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← Back to GamesNov 11, 2023Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Missouri by 1.6

Home Win Probability

Missouri 52%

Market (Bovada)

Missouri +2

Edge: Missouri +2 (3.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 11, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
TennesseeTennessee
07007
MissouriMissouri
01391436

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428423-010-719-722-729-736-7
MissouriTennessee

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MISTENMISTENMISTENMISTENMISTENMISTENMISTENMISTENMISTENTENMISTENMISTO649ydPUNT31ydFG2072ydTD675ydTD575ydPUNT427ydPUNT941ydTO1073ydFG453ydPUNT36ydTD780ydPUNT613ydFG959ydPUNT637ydPUNT835ydTO335ydTD666ydTD38ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT3-4ydMISS1128ydEND1-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Tennessee and Missouri
StatisticTennesseeMissouri
Passing22-3418-24
Pass Yards267275
Rush Yards83255
Total Yards350530
Turnovers31
3rd Down5-1311-17
Penalties9-957-50
Possession20:0439:56

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Tennessee
passing
Joe Milton
22/34, 267 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Joe Milton
10 CAR, 36 YDS
receiving
Ramel Keyton
4 REC, 57 YDS
defense
Missouri
passing
Brady Cook
18/24, 275 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Cody Schrader
35 CAR, 205 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Cody Schrader
5 REC, 116 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +3.03

Brady Cook pass complete to Cody Schrader for 38 yds to the TENN 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Cody Schrader run for 6 yds to the TENN 31

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Cody Schrader run for 6 yds to the TENN 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.45

Cody Schrader run for no gain to the TENN 25

2nd & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.77

Brady Cook sacked by James Pearce Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the TENN 26

3rd & 11Interception0 ydsPPA -3.08

Brady Cook pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Joe Milton III pass complete to Jaylen Wright for 6 yds to the MIZ 43

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Jaylen Wright run for 1 yd to the MIZ 42

3rd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.35

Jaylen Wright run for a loss of 1 yard to the MIZ 43

4th & 4Penalty-5 yds

Tennessee Penalty, Delay Of Game (Doneiko Slaughter) to the MIZ 48

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Jackson Ross punt for 34 yds

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.59

Brady Cook run for a loss of 4 yards to the MIZ 10

2nd & 14Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Brady Cook run for 5 yds to the MIZ 15

3rd & 9Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.31

Brady Cook run for 12 yds to the MIZ 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 1 yd to the MIZ 28

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

Missouri Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MIZ 23

2nd & 14Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.69

Brady Cook pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for 11 yds to the MIZ 34

3rd & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.89

Brady Cook pass complete to Brett Norfleet for 9 yds to the MIZ 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Cody Schrader run for 2 yds to the MIZ 45

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 6 yds to the TENN 49

3rd & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.45

Brady Cook pass complete to Theo Wease Jr. for 6 yds to the TENN 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Brady Cook pass complete to Brett Norfleet for 7 yds to the TENN 36

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Cody Schrader run for 2 yds to the TENN 34

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.52

Cody Schrader run for 3 yds to the TENN 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.24

Brady Cook pass complete to Cody Schrader for 12 yds to the TENN 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Cody Schrader run for 6 yds to the TENN 13

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Cody Schrader run for 3 yds to the TENN 10

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.24

Cody Schrader run for 2 yds to the TENN 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Penalty-5 yds

SCHRADER, Cody rush up the middle for a gain of 3 yards to the TEN5 (THOMAS, Jourdan). PENALTY Before the snap, MIZ Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the TEN8 to the TEN13. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 13Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.38

Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for a loss of 2 yards to the TENN 15

2nd & 15Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.22

Brady Cook pass complete to Marquis Johnson for 8 yds to the TENN 7

3rd & 7Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.21

Brady Cook sacked by Omarr Norman-Lott for a loss of 7 yards to the TENN 14

4th & 14Field Goal Good+31 yds

Harrison Mevis 31 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Jaylen Wright run for 14 yds to the TENN 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.24

