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← Back to GamesSep 10, 2023Week 2
StanfordStanford
10
-Final
56
USCUSC
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

USC by 21.8

Home Win Probability

USC 92%

Market (Bovada)

USC -28.5

Edge: Stanford +28.5 (6.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 10, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
StanfordStanford
030710
USCUSC
21280756

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-014-021-028-035-349-349-1056-10
USCStanford

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20USCSTAUSCSTAUSCSTAUSCSTASTAUSCSTAUSCSTAUSCSTASTAUSCSTAUSCSTAUSCSTAUSCSTAUSCSTAUSCTD875ydTO316ydTD319ydPUNT38ydPUNT37ydPUNT512ydTD1293ydTD3-5ydTO432ydTD555ydFG955ydTD175ydPUNT522ydTD780ydEND1-2ydPUNT37ydPUNT37ydDOWNS881ydPUNT743ydPUNT34ydPUNT420ydPUNT730ydPUNT417ydTD1079ydTD775ydTO313ydEND1-3yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Stanford and USC
StatisticStanfordUSC
Passing10-2530-36
Pass Yards140393
Rush Yards209180
Total Yards349573
Turnovers30
3rd Down4-134-9
Penalties5-408-85
Possession32:0827:52

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Stanford
passing
Justin Lamson
8/18, 121 YDS
rushing
Casey Filkins
5 CAR, 63 YDS
receiving
Ben Yurosek
4 REC, 54 YDS
USC
passing
Caleb Williams
19/21, 281 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
MarShawn Lloyd
9 CAR, 77 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Brenden Rice
1 REC, 75 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Austin Jones run for 4 yds to the USC 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.14

Caleb Williams pass complete to Zachariah Branch for 8 yds to the USC 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.36

Caleb Williams pass complete to Zachariah Branch for 15 yds to the STAN 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Austin Jones run for 2 yds to the STAN 46

2nd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.31

Caleb Williams pass complete to Austin Jones for 11 yds to the STAN 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.56

Caleb Williams pass complete to Lake McRee for 8 yds to the STAN 27

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.22

Austin Jones run for 6 yds to the STAN 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.63

Caleb Williams run for 21 yds for a TD (Denis Lynch KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Ashton Daniels pass complete to Bryce Farrell for 13 yds to the STAN 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

E.J. Smith run for 3 yds to the STAN 41

2nd & 7Penalty+15 yds

USC Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Raesjon Davis) to the STAN 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.62

MarShawn Lloyd run for 9 yds to the STAN 10

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.62

MarShawn Lloyd run for 9 yds to the STAN 10

2nd & 1Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Caleb Williams pass complete to Zachariah Branch for 5 yds to the STAN 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

MarShawn Lloyd run for 5 yds for a TD (Denis Lynch KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Casey Filkins run for 2 yds to the STAN 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Ashton Daniels pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Ashton Daniels pass complete to Benjamin Yurosek for 6 yds to the STAN 33

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Connor Weselman punt for 39 yds , returns for no gain to the USC 33

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

MarShawn Lloyd run for 2 yds to the USC 35

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Caleb Williams pass complete to Mario Williams for 5 yds to the USC 40

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Caleb Williams pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Eddie Czaplicki punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Casey Filkins at the STAN 15

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Ashton Daniels run for 1 yd to the STAN 16

2nd & 9Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.98

Ashton Daniels run for 10 yds to the STAN 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.61

E.J. Smith run for 1 yd to the STAN 27

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Ashton Daniels pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Ashton Daniels pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Connor Weselman punt for 59 yds , Zachariah Branch returns for no gain to the USC 7

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Caleb Williams pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.03

Austin Jones run for 17 yds to the USC 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.90

Caleb Williams pass complete to Tahj Washington for 11 yds to the USC 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.19

Caleb Williams pass complete to Tahj Washington for 28 yds to the STAN 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.59

Caleb Williams pass complete to Lake McRee for 8 yds to the STAN 29

2nd & 2Rush+19 ydsPPA -0.05

MarShawn Lloyd run for 29 yds for a 1ST down USC Penalty, Offensive Holding (Michael Jackson III) to the STAN 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

MarShawn Lloyd run for 4 yds to the STAN 21

2nd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Caleb Williams pass complete to Austin Jones for 3 yds to the STAN 18

3rd & 3Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.83

Caleb Williams pass complete to Lake McRee for 12 yds to the STAN 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Austin Jones run for 3 yds to the STAN 3

