Skip to main content
← Back to GamesDec 9, 2023Week 15
NavyNavy
11
-Final
17
ArmyArmy

House Prediction

Model Margin

Army by 9.3

Home Win Probability

Army 70%

Market (Bovada)

Army -2.5

Edge: Army -2.5 (6.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Dec 9, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
NavyNavy
0001111
ArmyArmy
0100717

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40140-70-103-109-17
ArmyNavy

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NAVARMNAVARMNAVARMNAVARMNAVARMARMNAVARMNAVARMNAVARMNAVNAVARMNAVPUNT32ydDOWNS721ydTO523ydTD1265ydPUNT35ydPUNT617ydPUNT3-5ydPUNT36ydDOWNS1046ydEND734ydPUNT734ydPUNT31ydPUNT1047ydFG1270ydPUNT35ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT3-1ydTD614ydTD759ydPUNT37ydDOWNS1072yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Navy and Army
StatisticNavyArmy
Passing16-297-14
Pass Yards17954
Rush Yards130206
Total Yards309260
Turnovers20
3rd Down4-145-14
Penalties5-255-25
Possession26:2533:28

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Navy
passing
Tai Lavatai
16/26, 179 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Tai Lavatai
19 CAR, 74 YDS
receiving
Jayden Umbarger
6 REC, 75 YDS, 1 TD
Army
passing
Bryson Daily
7/14, 54 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Kanye Udoh
13 CAR, 88 YDS
receiving
Casey Reynolds
3 REC, 32 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Daba Fofana run for 4 yds to the NAVY 29

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Eli Heidenreich pass incomplete

3rd & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.34

Xavier Arline run for a loss of 2 yards to the NAVY 27

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Riley Riethman punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Tyrell Robinson at the ARMY 26

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Bryson Daily run for 2 yds to the ARMY 28

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Kanye Udoh run for 7 yds to the ARMY 35

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.59

Bryson Daily run for 4 yds to the ARMY 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Kanye Udoh run for 3 yds to the ARMY 42

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

Army Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ARMY 37

2nd & 12Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.91

Bryson Daily pass complete to Casey Reynolds for 10 yds to the ARMY 47

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Bryson Daily run for no gain to the ARMY 47

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.25

Bryson Daily pass incomplete to Noah Short

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Xavier Arline run for 5 yds to the ARMY 42

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Xavier Arline run for 1 yd to the ARMY 41

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.82

Xavier Arline run for 5 yds to the ARMY 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.14

Brandon Chatman run for 12 yds to the ARMY 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+30 ydsPPA -0.85

Xavier Arline pass intercepted Max DiDomenico return for 30 yds to the ARMY 35

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.31

Ay'Jaun Marshall run for 12 yds to the ARMY 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.01

Bryson Daily run for 9 yds to the NAVY 44

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Jakobi Buchanan run for 3 yds to the NAVY 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.25

Kanye Udoh run for 15 yds to the NAVY 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

Bryson Daily run for no gain to the NAVY 26

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Bryson Daily pass complete to Ay'Jaun Marshall for 5 yds to the NAVY 21

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Bryson Daily run for 3 yds to the NAVY 18

4th & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.85

Bryson Daily run for 3 yds to the NAVY 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.69

Kanye Udoh run for 8 yds to the NAVY 7

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Bryson Daily run for 3 yds to the NAVY 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.72

Jakobi Buchanan run for no gain to the NAVY 4

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +6.88

Bryson Daily pass complete to Tyson Riley for 4 yds for a TD (Quinn Maretzki KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Alex Tecza run for 3 yds to the NAVY 28

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Alex Tecza run for 6 yds to the NAVY 34

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

Navy Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NAVY 29

3rd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Alex Tecza run for 1 yd to the NAVY 30

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Riley Riethman punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Tyrell Robinson at the ARMY 30

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Bryson Daily run for 4 yds to the ARMY 34

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Bryson Daily run for 3 yds to the ARMY 37

3rd & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.07

Bryson Daily pass complete to Casey Reynolds for 8 yds to the ARMY 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.00

Kanye Udoh run for no gain to the ARMY 45

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Bryson Daily run for 2 yds to the ARMY 47