Joe Milton III pass complete to Ramel Keyton for 14 yds to the MIZ 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-8 ydsPPA -2.69

Jaylen Wright run for 2 yds to the TENN 45 Tennessee Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the TENN 44

1st & 19Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Jaylen Wright run for 2 yds to the TENN 46

2nd & 17Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.63

Joe Milton III pass complete to Ramel Keyton for 8 yds to the MIZ 46

3rd & 9Passing Touchdown+46 ydsPPA +5.51

Joe Milton III pass complete to Dont'e Thornton Jr. for 46 yds for a TD (Charles Campbell KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+43 ydsPPA +3.21

Brady Cook pass complete to Cody Schrader for 43 yds to the TENN 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Brady Cook pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Cody Schrader run for 3 yds to the TENN 29

3rd & 7Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.55

Brady Cook pass complete to Mekhi Miller for 22 yds to the TENN 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Cody Schrader run for 7 yds for a TD (Harrison Mevis KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.07

Joe Milton III pass complete to Squirrel White for 23 yds to the TENN 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

SMALL, Jabari rush up the middle for a gain of 2 yards to the TEN50 (HOPPER, Ty'Ron). PENALTY TEN Holding on CAMPBELL JR., John enforced 10 yards from the TEN48 to the TEN38 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Joe Milton III pass incomplete

2nd & 20Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.52

Joe Milton III pass complete to Squirrel White for 9 yds to the TENN 47

3rd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Joe Milton III run for 5 yds to the MIZ 48

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jackson Ross punt for 45 yds, downed at the MIZ 3

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Cody Schrader run for 4 yds to the MIZ 7

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.24

Cody Schrader run for no gain to the MIZ 7

3rd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.70

Brady Cook run for 10 yds to the MIZ 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.48

Cody Schrader run for 7 yds to the MIZ 24

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.20

Cody Schrader run for 4 yds to the MIZ 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.20

Brady Cook pass complete to Mekhi Miller for 13 yds to the MIZ 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Cody Schrader run for 6 yds to the MIZ 47

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.24

Brady Cook pass incomplete

3rd & 4Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.28

Brady Cook sacked by Omarr Norman-Lott for a loss of 3 yards to the MIZ 44

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Luke Bauer punt for 47 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Joe Milton III pass complete to McCallan Castles for 5 yds to the TENN 14

2nd & 5Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.90

Joe Milton III pass complete to Chas Nimrod for 14 yds to the TENN 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Jaylen Wright run for 4 yds to the TENN 32

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Joe Milton III run for 3 yds to the TENN 35

3rd & 3Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.46

Joe Milton III pass complete to Ramel Keyton for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Joe Milton III pass complete to Squirrel White for 8 yds to the MIZ 42

2nd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Joe Milton III run for a loss of 1 yard to the MIZ 43

3rd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.37

Joe Milton III run for 7 yds to the MIZ 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Joe Milton III pass complete to Chas Nimrod for 3 yds to the MIZ 33

2nd & 7Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+15 ydsPPA -3.76

Joe Milton III pass complete to Jaylen Wright for 15 yds Jaylen Wright fumbled, recovered by MIZ Chuck Hicks [NHSG] MILTON III, Joe pass up the middle complete for 15 yards to WRIGHT, Jaylen caught at the MIZ27, WRIGHT, Jaylen fumbled at MIZ22 forced by NEWSON, Triston, recovered by MIZ HICKS, Chuck at the MIZ18, returned 0 yards to the MIZ18, End of Play, clock 00:20.

1st & 10Rush+35 ydsPPA +2.88

Cody Schrader run for 35 yds to the TENN 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.01

Brady Cook pass complete to Mookie Cooper for 9 yds to the TENN 38

2nd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA -0.19

Cody Schrader run for 9 yds to the TENN 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Field Goal Good+46 yds

Harrison Mevis 46 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-6 ydsPPA -0.86

Joe Milton III run for a loss of 6 yards to the TENN 14 fumbled, recovered by TENN Cooper Mays [NHSG] QB Keeper MILTON III, Joe rush to the right for a loss of 6 yards, MILTON III, Joe fumbled at TEN17 , recovered by TEN MAYS, Cooper at the TEN14, returned 0 yards to the TEN14, End of Play.

