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← Back to GamesNov 4, 2023Week 10
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Iowa by 13.8

Home Win Probability

Northwestern 21%

Market (Bovada)

Northwestern +5

Edge: Iowa -5 (8.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 4, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
IowaIowa
007310
NorthwesternNorthwestern
00077

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q407140-77-77-10
NorthwesternIowa

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20IOWNORIOWNORIOWNORIOWNORIOWNORIOWNORIOWNORIOWNORIOWNORIOWNORIOWNORPUNT1037ydPUNT3-6ydMISS627ydPUNT64ydTO741ydPUNT516ydPUNT516ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT36ydPUNT34ydPUNT31ydPUNT37ydEND1-1ydPUNT3-7ydTD725ydPUNT729ydPUNT69ydDOWNS1866ydPUNT37ydTD622ydFG737ydEND421yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Iowa and Northwestern
StatisticIowaNorthwestern
Passing10-1512-20
Pass Yards6581
Rush Yards10489
Total Yards169170
Turnovers10
3rd Down4-126-17
Penalties3-307-71
Possession30:1829:42

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Iowa
passing
Deacon Hill
10/15, 65 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Leshon Williams
24 CAR, 79 YDS
receiving
Kaleb Brown
1 REC, 23 YDS
defense
Northwestern
passing
Brendan Sullivan
12/19, 81 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Anthony Tyus III
10 CAR, 40 YDS
receiving
Bryce Kirtz
3 REC, 33 YDS
defense
Xander Mueller
1.5 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Leshon Williams run for 4 yds to the IOWA 28

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Leshon Williams run for 4 yds to the IOWA 32

3rd & 2Penalty+3 yds

HILL, Deacon pass to the right incomplete intended for VINES, Diante thrown to the UI32. PENALTY NU Pass Interference on HOLLIS JR., Garnett enforced at the spot of the foul for 3 yards to the UI35 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Leshon Williams run for 8 yds to the IOWA 43

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.09

Leshon Williams run for 1 yd to the IOWA 44

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.11

Deacon Hill run for 2 yds to the IOWA 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jaziun Patterson run for 5 yds to the NU 49

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.95

Jaziun Patterson run for 1 yd to the NU 48

3rd & 4Penalty+14 yds

HILL, Deacon pass to the left incomplete intended for BROWN, Kaleb thrown to the NU35. PENALTY NU Pass Interference on JOHNSON, Theran enforced at the spot of the foul for 14 yards to the NU34 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Deacon Hill pass complete to Diante Vines for 1 yd to the NU 33

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Leshon Williams run for 2 yds to the NU 31

3rd & 7Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.51

Deacon Hill sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the NU 39

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Tory Taylor punt for 27 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.43

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to A.J. Henning for a loss of 1 yard to the NU 11

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.06

Cam Porter run for 3 yds to the NU 14

3rd & 8Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.17

Brendan Sullivan sacked by Nick Jackson for a loss of 8 yards to the NU 6

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Hunter Renner punt for 52 yds , Cooper DeJean returns for no gain to the IOWA 37

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.36

Deacon Hill pass complete to Hayden Large for 15 yds to the NU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Leshon Williams run for no gain to the NU 48

2nd & 10Penalty+14 yds

HILL, Deacon pass deep to the left incomplete intended for VINES, Diante thrown to the NU15. PENALTY NU Pass Interference on HOLLIS JR., Garnett enforced at the spot of the foul for 14 yards to the NU34 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.66

Leshon Williams run for no gain to the NU 34

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Leshon Williams run for 2 yds to the NU 32

3rd & 8Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.82

Deacon Hill pass complete to Leshon Williams for a loss of 4 yards to the NU 36

4th & 12Field Goal Missed+53 yds

Drew Stevens 53 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Cam Porter run for 8 yds to the NU 44

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.36

Brendan Sullivan pass incomplete

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.37

Cam Porter run for 3 yds to the NU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Marshall Lang for 5 yds to the IOWA 48

2nd & 5Fumble Recovery (Own)-17 ydsPPA -3.24

run for a loss of 17 yards to the NU 35 fumbled, recovered by NU Cam Porter [NHSG] NU rush up the middle for a loss of 17 yards, fumbled at UI48 , recovered by NU PORTER, Cam at the NU35, returned 0 yards to the NU35, End of Play.

