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← Back to GamesNov 19, 2023Week 12
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

South Carolina by 3.2

Home Win Probability

South Carolina 57%

Market (Bovada)

South Carolina -2.5

Edge: South Carolina -2.5 (0.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 19, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
KentuckyKentucky
077014
South CarolinaSouth Carolina
1000717

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40147-010-010-710-1417-14
South CarolinaKentucky

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20KENSCKENSCKENSCKENSCKENSCKENSCKENSCKENSCKENSCKENSCKENSCKENSCPUNT3-1ydTD1169ydPUNT3-12ydFG1251ydTD1275ydPUNT37ydTO755ydPUNT3-8ydTO325ydPUNT39ydEND1-1ydPUNT413ydTD992ydPUNT34ydPUNT32ydPUNT60ydPUNT523ydTD974ydPUNT821ydPUNT36ydTO1-3ydPUNT3-6ydDOWNS620ydEND1-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Kentucky and South Carolina
StatisticKentuckySouth Carolina
Passing17-3419-27
Pass Yards171207
Rush Yards12250
Total Yards293257
Turnovers30
3rd Down6-135-14
Penalties7-529-95
Possession28:2131:39

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Kentucky
passing
Devin Leary
17/34, 171 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Re'Mahn Davis
12 CAR, 61 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Dane Key
4 REC, 51 YDS
defense
D'Eryk Jackson
1 TFL, 1 PD
South Carolina
passing
Spencer Rattler
19/27, 207 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Mario Anderson
13 CAR, 27 YDS
receiving
Xavier Legette
6 REC, 94 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Ray Davis run for 4 yds to the UK 29

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Ray Davis run for 1 yd to the UK 30

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

Shotgun Leary,Devin pass complete short middle to Cummings,Izayah for 10 yards to the KENT40 (Smith,DQ) PENALTY KENT Illegal Shift 5 yards from KENT30 to KENT25. NO PLAY.

3rd & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.18

Devin Leary sacked by Jordan Strachan for a loss of 1 yard to the UK 24

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Wilson Berry punt for 45 yds

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY USC False Start (Babalade,Tree) 5 yards from USC31 to USC26. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.57

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 8 yds to the SC 34

2nd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.32

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Mario Anderson for 7 yds to the SC 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Mario Anderson

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Mario Anderson run for 3 yds to the SC 44

3rd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.59

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Xavier Legette for 10 yds to the UK 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Mario Anderson run for 5 yds to the SC 49 Mario Anderson fumbled, recovered by SC Joshua Simon No Huddle-Shotgun Anderson,Mario rush left for 5 yards loss to the USC49 fumbled by Anderson,Mario at USC47 recovered by USC Simon,Joshua at USC49, End Of Play.

2nd & 15Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Mario Anderson for 4 yds to the UK 47

3rd & 11Rush+22 ydsPPA +3.14

Spencer Rattler run for 12 yds to the UK 35 for a 1ST down Kentucky Penalty, Defensive Holding (Andru Phillips) to the UK 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Joshua Simon for 8 yds to the UK 17

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.32

LaNorris Sellers run for 4 yds to the UK 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.54

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Xavier Legette for 13 yds for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Devin Leary pass incomplete to Tayvion Robinson

2nd & 10Penalty-12 yds

Shotgun Davis,Ray rush middle for 7 yards gain to the KENT32 (Johnson,Tyreek) PENALTY KENT Face Mask (Ray,Dylan) 12 yards from KENT25 to KENT13. NO PLAY.

2nd & 22Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.04

Devin Leary pass incomplete to Tayvion Robinson

3rd & 22Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.02

Devin Leary pass incomplete to Tayvion Robinson

4th & 22Punt0 yds

Wilson Berry punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Jalon Kilgore at the SC 44

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.26

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Xavier Legette for 9 yds to the UK 47

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.24

Xavier Legette run for 4 yds to the UK 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.65

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Nyck Harbor for 18 yds to the UK 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Mario Anderson run for 3 yds to the UK 28

2nd & 13Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.41

Spencer Rattler run for 2 yds to the UK 26

3rd & 11Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.39

Spencer Rattler run for 14 yds to the UK 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Mario Anderson run for 2 yds to the UK 10

2nd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.49

Spencer Rattler run for 8 yds to the UK 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Penalty-10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Sellers,LaNorris rush right for 1 yard gain to the KENT01 (Jackson,D'Eryk) PENALTY USC Holding (Braswell,Djay) 10 yards from KENT02 to KENT12. NO PLAY.

