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← Back to GamesNov 11, 2023Week 11

House Prediction

Model Margin

James Madison by 38.4

Home Win Probability

James Madison 97%

Market (Bovada)

James Madison -25

Edge: James Madison -25 (13.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 11, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
UConnUConn
03306
James MadisonJames Madison
310171444

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428423-06-013-316-623-630-637-644-6
James MadisonUConn

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20JMUCOJMUCOJMUCOJMUCOJMUCOUCOJMUCOJMUCOJMUCOJMUCOUCOJMPUNT925ydPUNT548ydFG1278ydDOWNS519ydFG833ydPUNT410ydTD180ydFG1052ydPUNT519ydEND38ydTO27ydFG629ydFG1063ydTD475ydPUNT32ydTD580ydDOWNS1362ydTD1090ydTD748ydDOWNS615ydEND3-5yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing UConn and James Madison
StatisticUConnJames Madison
Passing23-4133-37
Pass Yards240457
Rush Yards7946
Total Yards319503
Turnovers20
3rd Down3-153-9
Penalties5-395-30
Possession29:0830:52

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

UConn
passing
Ta'Quan Roberson
20/36, 207 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Camryn Edwards
12 CAR, 43 YDS
receiving
Cameron Ross
4 REC, 91 YDS
defense
James Madison
passing
Jordan McCloud
33/37, 457 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
Kaelon Black
4 CAR, 38 YDS
receiving
Reggie Brown
9 REC, 202 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Jordan McCloud run for 2 yds to the JMU 27 Jordan McCloud fumbled, recovered by JMU Tanner Morris [NHSG] QB Keeper MCCLOUD, Jordan rush to the right for a gain of 2 yards, MCCLOUD, Jordan fumbled at JMU27 forced by DIXON-WILLIAMS, Malik, recovered by JMU MORRIS, Tanner at the JMU27, returned 0 yards to the JMU27, End of Play.

2nd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.77

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Reggie Brown for 13 yds to the JMU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.50

Jordan McCloud run for a loss of 2 yards to the JMU 38

2nd & 12Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.49

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Reggie Brown for 13 yds to the CONN 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Jordan McCloud run for 6 yds to the CONN 43

2nd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Phoenix Sproles for 6 yds to the CONN 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Jordan McCloud pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty0 yds

James Madison Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Jordan McCloud) to the CONN 43

3rd & 16Sack-12 ydsPPA -1.30

Jordan McCloud sacked by Mumu Bin-Wahad for a loss of 12 yards to the JMU 45

4th & 28Penalty+5 yds

HANSON, Ryan punt 33 yards to the CON22, returned by ROSS, Cameron. (CHUKWUNEKE, Chris), clock 10:50. PENALTY CON Running Into the kicker on HUDSON, Chris enforced 5 yards from the JMU45 to the JMU50 [FAKE PUNT]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

4th & 23Punt0 yds

Ryan Hanson punt for 39 yds , returns for no gain to the CONN 9

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Camryn Edwards run for no gain to the CONN 9

2nd & 10Pass Reception+44 ydsPPA +3.54

Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Cameron Ross for 44 yds to the JMU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Camryn Edwards run for 1 yd to the JMU 46

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Justin Joly for 6 yds to the JMU 40

3rd & 3Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.76

Cameron Ross run for a loss of 3 yards to the JMU 43

4th & 6Punt0 yds

George Caratan punt for 37 yds, downed at the JMU 6

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Ty Son Lawton run for 1 yd to the JMU 7

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Reggie Brown for 4 yds to the JMU 11

3rd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.78

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Ty Son Lawton for 9 yds to the JMU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Ty Son Lawton run for 4 yds to the JMU 24

2nd & 6Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.72

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 16 yds to the JMU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.34

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 9 yds to the JMU 49

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Kaelon Black run for 2 yds to the CONN 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +1.08

Kaelon Black run for 25 yds to the CONN 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

