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← Back to GamesNov 11, 2023Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Louisiana Tech by 6.7

Home Win Probability

Louisiana Tech 62%

Market (Bovada)

Louisiana Tech -8

Edge: Sam Houston +8 (1.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 11, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Sam HoustonSam Houston
77141442
Louisiana TechLouisiana Tech
3314727

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-73-73-146-146-2113-2120-2827-3527-42
Louisiana TechSam Houston

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SHLTSHLTSHLTSHLTSHLTSHLTSHLTSHLTSHLTSHLTSHLTSHLTLTTD575ydPUNT36ydPUNT3-7ydFG512ydPUNT37ydPUNT419ydPUNT624ydPUNT514ydTD862ydTO675ydPUNT927ydFG857ydEND10ydTO220ydTD648ydTD985ydTD375ydTD675ydPUNT720ydDOWNS529ydTD448ydTD1264ydPUNT633ydTD233ydTO410yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Sam Houston and Louisiana Tech
StatisticSam HoustonLouisiana Tech
Passing18-2830-43
Pass Yards269419
Rush Yards144105
Total Yards413501
Turnovers04
3rd Down9-153-11
Penalties5-215-50
Possession28:3731:23

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Sam Houston
passing
Keegan Shoemaker
18/28, 269 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Adrian Murdaugh
9 CAR, 63 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Noah Smith
6 REC, 115 YDS
defense
Louisiana Tech
passing
Hank Bachmeier
29/42, 384 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Charvis Thornton
2 CAR, 48 YDS
receiving
Cyrus Allen
7 REC, 170 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Jax Sherrard for 6 yds to the SHSU 31

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Keegan Shoemaker pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.60

Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Jax Sherrard for 17 yds to the SHSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Noah Smith run for 4 yds to the LT 48

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+48 ydsPPA +4.16

Adrian Murdaugh run for 48 yds for a TD (Colby Sessums KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Tyre Shelton for 3 yds to the LT 31

2nd & 7Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.74

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Smoke Harris for a loss of 1 yard to the LT 30

3rd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Smoke Harris for 4 yds to the LT 34

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Blake Ochsendorf punt for 51 yds

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Adrian Murdaugh run for 7 yds to the SHSU 33

2nd & 3Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.52

Noah Smith run for a loss of 4 yards to the SHSU 29

3rd & 7Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.47

Keegan Shoemaker sacked by Jesse Evans and Rason Williams II for a loss of 10 yards to the SHSU 19

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Jadon Cardell punt for 36 yds

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.56

Tyre Shelton run for 10 yds to the SHSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Tyre Shelton run for 4 yds to the SHSU 33

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.80

Hank Bachmeier run for no gain to the SHSU 33

3rd & 6Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.44

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Dedrick Latulas for a loss of 2 yards to the SHSU 35

4th & 8Field Goal Good+53 yds

Buck Buchanan 53 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Keegan Shoemaker pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.39

Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Al'vonte Woodard for a loss of 1 yard to the SHSU 24

3rd & 11Penalty-5 yds

Sam Houston Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SHSU 19

3rd & 16Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.33

Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Noah Smith for 13 yds to the SHSU 32

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Jadon Cardell punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Smoke Harris at the LT 30

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+17 ydsPPA +1.60

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Ryan Rivera for 17 yds Ryan Rivera fumbled, recovered by LT for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Charvis Thornton for 2 yds to the LT 49

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Blake Ochsendorf punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Emon Allen at the SHSU 12

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

(04:02) SMITH, Noah rush to the right for a gain of 5 yards to the SAM17 (HEARD, Myles). PENALTY SAM Personal Foul on WEAVER, Tobias enforced half the distance from the goal, 6 yards from the SAM12 to the SAM6 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 16Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.13

Adrian Murdaugh run for 7 yds to the SHSU 13

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Adrian Murdaugh for 4 yds to the SHSU 17

3rd & 5Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.94

Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Noah Smith for 19 yds to the SHSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Keegan Shoemaker pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.63

Adrian Murdaugh run for no gain to the SHSU 36

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Keegan Shoemaker pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Jadon Cardell punt for 34 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.00

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Ryan Rivera for 8 yds to the LT 38