1st & 12Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

LaNorris Sellers run for 5 yds to the UK 7

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Spencer Rattler run for 2 yds to the UK 5

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Xavier Legette

4th & 5Field Goal Good+23 yds

Mitch Jeter 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Mitch Jeter kickoff for 62 yds , Barion Brown return for 22 yds to the UK 25

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 3 yds to the UK 28

2nd & 7Penalty+15 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Leary,Devin pass incomplete deep left to Brown,Barion PENALTY USC Pass Interference (Smith,DQ) 15 yards from KENT28 to KENT43, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Devin Leary pass incomplete to Barion Brown

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.82

Devin Leary pass complete to Anthony Brown-Stephens for 8 yds to the SC 49

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.18

Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 2 yds to the SC 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Devin Leary pass incomplete to Anthony Brown-Stephens

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY KENT False Start (Kattus,Josh) 5 yards from USC47 to KENT48. NO PLAY.

2nd & 15Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.84

Devin Leary pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 18 yds to the SC 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Devin Leary pass complete to Barion Brown for 2 yds to the SC 32

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Devin Leary pass incomplete to Barion Brown

3rd & 8Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.55

Devin Leary pass complete to Izayah Cummings for 20 yds to the SC 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Devin Leary pass incomplete to Tayvion Robinson

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Ray Davis run for 5 yds to the SC 7

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.79

Devin Leary pass complete to Barion Brown for 7 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Mario Anderson run for no gain to the SC 25

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Spencer Rattler run for 7 yds to the SC 32

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Joshua Simon

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Kai Kroeger punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.93

Ramon Jefferson run for 21 yds to the SC 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

South Carolina Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Debo Williams) to the SC 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.49

Ramon Jefferson run for 8 yds to the SC 19

2nd & 2Fumble Recovery (Own)+7 ydsPPA -0.28

Kaiya Sheron run for 7 yds to the SC 26 Kaiya Sheron fumbled, recovered by UK Barion Brown Shotgun Sheron,Kaiya rush right for 7 yards loss to the USC26 fumbled by Sheron,Kaiya at USC24 recovered by KENT Brown,Barion at USC26, End Of Play. The previous play is under review.

3rd & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.21

Devin Leary pass complete to Barion Brown for 14 yds to the SC 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Ramon Jefferson run for 3 yds to the SC 15

2nd & 13Interception0 ydsPPA -3.98

Devin Leary pass intercepted, touchback.

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Trey Knox for 5 yds to the SC 25

2nd & 5Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.74

Xavier Legette run for 17 yds to the SC 8

3rd & 22Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.00

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Trey Knox for 4 yds to the SC 12

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Kai Kroeger punt for 39 yds , Tayvion Robinson returns for no gain to the UK 42

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Ray Davis run for 5 yds to the UK 47

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.44

Ray Davis run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 2Fumble Recovery (Own)+17 ydsPPA +1.99

Devin Leary pass complete to Dane Key for 17 yds Dane Key fumbled, recovered by SC DQ Smith Shotgun Leary,Devin pass complete short left to Key,Dane for 17 yards to the USC33 fumbled by Key,Dane at USC38 forced by Kilgore,Jalon recovered by USC Smith,DQ at USC33 Smith,DQ return 0 yards to the USC33 lateral to Floyd,Emory for 1 yard gain to the USC34 (McClain,JuTahn).

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Mario Anderson run for 4 yds to the SC 38

2nd & 6Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.55

Spencer Rattler sacked by Deone Walker for a loss of 6 yards to the SC 32

3rd & 12Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.67

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Mario Anderson for 11 yds to the SC 43

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Kai Kroeger punt for 47 yds

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.40

Kneel down by Kentucky at KENT09 for loss of 1 yard.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 13 yds to the SC 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Ahmarean Brown

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Joshua Simon

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Xavier Legette

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Kai Kroeger punt for 54 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Ray Davis run for 5 yds to the UK 13

2nd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.40

Devin Leary pass complete to Barion Brown for 7 yds to the UK 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Ray Davis run for 1 yd to the UK 19

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Devin Leary pass incomplete to Dane Key

3rd & 11Penalty+15 yds

Shotgun Leary,Devin pass incomplete deep right to Cummings,Izayah PENALTY USC Personal Foul (Sanders,T.J.) 15 yards from KENT19 to KENT34, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Ray Davis run for 3 yds to the UK 37

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Ramon Jefferson run for 3 yds to the UK 40

3rd & 4Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.61

Devin Leary pass complete to Izayah Cummings for 15 yds to the SC 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.63

Devin Leary pass complete to Dane Key for 14 yds to the SC 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+31 ydsPPA +2.84

Ray Davis run for 31 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Ahmarean Brown run for 1 yd to the SC 26

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Djay Braswell run for 3 yds to the SC 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Xavier Legette

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Kai Kroeger punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Tayvion Robinson at the UK 23

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Ray Davis run for 2 yds to the UK 25

2nd & 8Penalty-10 yds

Leary,Devin pass complete short left to Davis,Ray for 9 yards to the KENT34 (Floyd,Emory) PENALTY KENT Holding (Kattus,Josh) 10 yards from KENT25 to KENT15. NO PLAY.

