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← Back to GamesNov 11, 2023Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Wisconsin by 13.5

Home Win Probability

Wisconsin 80%

Market (Bovada)

Wisconsin -12

Edge: Wisconsin -12 (1.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 11, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
NorthwesternNorthwestern
7170024
WisconsinWisconsin
300710

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-03-73-143-213-2410-24
WisconsinNorthwestern

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20WISNORWISNORWISNORWISNORWISNORNORWISNORWISNORWISNORWISNORWISNORFG1057ydTD1279ydPUNT38ydTD1168ydPUNT521ydTD990ydMISS536ydFG1168ydPUNT623ydEND1-1ydPUNT3-12ydDOWNS1040ydPUNT38ydPUNT3-9ydPUNT826ydTO948ydPUNT33ydPUNT722ydPUNT31ydTD1370ydEND1-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Northwestern and Wisconsin
StatisticNorthwesternWisconsin
Passing18-2631-45
Pass Yards195255
Rush Yards12986
Total Yards324341
Turnovers01
3rd Down11-179-17
Penalties5-275-50
Possession32:1027:50

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Northwestern
passing
Ben Bryant
18/26, 195 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Cam Porter
18 CAR, 72 YDS
receiving
A.J. Henning
3 REC, 70 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Wisconsin
passing
Tanner Mordecai
31/45, 255 YDS
rushing
Cade Yacamelli
9 CAR, 47 YDS
receiving
Will Pauling
10 REC, 96 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Riley Nowakowski for 5 yds to the WIS 33

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.71

Braelon Allen run for 1 yd to the WIS 34

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.61

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Will Pauling for 5 yds to the WIS 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +2.14

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Vinny Anthony II for 35 yds to the NU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Braelon Allen for 8 yds to the NU 18

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Braelon Allen run for 2 yds to the NU 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Jackson Acker run for 2 yds to the NU 14

3rd & 8Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Tanner Mordecai sacked by Kenny Soares Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the NU 15

4th & 9Field Goal Good+33 yds

Nathanial Vakos 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Ben Bryant pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 6 yds to the NU 27

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Ben Bryant pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.92

Ben Bryant pass complete to Raymond Niro III for 12 yds to the NU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Ben Bryant pass complete to Cam Johnson for 5 yds to the NU 44

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Cam Porter run for 4 yds to the NU 48

3rd & 1Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.94

Cam Porter run for 17 yds to the WIS 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Ben Bryant pass complete to Joseph Himon II for 5 yds to the WIS 30

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.71

A.J. Henning run for no gain to the WIS 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.96

Ben Bryant pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 8 yds to the WIS 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.71

Ben Bryant pass complete to Joseph Himon II for a loss of 3 yards to the WIS 25

2nd & 13Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Ben Bryant run for 2 yds to the WIS 23

3rd & 11Passing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +3.72

Ben Bryant pass complete to A.J. Henning for 23 yds for a TD (Jack Olsen KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Braelon Allen run for no gain to the WIS 20

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.39

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Skyler Bell for 8 yds to the WIS 28

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Atticus Bertrams punt for 46 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.93

Ben Bryant run for no gain to the NU 32

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Cam Porter run for 6 yds to the NU 38

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.85

Ben Bryant pass complete to Cam Johnson for 6 yds to the NU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.02

Cam Porter run for 13 yds to the WIS 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Cam Porter run for 5 yds to the WIS 38

2nd & 5Penalty+15 yds

Wisconsin Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the WIS 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Ben Bryant pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 5 yds to the WIS 12

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

A.J. Henning run for 1 yd to the WIS 11

3rd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.91

Cam Porter run for 6 yds to the WIS 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Cam Porter run for 4 yds to the WIS 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Ben Bryant run for 1 yd for a TD (Jack Olsen KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Cade Yacamelli run for 2 yds to the WIS 39

2nd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.94

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to C.J. Williams for 12 yds to the NU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Cade Yacamelli run for 2 yds to the NU 47

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Cade Yacamelli for 4 yds to the NU 43

3rd & 4Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.88

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Hayden Rucci for 1 yd to the NU 42

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Atticus Bertrams punt for 32 yds, fair catch by A.J. Henning at the NU 10