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Bryson Daily pass incomplete to Casey Reynolds

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Cooper Allan punt for 37 yds, downed at the NAVY 16

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Alex Tecza run for 3 yds to the NAVY 19

2nd & 7Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.80

Xavier Arline run for a loss of 3 yards to the NAVY 16

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Xavier Arline pass incomplete

4th & 10Penalty-5 yds

Navy Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the NAVY 11

4th & 15Punt+3 yds

Riley Riethman punt for 42 yds , Tyrell Robinson returns for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Tyrell Robinson run for 5 yds to the NAVY 45

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.17

Bryson Daily pass incomplete to Noah Short

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Bryson Daily run for 1 yd to the NAVY 44

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Cooper Allan punt for 26 yds, fair catch by Amin Hassan at the NAVY 18

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Tai Lavatai run for 6 yds to the NAVY 24

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.00

Alex Tecza run for 5 yds to the NAVY 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Alex Tecza run for 5 yds to the NAVY 34

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.33

Tai Lavatai run for 8 yds to the NAVY 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Tai Lavatai run for 5 yds to the NAVY 47

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.76

Tai Lavatai run for 8 yds to the ARMY 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Tai Lavatai run for 5 yds to the ARMY 40

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Alex Tecza run for 1 yd to the ARMY 39

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Tai Lavatai run for 2 yds to the ARMY 37

4th & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Tai Lavatai run for 1 yd to the ARMY 36

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.31

Bryson Daily run for 11 yds to the ARMY 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Bryson Daily pass incomplete to Casey Reynolds

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.02

Bryson Daily pass complete to Tobi Olawole for 9 yds to the NAVY 44

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.02

Bryson Daily run for 1 yd to the NAVY 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Army Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NAVY 48

1st & 15Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.13

Bryson Daily pass complete to Casey Reynolds for 14 yds to the NAVY 34

2nd & 1Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Bryson Daily pass complete to Ay'Jaun Marshall for 4 yds to the NAVY 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Field Goal Good+47 yds

Quinn Maretzki 47 yd FG GOOD

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+4 yds

Bryson Daily run for 4 yds to the ARMY 9

2nd & 6Rush+14 yds

Kanye Udoh run for 14 yds to the ARMY 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Kanye Udoh run for 2 yds to the ARMY 25

2nd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.45

Bryson Daily run for 10 yds to the ARMY 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Bryson Daily run for 3 yds to the ARMY 38

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

Army Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ARMY 33

2nd & 12Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Bryson Daily run for 6 yds to the ARMY 39

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Bryson Daily pass incomplete to Liam Fortner

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Cooper Allan punt for 28 yds, downed at the NAVY 33

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Tai Lavatai pass complete to Eli Heidenreich for a loss of 1 yard to the NAVY 32

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.46

Tai Lavatai run for 2 yds to the NAVY 34

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Tai Lavatai pass incomplete to Jayden Umbarger

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Riley Riethman punt for 51 yds , Tyrell Robinson returns for no gain to the ARMY 15

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Ay'Jaun Marshall run for 7 yds to the ARMY 22

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds to the ARMY 24

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.23

Bryson Daily run for 2 yds to the ARMY 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.19

Kanye Udoh run for 14 yds to the ARMY 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Jakobi Buchanan run for 4 yds to the ARMY 44

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Bryson Daily run for 4 yds to the ARMY 48

3rd & 2Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.60

Kanye Udoh run for 10 yds to the NAVY 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Bryson Daily run for 3 yds to the NAVY 39

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Bryson Daily run for 1 yd to the NAVY 38

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Bryson Daily pass incomplete to Casey Reynolds

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Cooper Allan punt for 27 yds, downed at the NAVY 11

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Tai Lavatai run for 1 yd to the NAVY 12

2nd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.31

Tai Lavatai pass complete to Nathan Kent for 9 yds to the NAVY 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+25 yds

Tai Lavatai run for 25 yds to the NAVY 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Tai Lavatai pass complete to Alex Tecza for 5 yds to the ARMY 49

2nd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.97

Tai Lavatai pass complete to Jayden Umbarger for 9 yds to the ARMY 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Tai Lavatai run for 3 yds to the ARMY 37

