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← Back to GamesNov 11, 2023Week 11
AlabamaAlabama
49
-Final
21
KentuckyKentucky
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Alabama by 12.6

Home Win Probability

Kentucky 22%

Market (Bovada)

Kentucky +10.5

Edge: Alabama -10.5 (2.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 11, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
AlabamaAlabama
21771449
KentuckyKentucky
707721

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842560-77-217-2814-2814-3514-4214-4921-49
KentuckyAlabama

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ALAKENALAKENALAKENKENALAKENALAKENALAKENALAKENALAKENALAKENALAKENALAKENALAKENTD1080ydPUNT3-5ydTD455ydTO1-2ydTD11ydPUNT35ydTD632ydPUNT36ydPUNT37ydTD562ydDOWNS662ydTO519ydTO610ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT518ydEND16ydTD1075ydTD965ydPUNT3-5ydTD838ydPUNT33ydTD766ydTD475ydPUNT822ydEND2-4yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Alabama and Kentucky
StatisticAlabamaKentucky
Passing16-2517-31
Pass Yards285158
Rush Yards15995
Total Yards444253
Turnovers22
3rd Down7-113-11
Penalties6-644-19
Possession32:0627:54

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Alabama
passing
Jalen Milroe
15/22, 234 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jase McClellan
9 CAR, 43 YDS
receiving
Kobe Prentice
4 REC, 74 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Kentucky
passing
Devin Leary
17/31, 158 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Ramon Jefferson
2 CAR, 73 YDS
receiving
Dane Key
4 REC, 46 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jalen Milroe run for 5 yds to the ALA 25

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Jase McClellan run for 2 yds to the ALA 27

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.09

Jase McClellan run for 4 yds to the ALA 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Jase McClellan for 4 yds to the ALA 35

2nd & 6Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.99

Jalen Milroe run for 16 yds to the UK 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Roydell Williams run for 2 yds to the UK 47

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Roydell Williams for 4 yds to the UK 43

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.49

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Kobe Prentice for 6 yds to the UK 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.33

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Kendrick Law for 11 yds to the UK 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +2.72

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Amari Niblack for 26 yds for a TD (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Ray Davis run for 5 yds to the UK 21

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.57

Ray Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the UK 20

3rd & 6Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.31

Devin Leary sacked by Chris Braswell and Quandarrius Robinson for a loss of 9 yards to the UK 11

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Wilson Berry punt for 44 yds, downed at the ALA 45

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.18

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Isaiah Bond for 17 yds to the UK 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Jase McClellan run for 3 yds to the UK 35

2nd & 7Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.96

Jalen Milroe run for a loss of 5 yards to the UK 40

3rd & 12Passing Touchdown+40 ydsPPA +5.31

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Kobe Prentice for 40 yds for a TD (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-2 ydsPPA -0.38

Devin Leary pass complete to Barion Brown for a loss of 2 yards Barion Brown fumbled, recovered by ALA Caleb Downs [SG] LEARY, Devin pass short to the left complete for -2 yards to BROWN, Barion caught at the UKY19, BROWN, Barion fumbled at UKY18 forced by ARNOLD, Terrion, recovered by ALA DOWNS, Caleb at the UKY13, returned 12 yards to the UKY1 (DAVIS, Ray;ARNOLD, Terrion), clock 05:16.

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Jalen Milroe run for 1 yd for a TD (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Devin Leary pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Kentucky Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UK 20

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Devin Leary pass incomplete

3rd & 15Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.19

Devin Leary pass complete to Ray Davis for 10 yds to the UK 30

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Wilson Berry punt for 33 yds , returns for no gain to the ALA 32

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Ray Davis run for 5 yds to the ALA 27

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Ray Davis run for 6 yds to the ALA 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Devin Leary pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Ray Davis run for 5 yds to the ALA 16

3rd & 5Penalty+14 yds

(02:08) LEARY, Devin pass deep to the left incomplete intended for BROWN, Barion thrown to the ALA0, clock 02:01. PENALTY ALA Pass Interference on DOWNS, Caleb enforced 14 yards to the ALA2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 2Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.32

