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← Back to GamesSep 16, 2023Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

Oregon State by 19.2

Home Win Probability

Oregon State 89%

Market (Bovada)

Oregon State -24.5

Edge: San Diego State +24.5 (5.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 16, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
San Diego StateSan Diego State
03069
Oregon StateOregon State
397726

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-06-012-012-319-319-926-9
Oregon StateSan Diego State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SDSOSSDSOSSDSOSSDSOSSDSOSOSSDSOSSDSOSSDSOSSDSOSSDSOSSDSOSPUNT534ydFG1060ydMISS1044ydFG1143ydPUNT3-2ydTD680ydPUNT627ydPUNT514ydFG831ydMISS645ydPUNT37ydPUNT530ydTD784ydPUNT521ydPUNT35ydPUNT35ydTO614ydTD957ydTD175ydTO1069ydTO24ydMISS525ydEND524yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing San Diego State and Oregon State
StatisticSan Diego StateOregon State
Passing20-3214-30
Pass Yards256284
Rush Yards70191
Total Yards326475
Turnovers12
3rd Down5-154-11
Penalties1-54-40
Possession33:2126:39

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

San Diego State
passing
Jalen Mayden
20/32, 256 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Jaylon Armstead
11 CAR, 48 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Brionne Penny
6 REC, 77 YDS
defense
Oregon State
passing
D.J. Uiagalelei
14/30, 284 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Damien Martinez
15 CAR, 102 YDS
receiving
Anthony Gould
3 REC, 97 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Kenan Christon for 5 yds to the SDSU 30

2nd & 5Rush+24 ydsPPA +2.44

Jalen Mayden run for 24 yds to the ORST 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Kenan Christon run for 5 yds to the ORST 41

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Jack Browning punt for 31 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Silas Bolden for 5 yds to the ORST 15

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Damien Martinez run for 7 yds to the ORST 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Oregon State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ORST 17

2nd & 15Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.05

DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Jeremiah Noga for 19 yds to the ORST 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+43 ydsPPA +3.56

Damien Martinez run for 43 yds to the SDSU 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

MARTINEZ, Damien rush to the right for a gain of 9 yards to the SDS12, out of bounds. PENALTY OSU Tripping on GRAY, Joshua enforced 15 yards from the SDS21 to the SDS36 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 25Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete

2nd & 25Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.27

DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Anthony Gould for 11 yds to the SDSU 25

3rd & 14Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.95

Deshaun Fenwick run for a loss of 5 yards to the SDSU 30

4th & 19Field Goal Good+48 yds

Atticus Sappington 48 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Kenan Christon run for a loss of 2 yards to the SDSU 23

2nd & 12Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.67

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Baylin Brooks for 10 yds to the SDSU 33

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.15

Jaylon Armstead run for 3 yds to the SDSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Phillippe Wesley II for 5 yds to the SDSU 41

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +3.16

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mark Redman for 24 yds to the ORST 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.05

Cam Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the ORST 37

2nd & 12Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Jalen Mayden run for 1 yd to the ORST 36

3rd & 11Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Cam Davis for 5 yds to the ORST 31

4th & 6Field Goal Missed+48 yds

Jack Browning 48 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Damien Martinez run for 4 yds to the ORST 35

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Damien Martinez run for 5 yds to the ORST 40

3rd & 1Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.11

DJ Uiagalelei run for 14 yds to the SDSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Damien Martinez run for 7 yds to the SDSU 39

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.02

Damien Martinez run for 3 yds to the SDSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.31

DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Anthony Gould for 11 yds to the SDSU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.56

Damien Martinez run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSU 26

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete

4th & 11Field Goal Good+44 yds

Atticus Sappington 44 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.99

Jalen Mayden sacked by Ryan Cooper Jr. and James Rawls for a loss of 8 yards to the SDSU 29

2nd & 18Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.19

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mark Redman for 14 yds to the SDSU 43

3rd & 4Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.36

Jalen Mayden sacked by Andrew Chatfield Jr. for a loss of 8 yards to the SDSU 35

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Jack Browning punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Anthony Gould at the ORST 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +2.62

DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Jack Velling for 31 yds to the SDSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.56

Damien Martinez run for a loss of 2 yards to the ORST 49

2nd & 12Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +2.75

DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Rweha Munyagi Jr. for 35 yds to the SDSU 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Anthony Gould run for 4 yds to the SDSU 12

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.12

Damien Martinez run for 9 yds to the SDSU 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Joshua Gray 3 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Jaylon Armstead run for 3 yds to the SDSU 25

2nd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.29

Jaylon Armstead run for 10 yds to the SDSU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.48

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Kenan Christon for 16 yds to the ORST 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Cam Davis run for 1 yd to the ORST 48

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

San Diego State Penalty, Delay Of Game (Jaylon Armstead) to the SDSU 47

2nd & 14Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.97

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Brionne Penny for 9 yds to the ORST 44

3rd & 5Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.06

Jalen Mayden sacked by Andrew Chatfield Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the SDSU 49

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Jack Browning punt for 51 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Deshaun Fenwick run for 5 yds to the ORST 25