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Tai Lavatai pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.73

Tai Lavatai pass complete to Jayden Umbarger for 13 yds to the ARMY 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Alex Tecza run for 6 yds to the ARMY 18

2nd & 4Penalty-5 yds

Navy Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ARMY 23

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Tai Lavatai pass incomplete to Amin Hassan

3rd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Tai Lavatai run for 4 yds to the ARMY 19

4th & 5Field Goal Good+37 yds

Nathan Kirkwood 37 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Kanye Udoh run for 4 yds to the ARMY 39

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Bryson Daily pass incomplete to Casey Reynolds

3rd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Bryson Daily run for 1 yd to the ARMY 40

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Cooper Allan punt for 40 yds, downed at the NAVY 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Tai Lavatai pass complete to Cody Howard for 6 yds to the NAVY 26

2nd & 4Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.27

Tai Lavatai sacked by Jackson Powell for a loss of 4 yards to the NAVY 22

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Tai Lavatai pass incomplete to Jayden Umbarger

4th & 8Penalty-5 yds

Navy Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the NAVY 17

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Riley Riethman punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ARMY 47

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Bryson Daily run for 1 yd to the ARMY 48

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Kanye Udoh run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 7Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.27

Bryson Daily run for a loss of 4 yards to the ARMY 46

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Cooper Allan punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NAVY 30

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Tai Lavatai pass incomplete to Brandon Chatman

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Tai Lavatai pass incomplete to Eli Heidenreich

3rd & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.62

Tai Lavatai pass complete to Eli Heidenreich for 20 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Alex Tecza run for 4 yds to the ARMY 46

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Tai Lavatai run for 3 yds to the ARMY 43

3rd & 3Penalty-5 yds

Navy Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ARMY 48

3rd & 8Sack+44 ydsPPA +3.61

Tai Lavatai sacked by Kalib Fortner for a loss of 8 yards Tai Lavatai fumbled, forced by Kalib Fortner, recovered by ARMY Kalib Fortner , return for 0 yards , return for 44 yds

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Tai Lavatai run for 7 yds to the NAVY 48

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.25

Tai Lavatai pass incomplete to Brandon Chatman

3rd & 3Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.72

Tai Lavatai sacked by Austin Hill and Nathaniel Smith for a loss of 4 yards to the NAVY 44

4th & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +3.22

Tai Lavatai pass complete to Brandon Chatman for 13 yds to the ARMY 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.17

Tai Lavatai pass complete to Jayden Umbarger for 15 yds to the ARMY 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.29

Tai Lavatai pass complete to Jayden Umbarger for 14 yds to the ARMY 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +6.66

Tai Lavatai pass complete to Jayden Umbarger for 14 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Army Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard line

1st & 15Penalty-5 yds

Army Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ARMY 45

1st & 20Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.47

Kanye Udoh run for 7 yds to the NAVY 48

2nd & 13Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.54

Kanye Udoh run for 2 yds to the NAVY 46

3rd & 11Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.58

Bryson Daily run for 8 yds to the NAVY 38

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Cooper Allan punt for 11 yds, downed at the NAVY 27

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.66

Tai Lavatai run for 9 yds to the NAVY 36

2nd & 1Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +0.20

Tai Lavatai pass complete to Eli Heidenreich for 28 yds to the ARMY 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Tai Lavatai pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.99

Tai Lavatai pass complete to Eli Heidenreich for 9 yds to the ARMY 27

3rd & 1Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.44

Tai Lavatai pass complete to Jayden Umbarger for 10 yds to the ARMY 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.68

Tai Lavatai pass complete to Brandon Chatman for 11 yds to the ARMY 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Tai Lavatai pass incomplete to Brandon Chatman

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

Tai Lavatai pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Tai Lavatai pass complete to Alex Tecza for 4 yds to the ARMY 2

4th & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.29

Tai Lavatai run for 1 yd to the ARMY 1

Situational Analysis

Navy

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
60%
25 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
30%
10 plays
43%
7 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
50%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
43%
7 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play

Army

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
40%
20 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
0%
4 plays
20%
5 plays
57%
7 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
83%
6 plays
0%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
100%
1 play
4th
50%
2 plays