2nd & 18Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.22

Devin Leary pass complete to Dane Key for 10 yds to the UK 25

3rd & 8Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY KENT False Start (Flax,Jeremy) 5 yards from KENT25 to KENT20. NO PLAY.

3rd & 13Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Devin Leary run for 5 yds to the UK 25

4th & 8Punt+15 yds

Wilson Berry punt for 44 yds , Jalon Kilgore returns for 15 yds to the SC 46

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Xavier Legette run for 2 yds to the SC 48

2nd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.45

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 8 yds to the UK 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.51

Mario Anderson run for 11 yds to the UK 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Mario Anderson run for 1 yd to the UK 32

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.61

Spencer Rattler run for 1 yd to the UK 31

3rd & 8Sack-18 ydsPPA -3.22

Spencer Rattler sacked by Octavious Oxendine for a loss of 18 yards to the UK 49

4th & 26Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY USC False Start 5 yards from KENT49 to USC46. NO PLAY.

4th & 31Punt0 yds

Kai Kroeger punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Tayvion Robinson at the UK 7

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Ramon Jefferson run for 6 yds to the UK 13

2nd & 4Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.82

Ramon Jefferson run for 15 yds to the UK 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Ray Davis run for 2 yds to the UK 30

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Devin Leary pass incomplete to Barion Brown

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Devin Leary pass incomplete to Tayvion Robinson

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Wilson Berry punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Jalon Kilgore at the SC 26

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Rattler,Spencer pass incomplete short right to Legette,Xavier QB hurried by Rayner,Daveren PENALTY USC Holding (Lee,Vershon) 10 yards from USC26 to USC16. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.13

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 1 yd to the SC 17

2nd & 19Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Trey Knox for 4 yds to the SC 21

3rd & 15Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +3.36

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Xavier Legette for 28 yds to the SC 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.86

Mario Anderson run for 8 yds to the UK 43

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Mario Anderson run for 3 yds to the UK 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +0.60

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Trey Knox for 22 yds to the UK 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Ahmarean Brown run for 1 yd to the UK 19

2nd & 11Penalty-15 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Rattler,Spencer pass complete short right to Anderson,Mario for 9 yards to the KENT10 (Hardaway,JQ) PENALTY USC Illegal Block in Back (Blake,O'Mega) 15 yards from KENT19 to KENT34. NO PLAY.

2nd & 26Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.06

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Xavier Legette for 17 yds to the UK 17

3rd & 9Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +3.26

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Xavier Legette for 17 yds for a TD (Mitch Jeter KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Ray Davis run for 1 yd to the UK 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Devin Leary pass complete to Demie Sumo-Karngbaye for 3 yds to the UK 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.60

Devin Leary pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 6 yds to the UK 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Tayvion Robinson run for 6 yds to the UK 41

2nd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.08

Devin Leary pass complete to Dane Key for 10 yds to the SC 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Devin Leary pass incomplete to Ray Davis

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Devin Leary pass incomplete to Barion Brown

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Devin Leary pass incomplete to Barion Brown

4th & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY KENT Delay Of Game 5 yards from USC49 to KENT46. NO PLAY.

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Wilson Berry punt for 53 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Spencer Rattler run for 2 yds to the SC 3

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Mario Anderson run for 4 yds to the SC 7

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Nyck Harbor

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Kai Kroeger punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Tayvion Robinson at the 50 yard line

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+3 ydsPPA -3.16

Devin Leary run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line Devin Leary fumbled, recovered by SC Tonka Hemingway , return to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Mario Anderson run for 1 yd to the SC 49

2nd & 11Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY USC False Start 5 yards from USC49 to USC44. NO PLAY.

2nd & 16Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Mario Anderson run for no gain to the SC 44

3rd & 16Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Xavier Legette run for no gain to the SC 44

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Kai Kroeger punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UK 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Devin Leary pass complete to Izayah Cummings for 8 yds to the UK 28

2nd & 2Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Devin Leary pass complete to Ray Davis for 7 yds to the UK 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Devin Leary pass incomplete to Barion Brown

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Devin Leary pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 5 yds to the UK 40

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Devin Leary pass incomplete to Tayvion Robinson

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Devin Leary pass incomplete to Tayvion Robinson

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.27

Kneel down by South Carolina at KENT42 for loss of 2 yards.

Situational Analysis

Kentucky

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
35%
26 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
60%
5 plays
38%
8 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
75%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play

South Carolina

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
43%
23 plays
67%
3 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
40%
10 plays
20%
5 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
0%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
67%
6 plays
4th