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← Back to GamesNov 18, 2023Week 12

House Prediction

Model Margin

Liberty by 35.7

Home Win Probability

Liberty 97%

Market (Bovada)

Liberty -25.5

Edge: Liberty -25.5 (10.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 18, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
MassachusettsMassachusetts
01001525
LibertyLiberty
21147749

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-014-021-028-028-735-1042-1049-1049-1849-25
LibertyMassachusetts

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20LIBMASLIBMASLIBMASLIBMASLIBMASLIBMASMASLIBMASMASLIBMASLIBMASLIBMASLIBMASLIBTD1075ydTO720ydTD440ydPUNT513ydTD269ydPUNT722ydTD1293ydTD571ydTD675ydFG1158ydTO310ydMISS419ydTO10ydMISS4-2ydTD730ydPUNT38ydTO583ydPUNT36ydTD870ydTD575ydDOWNS1144ydPUNT35ydDOWNS718ydTD354ydEND2-3yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Massachusetts and Liberty
StatisticMassachusettsLiberty
Passing25-4111-22
Pass Yards293225
Rush Yards98324
Total Yards391549
Turnovers32
3rd Down4-126-11
Penalties7-433-15
Possession25:5934:01

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Massachusetts
passing
Taisun Phommachanh
22/38, 239 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Kay'Ron Adams
17 CAR, 92 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Mark Pope
6 REC, 90 YDS
defense
Liberty
passing
Kaidon Salter
11/16, 225 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Kaidon Salter
13 CAR, 118 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Kylen Austin
1 REC, 46 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Kaidon Salter pass complete to Aaron Bedgood for 2 yds to the LIB 27

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.43

Quinton Cooley run for 7 yds to the LIB 34

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.05

Quinton Cooley run for 3 yds to the LIB 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Aaron Bedgood run for 8 yds to the LIB 45

2nd & 2Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.40

Kaidon Salter pass complete to Aaron Bedgood for 8 yds to the MASS 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +1.09

Kaidon Salter pass complete to Errol Rogers Jr. for 36 yds to the MASS 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Aaron Bedgood run for 2 yds to the MASS 9

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Kaidon Salter pass incomplete

3rd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.03

Kaidon Salter run for 8 yds to the MASS 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Kaidon Salter run for 1 yd for a TD (Nick Brown KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 3 yds to the MASS 28

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

Massachusetts Penalty, False Start (Jonny Hassard) to the MASS 23

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.41

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Anthony Simpson for 11 yds to the MASS 34

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.75

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 3 yds to the MASS 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Anthony Simpson for 3 yds to the MASS 40

3rd & 7Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+5 ydsPPA -0.60

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Anthony Simpson for 5 yds Anthony Simpson fumbled, recovered by LIB Brandon Bishop [NHSG] PHOMMACHANH, Taisun pass short up the middle complete for 5 yards to SIMPSON, Anthony caught at the MAS44, SIMPSON, Anthony fumbled at MAS45 forced by HODGE, Preston, recovered by LIB BISHOP, Brandon at the MAS45, returned 5 yards to the MAS40 (HASSARD, Jonny;HODGE, Preston), clock 07:57.

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.45

Kaidon Salter run for 13 yds to the MASS 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.19

Kaidon Salter run for 13 yds to the MASS 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Aaron Bedgood run for 1 yd to the MASS 13

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.79

Kaidon Salter pass complete to Austin Henderson for 13 yds for a TD (Nick Brown KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 1 yd to the MASS 18

2nd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.25

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Gino Campiotti for 12 yds to the MASS 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.99

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for a loss of 1 yard to the MASS 29

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 1 yd to the MASS 30

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt+16 yds

CJ Kolodziey punt for 55 yds , Brylan Green returns for 16 yds to the LIB 31

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.36

Kaidon Salter run for 9 yds to the LIB 40

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+60 ydsPPA +4.24

Quinton Cooley run for 60 yds for a TD (Nick Brown KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.94

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Mark Pope for 10 yds to the MASS 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Mark Pope for 8 yds to the MASS 48

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.07

Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for 1 yd to the MASS 49

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.13

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 3 yds to the LIB 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.05

