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← Back to GamesNov 18, 2023Week 12
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Ohio State by 34.1

Home Win Probability

Ohio State 97%

Market (Bovada)

Ohio State -27.5

Edge: Ohio State -27.5 (6.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 18, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
MinnesotaMinnesota
00033
Ohio StateOhio State
7617737

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-010-013-027-037-037-3
Ohio StateMinnesota

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MINOSMINOSMINOSMINOSMINOSOSMINOSMINOSMINOSMINOSMINOSPUNT35ydTD885ydPUNT519ydPUNT36ydPUNT415ydFG958ydPUNT633ydFG1181ydPUNT618ydEND69ydTD175ydTO1-3ydTD36ydTO517ydFG515ydPUNT425ydTD1684ydFG1239ydPUNT35ydPUNT31ydEND517yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Minnesota and Ohio State
StatisticMinnesotaOhio State
Passing11-1922-32
Pass Yards89219
Rush Yards70215
Total Yards159434
Turnovers20
3rd Down3-1210-16
Penalties1-155-43
Possession28:3831:22

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Minnesota
passing
Athan Kaliakmanis
11/19, 89 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Jordan Nubin
19 CAR, 49 YDS
receiving
Corey Crooms
2 REC, 42 YDS
defense
Ohio State
passing
Kyle McCord
20/30, 212 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
TreVeyon Henderson
15 CAR, 146 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Emeka Egbuka
5 REC, 83 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Jordan Nubin run for 2 yds to the MINN 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Elijah Spencer

3rd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Athan Kaliakmanis run for 3 yds to the MINN 30

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Jayden Ballard at the OSU 15

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.93

TreVeyon Henderson run for 15 yds to the OSU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

TreVeyon Henderson run for 4 yds to the OSU 34

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.17

TreVeyon Henderson run for 7 yds to the OSU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Kyle McCord pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 13 yds to the MINN 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.53

Chip Trayanum run for 10 yds to the MINN 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.39

Kyle McCord pass complete to Cade Stover for 16 yds to the MINN 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.19

Chip Trayanum run for 11 yds to the MINN 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

TreVeyon Henderson run for 9 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Zach Evans run for 6 yds to the MINN 31

2nd & 4Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.18

Zach Evans run for 11 yds to the MINN 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Jordan Nubin run for 2 yds to the MINN 40

2nd & 12Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Jordan Nubin run for 5 yds to the MINN 45

3rd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.57

Jordan Nubin run for 1 yd to the MINN 44

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 53 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds to the OSU 6

2nd & 7Penalty-3 yds

Shotgun Henderson,TreVeyon rush left for 3 yards gain to the OSU09 (Stolsky,Tyler) PENALTY OSU Holding (Stover,Cade) 3 yards from OSU06 to OSU03. NO PLAY.

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.07

Kyle McCord pass complete to Cade Stover for 6 yds to the OSU 9

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Kyle McCord pass incomplete to Marvin Harrison Jr.

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Jesse Mirco punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Quentin Redding at the MINN 45

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.80

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Corey Crooms Jr. for 10 yds to the OSU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Jordan Nubin run for 3 yds to the OSU 42

2nd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Jordan Nubin for 3 yds to the OSU 45

3rd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Athan Kaliakmanis run for 5 yds to the OSU 40

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Jayden Ballard at the OSU 13

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.27

Kyle McCord pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 20 yds to the OSU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Kyle McCord pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 5 yds to the OSU 38

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

TreVeyon Henderson run for 4 yds to the OSU 42

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.20

TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds to the OSU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.49

Kyle McCord pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 26 yds to the MINN 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Kyle McCord pass incomplete to Marvin Harrison Jr.

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Kyle McCord pass incomplete to Marvin Harrison Jr.

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Kyle McCord pass incomplete to Emeka Egbuka

4th & 10Field Goal Good+47 yds

Jayden Fielding 47 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jordan Nubin run for 4 yds to the MINN 21

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Daniel Jackson

3rd & 14Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +3.66

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Corey Crooms Jr. for 32 yds to the OSU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Jordan Nubin run for 2 yds to the OSU 45

2nd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Nick Kallerup for 3 yds to the OSU 42

3rd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -1.08

Jordan Nubin run for no gain to the OSU 42

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Jayden Ballard at the OSU 11

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

TreVeyon Henderson run for 2 yds to the OSU 13

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Kyle McCord pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 6 yds to the OSU 19

3rd & 2Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.30

Kyle McCord pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 8 yds to the OSU 27 for a 1ST down Minnesota Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Justin Walley) to the OSU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.59

Kyle McCord pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 23 yds to the MINN 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

TreVeyon Henderson run for 4 yds to the MINN 31

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

TreVeyon Henderson run for 4 yds to the MINN 27

3rd & 2Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.06

Kyle McCord pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 21 yds to the MINN 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Kyle McCord pass incomplete to Cade Stover

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

TreVeyon Henderson run for 2 yds to the MINN 8

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Kyle McCord pass incomplete to Emeka Egbuka

4th & 8Field Goal Good+26 yds

Jayden Fielding 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 9 yds to the MINN 34