3rd & 22Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Brendan Sullivan run for 5 yds to the NU 40

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Hunter Renner punt for 27 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Deacon Hill pass complete to Addison Ostrenga for 6 yds to the IOWA 39

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.44

Jaziun Patterson run for 3 yds to the IOWA 42

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.11

Jaziun Patterson run for 2 yds to the IOWA 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jaziun Patterson run for 3 yds to the IOWA 47

2nd & 7Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.98

Deacon Hill pass complete to Diante Vines for 8 yds to the NU 45 for a 1ST down Northwestern Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the NU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Diante Vines run for 4 yds to the NU 26

2nd & 6Interception0 ydsPPA -4.14

Deacon Hill pass intercepted, touchback.

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Cam Porter run for 6 yds to the NU 26

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Brendan Sullivan run for 7 yds to the NU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Anthony Tyus III run for 5 yds to the NU 38

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Anthony Tyus III run for 3 yds to the NU 41

3rd & 2Penalty-5 yds

Northwestern Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NU 36

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Brendan Sullivan pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Hunter Renner punt for 50 yds

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.93

Cooper DeJean run for 8 yds to the IOWA 34

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Leshon Williams run for 6 yds to the IOWA 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Leshon Williams run for 3 yds to the IOWA 43

2nd & 7Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.18

Deacon Hill pass complete to Leshon Williams for a loss of 1 yard to the IOWA 42

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Deacon Hill pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Tory Taylor punt for 46 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.38

Brendan Sullivan run for no gain to the NU 12

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.19

Cam Porter run for a loss of 1 yard to the NU 11

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Brendan Sullivan pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Hunter Renner punt for 35 yds, downed at the NU 46

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.93

Deacon Hill sacked by Aidan Hubbard for a loss of 4 yards to the 50 yard line

2nd & 14Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.22

Leshon Williams run for 10 yds to the NU 40

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Deacon Hill pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Tory Taylor punt for 40 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to A.J. Henning for 4 yds to the NU 24

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Anthony Tyus III run for no gain to the NU 24

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Brendan Sullivan pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Luke Akers punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Cooper DeJean at the IOWA 28

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Leshon Williams run for 1 yd to the IOWA 29

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Leshon Williams run for no gain to the IOWA 29

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

Deacon Hill pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Tory Taylor punt for 46 yds, downed at the NU 25

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.02

Brendan Sullivan sacked by Yahya Black for a loss of 4 yards to the NU 21

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Hunter Renner punt for 39 yds, downed at the IOWA 29

2nd & 14Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Cam Porter run for 4 yds to the NU 25

3rd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.15

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to A.J. Henning for 7 yds to the NU 32

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.83

[SG] Kneel down by UI at UI28 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.70

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Joseph Himon II for no gain to the NU 25

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

PORTER, Cam rush up the middle for a gain of 4 yards to the NU29 (HIGGINS, Jay;SCHULTE, Quinn). PENALTY NU Holding on GORDON, Thomas enforced 10 yards from the NU25 to the NU15 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 20Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.03

Brendan Sullivan run for 3 yds to the NU 18

3rd & 17Rush0 ydsPPA -0.05

Cam Porter run for no gain to the NU 18

4th & 17Blocked Punt0 yds

Hunter Renner punt blocked by Anterio Thompson to the NU 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Deacon Hill pass complete to Addison Ostrenga for 7 yds to the NU 18

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.18

Leshon Williams run for 4 yds to the NU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Leshon Williams run for 5 yds to the NU 9

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jaziun Patterson run for 4 yds to the NU 5

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.80

Deacon Hill run for 1 yd to the NU 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Jaziun Patterson run for 2 yds to the NU 2

2nd & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Deacon Hill pass complete to Addison Ostrenga for 2 yds for a TD (Drew Stevens KICK)

1st & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -0.70

Brendan Sullivan sacked by Joe Evans for 0 yards to the NU 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.63

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Cam Johnson for 11 yds to the NU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Cam Porter run for 4 yds to the NU 40

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.30

Brendan Sullivan run for 8 yds to the NU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.60

