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← Back to GamesNov 12, 2023Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Ohio State by 38.9

Home Win Probability

Ohio State 98%

Market (Bovada)

Ohio State -32

Edge: Ohio State -32 (6.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 12, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Michigan StateMichigan State
03003
Ohio StateOhio State
14213038

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-021-028-338-3
Ohio StateMichigan State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20OSMSOSMSOSMSOSMSOSMSOSMSMSOSMSOSMSOSMSOSMSOSTD875ydMISS736ydTD461ydPUNT430ydTD1384ydPUNT932ydPUNT37ydFG619ydTD670ydPUNT3-1ydTD874ydEND1-3ydPUNT35ydFG559ydPUNT727ydPUNT523ydPUNT1030ydMISS1068ydPUNT35ydPUNT34ydPUNT3-3ydEND36yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Michigan State and Ohio State
StatisticMichigan StateOhio State
Passing13-2526-34
Pass Yards88353
Rush Yards94177
Total Yards182530
Turnovers00
3rd Down2-145-11
Penalties5-363-25
Possession28:4831:12

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Michigan State
passing
Katin Houser
12/24, 92 YDS
rushing
Nathan Carter
11 CAR, 52 YDS
receiving
defense
Ohio State
passing
Kyle McCord
24/31, 335 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
TreVeyon Henderson
13 CAR, 63 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Marvin Harrison Jr.
7 REC, 149 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

TreVeyon Henderson run for 5 yds to the OSU 30

2nd & 5Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.52

TreVeyon Henderson run for 13 yds to the OSU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.68

Kyle McCord pass complete to Cade Stover for 7 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.24

Xavier Johnson run for 4 yds to the MSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Kyle McCord pass incomplete to Emeka Egbuka

2nd & 10Penalty0 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun McCord,Kyle pass incomplete short middle to Egbuka,Emeka, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY MSU Pass Interference (Mangham,Jaden) 11 yard from MSU46 to MSU35, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.39

TreVeyon Henderson run for 7 yds to the MSU 28

2nd & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA -0.03

Kyle McCord pass complete to Cade Stover for 9 yds to the MSU 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.60

Marvin Harrison Jr. run for 19 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Katin Houser pass complete to Montorie Foster Jr. for 11 yds to the MSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Katin Houser pass incomplete to Montorie Foster Jr.

2nd & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.78

Katin Houser pass complete to Alante Brown for 20 yds to the OSU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.50

Jaren Mangham run for 7 yds to the OSU 37

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Katin Houser pass incomplete to Evan Morris

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Katin Houser run for 2 yds to the OSU 39

4th & 5Field Goal Missed+56 yds

Jonathan Kim 56 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.09

Kyle McCord pass complete to Cade Stover for 12 yds to the MSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

TreVeyon Henderson run for 4 yds to the MSU 45

2nd & 6Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.18

Kyle McCord pass complete to Cade Stover for 19 yds to the MSU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +2.72

Kyle McCord pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 26 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)

1st & 10Rush+27 ydsPPA +2.39

Nathan Carter run for 27 yds to the OSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Katin Houser pass incomplete to Montorie Foster Jr.

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Katin Houser run for 3 yds to the OSU 45

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Katin Houser pass incomplete to Antonio Gates Jr.

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Ryan Eckley punt for 29 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Chip Trayanum run for 3 yds to the OSU 19

2nd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Kyle McCord pass complete to Julian Fleming for 3 yds to the OSU 22

3rd & 4Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.83

Kyle McCord pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 25 yds to the OSU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Kyle McCord pass incomplete to Emeka Egbuka

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Kyle McCord pass complete to Chip Trayanum for 4 yds to the MSU 49

3rd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.22

Kyle McCord pass complete to Julian Fleming for 9 yds to the MSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

TreVeyon Henderson run for 5 yds to the MSU 35

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.36

Xavier Johnson run for 8 yds to the MSU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Kyle McCord pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 4 yds to the MSU 23

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

TreVeyon Henderson run for 2 yds to the MSU 21

3rd & 4Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.64

Kyle McCord pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 12 yds to the MSU 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

TreVeyon Henderson run for no gain to the MSU 9

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.74

Kyle McCord pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 9 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jaren Mangham run for 4 yds to the MSU 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.34

