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← Back to GamesSep 16, 2023Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

UCLA by 4.4

Home Win Probability

UCLA 59%

Market (William Hill (New Jersey))

UCLA -35

Edge: North Carolina Central +35 (30.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 16, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
North Carolina Central
00077
UCLAUCLA
351014059

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-021-035-038-045-059-059-7
UCLANorth Carolina Central

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20UCLNCCUCLNCCUCLNCCUCLNCCUCLNCCUCLNCCUCLNCCUCLNCCUCLNCCUCLNCCUCLNCCUCLNCCUCLNCCTD167ydTO36ydTD11ydPUNT727ydTD688ydPUNT30ydTD157ydPUNT3-4ydTD345ydPUNT617ydFG1376ydPUNT59ydTD370ydPUNT722ydEND214ydPUNT37ydTO30ydPUNT3-9ydTD572ydPUNT36ydTD883ydTO637ydDOWNS518ydTD1456ydPUNT613ydEND533yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing North Carolina Central and UCLA
StatisticNorth Carolina CentralUCLA
Passing17-3110-17
Pass Yards142210
Rush Yards90404
Total Yards232614
Turnovers21
3rd Down5-164-8
Penalties4-253-20
Possession36:1323:47

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

North Carolina Central
passing
Walker Harris
12/18, 114 YDS
rushing
Latrell Collier
14 CAR, 48 YDS
receiving
Quentin McCall
4 REC, 39 YDS
defense
UCLA
passing
Dante Moore
8/12, 182 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Anthony Adkins
10 CAR, 96 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Kam Brown
2 REC, 74 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+67 ydsPPA +5.43

Dante Moore pass complete to Kam Brown for 67 yds for a TD (RJ Lopez KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Davius Richard pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Davius Richard pass complete to Joaquin Davis for 6 yds to the NCCU 31

3rd & 4Interception0 ydsPPA -0.39

Davius Richard pass intercepted by Laiatu Latu at the NCCU 26, returned for 25 yards to the NCCU 1

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Carson Steele run for 1 yd for a TD (RJ Lopez KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Davius Richard pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.63

Davius Richard run for 11 yds to the NCCU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Davius Richard pass complete to Devin Smith for 6 yds to the NCCU 42

2nd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.56

Davius Richard pass complete to Joaquin Davis for 4 yds to the NCCU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Latrell Collier run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Davius Richard pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.56

Davius Richard pass complete to Joaquin Davis for 2 yds to the UCLA 48

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Juan Velarde punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Logan Loya at the UCLA 12

1st & 10Rush+36 ydsPPA +2.72

Carson Steele run for 36 yds to the UCLA 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Dante Moore pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.96

Dante Moore pass complete to Moliki Matavao for 12 yds to the NCCU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.84

Dante Moore pass complete to Carson Steele for 9 yds to the NCCU 31

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Carson Steele run for 1 yd to the NCCU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +2.81

Dante Moore pass complete to J. Michael Sturdivant for 30 yds for a TD (RJ Lopez KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

J'Mari Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCCU 24

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

J'Mari Taylor run for 1 yd to the NCCU 25

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Davius Richard pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Juan Velarde punt for 33 yds to the UCLA 42, returned by Logan Loya to the UCLA 43

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+57 ydsPPA +4.47

Collin Schlee run for 57 yds for a TD (RJ Lopez KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Davius Richard run for no gain to the NCCU 18

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.20

Latrell Collier run for 1 yd to the NCCU 19

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Davius Richard pass incomplete

4th & 9Penalty-5 yds

North Carolina Central Penalty, False Start (Romeo Stancil) to the NCCU 14

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Juan Velarde punt for 52 yds to the UCLA 34, returned by Logan Loya for 21 yards to the NCCU 45

1st & 10Rush+42 ydsPPA +2.01

Carson Steele run for 42 yds to the NCCU 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Collin Schlee run for 2 yds to the NCCU 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Collin Schlee run for 1 yd for a TD (RJ Lopez KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Latrell Collier run for 3 yds to the NCCU 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Davius Richard pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.98