Ray Davis run for a loss of 4 yards to the ALA 6

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

Devin Leary pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 6 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Jalen Milroe pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+6 yds

MILROE, Jalen pass short to the right complete for 6 yards to BENSON, Malik caught at the ALA30 and advanced to the ALA30 (JACKSON, D'Eryk;LOVETT, Jordan), clock 01:07. PENALTY ALA Pass Interference on DIPPRE, CJ UKY Face mask on JACKSON, D'Eryk , Offsetting penalties [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Jam Miller run for 6 yds to the ALA 32

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Will Reichard punt for 55 yds, fair catch by Tayvion Robinson at the UK 13

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Jalen Milroe pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Ray Davis run for 2 yds to the UK 15

2nd & 8Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Devin Leary pass complete to Ray Davis for 1 yd to the UK 16

3rd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Devin Leary pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 4 yds to the UK 20

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Wilson Berry punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Kool-Aid McKinstry at the ALA 38

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.58

Jase McClellan run for a loss of 3 yards to the ALA 35

2nd & 13Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +3.56

Jalen Milroe pass complete to CJ Dippre for 30 yds to the UK 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.35

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Malik Benson for 15 yds to the UK 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Jase McClellan run for 4 yds to the UK 16

2nd & 6Penalty-10 yds

QB Keeper MILROE, Jalen rush to the right for a gain of 7 yards to the UKY9, out of bounds. PENALTY ALA Holding on LATHAM, JC enforced 10 yards from the UKY16 to the UKY26 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 16Passing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +3.63

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Roydell Williams for 26 yds for a TD (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.24

Devin Leary pass complete to Dane Key for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +1.26

Devin Leary pass complete to Brenden Bates for 33 yds to the ALA 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Devin Leary pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.30

Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 1 yd to the ALA 16

3rd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.22

Devin Leary pass complete to Ray Davis for 7 yds to the ALA 9

4th & 2Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -4.00

Devin Leary pass complete to Devin Leary for a loss of 4 yards to the ALA 13

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.64

Jase McClellan run for 8 yds to the ALA 21

2nd & 2Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.62

Jalen Milroe run for 12 yds to the ALA 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Jalen Milroe pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.62

Jase McClellan run for a loss of 1 yard to the ALA 32

3rd & 11Interception0 ydsPPA +0.00

Jalen Milroe pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Devin Leary pass complete to Barion Brown for 5 yds to the ALA 45

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Devin Leary pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.74

Devin Leary pass complete to Dane Key for 6 yds to the ALA 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.02

Ray Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the ALA 40

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Devin Leary pass incomplete

3rd & 11Interception0 ydsPPA -1.82

Devin Leary pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Jalen Milroe pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.66

Roydell Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the ALA 28

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Jalen Milroe pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt0 yds

James Burnip punt for 40 yds, downed at the UK 32

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Ray Davis run for 6 yds to the UK 38

2nd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.13

Devin Leary pass complete to Josh Kattus for 10 yds to the UK 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Devin Leary pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+5 yds

Alabama Penalty, Offsides (Dallas Turner) to the ALA 47

2nd & 5Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Devin Leary pass complete to Ray Davis for 2 yds to the ALA 45

3rd & 3Penalty-5 yds

Kentucky Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard line

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Devin Leary pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Wilson Berry punt for 50 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Roydell Williams run for 6 yds to the ALA 26

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Devin Leary pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.73

Devin Leary pass complete to Ray Davis for 12 yds to the UK 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Devin Leary pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Devin Leary pass incomplete

3rd & 10Penalty+15 yds

(13:57) LEARY, Devin pass to the left incomplete intended for BROWN, Barion thrown to the UKY47, clock 13:55. PENALTY ALA Roughing the Passer on LATHAM, Jah-Marien enforced 15 yards from the UKY37 to the ALA48 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +1.07

Devin Leary pass complete to Josh Kattus for 28 yds to the ALA 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Devin Leary pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.42

Devin Leary pass complete to Dane Key for 9 yds to the ALA 11

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.15

Devin Leary run for 2 yds to the ALA 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Barion Brown run for 7 yds to the ALA 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Ray Davis run for 2 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Jalen Milroe run for 3 yds to the ALA 38

