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← Back to GamesNov 25, 2023Week 13
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Penn State by 24.3

Home Win Probability

Michigan State 7%

Market (Bovada)

Michigan State +23.5

Edge: Penn State -23.5 (0.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 25, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Penn StatePenn State
310151442
Michigan StateMichigan State
00000

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-30-60-130-210-280-350-42
Michigan StatePenn State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20PSMSPSMSPSMSPSMSPSMSMSPSMSPSMSPSMSPSMSPSMSPSMSPSFG1043ydTO846ydMISS768ydPUNT38ydFG871ydPUNT3-11ydTD1064ydPUNT829ydPUNT542ydEND2-2ydPUNT3-13ydTD751ydPUNT51ydTD674ydPUNT31ydPUNT520ydPUNT3-11ydTD328ydPUNT3-19ydTD458ydPUNT3-2ydPUNT38ydPUNT3-4ydEND229yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Penn State and Michigan State
StatisticPenn StateMichigan State
Passing19-2812-20
Pass Yards30388
Rush Yards283-35
Total Yards58653
Turnovers01
3rd Down4-112-13
Penalties4-306-30
Possession35:5024:10

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Penn State
passing
Drew Allar
17/26, 292 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Kaytron Allen
15 CAR, 137 YDS
receiving
Nicholas Singleton
2 REC, 68 YDS
defense
Michigan State
passing
Katin Houser
11/19, 87 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Nathan Carter
8 CAR, 39 YDS
receiving
Montorie Foster
2 REC, 35 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Kaytron Allen run for 8 yds to the PSU 33

2nd & 2Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.07

Drew Allar pass complete to Dante Cephas for 14 yds to the PSU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.80

Drew Allar pass complete to Kaytron Allen for 11 yds to the MSU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.13

Kaytron Allen run for a loss of 1 yard to the MSU 43

3rd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.27

Drew Allar pass complete to Theo Johnson for 13 yds to the MSU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Drew Allar pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Kaytron Allen run for 3 yds to the MSU 25

3rd & 7Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.27

Drew Allar sacked by Aaron Brule for a loss of 7 yards to the MSU 32

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Kaytron Allen run for 2 yds to the MSU 41

4th & 14Field Goal Good+49 yds

Alex Felkins 49 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Alante Brown run for 3 yds to the MSU 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Katin Houser pass complete to Nathan Carter for 3 yds to the MSU 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.05

Katin Houser pass complete to Christian Fitzpatrick for 11 yds to the MSU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.72

Nathan Carter run for a loss of 3 yards to the MSU 39

2nd & 13Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +3.44

Katin Houser pass complete to Montorie Foster Jr. for 30 yds to the PSU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Katin Houser pass complete to Montorie Foster Jr. for 5 yds to the PSU 26

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

Michigan State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the PSU 31

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Katin Houser pass complete to Tyrell Henry for 2 yds to the PSU 29

3rd & 8Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.15

Katin Houser pass intercepted Jaylen Reed return for no gain to the PSU 9

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Drew Allar pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+50 ydsPPA +3.92

Kaytron Allen run for 50 yds to the MSU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.48

Drew Allar pass complete to Dante Cephas for 13 yds to the MSU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Penn State Penalty, False Start (Tyler Warren) to the MSU 33

1st & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Kaytron Allen run for 4 yds to the MSU 29

2nd & 11Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Drew Allar pass complete to Kaytron Allen for 4 yds to the MSU 25

3rd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Nicholas Singleton run for 2 yds to the MSU 23

4th & 5Field Goal Missed+40 yds

Alex Felkins 40 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Katin Houser pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.44

Nathan Carter run for 8 yds to the MSU 31

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Katin Houser pass incomplete

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Ryan Eckley punt for 59 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Nicholas Singleton run for 4 yds to the PSU 20

2nd & 6Pass Reception+53 ydsPPA +3.91

Drew Allar pass complete to Nicholas Singleton for 53 yds to the MSU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Nicholas Singleton run for 6 yds to the MSU 21

2nd & 4Penalty-10 yds

ALLAR, Drew pass short to the left complete for 11 yards to JOHNSON, Theo caught at the MSU19 and advanced to the MSU10 (HALADAY, Cal). PENALTY PSU Holding on FASHANU, Olumuyiwa enforced 10 yards from the MSU21 to the MSU31 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 14Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.36

