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← Back to GamesNov 19, 2023Week 12
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Wisconsin by 5.4

Home Win Probability

Wisconsin 67%

Market (Bovada)

Wisconsin -7

Edge: Nebraska +7 (1.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 19, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QOTFinal
NebraskaNebraska
14003017
WisconsinWisconsin
01070724

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-70-147-1410-1417-1417-17
WisconsinNebraska

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NEBWISNEBWISNEBWISNEBWISNEBWISNEBWISNEBWISNEBWISNEBWISNEBWISNEBTD675ydPUNT58ydTD676ydPUNT74ydDOWNS1255ydTD966ydPUNT48ydFG635ydMISS951ydPUNT33ydPUNT3-3ydTD1079ydPUNT31ydDOWNS47ydPUNT716ydDOWNS1153ydPUNT38ydPUNT630ydFG968ydTD825ydTO4-6yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Nebraska and Wisconsin
StatisticNebraskaWisconsin
Passing15-2418-28
Pass Yards169160
Rush Yards195156
Total Yards364316
Turnovers10
3rd Down5-137-15
Penalties7-544-45
Possession31:2028:40

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Nebraska
passing
Chubba Purdy
15/24, 169 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Chubba Purdy
14 CAR, 105 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jaylen Lloyd
1 REC, 58 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Wisconsin
passing
Tanner Mordecai
18/28, 160 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Braelon Allen
22 CAR, 62 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Will Pauling
8 REC, 79 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.70

Chubba Purdy pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for no gain to the NEB 25

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Emmett Johnson run for 8 yds to the NEB 33

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.34

Anthony Grant run for 5 yds to the NEB 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Emmett Johnson run for 5 yds to the NEB 43

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Emmett Johnson run for 2 yds to the NEB 45

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+55 ydsPPA +5.53

Chubba Purdy run for 55 yds for a TD (Tristan Alvano KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Tristan Alvano kickoff for 65 yds , Vinny Anthony II return for 20 yds to the WIS 20

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Vinny Anthony II

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.25

Jackson Acker run for 10 yds to the WIS 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Jackson Acker run for 6 yds to the WIS 36

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Chimere Dike

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY WIS False Start (Nelson,Jack) 5 yards from WIS36 to WIS31. NO PLAY.

3rd & 9Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.34

Tanner Mordecai sacked by Jimari Butler for a loss of 3 yards to the WIS 28

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Atticus Bertrams punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NEB 24

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Chubba Purdy run for 7 yds to the NEB 31

2nd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.51

Chubba Purdy pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 6 yds to the NEB 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Chubba Purdy pass complete to Malachi Coleman for 6 yds to the NEB 43

2nd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Chubba Purdy pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 9 yds to the WIS 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.59

Chubba Purdy run for 10 yds to the NEB 42

2nd & 20Passing Touchdown+58 ydsPPA +6.64

Chubba Purdy pass complete to Jaylen Lloyd for 58 yds for a TD (Tristan Alvano KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+27 yds

Tristan Alvano kickoff for 59 yds , Vinny Anthony II return for 27 yds to the WIS 33

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Will Pauling for 3 yds to the WIS 36

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Braelon Allen run for 3 yds to the WIS 39

3rd & 4Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.39

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Will Pauling for 12 yds to the NEB 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Wisconsin Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the WIS 38

1st & 23Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.77

Tanner Mordecai sacked by Luke Reimer for a loss of 6 yards to the WIS 32

2nd & 29Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Will Pauling for 5 yds to the WIS 37

3rd & 24Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete

4th & 24Punt0 yds

Atticus Bertrams punt for 52 yds

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.49

Chubba Purdy sacked by Jordan Turner for a loss of 3 yards to the NEB 8

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Chubba Purdy pass incomplete to Billy Kemp IV

3rd & 13Penalty+15 yds

Shotgun Purdy,Chubba pass incomplete deep right to Kemp,Billy PENALTY WIS Roughing The Passer (Alliegro,Christian) 15 yards from NEB08 to NEB23, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.78

Anthony Grant run for 10 yds to the NEB 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Anthony Grant run for 4 yds to the NEB 37

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Anthony Grant run for 2 yds to the NEB 39

