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← Back to GamesNov 25, 2023Week 13
AlabamaAlabama
27
-Final
24
AuburnAuburn
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Alabama by 17.2

Home Win Probability

Auburn 16%

Market (Bovada)

Auburn +14

Edge: Alabama -14 (3.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 25, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
AlabamaAlabama
7103727
AuburnAuburn
777324

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-77-1014-2021-2024-2024-27
AuburnAlabama

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20AUBALAAUBALAAUBALAAUBALAAUBALAAUBALAAUBALAAUBALAAUBALAAUBALAALAAUBPUNT3-9ydTD869ydPUNT35ydPUNT3-1ydTD568ydFG1256ydPUNT1129ydPUNT829ydTD388ydTD381ydPUNT33ydPUNT33ydTO419ydFG1271ydTD575ydMISS751ydFG1672ydPUNT30ydPUNT58ydPUNT37ydTD930ydTO2-14yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Alabama and Auburn
StatisticAlabamaAuburn
Passing16-246-17
Pass Yards25993
Rush Yards192244
Total Yards451337
Turnovers03
3rd Down6-164-12
Penalties8-725-28
Possession32:4327:17

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Alabama
passing
Jalen Milroe
16/24, 259 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Jalen Milroe
18 CAR, 107 YDS
receiving
Jermaine Burton
4 REC, 107 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Auburn
passing
Payton Thorne
5/16, 91 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Jarquez Hunter
14 CAR, 93 YDS
receiving
Ja'Varrius Johnson
4 REC, 76 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Payton Thorne pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Payton Thorne pass incomplete

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Auburn Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the AUB 19

3rd & 15Penalty-5 yds

Auburn Penalty, turnover on downs. PENALTY Illegal Forward Pass on THORNE, Payton enforced (-5 Yards) to the AUB 15

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Oscar Chapman punt for 54 yds, downed at the ALA 31

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Jase McClellan run for 11 yds to the ALA 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.88

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 10 yds to the AUB 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Alabama Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the ALA 43

2nd & 19Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Kendrick Law for 2 yds to the ALA 45

3rd & 17Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +4.17

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Malik Benson for 33 yds to the AUB 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.13

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 11 yds to the AUB 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Roydell Williams run for 9 yds to the AUB 2

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.91

Roydell Williams run for 2 yds for a TD (Will Reichard KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Will Reichard kickoff for 65 yds , Brian Battie return for no gain to the AUB 4

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Jarquez Hunter run for 4 yds to the AUB 8

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Jarquez Hunter run for 1 yd to the AUB 9

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Payton Thorne pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Oscar Chapman punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Jase McClellan run for 1 yd to the AUB 48

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Jalen Milroe run for 6 yds to the AUB 42

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Jase McClellan run for 2 yds to the AUB 40

4th & 1Penalty-10 yds

LAW, Kendrick rush to the left for a gain of 40 yards to the AU0, TOUCHDOWN ALA, score nullified by penalty, clock 07:21 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY ALA Holding on DIPPRE, CJ enforced 10 yards from the AU40 to the ALA50. NO PLAY (replay the down).

4th & 11Punt0 yds

James Burnip punt for 18 yds

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Jarquez Hunter run for 11 yds to the AUB 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+42 ydsPPA +1.91

Jarquez Hunter run for 42 yds to the ALA 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Damari Alston run for 9 yds to the ALA 6

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.26

Damari Alston run for 2 yds to the ALA 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Damari Alston run for 4 yds for a TD (Alex McPherson KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.51

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Isaiah Bond for 16 yds to the ALA 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.17

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 18 yds to the AUB 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Kendrick Law for 4 yds to the AUB 32

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jam Miller run for 5 yds to the AUB 27

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.30

Jam Miller run for 2 yds to the AUB 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Jalen Milroe pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.27

Jase McClellan run for 7 yds to the AUB 18

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.35

Jalen Milroe run for 5 yds to the AUB 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jase McClellan run for 5 yds to the AUB 8

