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← Back to GamesSep 9, 2023Week 2

House Prediction

Model Margin

San Diego State by 3

Home Win Probability

San Diego State 56%

Market (Bovada)

San Diego State +13.5

Edge: San Diego State +13.5 (16.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 9, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
UCLAUCLA
7217035
San Diego StateSan Diego State
730010

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-77-1410-2110-2810-35
San Diego StateUCLA

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20UCLSDSUCLSDSUCLSDSUCLSDSUCLSDSUCLSDSUCLSDSUCLSDSUCLSDSUCLSDSUCLSDSUCLSDSUCLSDSUCLPUNT37ydPUNT33ydPUNT517ydPUNT57ydTD181ydTD975ydTD775ydPUNT611ydTD368ydFG1048ydPUNT42ydPUNT32ydTD785ydPUNT31ydEND333ydPUNT423ydPUNT426ydTO620ydTO2-28ydTO30ydTD1280ydDOWNS1152ydTO866ydTO639ydPUNT612ydPUNT3-2ydEND312yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing UCLA and San Diego State
StatisticUCLASan Diego State
Passing18-2920-38
Pass Yards296196
Rush Yards25463
Total Yards550259
Turnovers23
3rd Down5-115-17
Penalties7-894-40
Possession25:0534:55

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

UCLA
passing
Dante Moore
17/27, 290 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
TJ Harden
9 CAR, 91 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Josiah Norwood
2 REC, 87 YDS, 1 TD
defense
San Diego State
passing
Jalen Mayden
19/37, 196 YDS, 1 TD, 3 INT
rushing
Kenan Christon
9 CAR, 27 YDS
receiving
Mekhi Shaw
5 REC, 54 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Zyrus Fiaseu
2 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Jack Browning kickoff for 65 yds , Colson Yankoff return for 23 yds to the UCLA 23

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Carson Steele run for 7 yds to the UCLA 30

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Dante Moore pass incomplete to Carsen Ryan

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.46

Dante Moore run for no gain to the UCLA 30

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Will Powers punt for 42 yds , Mekhi Shaw returns for no gain to the SDSU 28

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Kenan Christon run for 4 yds to the SDSU 24

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete to Mark Redman

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Jack Browning punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Logan Loya at the UCLA 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Dante Moore pass complete to Keegan Jones for 8 yds to the UCLA 28

2nd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Carson Steele run for 7 yds to the UCLA 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Carson Steele run for 3 yds to the UCLA 32

2nd & 13Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Dante Moore pass complete to Carson Steele for 5 yds to the UCLA 37

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Dante Moore pass incomplete to Logan Loya

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Will Powers punt for 35 yds

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Kenan Christon run for 6 yds to the SDSU 34

2nd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.84

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Jay Rudolph for 7 yds to the SDSU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Kenan Christon run for 5 yds to the SDSU 36

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete to Phillippe Wesley II

3rd & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.17

Jalen Mayden run for 1 yd to the SDSU 35

4th & 16Punt+4 yds

Jack Browning punt for 50 yds , Logan Loya returns for 4 yds to the UCLA 19

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+81 ydsPPA +6.44

Dante Moore pass complete to Josiah Norwood for 81 yds for a TD (RJ Lopez KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jaylon Armstead run for 1 yd to the SDSU 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.61

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mekhi Shaw for 11 yds to the SDSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mark Redman for 8 yds to the SDSU 45

2nd & 2Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.04

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Martin Blake for 20 yds to the UCLA 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete to Phillippe Wesley II

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jaylon Armstead run for 3 yds to the UCLA 32

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.29

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Kenan Christon for 8 yds to the UCLA 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Jalen Mayden run for 3 yds to the UCLA 21

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.82

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mekhi Shaw for 21 yds for a TD (Jack Browning KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Dante Moore pass complete to TJ Harden for 7 yds to the UCLA 32

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.33

TJ Harden run for 4 yds to the UCLA 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.71

Dante Moore pass complete to J. Michael Sturdivant for 12 yds to the SDSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

TJ Harden run for 1 yd to the SDSU 21

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Dante Moore pass incomplete to Carsen Ryan

3rd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.38

Dante Moore run for 8 yds to the SDSU 13

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +3.06

Carson Steele run for 13 yds for a TD (RJ Lopez KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Blake Glessner kickoff for 65 yds , Kenan Christon return for 22 yds to the SDSU 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mekhi Shaw for 4 yds to the SDSU 26

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.57

Jaylon Armstead run for no gain to the SDSU 26

3rd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.60

Jalen Mayden run for 8 yds to the SDSU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete to Jay Rudolph