Drew Allar pass complete to Theo Johnson for 22 yds to the MSU 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Drew Allar pass incomplete

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Nicholas Singleton run for 4 yds to the MSU 5

3rd & 5Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.17

Drew Allar sacked by Jordan Hall for a loss of 8 yards to the MSU 13

4th & 13Field Goal Good+30 yds

Alex Felkins 30 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Michigan State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MSU 20

1st & 15Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Katin Houser pass complete to Maliq Carr for 4 yds to the MSU 24

2nd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Katin Houser run for no gain to the MSU 24

3rd & 11Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.22

Katin Houser sacked by Curtis Jacobs for a loss of 10 yards to the MSU 14

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Ryan Eckley punt for 58 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Nicholas Singleton run for 2 yds to the PSU 38

2nd & 8Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.18

Drew Allar pass complete to Nicholas Singleton for 15 yds to the MSU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Drew Allar pass complete to Theo Johnson for 3 yds to the MSU 44

2nd & 7Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.29

Nicholas Singleton run for 20 yds to the MSU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.14

Drew Allar pass complete to Khalil Dinkins for 11 yds to the MSU 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Kaytron Allen run for 3 yds to the MSU 10

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.70

Nicholas Singleton run for 9 yds to the MSU 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.13

Kaytron Allen run for a loss of 1 yard to the MSU 2

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Drew Allar pass incomplete

3rd & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Drew Allar pass complete to Kaytron Allen for 2 yds for a TD (Alex Felkins KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Nathan Carter run for 8 yds to the MSU 33

2nd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.51

Nathan Carter run for 8 yds to the MSU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Katin Houser pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Katin Houser pass complete to Maliq Carr for 5 yds to the MSU 46

3rd & 5Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +3.03

Katin Houser pass complete to Maliq Carr for 29 yds to the PSU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

Michigan State Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Alante Brown) to the PSU 38

2nd & 24Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.28

Katin Houser pass complete to Maliq Carr for a loss of 4 yards to the PSU 43

3rd & 28Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Jaren Mangham run for 2 yds to the PSU 41

4th & 26Penalty-5 yds

Michigan State Penalty, False Start (Alante Brown) to the PSU 46

4th & 31Punt0 yds

Ryan Eckley punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.51

Drew Allar pass complete to Tyler Warren for 14 yds to the PSU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+28 ydsPPA +2.38

Trey Potts run for 28 yds to the PSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Drew Allar pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Drew Allar pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Drew Allar pass complete to Trey Potts for 5 yds to the MSU 47

4th & 5Penalty-5 yds

Penn State Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the PSU 48

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Riley Thompson punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Tyrell Henry at the MSU 13

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Jaren Mangham run for 2 yds to the MSU 15

2nd & 8Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.36

Katin Houser sacked by Curtis Jacobs and Johnny Dixon for a loss of 4 yards to the MSU 11

0th & 8End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jaren Mangham run for 1 yd to the MSU 26

2nd & 9Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.68

Katin Houser sacked by Abdul Carter for a loss of 9 yards to the MSU 17

3rd & 18Pass Incompletion-5 ydsPPA -0.06

Katin Houser pass incomplete Michigan State Penalty, turnover on downs. PENALTY Illegal Touch-Pass on DUPLAIN, J.D. enforced (-5 Yards) to the MSU 12

4th & 23Punt0 yds

Ryan Eckley punt for 46 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.12

Drew Allar pass complete to Dante Cephas for 9 yds to the MSU 42

2nd & 1Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +0.18

Drew Allar pass complete to KeAndre Lambert-Smith for 22 yds to the MSU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Kaytron Allen run for 6 yds to the MSU 14

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Drew Allar pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Beau Pribula pass complete to Malick Meiga for 3 yds to the MSU 11

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.68

Kaytron Allen run for 3 yds to the MSU 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Beau Pribula pass complete to Tyler Warren for 8 yds for a TD (Drew Allar pass to KeAndre Lambert-Smith for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Katin Houser pass complete to Christian Fitzpatrick for 4 yds to the MSU 29

