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← Back to GamesSep 3, 2023Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Arizona by 10.8

Home Win Probability

Arizona 75%

Market (Bovada)

Arizona -28.5

Edge: Northern Arizona +28.5 (17.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 3, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Northern Arizona
03003
ArizonaArizona
7721338

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-014-321-335-338-3
ArizonaNorthern Arizona

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ARINAARINAARINAARINANANAARINAARINAARINAARINAARINAARINAARITD765ydPUNT735ydDOWNS761ydPUNT3-4ydTD778ydTO636ydTO554ydFG1649ydTD966ydPUNT31ydPUNT5-3ydDOWNS48ydTD437ydPUNT36ydTD363ydDOWNS857ydFG764ydPUNT35ydTO442ydPUNT3-15ydDOWNS49ydDOWNS722ydEND1-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Northern Arizona and Arizona
StatisticNorthern ArizonaArizona
Passing18-2920-26
Pass Yards186292
Rush Yards78186
Total Yards264478
Turnovers12
3rd Down6-181-5
Penalties11-8411-91
Possession35:0424:56

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Northern Arizona
passing
Kai Millner
14/22, 166 YDS
rushing
TJ McDaniel
14 CAR, 56 YDS
receiving
Coleman Owen
5 REC, 90 YDS
defense
Alex McLaughlin
1 TFL, 2 PD
Arizona
passing
Jayden de Laura
18/24, 285 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Michael Wiley
10 CAR, 52 YDS
receiving
Tetairoa Mcmillan
3 REC, 65 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Jacob Manu
0.5 TFL

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 4 yds to the ARIZ 39

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Jonah Coleman run for 4 yds to the ARIZ 43

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.37

Michael Wiley run for 3 yds to the ARIZ 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Michael Wiley for 7 yds to the NAU 47

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Michael Wiley run for 6 yds to the NAU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +1.55

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jonah Coleman for 37 yds to the NAU 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 4 yds for a TD (Tyler Loop KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Devon Starling run for 5 yds to the NAU 30

2nd & 5Penalty+5 yds

Arizona Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the NAU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Kai Millner pass complete to Coleman Owen for 6 yds to the NAU 41

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.95

Devon Starling run for 1 yd to the NAU 42

3rd & 3Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.65

Kai Millner pass complete to Jamal Glaspie for 19 yds to the ARIZ 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-7 ydsPPA -2.31

Devon Starling run for a loss of 7 yards to the ARIZ 46

2nd & 17Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Angel Flores run for 3 yds to the ARIZ 43

3rd & 14Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Kai Millner run for 3 yds to the ARIZ 40

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Eemil Herranen punt for 36 yds, downed at the ARIZ 4

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Michael Wiley for 1 yd to the ARIZ 5

2nd & 9Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.63

Michael Wiley run for 12 yds to the ARIZ 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +3.12

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 39 yds to the NAU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Jayden de Laura pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.52

Michael Wiley run for 7 yds to the NAU 37

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Michael Wiley run for 2 yds to the NAU 35

4th & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.53

Jayden de Laura pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.44

Kai Millner pass complete to Draycen Hall for a loss of 3 yards to the NAU 32

2nd & 13Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.44

Draycen Hall run for a loss of 1 yard to the NAU 31

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Kai Millner pass incomplete

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Eemil Herranen punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.42

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Keyan Burnett for 17 yds to the ARIZ 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.56

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Michael Wiley for 19 yds to the NAU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Jayden de Laura pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.46

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jonah Coleman for 15 yds to the NAU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +0.69

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 21 yds to the NAU 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Penalty-5 yds

(14:09) DE LAURA, Jayden pass to the left incomplete intended for MCMILLAN, Tetairoa broken up by HUMPHREY, Colby at the NAU0, clock 14:10. PENALTY Before the snap, ARI Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the NAU6 to the NAU11. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jonah Coleman run for 4 yds to the NAU 7

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.61

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jonah Coleman for 7 yds for a TD (Tyler Loop KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Tj Mcdaniel run for 1 yd to the NAU 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Kai Millner pass incomplete

3rd & 9Penalty+5 yds

Arizona Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the NAU 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.95

Kai Millner pass complete to Tj Mcdaniel for 10 yds to the NAU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.90

Tj Mcdaniel run for 10 yds to the ARIZ 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.99

Tj Mcdaniel run for a loss of 4 yards to the NAU 47

2nd & 14Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+14 ydsPPA -1.25

Tj Mcdaniel run for 14 yds to the ARIZ 39 Tj Mcdaniel fumbled, recovered by ARIZ Daniel Heimuli

