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← Back to GamesNov 19, 2023Week 12
FloridaFlorida
31
-Final
33
MissouriMissouri
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Missouri by 20.2

Home Win Probability

Missouri 88%

Market (Bovada)

Missouri -12.5

Edge: Missouri -12.5 (7.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 19, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
FloridaFlorida
70141031
MissouriMissouri
310101033

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428423-03-710-713-713-1420-1423-2130-2833-31
MissouriFlorida

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MISFLOMISFLOMISFLOMISFLOMISFLOMISFLOFLOMISFLOMISFLOMISFLOMISFLOMISFLOFG1270ydTD580ydPUNT32ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT514ydPUNT32ydTD351ydPUNT824ydPUNT626ydTO520ydFG741ydEND630ydTD475ydTD875ydTD382ydFG768ydTO1056ydTD281ydTD1075ydPUNT611ydFG845ydFG1262ydEND217yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Florida and Missouri
StatisticFloridaMissouri
Passing18-2620-35
Pass Yards239331
Rush Yards261177
Total Yards500508
Turnovers20
3rd Down5-119-16
Penalties9-487-60
Possession33:0826:52

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Florida
passing
Graham Mertz
14/21, 183 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Montrell Johnson
12 CAR, 85 YDS
receiving
Ricky Pearsall
2 REC, 72 YDS
defense
Missouri
passing
Brady Cook
20/34, 331 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Cody Schrader
23 CAR, 148 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Luther Burden III
9 REC, 158 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Brady Cook run for 5 yds to the MIZ 30

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Cody Schrader run for 3 yds to the MIZ 33

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.25

Cody Schrader run for 4 yds to the MIZ 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.44

Nathaniel Peat run for 16 yds to the FLA 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.74

Cody Schrader run for 15 yds to the FLA 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Cody Schrader run for 7 yds to the FLA 25

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.63

Cody Schrader run for no gain to the FLA 25

3rd & 3Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.71

Brady Cook pass complete to Brett Norfleet for 16 yds to the FLA 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Brady Cook pass incomplete

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Brady Cook run for 4 yds to the FLA 5

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Brady Cook pass incomplete

4th & 5Field Goal Good+22 yds

Harrison Mevis 22 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Graham Mertz pass complete to Kahleil Jackson for 7 yds to the FLA 27

2nd & 3Pass Reception+61 ydsPPA +3.33

Graham Mertz pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 61 yds to the MIZ 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.30

Graham Mertz pass complete to Eugene Wilson III for no gain to the MIZ 12

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 4 yds to the MIZ 8

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.86

Graham Mertz pass complete to Eugene Wilson III for 8 yds for a TD (Trey Smack KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Brady Cook run for 3 yds to the MIZ 35

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.88

Cody Schrader run for a loss of 1 yard to the MIZ 34

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Brady Cook pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Riley Williams punt for 50 yds, downed at the FLA 16

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Graham Mertz pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.14

Graham Mertz pass complete to Eugene Wilson III for 2 yds to the FLA 18

3rd & 8Penalty-5 yds

Florida Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FLA 13

3rd & 13Penalty-5 yds

Florida Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the FLA 8

3rd & 18Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.02

Graham Mertz run for 7 yds to the FLA 15

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 55 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 7 yds to the MIZ 37

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.56

Cody Schrader run for 6 yds to the MIZ 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Cody Schrader run for 1 yd to the MIZ 44

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Brady Cook pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Brady Cook pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Riley Williams punt for 45 yds, downed at the FLA 11

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Florida Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FLA 6

1st & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.10

Trevor Etienne run for 2 yds to the FLA 8

2nd & 13Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Graham Mertz pass complete to Hayden Hansen for 5 yds to the FLA 13

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Graham Mertz pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 38 yds, downed at the MIZ 49

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Cody Schrader run for 2 yds to the FLA 49

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Brady Cook pass complete to Mookie Cooper for 7 yds to the FLA 42

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+42 ydsPPA +3.96

Cody Schrader run for 42 yds for a TD (Harrison Mevis KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 5 yds to the FLA 30

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.84

Graham Mertz run for 6 yds to the FLA 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 4 yds to the FLA 40

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 4 yds to the FLA 44

3rd & 2Penalty-5 yds

Florida Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FLA 39

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.36

Graham Mertz pass complete to Eugene Wilson III for 8 yds to the FLA 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the FLA 49

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Graham Mertz pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.76

Graham Mertz pass complete to Trevor Etienne for no gain to the FLA 49

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Kris Abrams-Draine at the MIZ 10

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Cody Schrader run for 4 yds to the MIZ 14