2nd & 16Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.08

Jaylen Wright run for 1 yd to the TENN 15

3rd & 15Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.18

Joe Milton III pass complete to Kaleb Webb for 11 yds to the TENN 26

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Jackson Ross punt for 54 yds, fair catch by Kris Abrams-Draine at the MIZ 20

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Cody Schrader run for no gain to the MIZ 20

2nd & 10Pass Reception+48 ydsPPA +4.07

Brady Cook pass complete to Marquis Johnson for 48 yds to the TENN 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Cody Schrader run for 2 yds to the TENN 30

2nd & 8Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.66

Cody Schrader run for 18 yds to the TENN 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Cody Schrader run for 5 yds to the TENN 7

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Cody Schrader run for 4 yds to the TENN 3

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.47

Brady Cook run for 3 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.66

Joe Milton III pass complete to Kaleb Webb for 8 yds to the TENN 22

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Jabari Small run for 1 yd to the TENN 23

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.57

Jabari Small run for 2 yds to the TENN 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Jabari Small run for 2 yds to the TENN 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Joe Milton III pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Joe Milton III pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Jackson Ross punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Kris Abrams-Draine at the MIZ 35

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Cody Schrader run for 3 yds to the MIZ 38

2nd & 7Rush+32 ydsPPA +2.83

Brady Cook run for 17 yds to the TENN 45 for a 1ST down Tennessee Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Omarr Norman-Lott) to the TENN 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Cody Schrader run for no gain to the TENN 30

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.76

Brady Cook pass complete to Cody Schrader for no gain to the TENN 30

3rd & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.94

Brady Cook pass complete to Cody Schrader for 23 yds to the TENN 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Cody Schrader run for 2 yds to the TENN 5

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Cody Schrader run for no gain to the TENN 5

3rd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.37

Brady Cook run for a loss of 1 yard to the TENN 6

4th & 6Field Goal Good+23 yds

Harrison Mevis 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Joe Milton III pass complete to Kaleb Webb for 12 yds to the TENN 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Joe Milton III run for 7 yds to the TENN 44

2nd & 3Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.33

Joe Milton III pass complete to Ramel Keyton for 20 yds to the MIZ 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Tennessee Penalty, False Start (Doneiko Slaughter) to the MIZ 41

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Joe Milton III pass incomplete

2nd & 15Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.57

Joe Milton III pass complete to Squirrel White for 13 yds to the MIZ 28

3rd & 2Penalty0 yds

SAMPSON, Dylan rush to the left for a gain of 23 yards to the MIZ5 (CHARLESTON, Joseph). PENALTY TEN Holding on WHITE, Squirrel declined TEN Holding on WARREN, Jacob enforced 10 yards from the MIZ28 to the MIZ38 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Joe Milton III pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Jackson Ross punt for 37 yds, downed at the MIZ 1

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.24

Brady Cook run for no gain to the MIZ 1

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.10

Cody Schrader run for no gain to the MIZ 1

3rd & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +1.26

Brady Cook run for 24 yds to the MIZ 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Cody Schrader run for 2 yds to the MIZ 27

2nd & 8Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.58

Cody Schrader run for 11 yds to the MIZ 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.43

Cody Schrader run for a loss of 2 yards to the MIZ 36

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Brady Cook pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Brady Cook pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Luke Bauer punt for 32 yds, Dee Williams return -1 yd to the TENN 31

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

MILTON III, Joe pass to the left incomplete intended for WHITE, Squirrel thrown to the TEN46. PENALTY MIZ Pass Interference on CARNELL, Daylan enforced 15 yards to the TEN46 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Joe Milton III pass complete to Dylan Sampson for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.99

Joe Milton III pass complete to Kaleb Webb for 7 yds to the MIZ 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+9 ydsPPA -3.65

Joe Milton III run for 9 yds to the MIZ 34 fumbled, recovered by MIZ Jaylon Carlies [NHSG] QB Keeper MILTON III, Joe rush up the middle for a gain of 9 yards, MILTON III, Joe fumbled at MIZ47 , recovered by MIZ CARLIES, Jaylon at the MIZ34, returned 0 yards to the MIZ34, End of Play, clock 10:57.