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Zachariah Branch run for 2 yds to the STAN 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Austin Jones run for 1 yd for a TD (Denis Lynch KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Ashton Daniels pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.58

Ashton Daniels sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the STAN 28

3rd & 12Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.21

Casey Filkins run for a loss of 3 yards to the STAN 25

4th & 15Punt Return Touchdown+75 ydsPPA -6.66

Zachariah Branch 75 Yd Punt Return (Denis Lynch Kick)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Justin Lamson run for 2 yds to the STAN 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Justin Lamson pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +3.71

Justin Lamson pass complete to John Humphreys for 31 yds to the USC 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.13

Justin Lamson sacked for a loss of 1 yard to the USC 45

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

TEAM pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Caleb Williams pass complete to Zachariah Branch for 2 yds to the STAN 19

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.84

Dorian Singer 19 Yd pass from Caleb Williams (Denis Lynch Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.38

Caleb Williams pass complete to Tahj Washington for 15 yds to the STAN 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.27

Caleb Williams pass complete to Tahj Washington for 19 yds to the STAN 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.71

E.J. Smith run for 19 yds to the STAN 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Benjamin Yurosek run for 3 yds to the STAN 47

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.39

Justin Lamson run for 9 yds to the USC 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Justin Lamson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+29 ydsPPA +1.82

E.J. Smith run for 29 yds to the USC 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Justin Lamson run for 5 yds to the USC 10

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Justin Lamson pass incomplete

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

Stanford Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the USC 15

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Justin Lamson pass incomplete

4th & 10Penalty-5 yds

Stanford Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the USC 20

4th & 15Field Goal Good+38 yds

Joshua Karty 38 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+75 ydsPPA +6.08

Brenden Rice 75 Yd pass from Caleb Williams (Denis Lynch Kick)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Bryce Farrell run for 3 yds to the STAN 28

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Benjamin Yurosek run for 6 yds to the STAN 34

3rd & 1Penalty+5 yds

USC Penalty, Delay Of Game (Bear Alexander) to the STAN 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Justin Lamson run for 4 yds to the STAN 43

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Justin Lamson pass incomplete

3rd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Justin Lamson run for 4 yds to the STAN 47

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Connor Weselman punt for 53 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.82

Caleb Williams pass complete to Dorian Singer for 22 yds to the USC 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.09

MarShawn Lloyd run for 13 yds to the STAN 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +0.86

MarShawn Lloyd run for 25 yds to the STAN 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

MarShawn Lloyd run for 1 yd to the STAN 19

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

MarShawn Lloyd run for 4 yds to the STAN 15

3rd & 5Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.01

Caleb Williams pass complete to Kyron Hudson for 14 yds to the STAN 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Lake McRee 1 Yd pass from Caleb Williams (Denis Lynch Kick)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.52

E.J. Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the STAN 12

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Justin Lamson run for 3 yds to the STAN 28

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Bryce Farrell run for 6 yds to the STAN 34

3rd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.88

Justin Lamson run for a loss of 2 yards to the STAN 32

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Connor Weselman punt for 47 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Quinten Joyner run for 4 yds to the USC 33

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Miller Moss pass incomplete

3rd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Quinten Joyner run for 3 yds to the USC 36

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Eddie Czaplicki punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Casey Filkins at the STAN 15

1st & 10Rush+59 ydsPPA +3.90

Casey Filkins run for 59 yds to the USC 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Casey Filkins run for 6 yds to the USC 20

2nd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.74

Justin Lamson run for a loss of 2 yards to the USC 22

3rd & 6Penalty+7 yds

USC Penalty, Defensive Holding (7 Yards) to the USC 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Benjamin Yurosek run for 6 yds to the USC 1

2nd & 1Penalty-5 yds

Stanford Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the USC 6

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

run for 1 yd to the USC 5

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Justin Lamson run for 1 yd to the USC 4

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -4.02

Justin Lamson pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.36

Miller Moss pass complete to Ja'Kobi Lane for 12 yds to the USC 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Miller Moss pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.11

Quinten Joyner run for 11 yds to the USC 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.27

Miller Moss pass complete to Duce Robinson for 14 yds to the USC 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Miller Moss pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Quinten Joyner run for 2 yds to the USC 43

3rd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Miller Moss pass complete to Michael Jackson III for 4 yds to the USC 47