1st & 10Rush+32 ydsPPA +2.23

Joseph Himon II run for 32 yds to the NU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Joseph Himon II run for 5 yds to the NU 47

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.19

Ben Bryant pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +2.03

Ben Bryant pass complete to A.J. Henning for 6 yds to the WIS 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Ben Bryant pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.90

Ben Bryant pass complete to Raymond Niro III for 19 yds to the WIS 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Cam Porter run for 3 yds to the WIS 25

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Cam Porter run for 1 yd to the WIS 24

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +3.36

Ben Bryant pass complete to Cam Johnson for 24 yds for a TD (Jack Olsen KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +1.86

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Will Pauling for 33 yds to the NU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Vinny Anthony II for 3 yds to the NU 22

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+40 yds

Nathanial Vakos 40 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +3.22

Ben Bryant pass complete to A.J. Henning for 41 yds to the WIS 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Cam Porter run for 4 yds to the WIS 33

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.61

Jack Lausch run for 1 yd to the WIS 32

3rd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.08

A.J. Henning run for 9 yds to the WIS 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Ben Bryant pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Cam Porter run for 3 yds to the WIS 20

3rd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.93

Ben Bryant pass complete to Marshall Lang for 12 yds to the WIS 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Penalty-5 yds

TYUS III, Anthony rush up the middle for a gain of 7 yards to the WIS1 (PETERSON, Darryl). PENALTY Before the snap, NWU Illegal Shift enforced 5 yards from the WIS8 to the WIS13. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Ben Bryant pass incomplete

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Ben Bryant pass incomplete

3rd & 13Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Ben Bryant run for 3 yds to the WIS 10

4th & 10Field Goal Good+28 yds

Jack Olsen 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Skyler Bell for 2 yds to the WIS 30

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.48

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Bryson Green for 7 yds to the WIS 37

3rd & 1Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.61

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Will Pauling for 8 yds to the WIS 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Tanner Mordecai run for 6 yds to the NU 49

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Atticus Bertrams punt for 49 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

[NHSG] Kneel down by BRYANT, Ben at NWU19 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Cam Porter run for no gain to the NU 25

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-6 ydsPPA -0.53

Ben Bryant run for a loss of 6 yards to the NU 19 Ben Bryant fumbled, recovered by NU Ben Bryant [SG] QB Keeper BRYANT, Ben rush up the middle for a loss of 6 yards, BRYANT, Ben fumbled at NWU19 , recovered by NWU BRYANT, Ben at the NWU19, returned 0 yards to the NWU19, End of Play.

3rd & 16Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.08

Ben Bryant sacked by Christian Alliegro for a loss of 6 yards to the NU 13

4th & 22Punt0 yds

Hunter Renner punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Vinny Anthony II at the NU 48

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Cade Yacamelli run for 4 yds to the NU 44

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.34

Tanner Mordecai run for a loss of 1 yard to the NU 45

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.11

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Will Pauling for 8 yds to the NU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.59

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Will Pauling for 8 yds to the NU 29

2nd & 2Penalty-10 yds

MORDECAI, Tanner scrambles up the middle for a gain of 3 yards to the NWU26 (MUELLER, Xander), out of bounds. PENALTY WIS Holding on NELSON, Jack enforced 10 yards from the NWU29 to the NWU39 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 12Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Cade Yacamelli run for 6 yds to the NU 33

3rd & 6Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.38

Tanner Mordecai run for 19 yds to the NU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Tanner Mordecai run for 2 yds to the NU 12

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

Wisconsin Penalty, False Start (Riley Mahlman) to the NU 17

2nd & 13Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.32

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Vinny Anthony II for 9 yds to the NU 8

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.91

Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Cam Porter run for no gain to the NU 8

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.24

Ben Bryant pass complete to Cam Johnson for 8 yds to the NU 16

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.28

Cam Porter run for no gain to the NU 16

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Hunter Renner punt for 35 yds, downed at the WIS 49

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Cade Yacamelli for 6 yds to the NU 45

2nd & 4Penalty-10 yds

MORDECAI, Tanner pass short to the left complete for 6 yards to DIKE, Chimere caught at the NWU41 and advanced to the NWU39 (JOHNSON, Theran). PENALTY WIS Holding on NELSON, Jack enforced 10 yards from the NWU45 to the WIS45 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 14Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Will Pauling for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 9Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.39

