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← Back to GamesSep 10, 2023Week 2

House Prediction

Model Margin

Oregon State by 9.2

Home Win Probability

Oregon State 73%

Market (Caesars Sportsbook (Colorado))

Oregon State -24

Edge: UC Davis +24 (14.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 10, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
UC Davis
00077
Oregon StateOregon State
142410755

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-014-028-035-038-041-048-055-055-7
Oregon StateUC Davis

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20UDOSUDOSUDOSUDOSUDUDOSUDOSUDOSUDOSUDOSUDOSUDOSUDOSTO647ydTD164ydPUNT57ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT3-23ydTD448ydPUNT3-3ydTD659ydTD31ydPUNT626ydTD970ydTO34ydFG47ydPUNT31ydPUNT34ydEND1-5ydFG730ydPUNT718ydTD986ydPUNT616ydTD1489ydTD1075ydPUNT38ydPUNT37ydEND2-4yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing UC Davis and Oregon State
StatisticUC DavisOregon State
Passing17-3017-26
Pass Yards119181
Rush Yards47269
Total Yards166450
Turnovers20
3rd Down4-145-10
Penalties4-202-25
Possession28:1631:44

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

UC Davis
passing
Grant Harper
4/7, 56 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Lan Larison
15 CAR, 55 YDS
receiving
Andre Crump
2 REC, 42 YDS
defense
Oregon State
passing
D.J. Uiagalelei
8/13, 107 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Damien Martinez
7 CAR, 104 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Silas Bolden
4 REC, 65 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Miles Hastings pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Lan Larison run for 8 yds to the UCD 33

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.15

Lan Larison run for 3 yds to the UCD 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.36

Miles Hastings pass complete to Trent Tompkins for a loss of 2 yards to the UCD 34

2nd & 12Rush+38 ydsPPA +3.74

Lan Larison run for 38 yds to the ORST 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -4.24

Miles Hastings pass intercepted

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+64 ydsPPA +5.15

Damien Martinez run for 64 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Atticus Sappington kickoff for 56 yds , return for no gain to the UCD 32

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Lan Larison run for 6 yds to the UCD 38

2nd & 4Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.29

Miles Hastings pass complete to C.J. Hutton for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Miles Hastings pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.51

run for a loss of 3 yards to the UCD 47

3rd & 13Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.83

Miles Hastings sacked by Isaac Hodgins for a loss of 8 yards to the UCD 39

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Hunter Ridley punt for 56 yds, downed at the ORST 5

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Silas Bolden for 6 yds to the ORST 11

2nd & 4Rush-7 ydsPPA -0.60

Damien Martinez run for a loss of 7 yards to the ORST 4

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.04

DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Josh Green punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -2.16

C.J. Hutton run for a loss of 5 yards to the UCD 48

2nd & 15Fumble Recovery (Own)-11 ydsPPA -1.49

Lan Larison run for a loss of 11 yards to the UCD 34 TEAM fumbled, recovered by UCD

3rd & 29Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.07

Lan Larison run for a loss of 4 yards to the UCD 30

4th & 33Punt0 yds

Hunter Ridley punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Rush+45 ydsPPA +2.22

Damien Martinez run for 45 yds to the UCD 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Damien Martinez run for 1 yd to the UCD 2

2nd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.56

Damien Martinez run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCD 3

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

DJ Uiagalelei run for 3 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Miles Hastings pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.43

Lan Larison run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCD 23

3rd & 12Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Miles Hastings pass complete to Matteo Perez for 4 yds to the UCD 27

4th & 8Penalty-5 yds

UC Davis Penalty, Delay Of Game (Teddye Buchanan) to the UCD 22

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Hunter Ridley punt for 37 yds, downed at the ORST 41

1st & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +1.92

DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Silas Bolden for 32 yds to the UCD 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.53

Deshaun Fenwick run for 9 yds to the UCD 18

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

DJ Uiagalelei run for 6 yds to the UCD 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Deshaun Fenwick run for 7 yds to the UCD 5

2nd & 3Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.23

DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Rweha Munyagi Jr. for 5 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.70

Miles Hastings pass complete to Matteo Perez for no gain to the UCD 25

2nd & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.56

Miles Hastings sacked by Sione Lolohea for a loss of 8 yards to the UCD 17

3rd & 18Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.08

Lan Larison run for 9 yds to the UCD 26

4th & 9Punt Return Touchdown+65 ydsPPA -6.74

Silas Bolden 65 Yd Punt Return (Atticus Sappington Kick)

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

run for 11 yds to the UCD 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

run for 2 yds to the UCD 38

2nd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.95

Lan Larison pass complete to Andre Crump Jr. for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Miles Hastings pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Miles Hastings pass complete to Lan Larison for 1 yd to the ORST 49

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Miles Hastings pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Justin Dwinell punt for 19 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Deshaun Fenwick run for 3 yds to the ORST 33

2nd & 7Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.64

DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Trent Walker for 23 yds to the UCD 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.95

DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Deshaun Fenwick for 9 yds to the UCD 35

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.56

DJ Uiagalelei run for 3 yds to the UCD 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Silas Bolden run for 5 yds to the UCD 27

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.14

Isaiah Newell run for 5 yds to the UCD 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +3.05

DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Silas Bolden for 22 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

run for 6 yds to the UCD 31

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.60

Trent Tompkins run for 5 yds to the UCD 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.86

Miles Hastings sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the UCD 29

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Silas Bolden for 5 yds to the UCD 24

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Damien Martinez run for no gain to the UCD 24

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Damien Martinez run for 2 yds to the UCD 22