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Eddie Czaplicki punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Casey Filkins at the STAN 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Justin Lamson pass complete to E.J. Smith for 9 yds to the STAN 29

2nd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.28

Casey Filkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the STAN 28

3rd & 2Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.67

Benjamin Yurosek run for a loss of 4 yards to the STAN 24

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Aidan Flintoft punt for 50 yds , Michael Jackson III returns for no gain USC Penalty, Offensive Holding (Duce Robinson) to the USC 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Miller Moss pass complete to Duce Robinson for 12 yds to the USC 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Darwin Barlow run for no gain to the USC 37

2nd & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.91

Miller Moss pass complete to Mario Williams for a loss of 3 yards to the USC 34

3rd & 13Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.68

Miller Moss pass complete to Duce Robinson for 11 yds to the USC 45

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Eddie Czaplicki punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Casey Filkins at the STAN 18

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.71

Justin Lamson pass complete to Elic Ayomanor for 11 yds to the STAN 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

(13:29) LAMSON, Justin pass deep to the left incomplete intended for HUMPHREYS, John thrown to the USC37, clock 13:22. PENALTY USC Pass Interference on ROLAND-WALLACE, Christian enforced 15 yards to the STA44 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Justin Lamson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Sedrick Irvin run for 9 yds to the USC 47

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

Justin Lamson run for 2 yds to the USC 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-7 ydsPPA -2.51

Justin Lamson run for a loss of 7 yards to the STAN 48 Justin Lamson fumbled, recovered by STAN Justin Lamson

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-7 ydsPPA -2.51

Justin Lamson run for a loss of 7 yards to the STAN 48 Justin Lamson fumbled, recovered by STAN Justin Lamson

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Justin Lamson pass incomplete

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Justin Lamson pass incomplete

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Aidan Flintoft punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.93

Miller Moss pass complete to Mario Williams for 15 yds to the USC 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Miller Moss pass complete to Mario Williams for 2 yds to the USC 32

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Miller Moss pass complete to Josiah Zamora for 6 yds to the USC 38

3rd & 2Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.20

Quinten Joyner run for a loss of 6 yards to the USC 32

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Eddie Czaplicki punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Casey Filkins at the STAN 21

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.96

Justin Lamson pass complete to Benjamin Yurosek for 23 yds to the STAN 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.32

Justin Lamson pass complete to Benjamin Yurosek for 19 yds to the USC 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.33

Justin Lamson pass complete to E.J. Smith for 11 yds to the USC 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Justin Lamson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.63

Justin Lamson pass complete to John Humphreys for 11 yds to the USC 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Justin Lamson pass complete to Benjamin Yurosek for 6 yds to the USC 9

2nd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.44

Benjamin Yurosek run for 8 yds to the USC 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Penalty-10 yds

(04:49) QB Keeper LAMSON, Justin rush to the right for a gain of 1 yard to the USC0, TOUCHDOWN STA, score nullified by penalty, clock 04:42 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY STA Holding on BANK, Alec enforced 10 yards from the USC1 to the USC11. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 11Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.52

Justin Lamson run for 9 yds to the USC 2

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Justin Lamson run for 1 yd to the USC 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Justin Lamson 1 Yd Run (Joshua Karty Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Miller Moss pass complete to Josiah Zamora for 5 yds to the USC 30

2nd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.13

A'Marion Peterson run for 9 yds to the USC 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

A'Marion Peterson run for 5 yds to the USC 44

2nd & 5Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +2.10

Miller Moss pass complete to Duce Robinson for 34 yds to the STAN 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Miller Moss pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.24

Darwin Barlow run for 7 yds to the STAN 15

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.81

Miller Moss 15 Yd Run (Denis Lynch Kick)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Denis Lynch kickoff for 55 yds , return for no gain to the STAN 41

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.52

Sedrick Irvin run for 20 yds to the USC 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Sedrick Irvin run for 5 yds to the USC 34

2nd & 5Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-12 ydsPPA -3.95

Sedrick Irvin run for a loss of 12 yards to the USC 46 Sedrick Irvin fumbled, recovered by USC Anthony Beavers Jr.

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

(00:06) [NH] Kneel down by MOSS, Miller at USC43 (team loss of 3), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Stanford

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
45%
31 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
17%
6 plays
64%
11 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
50%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

USC

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
57%
35 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
60%
5 plays
70%
10 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
4th