Tanner Mordecai sacked by Aidan Hubbard for a loss of 10 yards to the WIS 40

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Atticus Bertrams punt for 44 yds , returns for no gain to the NU 8

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Anthony Tyus III run for 5 yds to the NU 13

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.41

Anthony Tyus III run for a loss of 1 yard to the NU 12

3rd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.70

Ben Bryant pass complete to Cam Johnson for 6 yds to the NU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Joseph Himon II run for 3 yds to the NU 21

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.93

Ben Bryant pass complete to Cam Johnson for 8 yds to the NU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Joseph Himon II run for 1 yd to the NU 30

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Ben Bryant pass complete to Thomas Gordon for 4 yds to the NU 34

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Ben Bryant pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Hunter Renner punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Vinny Anthony II at the WIS 23

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+5 yds

MORDECAI, Tanner pass to the right complete for -3 yards to YACAMELLI, Cade caught at the WIS16 and advanced to the WIS20 (GALLAGHER, Bryce). PENALTY NWU Offsides on PATE, Jaylen enforced 5 yards from the WIS23 to the WIS28 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Cade Yacamelli run for 4 yds to the WIS 32

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.08

Jackson Acker run for 4 yds to the WIS 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Tanner Mordecai run for 2 yds to the WIS 38

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Jackson Acker for 6 yds to the WIS 44

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.28

Jackson Acker run for 2 yds to the WIS 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.89

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Skyler Bell for 12 yds to the NU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Cade Yacamelli run for 5 yds to the NU 37

2nd & 5Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+8 ydsPPA -3.80

Tanner Mordecai run for 8 yds to the NU 29 Tanner Mordecai fumbled, recovered by NU Garnett Hollis Jr. [NHSG] QB Keeper MORDECAI, Tanner rush up the middle for a gain of 8 yards, MORDECAI, Tanner fumbled at NWU29 forced by HEARD II, Rod, recovered by NWU HOLLIS JR., Garnett at the NWU29, returned 0 yards to the NWU29, End of Play, clock 10:43.

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.83

Cam Porter run for no gain to the NU 29

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Cam Porter run for 3 yds to the NU 32

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Ben Bryant pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Hunter Renner punt for 45 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Will Pauling for 2 yds to the WIS 26

2nd & 8Penalty+5 yds

MORDECAI, Tanner pass short to the right incomplete intended for GREEN, Bryson broken up by JOHNSON, Theran at the WIS31. PENALTY NWU Offsides on HAGARTY, Richie enforced 5 yards from the WIS26 to the WIS31 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.70

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Bryson Green for 8 yds to the WIS 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.35

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Jackson Acker for 9 yds to the WIS 48

2nd & 1Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA -0.11

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Will Pauling for 5 yds to the NU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Skyler Bell for 3 yds to the NU 44

2nd & 7Penalty-10 yds

Wisconsin Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jack Nelson) to the WIS 46

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Atticus Bertrams punt for 37 yds , returns for no gain to the NU 18

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Cam Porter run for 4 yds to the NU 22

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

Northwestern Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the NU 17

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.22

Cam Porter run for a loss of 1 yard to the NU 16

3rd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.03

A.J. Henning run for 3 yds to the NU 19

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Hunter Renner punt for 51 yds, downed at the WIS 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Skyler Bell for 3 yds to the WIS 33

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Cade Yacamelli run for 6 yds to the WIS 39

3rd & 1Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.72

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Will Pauling for 9 yds to the WIS 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Skyler Bell for 4 yds to the NU 48

2nd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Skyler Bell for 3 yds to the NU 45

3rd & 3Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.70

Cade Yacamelli run for 13 yds to the NU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Cade Yacamelli run for 5 yds to the NU 27

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.86

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to C.J. Williams for 11 yds to the NU 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.43

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Will Pauling for 13 yds to the NU 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Jackson Acker run for 3 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

[SG] Kneel down by BRYANT, Ben at NWU24 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Northwestern

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
42%
24 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
100%
1 play
0%
7 plays
44%
9 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
89%
9 plays
50%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
4th

Wisconsin

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
38%
26 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
0%
6 plays
70%
10 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
83%
6 plays
50%
6 plays
25%
4 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play