Katin Houser pass complete to Tyrell Henry for 10 yds to the MSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Katin Houser pass incomplete to Jaren Mangham

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Jaren Mangham run for 4 yds to the MSU 43

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Katin Houser run for 5 yds to the MSU 48

4th & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +2.42

Jaren Mangham run for 5 yds to the OSU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Nathan Carter run for 4 yds to the OSU 43

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -1.09

Katin Houser run for no gain to the OSU 43

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Katin Houser pass incomplete to Tyrell Henry

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Ryan Eckley punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

TreVeyon Henderson run for 2 yds to the OSU 4

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Kyle McCord pass complete to Cade Stover for 5 yds to the OSU 9

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.18

TreVeyon Henderson run for no gain to the OSU 9

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Jesse Mirco punt for 44 yds , Tyrell Henry returns for no gain to the MSU 45

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Nathan Carter run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.82

Nathan Carter run for 7 yds to the OSU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.61

Katin Houser sacked by Sonny Styles for a loss of 3 yards to the OSU 46

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Katin Houser pass incomplete to Tyrell Henry

3rd & 13Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.12

Katin Houser pass complete to Christian Fitzpatrick for 10 yds to the OSU 36

4th & 3Field Goal Good+53 yds

Jonathan Kim 53 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

TreVeyon Henderson run for 5 yds to the OSU 35

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Kyle McCord pass incomplete to Marvin Harrison Jr.

3rd & 5Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.50

Kyle McCord pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 13 yds to the OSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.82

Kyle McCord pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 12 yds to the MSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +0.76

Kyle McCord pass complete to Xavier Johnson for 31 yds to the MSU 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

TreVeyon Henderson run for 9 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jaren Mangham run for 1 yd to the MSU 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.41

Katin Houser pass complete to Evan Morris for no gain to the MSU 26

3rd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Katin Houser pass complete to Evan Morris for 3 yds to the MSU 29 Michigan State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jaren Mangham) declined

4th & 6Penalty-5 yds

Eckley,Ryan punt 53 yards to the OSU18 Ballard,Jayden return 9 yards to the OSU27, out of bounds at OSU27 PENALTY MSU Return From Out Of Bounds (Brown,Alante) 5 yards from MSU29 to MSU24. NO PLAY.

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Ryan Eckley punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Jayden Ballard at the OSU 26

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds to the OSU 29

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Kyle McCord pass incomplete to Julian Fleming

3rd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.76

Kyle McCord pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 7 yds to the OSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.96

Kyle McCord pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 10 yds to the OSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.21

Kyle McCord pass complete to Carnell Tate for 19 yds to the MSU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.75

Kyle McCord pass complete to Cade Stover for 9 yds to the MSU 26

2nd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA -0.37

TreVeyon Henderson run for 8 yds to the MSU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.59

Kyle McCord pass complete to Cade Stover for 18 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Nathan Carter run for 3 yds to the MSU 22

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Nathan Carter run for 5 yds to the MSU 30

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Nathan Carter run for no gain to the MSU 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Katin Houser pass incomplete to Tyrell Henry

4th & 5Punt+11 yds

Ryan Eckley punt for 58 yds , Jayden Ballard returns for 11 yds to the OSU 23

1st & 10Pass Reception+57 ydsPPA +3.59

Kyle McCord pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 57 yds to the MSU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Chip Trayanum run for 2 yds to the MSU 18

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Kyle McCord pass incomplete to Emeka Egbuka

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Kyle McCord pass incomplete to Marvin Harrison Jr.

