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← Back to GamesNov 25, 2023Week 13
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Minnesota by 2.1

Home Win Probability

Minnesota 52%

Market (Bovada)

Minnesota +3

Edge: Minnesota +3 (5.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 25, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
WisconsinWisconsin
01414028
MinnesotaMinnesota
770014

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-07-714-714-1414-2114-28
MinnesotaWisconsin

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MINWISMINWISMINWISMINWISMINWISMINWISWISMINWISMINWISMINWISMINWISMINWISTD672ydPUNT517ydPUNT619ydPUNT39ydPUNT37ydTD1186ydPUNT35ydPUNT39ydTD1171ydTD475ydPUNT421ydTO932ydPUNT427ydPUNT411ydTD254ydPUNT729ydTD1086ydDOWNS1361ydPUNT31ydTO130ydPUNT617ydTO10ydEND614yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Wisconsin and Minnesota
StatisticWisconsinMinnesota
Passing14-2216-28
Pass Yards145167
Rush Yards267119
Total Yards412286
Turnovers12
3rd Down7-145-13
Penalties3-453-30
Possession30:2529:35

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Wisconsin
passing
Tanner Mordecai
14/22, 145 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Braelon Allen
26 CAR, 165 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Chimere Dike
2 REC, 46 YDS
defense
Minnesota
passing
Athan Kaliakmanis
16/28, 167 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jordan Nubin
24 CAR, 93 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Daniel Jackson
9 REC, 121 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.76

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Jordan Nubin for 19 yds to the MINN 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Jordan Nubin run for 4 yds to the WIS 49

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete

3rd & 6Penalty+15 yds

KALIAKMANIS, Athan pass deep to the left incomplete intended for JACKSON, Daniel thrown to the WIS31. PENALTY WIS Pass Interference on FOURQUREAN, Nyzier enforced 15 yards to the WIS34 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +1.25

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 30 yds to the WIS 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Jordan Nubin run for 3 yds to the WIS 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Jordan Nubin run for 1 yd for a TD (Dragan Kesich KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Braelon Allen run for 4 yds to the WIS 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.04

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Hayden Rucci for 7 yds to the WIS 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Tanner Mordecai run for 4 yds to the WIS 40

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Braelon Allen run for 2 yds to the WIS 42

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Atticus Bertrams punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Quentin Redding at the MINN 14

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.43

Jordan Nubin run for 7 yds to the MINN 21

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.08

Jordan Nubin run for 3 yds to the MINN 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.81

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 10 yds to the MINN 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Jordan Nubin run for 1 yd to the MINN 35

2nd & 9Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.10

Athan Kaliakmanis sacked by Ben Barten for a loss of 8 yards to the MINN 27

3rd & 17Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.04

Sean Tyler run for 6 yds to the MINN 33

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 48 yds, downed at the WIS 19

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.37

Tanner Mordecai run for 8 yds to the WIS 27

3rd & 2Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.38

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Riley Nowakowski for 1 yd to the WIS 28

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Atticus Bertrams punt for 44 yds

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Jordan Nubin run for 7 yds to the WIS 43

2nd & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.63

Jordan Nubin run for a loss of 2 yards to the WIS 45

3rd & 5Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 2 yds to the WIS 43

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 32 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Braelon Allen run for 3 yds to the WIS 17

2nd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.69

Braelon Allen run for 7 yds to the WIS 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.56

Braelon Allen run for 1 yd to the WIS 25

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Braelon Allen run for 4 yds to the WIS 29

3rd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.72

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Will Pauling for 8 yds to the WIS 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.64

Tanner Mordecai run for 19 yds to the MINN 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Braelon Allen run for 5 yds to the MINN 39

2nd & 5Rush+21 ydsPPA +0.73

Braelon Allen run for 21 yds to the MINN 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.51

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Braelon Allen for a loss of 2 yards to the MINN 20

2nd & 12Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.22

Tanner Mordecai run for 15 yds to the MINN 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Braelon Allen run for 5 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Jordan Nubin for 5 yds to the MINN 34

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.88

Jordan Nubin run for no gain to the MINN 34

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 51 yds

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Braelon Allen run for 7 yds to the WIS 33

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.65

Braelon Allen run for 2 yds to the WIS 35

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

Braelon Allen run for no gain to the WIS 35

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Atticus Bertrams punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Quentin Redding at the MINN 29

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Jordan Nubin run for 3 yds to the MINN 32

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.04

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 8 yds to the MINN 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Jordan Nubin run for 1 yd to the MINN 41

2nd & 9Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.91

Jordan Nubin run for 10 yds to the WIS 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

KALIAKMANIS, Athan pass deep to the right incomplete intended for JACKSON, Daniel thrown to the WIS17. PENALTY WIS Pass Interference on FOURQUREAN, Nyzier enforced 15 yards to the WIS34 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.55

Sean Tyler run for 8 yds to the WIS 26

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Jordan Nubin run for 1 yd to the WIS 25

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.25

Athan Kaliakmanis run for 2 yds to the WIS 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

KALIAKMANIS, Athan pass deep to the left incomplete intended for SPANN-FORD, Brevyn thrown to the WIS7. PENALTY WIS Pass Interference on WOHLER, Hunter enforced half the distance from the goal, 14 yards to the WIS9 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Jordan Nubin run for 1 yd to the WIS 7

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.88

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 7 yds for a TD (Dragan Kesich KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +2.89