Davius Richard pass complete to Markell Quick for 10 yds to the NCCU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.43

Latrell Collier run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCCU 36

2nd & 12Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Latrell Collier run for 6 yds to the NCCU 42

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Davius Richard pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Juan Velarde punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Logan Loya at the UCLA 18

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +2.48

Dante Moore pass complete to J. Michael Sturdivant for 30 yds to the UCLA 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Dante Moore pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

TJ Harden run for 3 yds to the NCCU 49

3rd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.45

Dante Moore pass complete to Keegan Jones for 11 yds to the NCCU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Dante Moore pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Dante Moore pass complete to Kam Brown for 7 yds to the NCCU 31

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.68

Carson Steele run for 3 yds to the NCCU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Dante Moore pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.75

Dante Moore pass complete to Carson Steele for 16 yds to the NCCU 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Dante Moore run for 5 yds to the NCCU 7

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

TJ Harden run for 3 yds to the NCCU 4

3rd & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.47

TJ Harden run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCCU 6

4th & 4Field Goal Good+24 yds

RJ Lopez 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

J'Mari Taylor run for 3 yds to the NCCU 28

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.23

J'Mari Taylor run for 8 yds to the NCCU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Walker Harris pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

J'Mari Taylor run for 1 yd to the NCCU 37

3rd & 9Penalty-5 yds

North Carolina Central Penalty, Delay Of Game (Walker Harris) to the NCCU 32

3rd & 14Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.11

J'Mari Taylor run for 2 yds to the NCCU 34

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Juan Velarde punt for 35 yds to the UCLA 31, returned by Logan Loya to the UCLA30

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.23

Ethan Garbers pass complete to Kyle Ford for 13 yds to the UCLA 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

TJ Harden run for no gain to the UCLA 43

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

UCLA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UCLA 38

2nd & 15Rushing Touchdown+62 ydsPPA +6.51

TJ Harden run for 62 yds for a TD (RJ Lopez KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Walker Harris pass complete to Quentin McCall for 6 yds to the NCCU 31

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.60

Latrell Collier run for 5 yds to the NCCU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Latrell Collier run for 2 yds to the NCCU 38

2nd & 8Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.10

Walker Harris pass complete to Devin Smith for 14 yds to the UCLA 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Latrell Collier run for 5 yds to the UCLA 43

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Latrell Collier run for 2 yds to the UCLA 41

3rd & 3Penalty0 yds

North Carolina Central Penalty, turnover on downs. PENALTY Intentional Grounding on HARRIS, Walker enforced a result of a ( Yards) to the NCCU 48

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Juan Velarde punt for 34 yds to the UCLA 19, returned by Logan Loya for no gain

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.75

Anthony Adkins run for 11 yds to the UCLA 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Anthony Adkins run for 3 yds to the UCLA 33

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Latrell Collier run for 4 yds to the NCCU 29

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Latrell Collier run for 3 yds to the NCCU 32

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Walker Harris pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Juan Velarde punt 20 yards to the UCLA 48

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

UCLA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UCLA 43

1st & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Anthony Adkins run for 5 yds to the UCLA 48

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Collin Schlee pass incomplete

3rd & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -0.86

Collin Schlee pass intercepted by Jayden Flaker at the NCCU 37, return for no gain

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Walker Harris pass complete to Devin Smith for 1 yd to the NCCU 38

2nd & 9Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.95

J'Mari Taylor run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCCU 36

3rd & 11Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.48

Walker Harris sacked by Donavyn Pellot for a loss of 8 yards to the NCCU 28

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Juan Velarde punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Logan Loya at the UCLA 28

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.80

Anthony Adkins run for no gain to the UCLA 28

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.19

Collin Schlee pass complete to Josiah Norwood for 15 yds to the UCLA 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Collin Schlee pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+32 ydsPPA +2.92