2nd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.37

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Isaiah Bond for 7 yds to the ALA 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.18

Jase McClellan run for 17 yds to the UK 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.18

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Kobe Prentice for a loss of 2 yards to the UK 40

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Jalen Milroe pass incomplete

3rd & 12Penalty-5 yds

Alabama Penalty, Illegal Substitution (TEAM) to the UK 45

3rd & 17Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +3.70

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Kobe Prentice for 30 yds to the UK 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Isaiah Bond run for 3 yds to the UK 12

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.20

Jase McClellan run for 9 yds to the UK 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Jalen Milroe run for 3 yds for a TD (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Ray Davis run for no gain to the UK 25

2nd & 10Sack-11 ydsPPA -0.59

Devin Leary sacked by Justin Eboigbe and Damon Payne Jr. for a loss of 11 yards to the UK 14

3rd & 21Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.01

Devin Leary pass complete to Dane Key for 6 yds to the UK 20

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Wilson Berry punt for 45 yds

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Roydell Williams run for 6 yds to the UK 32

2nd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.16

Roydell Williams run for 8 yds to the UK 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Roydell Williams run for 1 yd to the UK 23

2nd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.49

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Amari Niblack for 12 yds to the UK 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Jam Miller run for 2 yds to the UK 9

2nd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.75

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Jam Miller for 8 yds to the UK 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Jam Miller run for no gain to the UK 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Jalen Milroe run for 1 yd for a TD (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 4 yds to the UK 29

2nd & 6Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.74

Devin Leary sacked by Tim Smith and Justin Eboigbe for a loss of 1 yard to the UK 28

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Devin Leary pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Wilson Berry punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Kool-Aid McKinstry at the ALA 34

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.28

Jam Miller run for a loss of 2 yards to the ALA 32

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Ty Simpson pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Reception+51 ydsPPA +4.46

Ty Simpson pass complete to Jalen Hale for 51 yds to the UK 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Jam Miller run for 2 yds to the UK 15

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Ty Simpson pass incomplete

3rd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.08

Ty Simpson run for 9 yds to the UK 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Penalty0 yds

Kentucky Penalty, Defensive Holding (Jalen Geiger) to the UK 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Jam Miller run for 3 yds for a TD (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Rush+74 ydsPPA +5.14

Ramon Jefferson run for 74 yds to the ALA 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.13

Ramon Jefferson run for a loss of 1 yard to the ALA 2

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Devin Leary run for 1 yd to the ALA 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Ray Davis run for 1 yd for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Justice Haynes run for 5 yds to the ALA 31

2nd & 5Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.63

Justice Haynes run for 14 yds to the ALA 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Justice Haynes run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Richard Young run for 3 yds to the UK 47

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.19

Justice Haynes run for 3 yds to the UK 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Justice Haynes run for 5 yds to the UK 39

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.76

Richard Young run for 1 yd to the UK 38

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Justice Haynes run for 1 yd to the UK 37

4th & 3Penalty-15 yds

SIMPSON, Ty pass to the left complete for 20 yards to KITSELMAN, Miles caught at the UKY25 and advanced to the UKY17 (BRYANT, Ty). PENALTY ALA Pass Interference on ADAMS, Cole enforced 15 yards to the ALA48 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Will Reichard punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Tayvion Robinson at the UK 11

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 1 yd to the UK 12

2nd & 9Penalty0 yds

SUMO-KARNGBAYE, Demie rush up the middle for a gain of 1 yard to the UKY13 (POPE, Jake;RENAUD, Jordan). PENALTY UKY Holding on RAY, Dylan enforced half the distance from the goal, 6 yards from the UKY12 to the UKY6. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.05

Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 1 yd to the UK 7

Situational Analysis

Alabama

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
75%
4 plays
44%
27 plays
2nd
100%
2 plays
50%
6 plays
50%
10 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
100%
1 play
80%
5 plays
4th

Kentucky

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
41%
22 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
43%
7 plays
43%
7 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play