4th & 8Field Goal Good+36 yds

Jayden Fielding 36 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Katin Houser pass complete to Brennan Parachek for 4 yds to the MSU 29

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Katin Houser run for 4 yds to the MSU 33

3rd & 2Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA +1.05

Katin Houser pass complete to Brennan Parachek for 2 yds to the MSU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.23

Katin Houser pass complete to Christian Fitzpatrick for 13 yds to the MSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Katin Houser pass complete to Tyrell Henry for 5 yds to the OSU 47

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.17

Katin Houser pass incomplete to Christian Fitzpatrick

3rd & 5Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.18

Katin Houser sacked by Tyleik Williams for a loss of 1 yard to the OSU 48

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Ryan Eckley punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jayden Ballard at the OSU 8

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Xavier Johnson run for 1 yd to the OSU 9

2nd & 9Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.18

Chip Trayanum run for 18 yds to the OSU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Chip Trayanum run for 4 yds to the OSU 23

2nd & 14Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.28

Kyle McCord pass complete to Chip Trayanum for 8 yds to the OSU 31

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Kyle McCord pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jesse Mirco punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Katin Houser pass incomplete to Antonio Gates Jr.

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Nathan Carter run for 1 yd to the MSU 27

3rd & 11Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.44

Katin Houser pass complete to Harold Joiner III for 10 yds to the MSU 37

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.93

Jaren Mangham run for 3 yds to the MSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Houser,Katin pass incomplete deep left to Henry,Tyrell PENALTY OSU Pass Interference (Hartford,Malik) 15 yards from MSU40 to OSU45, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Jaren Mangham run for 7 yds to the OSU 38

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.98

Jaren Mangham run for no gain to the OSU 38

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.01

Jaren Mangham run for 4 yds to the OSU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Katin Houser pass incomplete to Alante Brown

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Houser,Katin pass complete short right to Carr,Maliq for 9 yards to the OSU25 (Carter,Ja'Had; Simpson-Hunt,Calvin) PENALTY MSU Holding (Duplain,J.D.) 10 yards from OSU34 to OSU44. NO PLAY.

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Katin Houser pass incomplete to Antonio Gates Jr.

3rd & 20Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Nathan Carter run for 2 yds to the OSU 42

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Ryan Eckley punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Jayden Ballard at the OSU 8

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Chip Trayanum run for no gain to the OSU 8

2nd & 10Rush+27 ydsPPA +1.93

Xavier Johnson run for 27 yds to the OSU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Kyle McCord pass complete to Carnell Tate for 7 yds to the OSU 42

2nd & 3Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.85

Chip Trayanum run for 10 yds to the MSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Chip Trayanum run for 6 yds to the MSU 42

2nd & 4Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.59

Lincoln Kienholz pass complete to Jelani Thurman for 14 yds to the MSU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Evan Pryor run for 5 yds to the MSU 23

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Lincoln Kienholz pass complete to Jelani Thurman for 4 yds to the MSU 19

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Pryor,Evan rush middle for 3 yards gain to the MSU16 (Talley,Ken) PENALTY OSU Illegal Formation 5 yards from MSU19 to MSU24. NO PLAY.

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Lincoln Kienholz pass incomplete to Jayden Ballard

4th & 6Field Goal Missed+42 yds

Jayden Fielding 42 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Nathan Carter run for 6 yds to the MSU 30

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.84

Nathan Carter run for no gain to the MSU 30

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY MSU False Start 5 yards from MSU30 to MSU25. NO PLAY.

3rd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Katin Houser pass complete to Harold Joiner III for 4 yds to the MSU 29

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Michael O'Shaughnessy punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Brandon Inniss at the OSU 23

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Evan Pryor run for 3 yds to the OSU 20

2nd & 13Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Evan Pryor run for 5 yds to the OSU 25

3rd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.13

Evan Pryor run for 2 yds to the OSU 27

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jesse Mirco punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Tyrell Henry at the MSU 29

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Harold Joiner III run for 2 yds to the MSU 27

2nd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Harold Joiner III run for 3 yds to the MSU 30

3rd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Andrew Schorfhaar pass complete to Tyrell Henry for 4 yds to the MSU 26

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Michael O'Shaughnessy punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MSU 49

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Evan Pryor run for 5 yds to the MSU 44

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Evan Pryor run for 2 yds to the MSU 42

3rd & 3Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY OSU Delay Of Game 5 yards from MSU42 to MSU47. NO PLAY.

3rd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Evan Pryor run for 4 yds to the MSU 43

Situational Analysis

Michigan State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
43%
21 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
29%
7 plays
20%
5 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
0%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
2 plays

Ohio State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
61%
33 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
50%
8 plays
50%
8 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
67%
6 plays
25%
4 plays
4th