2nd & 6Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.53

Nathan Carter run for 12 yds to the MSU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Katin Houser pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-21 ydsPPA -1.59

run for a loss of 21 yards to the MSU 20

3rd & 31Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.01

Nathan Carter run for 6 yds to the MSU 26

4th & 25Punt0 yds

Ryan Eckley punt for 61 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Drew Allar pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Nicholas Singleton run for 4 yds to the PSU 30

3rd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.85

Drew Allar run for 8 yds to the PSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+60 ydsPPA +3.74

Drew Allar pass complete to Omari Evans for 60 yds to the MSU 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Nicholas Singleton run for no gain to the MSU 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Beau Pribula run for 2 yds for a TD (Alex Felkins KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jaren Mangham run for 1 yd to the MSU 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Katin Houser pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Katin Houser pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Ryan Eckley punt for 53 yds

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Kaytron Allen run for 6 yds to the PSU 35

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.65

Kaytron Allen run for 5 yds to the PSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Kaytron Allen run for 1 yd to the PSU 41

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Drew Allar pass incomplete

3rd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.56

Kaytron Allen run for 8 yds to the PSU 49

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Riley Thompson punt for 51 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Nathan Carter run for no gain to the MSU 20

2nd & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.32

Katin Houser pass complete to Nathan Carter for a loss of 2 yards to the MSU 18

3rd & 12Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.13

Katin Houser sacked by Adisa Isaac for a loss of 9 yards to the MSU 9

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Ryan Eckley punt for 57 yds

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.67

Nicholas Singleton run for 9 yds to the MSU 19

2nd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA -0.43

Nicholas Singleton run for 8 yds to the MSU 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

SINGLETON, Nicholas rush up the middle for no gain to the MSU11 (HANSEN, Maverick;TALLEY, Ken). PENALTY PSU Holding on WALLACE, Caedan enforced 10 yards from the MSU11 to the MSU21 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +3.15

Drew Allar pass complete to Theo Johnson for 21 yds for a TD (Alex Felkins KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Nathan Carter run for no gain to the MSU 25

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Katin Houser run for 2 yds to the MSU 27

3rd & 8Penalty-10 yds

HOUSER, Katin pass short to the left complete for 16 yards to CARTER, Nate caught at the MSU30 and advanced to the MSU43 (ELLIS, Keaton). PENALTY MSU Holding on BALDWIN, Brandon enforced 10 yards from the MSU27 to the MSU17 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 18Sack-11 ydsPPA -0.06

Katin Houser sacked by Cam Miller for a loss of 11 yards to the MSU 6

4th & 29Punt0 yds

Ryan Eckley punt for 49 yds

1st & 10Rush+40 ydsPPA +1.97

Kaytron Allen run for 40 yds to the MSU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Nicholas Singleton run for 3 yds to the MSU 15

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Nicholas Singleton run for 1 yd to the MSU 14

3rd & 6Rushing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.99

Nicholas Singleton run for 14 yds for a TD (Sander Sahaydak KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Harold Joiner III run for a loss of 1 yard to the MSU 24

2nd & 11Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.36

Davion Primm run for a loss of 2 yards to the MSU 22

3rd & 13Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.08

Andrew Schorfhaar pass complete to Michael Masunas for 1 yd to the MSU 23

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Michael O'Shaughnessy punt for 46 yds, downed at the PSU 31

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Nicholas Singleton run for 2 yds to the PSU 33

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Nicholas Singleton run for 3 yds to the PSU 36

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Nicholas Singleton run for 3 yds to the PSU 39

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Riley Thompson punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Tyrell Henry at the MSU 10

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Davion Primm run for 1 yd to the MSU 11

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.12

Davion Primm run for 2 yds to the MSU 13

3rd & 7Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.18

Andrew Schorfhaar sacked by Keon Wylie and TEAM for a loss of 7 yards to the MSU 6

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Ryan Eckley punt for 63 yds, fair catch by Daequan Hardy at the PSU 31

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +2.13

Nicholas Singleton run for 24 yds to the MSU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Trey Potts run for 5 yds to the MSU 40

Situational Analysis

Penn State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
55%
29 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
60%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
36%
11 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
40%
5 plays
60%
5 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Michigan State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
13%
15 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
18%
11 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
100%
2 plays
0%
3 plays
14%
7 plays
4th