Shawn Harris Jr. run for no gain to the LIB 48

3rd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.77

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Anthony Simpson for no gain to the LIB 48

4th & 10Punt0 yds

CJ Kolodziey punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Billy Lucas run for 5 yds to the LIB 12

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Billy Lucas run for 7 yds to the LIB 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Billy Lucas run for 7 yds to the LIB 26

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Billy Lucas run for 2 yds to the LIB 28

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.75

Kaidon Salter run for 2 yds to the LIB 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+42 ydsPPA +2.93

Kaidon Salter pass complete to Noah Frith for 42 yds to the MASS 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.21

Billy Lucas run for 13 yds to the MASS 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.39

Billy Lucas run for a loss of 1 yard to the MASS 16

2nd & 11Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.07

Kaidon Salter run for 11 yds to the MASS 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Billy Lucas run for 1 yd to the MASS 4

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Kaidon Salter pass incomplete

3rd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.70

Billy Lucas run for 4 yds for a TD (Nick Brown KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.31

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Anthony Simpson for 14 yds to the MASS 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.43

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 17 yds to the LIB 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.53

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to George Johnson III for 17 yds to the LIB 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +2.66

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 23 yds for a TD (Cameron Carson KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Kaidon Salter pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.73

Aaron Bedgood run for 12 yds to the LIB 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.44

Quinton Cooley run for 16 yds to the MASS 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +1.02

Kaidon Salter pass complete to Elijah Smoot for 29 yds to the MASS 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Quinton Cooley run for 6 yds to the MASS 12

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.41

Kaidon Salter run for 12 yds for a TD (Nick Brown KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.24

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Greg Desrosiers Jr. for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.09

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Christian Wells for 9 yds to the LIB 41

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.19

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 7 yds to the LIB 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.53

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for a loss of 3 yards to the LIB 37

3rd & 13Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.49

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Anthony Simpson for 15 yds to the LIB 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.33

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 14 yds to the LIB 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Penalty-5 yds

Massachusetts Penalty, False Start (Shawn Harris Jr.) to the LIB 13

1st & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete

2nd & 13Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 2 yds to the LIB 11

3rd & 11Penalty-5 yds

Massachusetts Penalty, False Start (Mark Pope) to the LIB 16

3rd & 16Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.00

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams for a loss of 1 yard to the LIB 17

4th & 17Field Goal Good+35 yds

Cameron Carson 35 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Kaidon Salter pass complete to Austin Henderson for 7 yds to the LIB 34

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.25

Kaidon Salter run for 3 yds to the LIB 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.95

Kaidon Salter pass intercepted Gerrell Johnson return for no gain to the MASS 47

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.91

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to George Johnson III for 13 yds to the LIB 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Gino Campiotti for 6 yds to the LIB 34

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete

3rd & 4Blocked Field Goal+52 yds

Cameron Carson 52 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by

0th & 4End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+9 ydsPPA -0.92

Taisun Phommachanh pass intercepted Joseph Carter return for 9 yds to the MASS 26

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Kaidon Salter pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.18

Kaidon Salter run for a loss of 3 yards to the MASS 29

3rd & 13Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Kaidon Salter run for 1 yd to the MASS 28

4th & 12Field Goal Missed+47 yds

Nick Brown 47 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 5 yds to the MASS 33

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to George Johnson III for 4 yds to the MASS 37

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.52

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 7 yds to the MASS 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.99

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Gino Campiotti for 10 yds to the LIB 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 4 yds to the LIB 42

2nd & 6Interception Return Touchdown+62 ydsPPA -10.34

Taisun Phommachanh pass intercepted Preston Hodge return for 62 yds for a TD (Nick Brown KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 2 yds to the MASS 27

3rd & 8Penalty+5 yds

Liberty Penalty, Delay Of Game (Chris Boti) to the MASS 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams for 1 yd to the MASS 33

4th & 2Punt0 yds

CJ Kolodziey punt for 50 yds, downed at the LIB 17

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Quinton Cooley run for 3 yds to the LIB 20

