds

(07:12) SIRMON, Jacob pass to the right incomplete dropped by HAGGERTY, Blake thrown to the WSU13, clock 07:10. PENALTY WSU Face mask on HALL, Stephen enforced half the distance from the goal, 6 yards from the WSU12 to the WSU6 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Alec Pell for 3 yds to the WSU 3

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

David Afari run for 2 yds to the WSU 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Hank Gibbs run for 1 yd for a TD (Hunter Green KICK)

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Dylan Paine run for 13 yds to the WSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+62 ydsPPA +4.95

John Mateer pass complete to Tsion Nunnally for 62 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Darius Stewart for 9 yds to the UNCO 34

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Darius Stewart run for 4 yds to the UNCO 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Jacob Sirmon pass complete to David Afari for 4 yds to the UNCO 42

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

David Afari run for 4 yds to the UNCO 46

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Jacob Sirmon pass incomplete

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Hunter Green punt for 54 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+52 ydsPPA +3.62

Dylan Paine run for 52 yds to the UNCO 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Dylan Paine run for 2 yds to the UNCO 26

2nd & 8Penalty-10 yds

Washington State Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the UNCO 32

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

John Mateer pass incomplete

3rd & 14Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.19

John Mateer run for 15 yds to the UNCO 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.34

Dylan Paine run for no gain to the UNCO 17

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

John Mateer run for 4 yds to the UNCO 13

3rd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.02

John Mateer pass complete to Cameron Johnson for 12 yds to the UNCO 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Djouvensky Schlenbaker run for no gain to the UNCO 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Dylan Paine run for 1 yd for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

David Afari run for 1 yd to the UNCO 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Jamarii Robinson for 6 yds to the UNCO 32

3rd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.81

David Afari run for 9 yds to the UNCO 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Blake Haggerty for 7 yds to the UNCO 48

2nd & 3Passing Touchdown+52 ydsPPA +3.96

Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Darius Stewart for 52 yds for a TD (Hunter Green KICK)

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Djouvensky Schlenbaker run for 14 yds to the WSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Emmett Brown pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Leo Pulalasi run for 3 yds to the WSU 42

3rd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.51

Emmett Brown pass complete to Cole Pruett for 9 yds to the UNCO 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.79

Leo Pulalasi run for 14 yds to the UNCO 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.69

Leo Pulalasi run for no gain to the UNCO 35

2nd & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.11

Emmett Brown pass complete to Cole Pruett for 5 yds to the UNCO 30 for a 1ST down Northern Colorado Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Carver Cheeks) to the UNCO 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Djouvensky Schlenbaker run for 7 yds to the UNCO 8

2nd & 3Interception0 ydsPPA -4.75

Emmett Brown pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Hank Gibbs pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.14

David Afari run for 22 yds to the UNCO 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

David Afari run for no gain to the UNCO 25

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Darius Stewart run for 1 yd to the UNCO 26

3rd & 9Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +3.46

Hank Gibbs pass complete to Carver Cheeks for 27 yds to the WSU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.64

David Afari run for 12 yds to the WSU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Hank Gibbs pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

David Afari run for 3 yds to the WSU 32

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Hank Gibbs pass incomplete

4th & 7Penalty-5 yds

Northern Colorado Penalty, Delay Of Game (Jacob Sirmon) to the WSU 37

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Hunter Green punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Lincoln Victor at the WSU 26

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.45

Leo Pulalasi run for 16 yds to the WSU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Leo Pulalasi run for 1 yd to the WSU 43

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Leo Pulalasi run for 4 yds to the WSU 47

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Leo Pulalasi run for 1 yd to the WSU 48

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Nick Haberer punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Blake Haggerty at the UNCO 10

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.46

Caden Meis run for 11 yds to the UNCO 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.82

Caden Meis run for 8 yds to the UNCO 29

Situational Analysis

Northern Colorado

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
38%
26 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
0%
1 play
36%
14 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
4th

Washington State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
59%
34 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
75%
4 plays
83%
6 plays
36%
11 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
100%
5 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play