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Nathaniel Peat run for 2 yds to the MIZ 16

3rd & 4Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.20

Brady Cook pass complete to Brett Norfleet for 12 yds to the MIZ 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.10

Cody Schrader run for a loss of 3 yards to the MIZ 25

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Brady Cook pass incomplete

3rd & 13Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.41

Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 11 yds to the MIZ 36

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Riley Williams punt for 44 yds, downed at the FLA 20

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Graham Mertz pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+12 yds

MERTZ, Graham pass to the right incomplete intended for PEARSALL, Ricky thrown to the FLA31. PENALTY MIZ Pass Interference on NORWOOD, Dreyden enforced at the spot of the foul for 12 yards to the FLA32 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -1.46

Graham Mertz pass complete to Eugene Wilson III for a loss of 5 yards to the FLA 27

2nd & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.20

Graham Mertz run for 1 yd to the FLA 28

3rd & 14Penalty+10 yds

MERTZ, Graham pass deep to the left incomplete thrown to the MIZ40. PENALTY MIZ Holding on ABRAMS-DRAINE, Kris enforced 10 yards from the FLA28 to the FLA38 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Trevor Etienne run for 2 yds to the FLA 40

2nd & 8Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.38

Graham Mertz pass intercepted Jaylon Carlies return for no gain to the MIZ 37

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Cody Schrader run for 3 yds to the MIZ 40

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Brady Cook pass incomplete

3rd & 7Rush+34 ydsPPA +3.68

Cody Schrader run for 34 yds to the FLA 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 3 yds to the FLA 23

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Cody Schrader run for 6 yds to the FLA 17

3rd & 1Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.27

Brady Cook run for a loss of 5 yards to the FLA 22

4th & 6Field Goal Good+38 yds

Harrison Mevis 38 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.96

Graham Mertz pass complete to Eugene Wilson III for a loss of 3 yards to the FLA 22

2nd & 13Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.28

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 18 yds to the FLA 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.07

Graham Mertz pass complete to Montrell Johnson Jr. for 12 yds to the MIZ 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Graham Mertz pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty0 yds

Florida Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Graham Mertz) to the FLA 40

3rd & 22Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.01

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 15 yds to the MIZ 45

0th & 22End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

ETIENNE, Trevor rush up the middle for a gain of 8 yards to the FLA33 (RAKESTRAW JR., Ennis;NEWSON, Triston). PENALTY MIZ Offsides on WALKER, Johnny enforced 5 yards from the FLA25 to the FLA30 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 5Rush+30 ydsPPA +1.47

Trevor Etienne run for 30 yds to the MIZ 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Trevor Etienne run for no gain to the MIZ 40

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.29

Graham Mertz pass complete to Eugene Wilson III for 13 yds to the MIZ 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

ETIENNE, Trevor rush to the right for a gain of 8 yards to the MIZ19 (HICKS, Chuck). PENALTY FLA Holding on LEONARD IV, Richie enforced 10 yards from the MIZ27 to the MIZ37 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Passing Touchdown+37 ydsPPA +3.99

Graham Mertz pass complete to Trevor Etienne for 37 yds for a TD (Trey Smack KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 8 yds to the MIZ 33

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.12

Cody Schrader run for 4 yds to the MIZ 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +2.35

Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 38 yds to the FLA 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Brady Cook pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.64

Brady Cook pass complete to Brett Norfleet for 15 yds to the FLA 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Cody Schrader run for 9 yds to the FLA 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Cody Schrader run for no gain to the FLA 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Brady Cook run for 1 yd for a TD (Harrison Mevis KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +3.08

Graham Mertz pass complete to Hayden Hansen for 38 yds to the MIZ 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Trevor Etienne run for 5 yds to the MIZ 39

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+39 ydsPPA +3.32

Ricky Pearsall run for 39 yds for a TD (Trey Smack KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 11 yds to the MIZ 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Cody Schrader run for 1 yd to the MIZ 37

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Brady Cook pass incomplete

1st & 7Penalty-10 yds

SCHRADER, Cody rush to the left for a gain of 6 yards to the FLA1 (MARSHALL JR., Jason). PENALTY MIZ Holding on FOSTER, Javon enforced 10 yards from the FLA7 to the FLA17 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 17Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Cody Schrader run for 4 yds to the FLA 13

2nd & 13Penalty-5 yds

COOK, Brady pass up the middle complete for 13 yards to NORFLEET, Brett caught at the FLA0 and advanced to the FLA0, TOUCHDOWN MIZ, score nullified by penalty, clock 04:51 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY MIZ Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on NORFLEET, Brett enforced 5 yards from the FLA13 to the FLA18 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 18Penalty+5 yds