Brendan Sullivan sacked by Jay Higgins for a loss of 2 yards to the NU 46

2nd & 12Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.77

Brendan Sullivan run for 8 yds to the IOWA 46

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Brendan Sullivan pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Hunter Renner punt for 46 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Leshon Williams run for 7 yds to the IOWA 27

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Deacon Hill pass incomplete

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.09

Leshon Williams run for 4 yds to the IOWA 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

PATTERSON, Jaziun rush up the middle for a gain of 2 yards to the UI33 (GALLAGHER, Bryce). PENALTY UI Holding on ELSBURY, Tyler enforced 10 yards from the UI31 to the UI21 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.18

Jaziun Patterson run for 1 yd to the IOWA 22

2nd & 19Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.05

Leshon Williams run for 3 yds to the IOWA 25

3rd & 16Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Leshon Williams run for 4 yds to the IOWA 29

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Tory Taylor punt for 38 yds, downed at the NU 33

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Brendan Sullivan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.91

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 9 yds to the NU 42

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.29

Anthony Tyus III run for 4 yds to the NU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Jack Lausch run for 3 yds to the NU 49

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Jack Lausch run for 3 yds to the IOWA 48

3rd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.88

Anthony Tyus III run for 9 yds to the IOWA 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -0.81

Brendan Sullivan sacked by Xavier Nwankpa for 0 yards to the IOWA 39

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.64

Anthony Tyus III run for 8 yds to the IOWA 31

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.62

Cam Porter run for 6 yds to the IOWA 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Cam Porter run for 2 yds to the IOWA 23

2nd & 8Penalty-10 yds

SULLIVAN, Brendan pass to the right complete for 6 yards to PORTER, Cam caught at the UI23 and advanced to the UI17 (CASTRO, Sebastian). PENALTY NU Holding on EDWARDS, Braeden enforced 10 yards from the UI23 to the UI33 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 18Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.34

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Cam Johnson for 14 yds to the IOWA 19

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Anthony Tyus III run for 3 yds to the IOWA 16

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.63

Anthony Tyus III run for 3 yds to the IOWA 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Brendan Sullivan run for 1 yd to the IOWA 12

2nd & 9Penalty+10 yds

SULLIVAN, Brendan pass up the middle incomplete intended for KIRTZ, Bryce thrown to the UI0. PENALTY UI Pass Interference on DEJEAN, Cooper enforced at the spot of the foul for 10 yards to the UI2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Cam Porter run for 1 yd to the IOWA 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Brendan Sullivan run for no gain to the IOWA 1

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Cam Porter run for no gain to the IOWA 1

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -4.21

Brendan Sullivan run for no gain to the IOWA 1

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.24

Deacon Hill run for no gain to the IOWA 1

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.07

Deacon Hill run for 2 yds to the IOWA 3

3rd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Leshon Williams run for 5 yds to the IOWA 8

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Tory Taylor punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Anthony Tyus III run for 4 yds to the IOWA 18

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Anthony Tyus III run for 1 yd to the IOWA 17

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.48

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 6 yds to the IOWA 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Brendan Sullivan run for 7 yds to the IOWA 4

2nd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.49

Brendan Sullivan run for a loss of 1 yard to the IOWA 5

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.71

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Cam Johnson for 5 yds for a TD (Jack Olsen KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.97

Deacon Hill pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 8 yds to the IOWA 36

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.03

Leshon Williams run for 3 yds to the IOWA 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.76

Deacon Hill pass complete to Kaleb Brown for 23 yds to the NU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Leshon Williams run for 1 yd to the NU 37

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Leshon Williams run for 2 yds to the NU 35

3rd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Leshon Williams run for no gain to the NU 35

4th & 7Field Goal Good+52 yds

Drew Stevens 52 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.61

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Bryce Kirtz for 18 yds to the NU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Brendan Sullivan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Brendan Sullivan pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to A.J. Henning for 3 yds to the NU 46

Situational Analysis

Iowa

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
45%
22 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
6 plays
0%
5 plays
14%
7 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
0%
1 play
17%
6 plays
0%
1 play
4th

Northwestern

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
29%
21 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
33%
6 plays
50%
6 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
50%
6 plays
25%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
50%
2 plays