James Madison Penalty, False Start (Cole Potts) to the CONN 29

1st & 15Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.24

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 7 yds to the CONN 22

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.28

Ty Son Lawton run for 7 yds to the CONN 15

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.61

Ty Son Lawton run for a loss of 1 yard to the CONN 16

4th & 2Field Goal Good+34 yds

Camden Wise 34 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Justin Joly for 10 yds to the CONN 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Justin Joly for 8 yds to the CONN 43

2nd & 2Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.99

Camryn Edwards run for a loss of 3 yards to the CONN 40

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Ta'Quan Roberson pass incomplete

4th & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Pryce Yates pass complete to Victor Rosa for 4 yds to the CONN 44

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Jordan McCloud run for 2 yds to the CONN 42

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Kaelon Black run for 2 yds to the CONN 40

3rd & 6Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.80

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Reggie Brown for 13 yds to the CONN 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.21

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 15 yds to the CONN 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.49

Jordan McCloud run for a loss of 3 yards to the CONN 15

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Jordan McCloud pass incomplete

3rd & 13Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.38

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Zach Horton for 9 yds to the CONN 6

4th & 4Penalty-5 yds

James Madison Penalty, False Start (Tyler Stephens) to the CONN 11

4th & 9Field Goal Good+29 yds

Camden Wise 29 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.98

Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Cameron Ross for 22 yds to the CONN 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

UConn Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Ta'Quan Roberson) to the CONN 38

2nd & 19Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.46

Victor Rosa run for a loss of 3 yards to the CONN 35

3rd & 22Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Ta'Quan Roberson pass incomplete

4th & 22Punt0 yds

George Caratan punt for 45 yds

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+80 ydsPPA +6.39

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Reggie Brown for 80 yds for a TD (Camden Wise KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.61

Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Cameron Ross for 18 yds to the CONN 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Ta'Quan Roberson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Camryn Edwards run for 4 yds to the CONN 47

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.23

Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Justin Joly for 7 yds to the JMU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Ta'Quan Roberson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.85

Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Camryn Edwards for 20 yds to the JMU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Camryn Edwards run for 7 yds to the JMU 19

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Ta'Quan Roberson pass incomplete

3rd & 3Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.22

Jalen Mitchell run for a loss of 4 yards to the JMU 23

4th & 7Field Goal Good+41 yds

Noe Ruelas 41 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Kaelon Black run for 9 yds to the JMU 34

2nd & 1Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 1 yd to the JMU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Kaelon Black for 5 yds to the JMU 40

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 4 yds to the JMU 44

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.02

Ty Son Lawton run for no gain to the JMU 44

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Ryan Hanson punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Ta'Quan Roberson run for 5 yds to the CONN 18

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Ta'Quan Roberson pass incomplete

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Ta'Quan Roberson run for 3 yds to the CONN 21

0th & 5End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Ta'Quan Roberson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+7 ydsPPA -0.55

Victor Rosa run for 7 yds to the CONN 39 Victor Rosa fumbled, recovered by JMU Chris Chukwuneke [NHSG] ROSA, Victor rush to the left for a gain of 7 yards, ROSA, Victor fumbled at CON33 forced by MEEHAN, Francis, recovered by JMU CHUKWUNEKE, Chris at the CON39, returned 0 yards to the CON39, End of Play, clock 14:35.

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.82

Jordan McCloud run for 9 yds to the CONN 30

2nd & 1Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA -0.28

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 11 yds to the CONN 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Jordan McCloud pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Reggie Brown for 6 yds to the CONN 13

3rd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Ty Son Lawton for 3 yds to the CONN 10

4th & 1Field Goal Good+28 yds

Camden Wise 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Camryn Edwards run for 6 yds to the CONN 30

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Ta'Quan Roberson pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.61

Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Cameron Ross for 7 yds to the CONN 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

James Madison Penalty, Targeting on REID, Que enforced (Que Reid) to the JMU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Brett Buckman for 2 yds to the JMU 42

2nd & 8Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.35

Camryn Edwards pass complete to Justin Joly for 24 yds to the JMU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Justin Joly for 5 yds to the JMU 13

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.38

Camryn Edwards run for no gain to the JMU 13

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Ta'Quan Roberson pass incomplete