COOK, Brady pass deep to the right incomplete intended for BURDEN, Luther broken up by HILL, Jaydon at the FLA0; QB hurried by UMANMIELEN, Princely, clock 04:42. PENALTY FLA Offsides on BANKS, Caleb enforced 5 yards from the FLA18 to the FLA13 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 13Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.09

Brady Cook run for 6 yds to the FLA 7

3rd & 7Field Goal Good+24 yds

Harrison Mevis 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Graham Mertz pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 5 yds to the FLA 30

3rd & 5Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.08

Graham Mertz run for 11 yds to the FLA 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the FLA 43

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Max Brown pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 7 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 1Rush+26 ydsPPA +2.03

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 26 yds to the MIZ 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds to the MIZ 21

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

Florida Penalty, False Start (Jake Slaughter) to the MIZ 26

2nd & 12Penalty0 yds

Missouri Penalty, Personal Foul (Johnny Walker Jr.) to the MIZ 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.49

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the MIZ 15

2nd & 13Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-4 ydsPPA -3.98

Max Brown run for a loss of 4 yards to the MIZ 19 Max Brown fumbled, recovered by MIZ Kristian Williams [NHSG] QB Keeper BROWN, Max rush up the middle for a loss of 4 yards, BROWN, Max fumbled at MIZ19 , recovered by MIZ WILLIAMS, Kristian at the MIZ19, returned 0 yards to the MIZ19, End of Play, clock 14:01.

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Cody Schrader run for 4 yds to the MIZ 23

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+77 ydsPPA +6.52

Brady Cook pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for 77 yds for a TD (Harrison Mevis KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Trevor Etienne run for 2 yds to the FLA 27

2nd & 8Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.76

Max Brown sacked by Darius Robinson for a loss of 7 yards to the FLA 20

3rd & 15Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.24

Max Brown run for 11 yds to the FLA 31

4th & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.90

Max Brown pass complete to Kahleil Jackson for 5 yds to the FLA 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.10

Max Brown pass complete to Kahleil Jackson for 27 yds to the MIZ 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.57

Trevor Etienne run for 1 yd to the MIZ 36

2nd & 9Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.94

Max Brown run for 12 yds to the MIZ 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Max Brown run for 2 yds to the MIZ 22

2nd & 8Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.49

Trevor Etienne run for 13 yds to the MIZ 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Trevor Etienne run for 9 yds for a TD (Trey Smack KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 5 yds to the MIZ 30

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Brady Cook pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.59

Brady Cook pass complete to Mookie Cooper for 6 yds to the MIZ 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Cody Schrader run for 3 yds to the MIZ 39

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.90

Cody Schrader run for no gain to the MIZ 39

3rd & 7Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.68

Brady Cook sacked by Princely Umanmielen for a loss of 3 yards to the MIZ 36

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Riley Williams punt for 26 yds, downed at the FLA 38

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.03

Trevor Etienne run for 11 yds to the FLA 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Trevor Etienne run for 5 yds to the MIZ 46

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Trevor Etienne run for 2 yds to the MIZ 44

3rd & 3Rush+27 ydsPPA +1.90

Max Brown run for 27 yds to the MIZ 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.42

Trevor Etienne run for a loss of 1 yard to the MIZ 18

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.56

Trevor Etienne run for a loss of 1 yard to the MIZ 19

3rd & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Trevor Etienne run for 2 yds to the MIZ 17

4th & 10Field Goal Good+35 yds

Trey Smack 35 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Brady Cook pass complete to Cody Schrader for 2 yds to the MIZ 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Brady Cook pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.25

Brady Cook pass complete to Mekhi Miller for 13 yds to the MIZ 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Missouri Penalty, False Start (Armand Membou) to the MIZ 35

1st & 15Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.93

Brady Cook pass complete to Cody Schrader for a loss of 2 yards to the MIZ 33

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Brady Cook pass incomplete

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Brady Cook pass incomplete

4th & 17Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +4.11

Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 27 yds to the FLA 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Brady Cook pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.25

Brady Cook pass complete to Mekhi Miller for 11 yds to the FLA 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Brady Cook pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.78

Brady Cook pass complete to Mookie Cooper for 16 yds to the FLA 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Field Goal Good+30 yds

Harrison Mevis 30 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Max Brown pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.83

Max Brown pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 13 yds to the FLA 42 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Florida

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
32%
28 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
50%
4 plays
55%
11 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
100%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Missouri

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
40%
25 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
42%
12 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play