2nd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.61

DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Silas Bolden for 5 yds to the ORST 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Deshaun Fenwick run for 4 yds to the ORST 34

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Josh Green punt for 31 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Jalen Mayden run for 6 yds to the SDSU 41

3rd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.73

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Brionne Penny for 4 yds to the SDSU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.43

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Brionne Penny for 24 yds to the ORST 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.80

Jalen Mayden sacked by Isaac Hodgins for a loss of 10 yards to the ORST 41

3rd & 20Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.39

Jalen Mayden run for 7 yds to the ORST 34

4th & 13Field Goal Good+52 yds

Jack Browning 52 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Deshaun Fenwick run for 11 yds to the ORST 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

DJ Uiagalelei run for 2 yds to the ORST 38

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete

3rd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.41

Deshaun Fenwick run for 8 yds to the ORST 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.37

DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Trent Walker for 24 yds to the SDSU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Field Goal Missed+48 yds

Atticus Sappington 48 yd FG MISSED

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Damien Martinez run for 7 yds to the ORST 32

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Damien Martinez run for no gain to the ORST 32

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Josh Green punt for 44 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jaylon Armstead run for 1 yd to the SDSU 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.82

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Baylin Brooks for 24 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Jaylon Armstead run for 4 yds to the ORST 46

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete

3rd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Jalen Mayden run for 1 yd to the ORST 45

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Jack Browning punt for 29 yds, downed at the ORST 16

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.89

DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Jack Velling for 20 yds to the ORST 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Damien Martinez run for 5 yds to the ORST 41

2nd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.20

Damien Martinez run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +1.24

DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Silas Bolden for 31 yds to the SDSU 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.67

Silas Bolden run for 18 yds to the SDSU 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

DJ Uiagalelei run for 1 yd for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Kenan Christon run for 9 yds to the SDSU 44

2nd & 1Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.67

Jalen Mayden run for 16 yds to the ORST 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Jaylon Armstead run for 4 yds to the ORST 36

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Kenan Christon run for 1 yd to the ORST 35

3rd & 5Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.66

Jalen Mayden sacked by Takari Hickle for a loss of 9 yards to the ORST 44

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Jack Browning punt for 35 yds, downed at the ORST 9

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Deshaun Fenwick run for no gain to the ORST 9

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.01

DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Jeremiah Noga for 5 yds to the ORST 14

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Josh Green punt for 51 yds

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Oregon State Penalty, Offsides (James Rawls) to the SDSU 40

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.51

Kenan Christon run for 3 yds to the SDSU 43

2nd & 2Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.99

Kenan Christon run for a loss of 3 yards to the SDSU 40

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Jack Browning punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Anthony Gould at the ORST 20

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Damien Martinez for 4 yds to the ORST 24

3rd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.47

DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Jeremiah Noga for 8 yds to the ORST 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Damien Martinez run for 2 yds to the ORST 34

3rd & 8Interception0 ydsPPA -0.22

DJ Uiagalelei pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Kenan Christon run for 1 yd to the SDSU 44

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Jaylon Armstead for 7 yds to the ORST 49

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.25

Jaylon Armstead run for 3 yds to the ORST 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Oregon State Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Calvin Hart Jr.) to the ORST 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.64

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Kenan Christon for 9 yds to the ORST 15

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Jalen Mayden run for 2 yds to the ORST 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Jaylon Armstead run for no gain to the ORST 13

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.19

Jaylon Armstead run for 7 yds to the ORST 6

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.66

Jaylon Armstead 6 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+75 ydsPPA +6.08

DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Anthony Gould for 75 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.17

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Brionne Penny for 9 yds to the SDSU 31

2nd & 1Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.49

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Brionne Penny for 22 yds to the ORST 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.56

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mark Redman for 10 yds to the ORST 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.43

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Phillippe Wesley II for 17 yds to the ORST 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.47

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Brionne Penny for 9 yds to the ORST 11

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.57

Jalen Mayden run for 2 yds to the ORST 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete

2nd & 9Interception0 ydsPPA -4.26

Jalen Mayden pass intercepted, touchback.

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Damien Martinez run for 4 yds to the ORST 24

2nd & 6Interception0 ydsPPA -0.53

DJ Uiagalelei pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +1.70

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mark Redman for 29 yds to the ORST 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Kenan Christon for 4 yds to the ORST 24

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete

3rd & 6Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.41

Jalen Mayden sacked by Akili Arnold and Joe Golden for a loss of 8 yards to the ORST 32

4th & 14Field Goal Missed+49 yds

Jack Browning 49 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.69

Deshaun Fenwick run for 7 yds to the ORST 39

2nd & 3Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.91

Deshaun Fenwick run for 10 yds to the ORST 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Deshaun Fenwick run for 6 yds to the SDSU 45

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Deshaun Fenwick run for 3 yds to the SDSU 42

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.18

Kneel down by UIAGALELEI, DJ at SDS44 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

San Diego State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
42%
26 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
17%
6 plays
63%
8 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
22%
9 plays
100%
1 play
100%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Oregon State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
48%
27 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
63%
8 plays
43%
7 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
4th