2nd & 5Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.48

Jalen Milroe run for a loss of 2 yards to the AUB 10

3rd & 7Penalty-5 yds

Alabama penalty Illegal Forward Pass on MILROE, Jalen enforced (-5 Yards) to the AUB 14

4th & 11Field Goal Good+32 yds

Will Reichard 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Jarquez Hunter run for 2 yds to the AUB 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Payton Thorne pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.45

Payton Thorne pass complete to Caleb Burton III for 15 yds to the AUB 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Payton Thorne run for 4 yds to the AUB 46

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Jarquez Hunter run for 1 yd to the AUB 47

3rd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.96

Payton Thorne pass complete to Ja'Varrius Johnson for 5 yds to the ALA 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Jarquez Hunter run for 6 yds to the ALA 42

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.31

Jarquez Hunter run for 5 yds to the ALA 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.99

Damari Alston run for a loss of 6 yards to the ALA 43

2nd & 16Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.68

Payton Thorne sacked by Justin Eboigbe for a loss of 5 yards to the ALA 48

3rd & 21Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Jarquez Hunter run for 2 yds to the ALA 46

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Oscar Chapman punt for 45 yds, downed at the ALA 1

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.20

Jalen Milroe run for 1 yd to the ALA 2

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.05

Jase McClellan run for 3 yds to the ALA 5

3rd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.48

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Amari Niblack for 6 yds to the ALA 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jase McClellan run for 5 yds to the ALA 16

2nd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Jalen Milroe run for 9 yds to the ALA 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jase McClellan run for 5 yds to the ALA 30

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Jalen Milroe pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Jalen Milroe pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

James Burnip punt for 48 yds , Keionte Scott returns for no gain to the AUB 17

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.62

Damari Alston run for 8 yds to the AUB 20

2nd & 2Rush+56 ydsPPA +3.43

Damari Alston run for 56 yds to the ALA 24 for a 1ST down Alabama Penalty, Face mask (0 yards) (Jaylen Key) to the ALA 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.53

Ja'Varrius Johnson run for 12 yds for a TD (Alex McPherson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jase McClellan run for 5 yds to the ALA 24

2nd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Jase McClellan for 8 yds to the ALA 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+68 ydsPPA +5.52

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 68 yds for a TD (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Jarquez Hunter run for 6 yds to the AUB 27

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Payton Thorne pass incomplete

3rd & 4Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.47

Payton Thorne sacked by Deontae Lawson for a loss of 3 yards to the AUB 24

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Oscar Chapman punt for 48 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jalen Milroe pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Roydell Williams run for 5 yds to the ALA 30

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Jalen Milroe run for 3 yds to the ALA 33

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

Alabama Penalty, Delay Of Game (James Burnip) to the ALA 28

4th & 7Punt0 yds

James Burnip punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Keionte Scott at the AUB 30

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.77

Payton Thorne run for 19 yds to the AUB 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Payton Thorne pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Payton Thorne pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.94

Payton Thorne pass intercepted Terrion Arnold return for no gain to the ALA 1

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.61

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Amari Niblack for 18 yds to the ALA 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.85

Jase McClellan run for 10 yds to the AUB 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Kendrick Law for 6 yds to the AUB 41

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Jase McClellan run for 1 yd to the AUB 40

3rd & 3Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.39

Jalen Milroe run for 14 yds to the AUB 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.65

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Isaiah Bond for 9 yds to the AUB 17

2nd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.85

Roydell Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the AUB 19

3rd & 3Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.60

Roydell Williams run for 11 yds to the AUB 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Roydell Williams run for 3 yds to the AUB 5

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Jalen Milroe run for 1 yd to the AUB 4

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Jalen Milroe pass incomplete

4th & 4Field Goal Good+22 yds

Will Reichard 22 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Payton Thorne run for 2 yds to the AUB 27

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Jarquez Hunter run for 5 yds to the AUB 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +3.62

Payton Thorne pass complete to Ja'Varrius Johnson for 37 yds to the ALA 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Robby Ashford run for 4 yds to the ALA 27

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +2.89

Payton Thorne pass complete to Ja'Varrius Johnson for 27 yds for a TD (Alex McPherson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+37 ydsPPA +2.98

