Skip to main content
← Back to GamesNov 11, 2023Week 11
MinnesotaMinnesota
30
-Final
49
PurduePurdue
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Minnesota by 5.7

Home Win Probability

Purdue 34%

Market (Bovada)

Purdue +2

Edge: Minnesota -2 (3.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 11, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
MinnesotaMinnesota
101001030
PurduePurdue
141471449

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-77-1014-1328-1335-2042-2049-2349-30
PurdueMinnesota

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MINPURMINPURMINPURMINPURMINPURMINPURPURMINPURMINPURMINPURMINPURMINPURMINTD465ydTD975ydFG1245ydTD775ydFG1451ydTD375ydMISS662ydTD779ydPUNT33ydPUNT39ydTD347ydEND15ydPUNT31ydPUNT37ydTD374ydPUNT30ydPUNT933ydPUNT511ydTD1265ydFG744ydTD995ydTD1275ydPUNT38ydEND13yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Minnesota and Purdue
StatisticMinnesotaPurdue
Passing18-4217-25
Pass Yards292251
Rush Yards115353
Total Yards407604
Turnovers00
3rd Down4-144-10
Penalties2-196-60
Possession28:4331:17

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Minnesota
passing
Athan Kaliakmanis
18/42, 292 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Jordan Nubin
16 CAR, 89 YDS
receiving
Daniel Jackson
7 REC, 119 YDS
defense
Purdue
passing
Hudson Card
17/25, 251 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Devin Mockobee
17 CAR, 153 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Garrett Miller
6 REC, 65 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Jordan Nubin run for 7 yds to the MINN 42

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.61

Jordan Nubin run for 7 yds to the MINN 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +1.31

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 31 yds to the PUR 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.62

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 20 yds for a TD (Dragan Kesich KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 9 yds to the PUR 34

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.03

Hudson Card run for 5 yds to the PUR 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.86

Hudson Card sacked by Danny Striggow for a loss of 5 yards to the PUR 34

2nd & 15Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.28

Hudson Card pass complete to Andrew Sowinski for 12 yds to the PUR 46

3rd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.97

Hudson Card run for 9 yds to the MINN 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 3 yds to the MINN 42

2nd & 7Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.19

Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 22 yds to the MINN 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Hudson Card pass incomplete

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.99

Hudson Card pass complete to Garrett Miller for 20 yds for a TD (Ben Freehill KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Jordan Nubin run for 8 yds to the MINN 43

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Jordan Nubin run for 6 yds to the MINN 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-14 yds

NUBIN, Jordan rush to the left for a gain of 31 yards to the PUR20 (THIENEMAN, Dillon), out of bounds. PENALTY MIN Block below the waist on REDDING, Quentin enforced 14 yards from the MIN49 to the MIN35 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 24Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete

2nd & 24Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.86

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 22 yds to the PUR 43

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.98

Jordan Nubin run for 2 yds to the PUR 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Zach Evans run for 3 yds to the PUR 38

3rd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.79

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 13 yds to the PUR 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Jordan Nubin run for 4 yds to the PUR 21

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 1 yd to the PUR 20

4th & 5Field Goal Good+38 yds

Dragan Kesich 38 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Hudson Card run for 11 yds to the PUR 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.14

Hudson Card pass complete to Andrew Sowinski for 12 yds to the PUR 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Devin Mockobee run for 6 yds to the MINN 46

2nd & 4Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.67

Hudson Card run for 11 yds to the MINN 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.39

Hudson Card pass complete to Garrett Miller for 7 yds to the MINN 28

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Devin Mockobee run for 4 yds to the MINN 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +2.68

Hudson Card pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 24 yds for a TD (Ben Freehill KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jordan Nubin run for 5 yds to the MINN 30

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Jordan Nubin run for 4 yds to the MINN 34

3rd & 1Penalty+5 yds

QB Keeper KALIAKMANIS, Athan rush up the middle for a gain of 2 yards to the MIN36 (JENKINS, Kydran). PENALTY PUR Offsides on SCOURTON, Nic enforced 5 yards from the MIN34 to the MIN39 and results in a 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.35

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 9 yds to the MINN 48

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Zach Evans run for 3 yds to the PUR 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.95

Zach Evans run for 16 yds to the PUR 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.46

Zach Evans run for 2 yds to the PUR 31

3rd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Athan Kaliakmanis run for 7 yds to the PUR 24

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.92

Athan Kaliakmanis run for 1 yd to the PUR 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.70

Zach Evans run for a loss of 1 yard to the PUR 24

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete

4th & 11Field Goal Good+42 yds

Dragan Kesich 42 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.52

Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 17 yds to the PUR 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+52 ydsPPA +2.51

Hudson Card pass complete to Tyrone Tracy Jr. for 52 yds to the MINN 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 6 yds for a TD (Ben Freehill KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Ben Freehill kickoff for 35 yds , return for no gain to the MINN 17

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.48

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Corey Crooms Jr. for 20 yds to the MINN 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +2.37

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 39 yds to the PUR 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Jordan Nubin run for 3 yds to the PUR 21

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+39 yds

Dragan Kesich 39 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.99

Hudson Card pass complete to Jayden Dixon-Veal for 13 yds to the PUR 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Hudson Card pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+65 ydsPPA +5.39

Devin Mockobee run for 65 yds to the MINN 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Devin Mockobee run for no gain to the MINN 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Hudson Card run for no gain to the MINN 1

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Hudson Card pass incomplete

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Hudson Card run for 1 yd for a TD (Ben Freehill KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Jordan Nubin run for 6 yds to the MINN 46