4th & 3Field Goal Good+40 yds

Atticus Sappington 40 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Lan Larison run for 1 yd to the UCD 26

2nd & 9Rush-6 ydsPPA -0.63

Lan Larison run for a loss of 6 yards to the UCD 20

3rd & 15Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.03

Miles Hastings pass complete to Lan Larison for 6 yds to the UCD 26

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Justin Dwinell punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.18

DJ Uiagalelei sacked by Joey Carrillo and Da'Von Frazier for a loss of 1 yard to the ORST 34

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Deshaun Fenwick for 5 yds to the ORST 39

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Josh Green punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Matteo Perez at the UCD 15

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.65

Lan Larison run for a loss of 5 yards to the UCD 10

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Penalty-5 yds

GENETTI, Angelo kickoff 41 yards from the UCD35 to the OSU24, TERRY II, Jermaine returned 7 yards to the OSU31 (COTTON, Blake), clock 14:55. PENALTY UCD Offsides on VAN BUUREN, Luke enforced 5 yards from the UCD35 to the UCD30. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Aidan Chiles pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.33

Aidan Chiles run for 15 yds to the UCD 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.14

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Jimmy Valsin III for 10 yds to the UCD 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Deshaun Fenwick run for 4 yds to the UCD 11

2nd & 6Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Zachary Card for 1 yd to the UCD 10

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Aidan Chiles pass incomplete

4th & 5Field Goal Good+28 yds

Atticus Sappington 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Miles Hastings pass complete to Chaz Davis for 3 yds to the UCD 28

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Matteo Perez run for 4 yds to the UCD 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Miles Hastings pass complete to Ian Simpson for 2 yds to the UCD 34

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.65

Lan Larison run for 2 yds to the UCD 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.36

Matteo Perez run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCD 34

2nd & 12Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.79

Miles Hastings pass complete to Chaz Davis for 9 yds to the UCD 43

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Miles Hastings pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Justin Dwinell punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.66

Deshaun Fenwick run for 8 yds to the ORST 22

2nd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.30

Deshaun Fenwick run for 8 yds to the ORST 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Zachary Card for 7 yds to the ORST 37

2nd & 3Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.01

Deshaun Fenwick run for 11 yds to the ORST 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.77

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Zachary Card for 11 yds to the UCD 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Isaiah Newell run for 4 yds to the UCD 37

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.52

Aidan Chiles run for 7 yds to the UCD 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.30

Deshaun Fenwick run for 20 yds to the UCD 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Riley Sharp for 10 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Miles Hastings pass complete to C.J. Hutton for 4 yds to the UCD 26

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Miles Hastings pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.42

Miles Hastings pass complete to Chaz Davis for 6 yds to the UCD 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Miles Hastings pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Miles Hastings pass complete to Trent Tompkins for 6 yds to the UCD 38

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Miles Hastings pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Justin Dwinell punt for 59 yds

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.39

Isaiah Newell run for 7 yds to the ORST 18

2nd & 3Penalty+5 yds

UC Davis Penalty, Offsides (Chubba Maae) to the ORST 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.87

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Jeremiah Noga for 8 yds to the ORST 31

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Isaiah Newell run for 6 yds to the ORST 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Isaiah Newell run for 2 yds to the ORST 39

2nd & 8Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.16

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Riley Sharp for 15 yds to the UCD 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Isaiah Newell run for 3 yds to the UCD 43

2nd & 7Penalty+5 yds

UC Davis Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the UCD 38

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Jake Reichle run for 3 yds to the UCD 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Aidan Chiles pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Isaiah Newell run for 2 yds to the UCD 33

3rd & 8Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.62

Aidan Chiles run for 19 yds to the UCD 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.86

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Jamai East for 10 yds to the UCD 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Aidan Chiles pass incomplete

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Isaiah Newell run for 3 yds to the UCD 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Aidan Chiles run for 1 yd for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jeremiah Chukwudobe run for 1 yd to the UCD 26

2nd & 9Penalty+10 yds

HARPER, Grant pass to the left incomplete intended for TOMPKINS, Trent broken up by IVY JR., Tyrice at the UCD39. PENALTY OSU Holding on IVY JR., Tyrice enforced 10 yards from the UCD26 to the UCD36 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +2.21

Grant Harper pass complete to Andre Crump Jr. for 30 yds to the ORST 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Darian Leon-Guerrero run for 1 yd to the ORST 33

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Grant Harper pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.63

Grant Harper pass complete to C.J. Hutton for 11 yds to the ORST 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Grant Harper pass complete to Ian Simpson for 6 yds to the ORST 16

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Jordan Fisher run for 2 yds to the ORST 14

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.29

Jeremiah Chukwudobe run for 5 yds to the ORST 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Grant Harper pass incomplete

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.74

Grant Harper pass complete to C.J. Hutton for 9 yds for a TD (Hunter Ridley KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Aidan Chiles pass complete to Zachary Card for 2 yds to the ORST 34

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Gavin Haines run for 5 yds to the ORST 39

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Gavin Haines run for 1 yd to the ORST 40

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Josh Green punt for 46 yds

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.41

Jordan Fisher run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCD 10

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Grant Harper pass incomplete

3rd & 11Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.10

Jordan Fisher run for 8 yds to the UCD 18

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Justin Dwinell punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.05

Kneel down by CHILES, Aidan at UCD49 (team loss of 2).

2nd & 12Rush0 ydsPPA -0.97

Kneel down by CHILES, Aidan at OSU49 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

UC Davis

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
20%
25 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
36%
11 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
6 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

Oregon State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
55%
29 plays
2nd
67%
6 plays
33%
6 plays
88%
8 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
4th