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Chimere Dike for 35 yds to the MINN 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +0.62

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Braelon Allen for 24 yds to the MINN 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Braelon Allen for 5 yds to the MINN 11

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.49

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Will Pauling for 11 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.39

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 16 yds to the MINN 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jordan Nubin run for 5 yds to the MINN 45

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.17

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete

3rd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.79

Jordan Nubin run for no gain to the MINN 45

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 40 yds, downed at the WIS 15

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Tanner Mordecai run for 9 yds to the WIS 24

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.61

Braelon Allen run for 2 yds to the WIS 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.69

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Chimere Dike for 11 yds to the WIS 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.68

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Vinny Anthony II for 10 yds to the WIS 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+52 ydsPPA -2.90

Tanner Mordecai pass intercepted Tyler Nubin return for 52 yds to the WIS 42

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.67

Braelon Allen run for 20 yds to the WIS 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Braelon Allen run for 4 yds to the WIS 45

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Tanner Mordecai run for 2 yds to the WIS 47

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Tanner Mordecai run for 1 yd to the WIS 48

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Atticus Bertrams punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.49

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 12 yds to the MINN 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.49

Jordan Nubin run for 1 yd to the MINN 22

2nd & 9Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.48

Athan Kaliakmanis sacked by Nyzier Fourqurean for a loss of 5 yards to the MINN 17

3rd & 14Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.09

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 8 yds to the MINN 25

4th & 6Penalty-5 yds

Minnesota Penalty, False Start (Danny Striggow) to the MINN 20

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 47 yds

1st & 10Rush+50 ydsPPA +2.50

Braelon Allen run for 50 yds to the MINN 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Braelon Allen run for 4 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Jordan Nubin run for 6 yds to the MINN 35

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Jordan Nubin run for 3 yds to the MINN 38

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.83

Athan Kaliakmanis run for no gain to the MINN 38

4th & 1Rush+17 ydsPPA +3.16

Jordan Nubin run for 17 yds to the WIS 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Jordan Nubin run for 1 yd to the WIS 44

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Jordan Nubin run for 2 yds to the WIS 42

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 28 yds, downed at the WIS 14

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Braelon Allen run for 3 yds to the WIS 17

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Braelon Allen run for 3 yds to the WIS 20

3rd & 4Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.70

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Hayden Rucci for 25 yds to the WIS 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Vinny Anthony II for 3 yds to the WIS 48

2nd & 7Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.56

Cade Yacamelli run for 13 yds to the MINN 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

MORDECAI, Tanner pass deep to the left incomplete intended for DIKE, Chimere thrown to the UMN0. PENALTY UMN Pass Interference on BRYAN, Za'Quan enforced 15 yards to the UMN24 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Braelon Allen run for 6 yds to the MINN 18

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Braelon Allen run for 3 yds to the MINN 15

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.13

Braelon Allen run for 5 yds to the MINN 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Tanner Mordecai run for 5 yds to the MINN 5

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Riley Nowakowski for 5 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Gavin Lahm kickoff for 60 yds , Quentin Redding return for 20 yds to the MINN 12

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.88

Jordan Nubin run for 16 yds to the MINN 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.89

Athan Kaliakmanis run for 23 yds to the WIS 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 5 yds to the WIS 44

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.69

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 6 yds to the WIS 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Jordan Nubin for 1 yd to the WIS 37

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.43

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 7 yds to the WIS 30

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.50

Jordan Nubin run for 2 yds to the WIS 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Jordan Nubin for 1 yd to the WIS 27

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete

4th & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.28

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Braelon Allen run for 2 yds to the WIS 29

2nd & 8Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.72

Braelon Allen run for a loss of 3 yards to the WIS 26

3rd & 11Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.10

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Cade Yacamelli for 2 yds to the WIS 28

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Atticus Bertrams punt for 41 yds, downed at the MINN 31

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+30 ydsPPA -1.39

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 30 yds Daniel Jackson fumbled, recovered by WIS Maema Njongmeta [NHSG] KALIAKMANIS, Athan pass deep up the middle complete for 30 yards to JACKSON, Daniel caught at the WIS48, JACKSON, Daniel fumbled at WIS39 forced by TURNER, Jordan, recovered by WIS NJONGMETA, Maema at the WIS39, returned 0 yards to the WIS39, End of Play, clock 08:02.

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Braelon Allen run for 3 yds to the WIS 42

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Cade Yacamelli run for 3 yds to the WIS 45

3rd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.92

Tanner Mordecai run for 6 yds to the MINN 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Cade Yacamelli run for 3 yds to the MINN 46

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.65

Cade Yacamelli run for 2 yds to the MINN 44

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Atticus Bertrams punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Corey Crooms Jr. at the MINN 10

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.21

Athan Kaliakmanis pass intercepted Ricardo Hallman return for no gain to the MINN 22

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Cade Yacamelli run for 6 yds to the MINN 16

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Cade Yacamelli run for 1 yd to the MINN 15

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.29

Cade Yacamelli run for 4 yds to the MINN 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Braelon Allen run for 2 yds to the MINN 9

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.28

Cade Yacamelli run for no gain to the MINN 9

3rd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Cade Yacamelli run for 1 yd to the MINN 8

Situational Analysis

Wisconsin

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
43%
28 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
50%
8 plays
36%
11 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
60%
5 plays
50%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
4th

Minnesota

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
52%
25 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
0%
5 plays
33%
9 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play