3rd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.06

Chubba Purdy pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 8 yds to the NEB 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Emmett Johnson run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.21

Chubba Purdy run for 8 yds to the WIS 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.91

Emmett Johnson run for no gain to the WIS 42

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Chubba Purdy run for 5 yds to the WIS 37

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Anthony Grant run for 4 yds to the WIS 33

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.41

Emmett Johnson run for 1 yd to the WIS 34

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Tucker Ashcraft for 5 yds to the WIS 39

2nd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.95

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Quincy Burroughs for 6 yds to the WIS 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Will Pauling

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Braelon Allen run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.95

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Tucker Ashcraft for 6 yds to the NEB 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Skyler Bell for 6 yds to the NEB 38

2nd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.33

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Quincy Burroughs for 9 yds to the NEB 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Tanner Mordecai run for 3 yds to the NEB 26

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +2.95

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Jackson Acker for 26 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK)

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Anthony Grant run for 11 yds to the NEB 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Anthony Grant run for 2 yds to the NEB 38

2nd & 8Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.36

Chubba Purdy sacked by Nyzier Fourqurean for a loss of 7 yards to the NEB 31

3rd & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.10

Chubba Purdy run for 2 yds to the NEB 33

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Brian Buschini punt for 19 yds

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.00

Tanner Mordecai run for 16 yds to the NEB 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.31

Will Pauling run for 11 yds to the NEB 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Braelon Allen run for 2 yds to the NEB 27

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Will Pauling

3rd & 12Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.80

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Skyler Bell for 10 yds to the NEB 17

4th & 2Field Goal Good+35 yds

Nathanial Vakos 35 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Nebraska Penalty, Illegal Block (-10 Yards) to the NEB 16

1st & 19Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.74

Chubba Purdy pass complete to Thomas Fidone II for 12 yds to the NEB 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Chubba Purdy pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 6 yds to the NEB 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

Emmett Johnson run for 2 yds to the NEB 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.22

Chubba Purdy pass complete to Alex Bullock for 13 yds to the NEB 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Shotgun Purdy,Chubba pass complete short right to Bullock,Alex for 18 yards to the WIS33, out of bounds at WIS33 PENALTY NEB Holding (Evans-Jenkins,Justin) 10 yards from NEB49 to NEB39. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +3.18

Chubba Purdy pass complete to Malachi Coleman for 26 yds to the WIS 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.29

Chubba Purdy run for 11 yds to the WIS 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Chubba Purdy pass incomplete to Malachi Coleman

2nd & 10Field Goal Missed+42 yds

Tristan Alvano 42 yd FG MISSED

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Tristan Alvano kickoff for 56 yds , Vinny Anthony II return for 17 yds to the WIS 26

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.61

Jackson Acker run for 1 yd to the WIS 25

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Will Pauling

3rd & 11Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Will Pauling for 4 yds to the WIS 29

4th & 7Punt+6 yds

Atticus Bertrams punt for 40 yds , Ethan Nation returns for 6 yds to the NEB 37

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Chubba Purdy run for 2 yds to the NEB 39

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

Shotgun Purdy,Chubba pass incomplete deep left to Bullock,Alex PENALTY NEB Delay Of Game (Purdy,Chubba) 5 yards from NEB39 to NEB34. NO PLAY.

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Chubba Purdy pass incomplete to Jaylen Lloyd

3rd & 13Punt+4 yds

Brian Buschini punt for 49 yds , Vinny Anthony II returns for 4 yds to the WIS 21

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Braelon Allen run for 2 yds to the WIS 23

2nd & 8Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.56

Tanner Mordecai run for 13 yds to the WIS 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jackson Acker run for 5 yds to the WIS 41

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jackson Acker run for 4 yds to the WIS 45

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.11

Braelon Allen run for 2 yds to the WIS 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Braelon Allen run for 5 yds to the NEB 48

2nd & 5Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.15

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Will Pauling for 17 yds to the NEB 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.70

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Will Pauling for 9 yds to the NEB 22

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.43

Braelon Allen run for 6 yds to the NEB 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+14 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Mordecai,Tanner pass incomplete short left to Pauling,Will PENALTY NEB Pass Interference (Hartzog,Malcolm) 14 yards from NEB16 to NEB02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Braelon Allen run for 2 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Gavin Lahm kickoff for 61 yds , Kwinten Ives return for 23 yds to the NEB 27