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Cody Schrader run for 8 yds to the MIZ 42

2nd & 2Penalty-10 yds

SCHRADER, Cody rush to the right for a gain of 3 yards to the MIZ45 (HERRING, Elijah). PENALTY MIZ Holding on JOHNSON, Cam'Ron enforced 10 yards from the MIZ42 to the MIZ32 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 12Penalty-5 yds

Missouri Penalty, False Start (Theo Wease Jr.) to the MIZ 27

2nd & 17Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.42

Luther Burden III run for no gain to the MIZ 27 for a 1ST down Tennessee Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Gabe Jeudy-Lally) to the MIZ 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+31 ydsPPA +1.82

Cody Schrader run for 31 yds to the TENN 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Missouri Penalty, False Start (Javon Foster) to the TENN 32

1st & 15Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.20

Cody Schrader run for 14 yds to the TENN 18

2nd & 1Penalty-5 yds

Missouri Penalty, False Start (Armand Membou) to the TENN 23

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Cody Schrader run for 2 yds to the TENN 21

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +3.06

Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 21 yds for a TD (Harrison Mevis KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Joe Milton III pass complete to Jacob Warren for 8 yds to the TENN 33

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Joe Milton III pass incomplete

3rd & 2Interception Return Touchdown+38 ydsPPA -7.70

Daylan Carnell 38 Yd Interception Return (Harrison Mevis Kick)

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.07

Joe Milton III sacked by Darius Robinson for a loss of 5 yards to the TENN 20

2nd & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.10

Joe Milton III run for 2 yds to the TENN 22

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Joe Milton III pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Jackson Ross punt for 54 yds, fair catch by Kris Abrams-Draine at the MIZ 24

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.56

Nathaniel Peat run for 1 yd to the MIZ 25

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Brady Cook pass incomplete

3rd & 9Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.26

Nathaniel Peat run for a loss of 5 yards to the MIZ 20

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Luke Bauer punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Dee Williams at the TENN 49

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.12

Joe Milton III pass complete to Dylan Sampson for 9 yds to the MIZ 42

2nd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA -0.10

Dylan Sampson run for 9 yds to the MIZ 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Joe Milton III pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.66

Joe Milton III pass complete to Jacob Warren for 9 yds to the MIZ 24

3rd & 1Penalty-10 yds

SAMPSON, Dylan rush up the middle for no gain to the MIZ24 (HICKS, Chuck). PENALTY TEN Holding on MINCEY, Gerald enforced 10 yards from the MIZ24 to the MIZ34 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 11Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.00

Joe Milton III run for 15 yds to the MIZ 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Joe Milton III pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.08

Dylan Sampson run for 14 yds to the MIZ 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.79

Dylan Sampson run for a loss of 3 yards to the MIZ 8

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Joe Milton III pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion-15 ydsPPA -2.95

Joe Milton III pass incomplete Tennessee Penalty, turnover on downs. PENALTY Unnecessary Roughness on SPRAGGINS, Javontez enforced (-15 Yards) to the MIZ 23

4th & 23Field Goal Missed+41 yds

Charles Campbell 41 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

[NHSG] Kneel down by MIZ at MIZ22 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Tennessee

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
52%
21 plays
0%
3 plays
2nd
20%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
4th

Missouri

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
48%
31 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
14%
7 plays
50%
10 plays
80%
5 plays
3rd
100%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
67%
6 plays
0%
2 plays
4th