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.02

DJ Williams run for 8 yds to the ARIZ 47

2nd & 2Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.82

DJ Williams run for 17 yds to the NAU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.35

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Michael Wiley for 13 yds to the NAU 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.13

Michael Wiley run for 10 yds to the NAU 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+6 ydsPPA -4.46

Jayden de Laura run for 6 yds to the NAU 20 fumbled, recovered by NAU Tommy Ellis

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Adam Damante pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.35

Draycen Hall run for a loss of 3 yards to the NAU 17

3rd & 13Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Adam Damante pass complete to Draycen Hall for 4 yds to the NAU 21

4th & 9Penalty-5 yds

Northern Arizona Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the NAU 16

4th & 14Penalty+15 yds

(06:09) HERRANEN, Eemil punt 19 yards to the NAU35 out of bounds, clock 06:03. PENALTY ARI Roughing the Kicker on JOHNSON, Dalton enforced 15 yards from the NAU16 to the NAU31 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Devon Starling run for 6 yds to the NAU 37

2nd & 4Penalty-10 yds

Northern Arizona Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the NAU 16

2nd & 14Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.22

Kai Millner pass complete to Hendrix Johnson for 7 yds to the NAU 34

3rd & 7Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +3.10

Kai Millner pass complete to Coleman Owen for 19 yds to the ARIZ 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Northern Arizona Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the NAU 46

1st & 17Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.99

Kai Millner pass complete to Myseth Currie for 9 yds to the ARIZ 45

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Tj Mcdaniel run for 5 yds to the ARIZ 40

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.10

Tj Mcdaniel run for 4 yds to the ARIZ 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Arizona Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Tyler Manoa) to the ARIZ 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.46

Kai Millner sacked by Jacob Manu and Taylor Upshaw for a loss of 1 yard to the ARIZ 21

2nd & 11Penalty-10 yds

(01:01) QB Keeper MILLNER, Kai rush up the middle for a gain of 21 yards to the ARI0, TOUCHDOWN NAU, score nullified by penalty, clock 00:51 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY NAU Holding on CAREY, Terron enforced 10 yards from the ARI21 to the ARI31 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 21Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Kai Millner pass incomplete

3rd & 21Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

Tj Mcdaniel run for no gain to the ARIZ 31

4th & 21Field Goal Good+49 yds

Marcus Lye 49 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Tj Mcdaniel run for 3 yds to the NAU 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Kai Millner pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.27

Kai Millner pass complete to Coleman Owen for 13 yds to the NAU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.97

Tj Mcdaniel run for 11 yds to the ARIZ 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +1.11

Kai Millner pass complete to BJ Fleming for 31 yds to the ARIZ 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Fumble Recovery (Own)-3 ydsPPA -0.54

Angel Flores run for a loss of 3 yards to the ARIZ 7 fumbled, recovered by NAU Angel Flores

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Angel Flores run for 3 yds to the ARIZ 4

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Kai Millner pass incomplete

4th & 4Penalty-5 yds

Northern Arizona Penalty, Delay Of Game (Marcus Lye) to the ARIZ 9

4th & 9Blocked Field Goal Touchdown+85 ydsPPA -10.60

Tacario Davis 85 Yd Return of Blocked Field Goal (Tyler Loop Kick)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Devon Starling run for 3 yds to the NAU 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Kai Millner pass complete to Devon Starling for 2 yds to the NAU 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -0.53

Kai Millner pass complete to Hendrix Johnson for a loss of 4 yards to the NAU 26

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Eemil Herranen punt for 39 yds, downed at the ARIZ 35

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Michael Wiley run for 8 yds to the ARIZ 43

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.20

Michael Wiley run for 5 yds to the ARIZ 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Jayden de Laura pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.55

Michael Wiley run for a loss of 4 yards to the ARIZ 44

3rd & 14Sack-12 ydsPPA -0.67

Jayden de Laura sacked by Alex McLaughlin for a loss of 12 yards to the ARIZ 32

4th & 26Punt0 yds

Kyle Ostendorp punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Kai Millner pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.57

Tj Mcdaniel run for 8 yds to the NAU 37

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.72

Tj Mcdaniel run for no gain to the NAU 37

4th & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.24

Tj Mcdaniel run for no gain to the NAU 37

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

DJ Williams run for 5 yds to the NAU 32

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

DJ Williams run for 6 yds to the NAU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +0.84