2nd & 7Pass Reception+46 ydsPPA +3.80

Kaidon Salter pass complete to Kylen Austin for 46 yds to the MASS 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Aaron Bedgood run for 1 yd to the MASS 33

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.84

Quinton Cooley run for no gain to the MASS 33

3rd & 9Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+33 ydsPPA -2.72

Kaidon Salter run for 33 yds Kaidon Salter fumbled, recovered by MASS [NHSG] QB Keeper SALTER, Kaidon rush to the right for a gain of 33 yards, SALTER, Kaidon fumbled at MAS1 forced by CAMERON JR., Jerrod, recovered by MAS TEAM at the MAS0 to the MAS0, touchback., clock 05:43.

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to George Johnson III for 2 yds to the MASS 22

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 4 yds to the MASS 26

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

CJ Kolodziey punt for 44 yds, downed at the LIB 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.94

Kaidon Salter pass complete to Aaron Bedgood for 10 yds to the LIB 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Billy Lucas run for 1 yd to the LIB 41

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Aaron Bedgood run for 3 yds to the LIB 44

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

Liberty Penalty, False Start (Xavior Gray) to the LIB 39

3rd & 11Penalty+5 yds

Massachusetts Penalty, Offsides (JB Brown) to the LIB 44

3rd & 6Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +3.23

Kaidon Salter pass complete to CJ Daniels for 27 yds to the MASS 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+15 ydsPPA +0.24

Kaidon Salter run for 15 yds to the MASS 14 Kaidon Salter fumbled, recovered by LIB Aaron Bedgood for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Quinton Cooley run for 7 yds to the MASS 7

2nd & 3Penalty0 yds

Massachusetts Penalty, Offsides (Louce Julien) to the MASS 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.97

Billy Lucas run for a loss of 2 yards to the MASS 5

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Kaidon Salter pass complete to Austin Henderson for 5 yds for a TD (Brayden Beck KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for 7 yds to the MASS 32

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete

3rd & 3Pass Reception+43 ydsPPA +3.77

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Mark Pope for 43 yds to the LIB 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.68

Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the LIB 27

2nd & 12Passing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +3.38

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Gino Campiotti for 27 yds for a TD (Taisun Phommachanh pass to Greg Desrosiers Jr. for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

James Jointer Jr. run for 4 yds to the MASS 48

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Malik Caper run for 2 yds to the MASS 46

3rd & 4Penalty+5 yds

Massachusetts Penalty, Offsides (Cletus Mathurin) to the MASS 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Malik Caper run for 5 yds to the MASS 36

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

James Jointer Jr. run for 2 yds to the MASS 34

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.56

Trey Lowe run for 2 yds to the MASS 32

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.41

Trey Lowe run for 3 yds to the MASS 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

Massachusetts Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (JB Brown) to the MASS 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Malik Caper run for 2 yds to the MASS 13

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Trey Lowe pass incomplete

3rd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Trey Lowe run for 5 yds to the MASS 8

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.97

Trey Lowe pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Mark Pope for 5 yds to the MASS 13

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

CJ Kolodziey punt for 51 yds, downed at the LIB 36

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

James Jointer Jr. run for 4 yds to the LIB 40

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

James Jointer Jr. run for 4 yds to the LIB 44

3rd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.85

James Jointer Jr. run for 9 yds to the MASS 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Zak Burnett pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Zak Burnett pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Zak Burnett run for 1 yd to the MASS 46

4th & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Zak Burnett pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.83

Ahmad Haston pass complete to Mark Pope for 11 yds to the LIB 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.54

Ahmad Haston pass complete to Mark Pope for 13 yds to the LIB 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +2.81

Ahmad Haston pass complete to Gino Campiotti for 30 yds for a TD (Cameron Carson KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

[NHSG] Kneel down by BURNETT, Zak at LIB23 (team loss of 2).

2nd & 12Rush0 ydsPPA -0.25

[NHSG] Kneel down by BURNETT, Zak at LIB22 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Massachusetts

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
55%
29 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
3 plays
0%
4 plays
38%
8 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
0%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Liberty

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
53%
32 plays
2nd
75%
4 plays
43%
7 plays
40%
10 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
0%
1 play
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play