2nd & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Jalen Mayden run for 4 yds to the SDSU 33

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete to Mark Redman

4th & 11Punt+5 yds

Jack Browning punt for 40 yds , Logan Loya returns for 5 yds to the UCLA 32

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

TJ Harden run for 6 yds to the UCLA 38

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

TJ Harden run for 3 yds to the UCLA 41

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+59 ydsPPA +5.57

TJ Harden run for 59 yds for a TD (RJ Lopez KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kenan Christon run for 5 yds to the SDSU 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.61

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Jay Rudolph for 14 yds to the SDSU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Martin Blake run for 2 yds to the SDSU 46

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Kenan Christon run for 2 yds to the SDSU 48

3rd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.44

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Kenan Christon for 11 yds to the UCLA 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.54

Kenan Christon run for 16 yds to the UCLA 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Jalen Mayden run for 2 yds to the UCLA 27

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete to Joshua Nicholson

4th & 12Field Goal Good+44 yds

Jack Browning 44 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

UCLA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the UCLA 20

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Dante Moore pass incomplete

2nd & 15Penalty-10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Moore,Dante rush left for 8 yards gain to the UCLA28, out of bounds at UCLA28 PENALTY UCLA Holding (Holstege,Spencer) 10 yards from UCLA20 to UCLA10. NO PLAY.

2nd & 25Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.03

Dante Moore pass incomplete to J. Michael Sturdivant

3rd & 25Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.16

Carson Steele run for 17 yds to the UCLA 27

4th & 8Punt+15 yds

Will Powers punt for 55 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SDSU 33 , Mekhi Shaw returns for 15 yds to the SDSU 33

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Phillippe Wesley II for 9 yds to the SDSU 42

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.43

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete to Phillippe Wesley II

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.55

Jaylon Armstead run for 7 yds to the SDSU 35

4th & 8Punt+16 yds

Jack Browning punt for 41 yds , Logan Loya returns for 16 yds to the UCLA 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.01

Dante Moore pass complete to Kam Brown for 16 yds to the UCLA 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Dante Moore pass complete to Kam Brown for 6 yds to the UCLA 37

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Dante Moore pass incomplete

3rd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.63

Dante Moore run for 4 yds to the UCLA 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Dante Moore pass incomplete to Hudson Habermehl

2nd & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +3.12

Dante Moore pass complete to Moliki Matavao for 35 yds to the SDSU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +2.68

Dante Moore pass complete to Logan Loya for 24 yds for a TD (RJ Lopez KICK)

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.07

Jalen Mayden sacked by Laiatu Latu for a loss of 5 yards to the SDSU 20

2nd & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.07

Kenan Christon run for 3 yds to the SDSU 23

3rd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.05

Martin Blake run for 3 yds to the SDSU 26

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Jack Browning punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UCLA 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.89

Dante Moore pass complete to Logan Loya for 22 yds to the SDSU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.48

Dante Moore pass complete to J. Michael Sturdivant for 11 yds to the SDSU 32 for a 1ST down

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Dante Moore pass incomplete

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Blake Glessner kickoff for 62 yds , Kenan Christon return for 19 yds to the SDSU 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.61

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mekhi Shaw for 19 yds to the SDSU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Jaylon Armstead run for 2 yds to the SDSU 43

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete to Mark Redman

3rd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Jalen Mayden run for 2 yds to the SDSU 45

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jack Browning punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Logan Loya at the UCLA 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.67

Dante Moore pass complete to Logan Loya for 23 yds to the UCLA 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Carson Steele run for 5 yds to the UCLA 43

2nd & 5Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.49

Dante Moore sacked by Daniel Okpoko for a loss of 2 yards to the UCLA 41

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Dante Moore pass incomplete to Logan Loya

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Will Powers punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Mekhi Shaw at the SDSU 25

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Jaylon Armstead run for 2 yds to the SDSU 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete to Joshua Nicholson

3rd & 8Penalty+15 yds

UCLA Penalty, Personal Foul (Darius Muasau) to the SDSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Kenan Christon run for 1 yd to the SDSU 39

2nd & 11Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mark Redman for 6 yds to the SDSU 45

3rd & 5Interception0 ydsPPA -1.19

Jalen Mayden pass intercepted

1st & 10Penalty-14 yds

PENALTY UCLA Personal Foul (Murphy,Grayson) 14 yards from UCLA29 to UCLA15. NO PLAY.