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.13

Tyre Shelton run for 4 yds to the LT 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.87

Hank Bachmeier sacked by Issiah Nixon and Trevor Williams for a loss of 4 yards to the LT 38

2nd & 14Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Smoke Harris for 6 yds to the LT 44

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Blake Ochsendorf punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +2.05

Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Noah Smith for 29 yds to the LT 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Adrian Murdaugh run for a loss of 1 yard to the LT 34

2nd & 11Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.76

Adrian Murdaugh run for a loss of 4 yards to the LT 38

3rd & 15Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.86

Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Al'vonte Woodard for 19 yds to the LT 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Tobias Weaver run for 6 yds to the LT 13

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Keegan Shoemaker pass incomplete

3rd & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.37

Keegan Shoemaker run for 10 yds to the LT 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Issiah Nixon run for 3 yds for a TD (Colby Sessums KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Tyre Shelton run for 4 yds to the LT 29

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.14

Tyre Shelton run for 8 yds to the LT 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Ryan Rivera for 9 yds to the LT 46

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Charvis Thornton run for 1 yd to the LT 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Tru Edwards for 6 yds to the SHSU 47

2nd & 4Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+47 ydsPPA -3.27

Charvis Thornton rush up the middle for a gain of 47 yards, fumbled at SAM0, recovered by SAM TEAM at the SAM0 to the SAM0, touchback.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Keegan Shoemaker pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Keegan Shoemaker run for 1 yd to the SHSU 21

3rd & 9Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.02

Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Adrian Murdaugh for 15 yds to the SHSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Keegan Shoemaker pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.99

Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Noah Smith for 9 yds to the SHSU 45

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.11

Adrian Murdaugh run for 2 yds to the SHSU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Keegan Shoemaker pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Tobias Weaver run for 5 yds to the LT 48

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Keegan Shoemaker pass incomplete

4th & 5Penalty-5 yds

Sam Houston Penalty, Delay Of Game (Jadon Cardell) to the SHSU 47

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Jadon Cardell punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Cyrus Allen for 9 yds to the LT 37

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.17

Hank Bachmeier run for 7 yds to the LT 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.93

Hank Bachmeier run for a loss of 4 yards to the LT 40

2nd & 14Pass Reception+43 ydsPPA +3.72

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Solo Lewis for 43 yds to the SHSU 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.42

Hank Bachmeier run for a loss of 1 yard to the SHSU 18

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Tyre Shelton run for 4 yds to the SHSU 14

3rd & 7Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.61

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Smoke Harris for a loss of 1 yard to the SHSU 15

4th & 8Field Goal Good+32 yds

Jacob Barnes 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

[NHSG] Kneel down by SAM at SAM25 (team loss of 0), clock 00:00.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Smoke Harris run for 1 yd to the LT 36

2nd & 9Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+19 ydsPPA -0.92

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Cyrus Allen for 19 yds Cyrus Allen fumbled, recovered by SHSU Caleb Weaver (14:22) [NHSG] BACHMEIER, Hank pass to the right complete for 19 yards to ALLEN, Cyrus caught at the LAT49, ALLEN, Cyrus fumbled at SAM45 forced by FISHER, David, recovered by SAM WEAVER, Caleb at the SAM45, returned 7 yards to the LAT48 (GILBERT, Jerren;FISHER, David), out of bounds, clock 14:08.

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.31

Adrian Murdaugh run for a loss of 1 yard to the LT 49

2nd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.55

Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Noah Smith for 7 yds to the LT 42

3rd & 4Penalty+5 yds

Louisiana Tech Penalty, Offsides (Zion Nason) to the LT 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +0.50

Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Jax Sherrard for 23 yds to the LT 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

run for 5 yds to the LT 9

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Noah Smith run for 1 yd to the LT 8

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.75

Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Jax Sherrard for 8 yds for a TD (Colby Sessums KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Keith Willis Jr. run for 9 yds to the LT 24

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Keith Willis Jr. run for 2 yds to the LT 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+44 ydsPPA +3.19

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Cyrus Allen for 44 yds to the SHSU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.69

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Smoke Harris for 9 yds to the SHSU 21