3rd & 4Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Zach Evans for 2 yds to the MINN 48

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

Minnesota Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the MINN 43

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 50 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 5 yds to the PUR 12

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 1 yd to the PUR 13

3rd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.07

Hudson Card pass complete to Deion Burks for 3 yds to the PUR 16

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Jack Ansell punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Quentin Redding at the PUR 47

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.92

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 20 yds to the PUR 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +2.74

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 27 yds for a TD (Dragan Kesich KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 5 yds to the PUR 30

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Devin Mockobee run for 1 yd to the PUR 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Hudson Card pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Hudson Card pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Jack Ansell punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Quentin Redding at the MINN 29

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jordan Nubin run for 5 yds to the MINN 34

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.56

Jordan Nubin run for 2 yds to the MINN 36

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 38 yds, fair catch by TJ Sheffield at the PUR 26

1st & 10Rush+32 ydsPPA +2.71

Devin Mockobee run for 32 yds to the MINN 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.91

Devin Mockobee run for no gain to the MINN 42

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+42 ydsPPA +4.20

Hudson Card pass complete to Deion Burks for 42 yds for a TD (Ben Freehill KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 44 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.93

Hudson Card pass complete to Deion Burks for no gain to the PUR 32

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Hudson Card pass complete to Andrew Sowinski for 5 yds to the PUR 37

3rd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.30

Hudson Card pass complete to Garrett Miller for 10 yds to the PUR 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Dylan Downing run for 1 yd to the PUR 48

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Dylan Downing run for 3 yds to the MINN 49

3rd & 6Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.36

Hudson Card run for 12 yds to the MINN 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Hudson Card pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 2 yds to the MINN 35

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Hudson Card pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Jack Ansell punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Quentin Redding at the MINN 5

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Jordan Nubin run for 3 yds to the MINN 8

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Jordan Nubin run for 8 yds to the MINN 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.21

Jordan Nubin run for no gain to the MINN 16

3rd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.09

Athan Kaliakmanis run for no gain to the MINN 16

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 41 yds , TJ Sheffield returns for no gain to the PUR 35

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Hudson Card pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.33

Devin Mockobee run for 14 yds to the PUR 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Devin Mockobee run for 2 yds to the MINN 49

2nd & 8Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.63

Hudson Card pass complete to Deion Burks for 15 yds to the MINN 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 2 yds to the MINN 32

2nd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Hudson Card pass complete to Garrett Miller for 3 yds to the MINN 29

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.68

Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 1 yd to the MINN 28

4th & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.61

Hudson Card pass complete to Jayden Dixon-Veal for 8 yds to the MINN 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

Devin Mockobee run for no gain to the MINN 20

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.67

Hudson Card pass complete to Garrett Miller for 12 yds to the MINN 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Devin Mockobee run for 2 yds to the MINN 6

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

Devin Mockobee run for 6 yds for a TD (Ben Freehill KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 8 yds to the MINN 43

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.35

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete

3rd & 2Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +2.91

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 35 yds to the PUR 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

KALIAKMANIS, Athan pass deep to the left incomplete intended for JACKSON, Daniel thrown to the PUR0. PENALTY PUR Pass Interference on BROWN, Markevious enforced half the distance from the goal, 15 yards to the PUR7 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete

3rd & 7Sack-14 ydsPPA -2.62

Athan Kaliakmanis sacked by Nic Scourton for a loss of 14 yards to the PUR 21

4th & 21Field Goal Good+39 yds

Dragan Kesich 39 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+63 yds

Dragan Kesich kickoff for 63 yds , return for no gain to the PUR 5 , return for no gain to the PUR 5

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 3 yds to the PUR 8

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

TRACY JR., Tyrone rush to the right for a gain of 6 yards to the PUR47 (BAUGH, Kyler). PENALTY PUR Holding on FARRELL, Ben enforced 10 yards from the PUR41 to the PUR31 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.56

Hudson Card pass complete to Garrett Miller for 13 yds to the PUR 44

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Dylan Downing run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 1Rush+24 ydsPPA +2.00

Dylan Downing run for 24 yds to the MINN 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.65

Devin Mockobee run for 9 yds to the MINN 17

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.47

Devin Mockobee run for 4 yds to the MINN 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.60

Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 12 yds to the MINN 1 for a 1ST down

2nd & 7Rush+33 ydsPPA +2.37

Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 33 yds to the PUR 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Ben Freehill KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Athan Kaliakmanis run for 6 yds to the MINN 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.89

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 8 yds to the MINN 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.71

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Corey Crooms Jr. for 22 yds to the PUR 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

KALIAKMANIS, Athan pass short to the left incomplete dropped by NUBIN, Jordan thrown to the PUR36. PENALTY Before the snap, PUR Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the PUR39 to the PUR34. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 5Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.61

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 1 yd to the PUR 33

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete

3rd & 4Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.14

Jordan Nubin run for 19 yds to the PUR 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete

4th & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.06

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 10 yds to the PUR 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 4 yds for a TD (Dragan Kesich KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Devin Mockobee run for 3 yds to the MINN 42

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -1.06

Devin Mockobee run for no gain to the MINN 42

3rd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Devin Mockobee run for 5 yds to the MINN 37

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Jack Ansell punt for 32 yds, downed at the MINN 5

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Sean Tyler run for 3 yds to the MINN 8

Situational Analysis

Minnesota

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
48%
27 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
4 plays
33%
6 plays
33%
12 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
67%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
29%
7 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play

Purdue

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
47%
30 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
67%
15 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
67%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play