Jalen Milroe run for 37 yds to the AUB 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.45

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Isaiah Bond for 16 yds to the AUB 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Jalen Milroe run for 4 yds to the AUB 18

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Jase McClellan run for 3 yds to the AUB 15

3rd & 3Penalty-15 yds

Alabama Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the AUB 24

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Jalen Milroe pass incomplete

4th & 12Field Goal Missed+42 yds

Will Reichard 42 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Damari Alston run for 3 yds to the AUB 27

2nd & 7Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.77

Payton Thorne run for 14 yds to the AUB 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Payton Thorne pass complete to Ja'Varrius Johnson for 7 yds to the AUB 48

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.28

Damari Alston run for 4 yds to the ALA 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Payton Thorne run for 3 yds to the ALA 45

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Payton Thorne run for 6 yds to the ALA 39

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.71

Damari Alston run for 3 yds to the ALA 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Payton Thorne run for 4 yds to the ALA 32

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.41

Damari Alston run for 2 yds to the ALA 30

3rd & 4Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Jarquez Hunter pass complete to Robby Ashford for 2 yds to the ALA 28

4th & 2Penalty+5 yds

THORNE, Payton pass deep to the left incomplete intended for JOHNSON JR., Malcolm thrown to the ALA2, clock 13:14. PENALTY ALA Offsides on TURNER, Dallas enforced 5 yards from the ALA28 to the ALA23 and results in a 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush-7 ydsPPA -1.32

Robby Ashford run for a loss of 7 yards to the ALA 30

2nd & 17Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.67

Payton Thorne run for 22 yds to the ALA 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Jarquez Hunter run for 3 yds to the ALA 5

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Payton Thorne pass incomplete

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Jarquez Hunter run for 1 yd to the ALA 4

4th & 4Field Goal Good+21 yds

Alex McPherson 21 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jalen Milroe run for no gain to the ALA 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Jalen Milroe pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Jalen Milroe pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

James Burnip punt for 58 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Jarquez Hunter run for 4 yds to the AUB 26

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.13

Payton Thorne run for 9 yds to the AUB 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Payton Thorne run for 1 yd to the AUB 36

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Payton Thorne pass incomplete

3rd & 9Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.55

Payton Thorne sacked by Dallas Turner for a loss of 6 yards to the AUB 30

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Oscar Chapman punt for 52 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Isaiah Bond for 3 yds to the ALA 21

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Jase McClellan run for 3 yds to the ALA 24

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Jalen Milroe run for 1 yd to the ALA 25

4th & 3Punt0 yds

James Burnip punt for 45 yds , returns for no gain to the AUB 30

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.21

Jalen Milroe run for 11 yds to the AUB 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.45

Jase McClellan run for a loss of 1 yard to the AUB 20

2nd & 11Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.11

Jalen Milroe sacked by Marcus Harris for a loss of 9 yards to the AUB 29

3rd & 20Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.19

Jalen Milroe run for 19 yds to the AUB 10

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.77

Roydell Williams run for 3 yds to the AUB 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.48

Roydell Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the AUB 8

2nd & 8Rush-18 ydsPPA -2.87

run for a loss of 18 yards to the AUB 26

3rd & 26Penalty-5 yds

Alabama Penalty, Illegal Forward Pass on MILROE, Jalen enforced (-5 Yards) to the AUB 31

4th & 31Passing Touchdown+31 ydsPPA +6.93

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Isaiah Bond for 31 yds for a TD (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Sack-14 ydsPPA -0.76

Payton Thorne sacked for a loss of 14 yards to the AUB 1

2nd & 24Pass Interception Return+22 ydsPPA +0.38

Payton Thorne pass intercepted Terrion Arnold return for 22 yds to the AUB 3

Situational Analysis

Alabama

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
62%
29 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
38%
8 plays
43%
7 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
20%
5 plays
0%
1 play
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play

Auburn

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
36%
25 plays
2nd
100%
3 plays
38%
8 plays
43%
7 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
1 play
4th