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← Back to GamesNov 25, 2023Week 13
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Michigan by 5.2

Home Win Probability

Michigan 64%

Market (Bovada)

Michigan -3

Edge: Michigan -3 (2.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 25, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Ohio StateOhio State
377724
MichiganMichigan
7710630

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-014-314-1017-1724-1727-1730-24
MichiganOhio State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20OSMICOSMICOSMICOSMICOSMICOSMICOSMICOSMICOSMICOSMICPUNT36ydPUNT35ydPUNT522ydPUNT38ydTO10ydTD47ydFG951ydTD1475ydTD773ydPUNT524ydMISS864ydFG646ydTD1275ydTD775ydPUNT31ydFG744ydTD865ydFG1356ydTO444ydEND1-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Ohio State and Michigan
StatisticOhio StateMichigan
Passing18-3017-21
Pass Yards271182
Rush Yards107156
Total Yards378338
Turnovers20
3rd Down4-93-12
Penalties1-53-34
Possession26:3233:28

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Ohio State
passing
Kyle McCord
18/30, 271 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
rushing
TreVeyon Henderson
19 CAR, 60 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Marvin Harrison Jr.
5 REC, 118 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Michigan
passing
J.J. McCarthy
16/20, 148 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Blake Corum
22 CAR, 88 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Colston Loveland
5 REC, 88 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

TreVeyon Henderson run for 5 yds to the OSU 30

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.63

TreVeyon Henderson run for 1 yd to the OSU 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Kyle McCord pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Jesse Mirco punt for 34 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Blake Corum run for 5 yds to the MICH 40

3rd & 5Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.63

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Donovan Edwards for no gain to the MICH 40

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Tommy Doman punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Emeka Egbuka at the OSU 24

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

TreVeyon Henderson run for 2 yds to the OSU 26

2nd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.53

Kyle McCord pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 11 yds to the OSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Kyle McCord pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.66

TreVeyon Henderson run for no gain to the OSU 37

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.60

Kyle McCord pass complete to Xavier Johnson for 9 yds to the OSU 46

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Jesse Mirco punt for 33 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.49

Blake Corum run for 1 yd to the MICH 22

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Donovan Edwards run for 5 yds to the MICH 27

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

J.J. McCarthy run for 2 yds to the MICH 29

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Tommy Doman punt for 71 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+18 ydsPPA -0.61

Kyle McCord pass intercepted by Will Johnson, return for 18 yds to the OSU 7

1st & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Blake Corum run for 1 yd to the OSU 6

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Blake Corum run for 5 yds to the OSU 1

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Blake Corum run for no gain to the OSU 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Blake Corum run for 1 yd for a TD (James Turner KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

TreVeyon Henderson run for 4 yds to the OSU 29

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

TreVeyon Henderson run for 2 yds to the OSU 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +3.14

Kyle McCord pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 24 yds to the MICH 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Kyle McCord pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

Michigan Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Derrick Moore) to the MICH 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds to the MICH 24

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Kyle McCord pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Kyle McCord pass incomplete

4th & 7Field Goal Good+43 yds

Jayden Fielding 43 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Roman Wilson for 9 yds to the MICH 34

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Donovan Edwards run for 2 yds to the MICH 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.46

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Colston Loveland for 16 yds to the OSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Donovan Edwards run for 2 yds to the OSU 46

3rd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.54

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to AJ Barner for 7 yds to the OSU 39

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.76

Blake Corum run for 1 yd to the OSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Donovan Edwards run for 2 yds to the OSU 36

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Donovan Edwards run for 2 yds to the OSU 34

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

J.J. McCarthy run for 5 yds to the OSU 29

4th & 1Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.30

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Colston Loveland for 7 yds to the OSU 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.40

Donovan Edwards run for no gain to the OSU 22

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +3.57

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Roman Wilson for 22 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.30

Chip Trayanum run for 9 yds to the OSU 36

2nd & 1Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +1.76

Kyle McCord pass complete to Cade Stover for 32 yds to the MICH 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Kyle McCord pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 6 yds to the MICH 26

2nd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.05

Kyle McCord pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 7 yds to the MICH 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+4 yds

Michigan Penalty, Defensive Holding (Mason Graham) to the MICH 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Chip Trayanum run for 4 yds to the MICH 3

2nd & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Kyle McCord pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 3 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Donovan Edwards for 5 yds to the MICH 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.06

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 19 yds to the MICH 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Blake Corum run for 3 yds to the OSU 48

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Blake Corum run for 2 yds to the OSU 46

3rd & 5Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.75

J.J. McCarthy sacked by Jack Sawyer for a loss of 5 yards to the MICH 49

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Tommy Doman punt for 49 yds, downed at the OSU 2