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.49

Tyre Shelton run for 1 yd to the SHSU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

Tyre Shelton run for no gain to the SHSU 20

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.58

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Tru Edwards for 15 yds to the SHSU 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Keith Willis Jr. run for 5 yds for a TD (Jacob Barnes KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +3.03

Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Noah Smith for 38 yds to the LT 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.42

Keegan Shoemaker run for 16 yds to the LT 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.63

Keegan Shoemaker run for 21 yds for a TD (Colby Sessums KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Louisiana Tech Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jerren Gilbert) to the LT 15

2nd & 20Penalty-15 yds

Louisiana Tech Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the LT 23

2nd & 12Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +3.87

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Kyle Maxwell for 39 yds to the SHSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Keith Willis Jr. run for 3 yds to the SHSU 35

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+35 ydsPPA +4.22

Kyle Maxwell pass complete to Cyrus Allen for 35 yds for a TD (Jacob Barnes KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Adrian Murdaugh run for 5 yds to the SHSU 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Al'vonte Woodard for 4 yds to the SHSU 34

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.25

Issiah Nixon run for 5 yds to the SHSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +1.76

Keegan Shoemaker run for 23 yds to the LT 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Tobias Weaver run for 2 yds to the LT 36

2nd & 8Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.79

Tobias Weaver run for a loss of 4 yards to the LT 40

3rd & 12Penalty0 yds

Sam Houston Penalty, turnover on downs. PENALTY Intentional Grounding on SHOEMAKER, Keegan enforced a result of a (Yards) to the LT 49

4th & 22Penalty-5 yds

Sam Houston Penalty, Delay Of Game (Jadon Cardell) to the SHSU 45

4th & 27Punt0 yds

Jadon Cardell punt for 36 yds, downed at the LT 19

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.58

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Ryan Rivera for 20 yds to the LT 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Tyre Shelton run for 2 yds to the LT 41

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.40

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Cyrus Allen for 7 yds to the LT 48

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.97

Tyre Shelton run for no gain to the LT 48

1st & 10Pass Reception+44 ydsPPA +2.00

Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Jax Sherrard for 44 yds to the LT 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Keegan Shoemaker run for 1 yd to the LT 3

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Issiah Nixon run for 2 yds to the LT 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Issiah Nixon run for 1 yd for a TD (Colby Sessums KICK)

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.49

Cyrus Allen run for a loss of 3 yards to the LT 33

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete

3rd & 13Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +4.00

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Marlion Jackson for 30 yds to the SHSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Smoke Harris for 4 yds to the SHSU 33

4th & 6Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.38

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Cyrus Allen for 18 yds to the SHSU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Hank Bachmeier run for 4 yds to the SHSU 11

3rd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Tru Edwards for 4 yds to the SHSU 7

4th & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +2.01

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Marlion Jackson for 6 yds to the SHSU 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Keith Willis Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Jacob Barnes KICK)

0th & 3Penalty-5 yds

Louisiana Tech Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SHSU 8

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Louisiana Tech Penalty, Roughing the Passer on DURHAM-CAMPBELL, Ezekiel enforced (15 Yards) to the SHSU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Issiah Nixon run for 3 yds to the SHSU 47

2nd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.50

Keegan Shoemaker pass complete to Thomas Jewett for 11 yds to the LT 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.35

Issiah Nixon run for a loss of 2 yards to the LT 44

2nd & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Keegan Shoemaker run for 2 yds to the LT 42

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Keegan Shoemaker pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Jadon Cardell punt for 42 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +2.77

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Kyle Maxwell for 33 yds to the SHSU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception Return Touchdown+45 ydsPPA -10.39

Kavian Gaither 45 Yd Interception Return (Colby Sessums Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Jacob Fields for 6 yds to the LT 19

2nd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.25

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Smoke Harris for 4 yds to the LT 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete

2nd & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -0.15

Hank Bachmeier pass intercepted

Situational Analysis

Sam Houston

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
50%
24 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
38%
8 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
80%
5 plays
25%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
4th

Louisiana Tech

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
43%
28 plays
2nd
40%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
0%
9 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
0%
2 plays
38%
8 plays
100%
1 play
4th
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play