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY NEB False Start (Prochazka,Teddy) 5 yards from NEB27 to NEB22. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

Anthony Grant run for no gain to the NEB 22

2nd & 15Penalty0 yds

Nebraska Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Yards) declined

3rd & 15Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.04

Chubba Purdy pass complete to Thomas Fidone II for 6 yds to the NEB 28

4th & 9Punt+25 yds

Brian Buschini punt for 37 yds , Vinny Anthony II returns for 25 yds to the NEB 40

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Braelon Allen run for 4 yds to the NEB 36

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Braelon Allen run for 3 yds to the NEB 33

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.98

Braelon Allen run for no gain to the NEB 33

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.45

Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to C.J. Williams

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jaylen Lloyd run for 5 yds to the NEB 28

2nd & 15Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Chubba Purdy pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 2 yds to the NEB 26

3rd & 17Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.83

Chubba Purdy pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 16 yds to the NEB 42

4th & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +2.34

Emmett Johnson run for 5 yds to the NEB 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Anthony Grant run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 7Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.13

Chubba Purdy pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for no gain to the 50 yard line

3rd & 7Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY NEB False Start (Prochazka,Teddy) 5 yards from NEB50 to NEB45. NO PLAY.

3rd & 12Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Chubba Purdy run for 4 yds to the NEB 49

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Brian Buschini punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Vinny Anthony II at the WIS 15

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Tanner Mordecai run for 2 yds to the WIS 17

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Riley Nowakowski

3rd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.42

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Will Pauling for 12 yds to the WIS 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Braelon Allen run for 3 yds to the WIS 32

2nd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Tucker Ashcraft for 4 yds to the WIS 36

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.67

Tanner Mordecai run for 6 yds to the WIS 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.32

Braelon Allen run for 17 yds to the NEB 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Braelon Allen run for 3 yds to the NEB 38

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Jackson Acker run for 6 yds to the NEB 32

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.95

Jackson Acker run for no gain to the NEB 32

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -2.80

Braelon Allen run for no gain to the NEB 32

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Anthony Grant run for 4 yds to the NEB 36

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Anthony Grant run for 1 yd to the NEB 37

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Chubba Purdy run for 3 yds to the NEB 40

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Brian Buschini punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Vinny Anthony II at the WIS 25

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Braelon Allen run for 5 yds to the WIS 20

2nd & 15Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.53

Tanner Mordecai run for 11 yds to the WIS 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.60

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Will Pauling for 17 yds to the WIS 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Braelon Allen run for 3 yds to the NEB 49

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Braelon Allen run for 4 yds to the NEB 45

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Atticus Bertrams punt for 45 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

Shotgun Purdy,Chubba pass incomplete short middle to Lloyd,Jaylen PENALTY WIS Holding (Fourqurean,Nyzier) 10 yards from NEB20 to NEB30, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Chubba Purdy pass complete to Thomas Fidone II for 5 yds to the NEB 35

2nd & 5Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.98

Emmett Johnson run for 18 yds to the WIS 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Emmett Johnson run for 1 yd to the WIS 48

2nd & 11Rush+22 ydsPPA +2.18

Chubba Purdy run for 22 yds to the WIS 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Emmett Johnson run for 7 yds to the WIS 19

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Emmett Johnson run for 1 yd to the WIS 18

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Chubba Purdy run for 6 yds to the WIS 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Chubba Purdy pass incomplete to Billy Kemp IV

2nd & 10Field Goal Good+30 yds

Tristan Alvano 30 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Tristan Alvano kickoff for 52 yds , Max Lofy return for 17 yds to the WIS 30

0th & 10End of Regulation0 yds

End of 4th Quarter

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.72

Braelon Allen 3 Yd Run (Nathanial Vakos Kick)

No play data available

Situational Analysis

Nebraska

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
48%
23 plays
67%
3 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
67%
6 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
100%
2 plays

Wisconsin

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
45%
22 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
1 play
50%
6 plays
56%
9 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
40%
5 plays
100%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
0%
2 plays