Anthony Adkins run for 32 yds to the NCCU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +2.70

Colson Yankoff run for 25 yds for a TD (RJ Lopez KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Walker Harris pass complete to Quentin McCall for 6 yds to the NCCU 34

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Walker Harris pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Walker Harris pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Juan Velarde punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Logan Loya at the UCLA 17

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.02

Chase Griffin run for 9 yds to the UCLA 26

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Anthony Adkins run for 2 yds to the UCLA 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+38 ydsPPA +2.92

Anthony Adkins run for 38 yds to the NCCU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Colson Yankoff run for 6 yds to the NCCU 28

2nd & 4Rush+21 ydsPPA +0.51

Colson Yankoff run for 21 yds to the NCCU 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Colson Yankoff run for 6 yds to the NCCU 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Anthony Adkins run for no gain to the NCCU 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Anthony Adkins run for 1 yd for a TD (RJ Lopez KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Latrell Collier run for 4 yds to the NCCU 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.92

Walker Harris pass complete to Quentin McCall for 16 yds to the NCCU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Latrell Collier run for 2 yds to the NCCU 47

2nd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.66

Walker Harris pass complete to Quentin McCall for 11 yds to the UCLA 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.88

Latrell Collier run for 9 yds to the UCLA 33

2nd & 1Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.94

Walker Harris sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the UCLA 38

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.34

Justyn Martin run for 15 yds to the NCCU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Colson Yankoff run for 5 yds to the NCCU 42

2nd & 5Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.55

Colson Yankoff run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCCU 44

3rd & 7Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.58

Justyn Martin sacked by Thomas Johnson and Christian Smith for a loss of 4 yards to the NCCU 48

4th & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.35

Anthony Adkins run for 4 yds to the NCCU 44

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

J'Mari Taylor run for 5 yds to the NCCU 49

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.70

J'Mari Taylor run for 2 yds to the UCLA 49

3rd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.67

Walker Harris pass complete to Devin Smith for 7 yds to the UCLA 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

J'Mari Taylor run for 5 yds to the UCLA 37

2nd & 5Penalty-15 yds

North Carolina Central Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Seven Warren) to the NCCU 47

3rd & 21Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.96

Walker Harris pass complete to Tynez Warner for 17 yds to the UCLA 36

4th & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.18

Walker Harris pass complete to Tynez Warner for 7 yds to the UCLA 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Walker Harris pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Walker Harris pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.47

Walker Harris pass complete to Joaquin Davis for 12 yds to the UCLA 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Chris Mosley run for 2 yds to the UCLA 15

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Walker Harris pass complete to Matthew Leavelle for 6 yds to the UCLA 9

3rd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.69

Chris Mosley run for 8 yds to the UCLA 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Chris Mosley run for 1 yd for a TD (Adrian Olivo KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Josiah Gonzales run for 3 yds to the UCLA 28

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Isaiah Carlson run for no gain to the UCLA 28

3rd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.88

Troy Leigber run for 9 yds to the UCLA 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Minaya Olivo run for no gain to the UCLA 37

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Brian Kowall run for 2 yds to the UCLA 39

3rd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.52

Josiah Gonzales run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 38

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Will Powers punt for 32 yds, downed at the NCCU 30

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Arthur Rodgers Jr. run for 4 yds to the NCCU 34

2nd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.56

Walker Harris pass complete to Chauncey Spikes for 11 yds to the NCCU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Arthur Rodgers Jr. run for 6 yds to the UCLA 49

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.97

Arthur Rodgers Jr. run for 1 yd to the UCLA 48

3rd & 3Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.82

Arthur Rodgers Jr. run for 11 yds to the UCLA 37 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

North Carolina Central

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
32%
25 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
40%
10 plays
55%
11 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
0%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play

UCLA

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
63%
27 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
25%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
56%
9 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
67%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
4th
0%
1 play