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.28

Jordan Nubin run for no gain to the MINN 34

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.05

Athan Kaliakmanis run for 3 yds to the MINN 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 6 yds to the MINN 43

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.20

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Daniel Jackson

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Daniel Jackson

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 54 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OSU 3

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds to the OSU 6

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.08

TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds to the OSU 9

3rd & 4Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.81

TreVeyon Henderson run for 12 yds to the OSU 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY OSU False Start 5 yards from OSU21 to OSU16. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Kyle McCord pass incomplete to TreVeyon Henderson

2nd & 15Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.05

Kyle McCord pass complete to Cade Stover for 3 yds to the OSU 19

0th & 12End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

3rd & 12Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.13

Kyle McCord sacked by Jah Joyner for a loss of 7 yards to the OSU 12

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+75 ydsPPA +6.08

TreVeyon Henderson run for 75 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-3 ydsPPA -0.96

Athan Kaliakmanis sacked by Jack Sawyer for a loss of 3 yards to the MINN 6 Athan Kaliakmanis fumbled, recovered by OSU JT Tuimoloau , return for 0 yards

1st & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Kyle McCord pass incomplete to Emeka Egbuka

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Chip Trayanum run for 2 yds to the MINN 4

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.70

Kyle McCord pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 4 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Jordan Nubin run for 7 yds to the MINN 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.72

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 8 yds to the MINN 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Jordan Nubin run for 2 yds to the MINN 42

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Daniel Jackson

3rd & 8Penalty+15 yds

Ohio State Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the MINN 29

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.22

Kyle McCord pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 13 yds to the MINN 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Chip Trayanum run for 2 yds to the MINN 14

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Kyle McCord pass incomplete to Julian Fleming

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Kyle McCord pass incomplete to Chip Trayanum

4th & 8Field Goal Good+32 yds

Jayden Fielding 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.89

Jordan Nubin run for 21 yds to the MINN 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Jordan Nubin run for 3 yds to the MINN 49

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Jordan Nubin run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Brevyn Spann-Ford

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Jayden Ballard at the OSU 16

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Dallan Hayden run for 2 yds to the OSU 18

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Kyle McCord pass complete to Carnell Tate for 6 yds to the OSU 24

3rd & 2Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.86

Kyle McCord pass complete to Julian Fleming for 4 yds to the OSU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.39

Dallan Hayden run for 15 yds to the OSU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Dallan Hayden run for 4 yds to the OSU 47

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Dallan Hayden run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.65

Kyle McCord pass complete to Julian Fleming for 6 yds to the MINN 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Kyle McCord run for 2 yds to the MINN 42

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.04

Kyle McCord pass complete to Patrick Gurd for 9 yds to the MINN 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.30

Kyle McCord pass complete to Xavier Johnson for 14 yds to the MINN 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Dallan Hayden run for 5 yds to the MINN 14

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Dallan Hayden run for 1 yd to the MINN 13

3rd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.95

Kyle McCord pass complete to Xavier Johnson for 8 yds to the MINN 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Dallan Hayden run for 3 yds to the MINN 2

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Dallan Hayden run for 1 yd to the MINN 1

3rd & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Kyle McCord pass complete to Cade Stover for 1 yd for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

Ohio State Penalty, Defensive Holding (Gabe Powers) to the MINN 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Jordan Nubin run for 7 yds to the MINN 42

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.26

Jordan Nubin run for 3 yds to the MINN 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.94

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 8 yds to the OSU 47

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Jordan Nubin run for 3 yds to the OSU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Athan Kaliakmanis run for 4 yds to the OSU 48

2nd & 14Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.64

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 12 yds to the OSU 36

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Jordan Nubin for 4 yds to the OSU 30

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Jordan Nubin run for 3 yds to the OSU 33

3rd & 9Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.63

Athan Kaliakmanis sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the OSU 36

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.71

Athan Kaliakmanis run for 2 yds to the OSU 34 for a 1ST down

4th & 12Field Goal Good+54 yds

Dragan Kesich 54 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Evan Pryor run for no gain to the OSU 25

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Evan Pryor run for 3 yds to the OSU 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Lincoln Kienholz pass complete to Evan Pryor for 2 yds to the OSU 30

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Jesse Mirco punt for 51 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Daniel Jackson

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Sean Tyler run for 1 yd to the MINN 20

3rd & 9Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.13

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Sean Tyler for no gain to the MINN 20

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Brandon Inniss at the OSU 40

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Evan Pryor run for 5 yds to the OSU 45

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.44

Evan Pryor run for 3 yds to the OSU 48

3rd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.48

Lincoln Kienholz pass complete to Joe Royer for 5 yds to the MINN 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Evan Pryor run for 2 yds to the MINN 45

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Evan Pryor run for 2 yds to the MINN 43

Situational Analysis

Minnesota

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
42%
19 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
6 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
0%
3 plays
20%
5 plays
100%
1 play
4th

Ohio State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
3 plays
57%
28 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
1 play
13%
8 plays
44%
9 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
100%
7 plays
75%
4 plays
0%
4 plays
0%
1 play
4th