4th & 5Field Goal Good+31 yds

Noe Ruelas 31 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 13 yds to the JMU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +2.16

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 33 yds to the CONN 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.50

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Zach Horton for 8 yds to the CONN 21

2nd & 2Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.28

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Zach Horton for 21 yds for a TD (Camden Wise KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Justin Joly for 1 yd to the CONN 45

2nd & 9Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Camryn Edwards for 1 yd to the CONN 46

3rd & 8Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.67

Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Brett Buckman for no gain to the CONN 46

4th & 8Punt0 yds

George Caratan punt for 54 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.75

Ty Son Lawton run for a loss of 3 yards to the JMU 17

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Jordan McCloud pass incomplete

3rd & 13Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.63

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 24 yds to the JMU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Reggie Brown for 4 yds to the JMU 45

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+55 ydsPPA +4.83

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Reggie Brown for 55 yds for a TD (Camden Wise KICK)

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.29

Camryn Edwards run for 14 yds to the CONN 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Camryn Edwards run for 5 yds to the CONN 47

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.96

Camryn Edwards run for 1 yd to the CONN 48

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Ta'Quan Roberson pass incomplete

4th & 4Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +3.41

Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Brett Buckman for 18 yds to the JMU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Ta'Quan Roberson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Camryn Edwards run for 6 yds to the JMU 28

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Camryn Edwards run for 2 yds to the JMU 26

4th & 2Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.24

Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Brett Buckman for 8 yds to the JMU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Ta'Quan Roberson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Ta'Quan Roberson pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.33

Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Brett Buckman for 8 yds to the JMU 10

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.97

Ta'Quan Roberson pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 5 yds to the JMU 15

2nd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 7 yds to the JMU 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Phoenix Sproles for 8 yds to the JMU 30

2nd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Ty Son Lawton run for 7 yds to the JMU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.36

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Ty Son Lawton for 15 yds to the CONN 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.78

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Elijah Sarratt for 15 yds to the CONN 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Phoenix Sproles for 6 yds to the CONN 27

2nd & 4Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.14

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Reggie Brown for 14 yds to the CONN 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+11 yds

MCCLOUD, Jordan pass to the left incomplete intended for PONDS, D'Angelo broken up by SHEARIN, Chris at the CON13. PENALTY CON Pass Interference on SHEARIN, Chris enforced 11 yards to the CON2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 2Penalty-5 yds

James Madison Penalty, False Start (Tanner Morris) to the CONN 7

1st & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Ty Son Lawton run for 2 yds to the CONN 5

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Phoenix Sproles for 5 yds for a TD (Camden Wise KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Ta'Quan Roberson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Jalen Mitchell for 9 yds to the CONN 34

3rd & 1Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.75

Jalen Mitchell run for 23 yds to the JMU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.61

Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Brett Buckman for 16 yds to the JMU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Brett Buckman run for 3 yds to the JMU 24

2nd & 7Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.01

Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Jalen Mitchell for a loss of 3 yards to the JMU 27

3rd & 10Interception Return Touchdown+81 ydsPPA -10.10

Brent Austin 81 Yd Interception Return (Camden Wise Kick)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Jalen Mitchell run for 6 yds to the CONN 37

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.86

Jalen Mitchell run for 7 yds to the CONN 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.76

Jalen Mitchell run for a loss of 3 yards to the CONN 41

2nd & 13Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Zion Turner pass complete to Kylish Hicks for 5 yds to the CONN 46

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Zion Turner pass incomplete

4th & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Zion Turner pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.03

[NHSG] Kneel down by ATKINS, Billy at CON47 (team loss of 1).

2nd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

[NHSG] Kneel down by ATKINS, Billy at CON49 (team loss of 2).

3rd & 13Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

[NHSG] Kneel down by ATKINS, Billy at JMU49 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

UConn

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
24 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
55%
11 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
29%
7 plays
25%
4 plays
0%
1 play
4th
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play

James Madison

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
57%
28 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
40%
5 plays
86%
7 plays
60%
5 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
0%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
4th