1st & 24Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.08

TJ Harden run for 1 yd to the UCLA 14

2nd & 25Fumble Recovery (Own)-13 ydsPPA -0.06

Dante Moore sacked by Zyrus Fiaseu for a loss of 13 yards to the UCLA 1 Dante Moore fumbled, recovered by UCLA Trey White , return for 0 yards

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Jaylon Armstead run for no gain to the UCLA 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Martin Blake run for no gain to the UCLA 1

3rd & 1Interception0 ydsPPA -4.55

Jalen Mayden pass intercepted, touchback.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Dante Moore pass incomplete to Kyle Ford

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.39

TJ Harden run for 8 yds to the UCLA 28

3rd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.13

Dante Moore pass complete to Ryan Cragun for 5 yds to the UCLA 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

TJ Harden run for 5 yds to the UCLA 38

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Carson Steele run for 4 yds to the UCLA 42

3rd & 1Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +1.20

Dante Moore pass complete to Kyle Ford for 3 yds to the UCLA 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.92

Carson Steele run for 12 yds to the SDSU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.65

Dante Moore pass complete to Kyle Ford for 18 yds to the SDSU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Dante Moore pass complete to Logan Loya for 8 yds to the SDSU 17

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.31

Carson Steele run for 5 yds to the SDSU 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

TJ Harden run for 6 yds to the SDSU 6

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.35

Dante Moore pass complete to Carsen Ryan for 6 yds for a TD (RJ Lopez KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete to Joshua Nicholson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.12

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Phillippe Wesley II for 16 yds to the SDSU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mark Redman for 3 yds to the SDSU 44

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Kenan Christon run for 5 yds to the SDSU 49

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.23

Jaylon Armstead run for 2 yds to the UCLA 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Martin Blake run for 5 yds to the UCLA 44

2nd & 5Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.94

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Joshua Nicholson for 18 yds to the UCLA 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.65

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mark Redman for 9 yds to the UCLA 17

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete to Mekhi Shaw

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete to Logan Tanner

4th & 6Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -3.05

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mekhi Shaw for 1 yd to the UCLA 23

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Carson Steele run for 5 yds to the UCLA 28

2nd & 5Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.36

Collin Schlee run for 23 yds to the SDSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.58

Carson Steele run for 7 yds to the SDSU 42

2nd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.28

Colson Yankoff run for 9 yds to the SDSU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.54

Colson Yankoff run for 8 yds to the SDSU 25

2nd & 2Rush+12 ydsPPA -0.18

Collin Schlee run for 12 yds to the SDSU 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Colson Yankoff run for 4 yds to the SDSU 9

2nd & 6Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+2 ydsPPA -4.44

Colson Yankoff run for 2 yds to the SDSU 11 Colson Yankoff fumbled, recovered by UCLA Zyrus Fiaseu

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mark Redman for 6 yds to the SDSU 17

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete to Mekhi Shaw

3rd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.89

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Kenan Christon for 7 yds to the SDSU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.90

Jalen Mayden run for 11 yds to the SDSU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete to Joshua Nicholson

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

Shotgun Mayden,Jalen pass incomplete deep left PENALTY UCLA Personal Foul (Davies,Jaylin) 15 yards from SDSU35 to SDSU50, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -3.16

Jalen Mayden pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Collin Schlee pass complete to Josiah Norwood for 6 yds to the UCLA 46

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.74

Anthony Adkins run for 2 yds to the UCLA 48

3rd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.74

Anthony Adkins run for 9 yds to the SDSU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Adkins,Anthony rush left for 38 yards gain to the SDSU05 (Fountain,Garret) PENALTY UCLA Holding (Yoon,Sam) 10 yards from SDSU43 to UCLA47. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Josiah Gonzales run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 17Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Anthony Adkins run for 2 yds to the SDSU 48

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Collin Schlee pass incomplete to Bradley Schlom

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Will Powers punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Mekhi Shaw at the SDSU 5

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Jaylon Armstead run for 6 yds to the SDSU 11

2nd & 4Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.61

Tobin O'Dell sacked by DJ Justice for a loss of 8 yards to the SDSU 3

3rd & 12Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.03

Tobin O'Dell pass complete to Cam Davis for no gain to the SDSU 3

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Jack Browning punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Logan Loya at the SDSU 45

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Anthony Adkins run for 2 yds to the SDSU 43

2nd & 8Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.15

Anthony Adkins run for 11 yds to the SDSU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.76

C. Schlee takes a knee

Situational Analysis

UCLA

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
73%
30 plays
0%
3 plays
2nd
50%
6 plays
25%
8 plays
75%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
100%
1 play
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play

San Diego State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
44%
27 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
25%
4 plays
50%
6 plays
44%
9 plays
20%
5 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
75%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
5 plays
4th
0%
1 play