Jonah Coleman run for 21 yds to the NAU 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 5 yds for a TD (Tyler Loop KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Devon Starling run for 5 yds to the NAU 30

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.63

Kai Millner run for 1 yd to the NAU 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Kai Millner pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Eemil Herranen punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jacob Cowing at the ARIZ 37

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Rayshon Luke run for 6 yds to the ARIZ 43

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.55

Rayshon Luke run for 4 yds to the ARIZ 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+53 ydsPPA +4.10

Jayden de Laura run for 53 yds for a TD (Tyler Loop KICK)

0th & 0Penalty-5 yds

Arizona Penalty, False Start (Sam Langi) to the NAU 8

0th & 0Penalty0 yds

Northern Arizona Penalty, Offsides (Mikale Greer) to the NAU 4

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Draycen Hall run for 4 yds to the NAU 29

2nd & 6Penalty+15 yds

Arizona Penalty, Roughing the Passer on UPSHAW, Taylor enforced (Taylor Upshaw) to the ARIZ 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Draycen Hall run for 1 yd to the ARIZ 29

2nd & 9Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.77

Kai Millner pass complete to Coleman Owen for 26 yds to the ARIZ 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Kai Millner run for no gain to the ARIZ 1

2nd & 1Penalty-5 yds

Northern Arizona Penalty, False Start (Michael Flood) to the ARIZ 6

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Draycen Hall run for 5 yds to the ARIZ 1

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Kai Millner run for no gain to the ARIZ 1

4th & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -4.21

Draycen Hall run for a loss of 2 yards to the ARIZ 3

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.06

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Michael Wiley for 15 yds to the ARIZ 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +2.67

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Montana Lemonious-Craig for 39 yds to the NAU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.17

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Montana Lemonious-Craig for 10 yds to the NAU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Michael Wiley run for 3 yds to the NAU 15

2nd & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Michael Wiley for 2 yds to the NAU 13

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Jayden de Laura pass incomplete

4th & 5Penalty-5 yds

Arizona Penalty, Illegal Substitution (-5 Yards) to the NAU 18

4th & 10Field Goal Good+35 yds

Tyler Loop 35 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Kai Millner pass complete to Myseth Currie for 5 yds to the NAU 31

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.79

Chase Belcher run for no gain to the NAU 31

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Kai Millner pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Eemil Herranen punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +2.50

Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 30 yds to the NAU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.84

Rayshon Luke run for 9 yds to the NAU 31

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Rayshon Luke run for 3 yds to the NAU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -4.24

Jayden de Laura pass intercepted, touchback.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Angel Flores run for 1 yd to the NAU 21

2nd & 9Penalty-10 yds

(06:57) QB Keeper FLORES, Angel QB rush to the left for a gain of 11 yards to the NAU32 (WARNELL JR. , DJ), clock 06:50. PENALTY NAU Holding on SAWITZKE, Kevin enforced 10 yards from the NAU21 to the NAU11 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 19Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -0.07

Angel Flores pass complete to Chase Belcher for a loss of 4 yards to the NAU 7

3rd & 23Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.01

Angel Flores run for 3 yds to the NAU 10

4th & 20Penalty-5 yds

Northern Arizona Penalty, Delay Of Game (Eemil Herranen) to the NAU 5

4th & 25Punt0 yds

Eemil Herranen punt for 43 yds, downed at the NAU 48

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Noah Fifita pass complete to Kevin Green Jr. for 5 yds to the NAU 43

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

DJ Williams run for 1 yd to the NAU 42

3rd & 4Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.65

Noah Fifita pass complete to DJ Williams for 2 yds to the NAU 40

4th & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.91

DJ Williams run for 1 yd to the NAU 39

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Chase Belcher run for no gain to the NAU 39

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +3.00

Adam Damante pass complete to Isaiah Eastman for 13 yds to the ARIZ 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Adam Damante pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Adam Damante run for 1 yd to the ARIZ 47

3rd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Adam Damante pass complete to Myseth Currie for 7 yds to the ARIZ 40

4th & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.91

Chase Belcher run for 1 yd to the ARIZ 39

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

(00:24) Kneel down by ARI at ARI37 (team loss of 2), clock 00:19.

Situational Analysis

Northern Arizona

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
35%
23 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
25%
4 plays
30%
10 plays
17%
6 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
20%
5 plays
100%
4 plays
0%
5 plays
4th
0%
3 plays
0%
1 play

Arizona

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
69%
29 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
75%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
67%
6 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
2 plays