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

TreVeyon Henderson run for 2 yds to the OSU 4

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.13

Chip Trayanum run for 1 yd to the OSU 5

3rd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Kyle McCord pass complete to Julian Fleming for 9 yds to the OSU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+44 ydsPPA +3.37

Kyle McCord pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 44 yds to the MICH 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Kyle McCord pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Kyle McCord pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 1 yd to the MICH 41

3rd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.52

Kyle McCord pass complete to Cade Stover for 7 yds to the MICH 34

4th & 2Field Goal Missed+52 yds

Jayden Fielding 52 yd FG MISSED

0th & 2End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.81

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Colston Loveland for 21 yds to the MICH 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.41

Alex Orji run for 20 yds to the OSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Alex Orji run for 2 yds to the OSU 35

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Blake Corum run for 3 yds to the OSU 32

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete

4th & 5Field Goal Good+50 yds

James Turner 50 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.96

Kyle McCord sacked by Mason Graham and Xavier Johnson for a loss of 3 yards to the OSU 22

2nd & 13Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.89

Kyle McCord pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 14 yds to the OSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds to the OSU 39

2nd & 7Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.02

Kyle McCord pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 15 yds to the MICH 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

TreVeyon Henderson run for 4 yds to the MICH 42

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

TreVeyon Henderson run for 5 yds to the MICH 37

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.63

TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds to the MICH 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.29

Chip Trayanum run for 12 yds to the MICH 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Chip Trayanum run for 6 yds to the MICH 16

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.06

Chip Trayanum run for 5 yds to the MICH 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

TreVeyon Henderson run for 8 yds to the MICH 3

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.08

TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Blake Corum run for 5 yds to the MICH 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.23

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Colston Loveland for 10 yds to the MICH 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Donovan Edwards run for 4 yds to the MICH 44

2nd & 6Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.68

J.J. McCarthy run for 15 yds to the OSU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.67

Blake Corum run for 1 yd to the OSU 40

2nd & 9Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.26

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to AJ Barner for 18 yds to the OSU 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +2.65

Blake Corum run for 22 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

TreVeyon Henderson run for 1 yd to the OSU 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Kyle McCord pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Kyle McCord pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Jesse Mirco punt for 43 yds, downed at the MICH 36

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Donovan Edwards run for 5 yds to the MICH 41

2nd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.85

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Roman Wilson for 5 yds to the MICH 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +1.57

Donovan Edwards pass complete to Colston Loveland for 34 yds to the OSU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Blake Corum run for 2 yds to the OSU 18

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Donovan Edwards run for 3 yds to the OSU 15

3rd & 5Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -1.24

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Semaj Morgan for a loss of 5 yards to the OSU 20

4th & 10Field Goal Good+38 yds

James Turner 38 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

TreVeyon Henderson run for 5 yds to the OSU 40

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.04

TreVeyon Henderson run for 7 yds to the OSU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +1.40

Kyle McCord pass complete to Julian Fleming for 28 yds to the MICH 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Kyle McCord pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

TreVeyon Henderson run for 2 yds to the MICH 23

3rd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.92

Xavier Johnson run for 9 yds to the MICH 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

TreVeyon Henderson run for no gain to the MICH 14

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.86

Kyle McCord pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 14 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 6 yds to the MICH 31

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Blake Corum run for 2 yds to the MICH 33

3rd & 2Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +1.15

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 3 yds to the MICH 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Blake Corum run for 6 yds to the MICH 42

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.74

Donovan Edwards run for 6 yds to the MICH 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Blake Corum run for 4 yds to the OSU 48

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 5 yds to the OSU 43

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.91

Blake Corum run for 4 yds to the OSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.44

Blake Corum run for 14 yds to the OSU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Blake Corum run for 2 yds to the OSU 23

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Blake Corum run for 2 yds to the OSU 21

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Blake Corum run for 2 yds to the OSU 19

4th & 4Field Goal Good+37 yds

James Turner 37 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Kyle McCord pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.31

Kyle McCord pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 22 yds to the OSU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+21 ydsPPA +1.56

Kyle McCord pass complete to Julian Fleming for 21 yds Julian Fleming fumbled, recovered by OSU Emeka Egbuka for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

Michigan Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jaylen Harrell) to the MICH 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

[NHSG] Kneel down by MCCARTHY, J.J. at MIC9 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Ohio State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
38%
26 plays
2nd
100%
3 plays
50%
6 plays
40%
10 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
67%
6 plays
4th

Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
46%
26 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
88%
8 plays
30%
10 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
14%
7 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
100%
3 plays