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← Back to GamesNov 4, 2023Week 10
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Minnesota by 15.9

Home Win Probability

Minnesota 82%

Market (Bovada)

Minnesota -2

Edge: Minnesota -2 (13.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 4, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
IllinoisIllinois
1407627
MinnesotaMinnesota
7103626

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-77-1414-1417-1420-2126-2126-27
MinnesotaIllinois

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ILLMINILLMINILLMINILLMINILLMINILLMINILLMINILLMINILLMINILLMINILLMINILLMINILLTD320ydTD665ydTD1475ydTD975ydMISS1246ydFG1353ydPUNT515ydEND1-2ydTO3-13ydFG4-3ydTD575ydPUNT55ydPUNT59ydPUNT34ydPUNT34ydPUNT416ydPUNT613ydPUNT517ydTO321ydTD234ydTO510ydPUNT36ydTD684ydDOWNS40ydEND1-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Illinois and Minnesota
StatisticIllinoisMinnesota
Passing27-3411-22
Pass Yards297167
Rush Yards7493
Total Yards371260
Turnovers31
3rd Down9-173-12
Penalties4-332-10
Possession31:3828:22

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Illinois
passing
Luke Altmyer
24/31, 212 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Kaden Feagin
22 CAR, 89 YDS
receiving
Isaiah Williams
13 REC, 131 YDS, 2 TD
defense
Minnesota
passing
Athan Kaliakmanis
11/22, 167 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Jordan Nubin
19 CAR, 75 YDS
receiving
Brevyn Spann-Ford
3 REC, 58 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

David Olano kickoff for 64 yds , return for no gain to the MINN 20

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Luke Altmyer run for 1 yd to the MINN 19

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Pat Bryant for 4 yds to the MINN 15

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.95

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Tip Reiman for 15 yds for a TD (Caleb Griffin KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Jordan Nubin run for 6 yds to the MINN 41

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.57

Jordan Nubin run for 4 yds to the MINN 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.86

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Corey Crooms Jr. for 11 yds to the ILL 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jordan Nubin run for 5 yds to the ILL 39

2nd & 5Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +0.76

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 24 yds to the ILL 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.56

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 15 yds for a TD (Dragan Kesich KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kaden Feagin run for 5 yds to the ILL 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.84

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 6 yds to the ILL 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Kaden Feagin run for 6 yds to the ILL 42

2nd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.74

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 6 yds to the ILL 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Kaden Feagin run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.61

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Pat Bryant for 7 yds to the MINN 43

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.86

Kaden Feagin run for 3 yds to the MINN 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.54

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Pat Bryant for 18 yds to the MINN 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Kaden Feagin run for 7 yds to the MINN 15

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Kaden Feagin run for 2 yds to the MINN 13

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.08

Kaden Feagin run for 2 yds to the MINN 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Luke Altmyer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 2 yds to the MINN 9

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.97

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 9 yds for a TD (Caleb Griffin KICK)

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Zach Evans run for 12 yds to the MINN 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.70

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 20 yds to the ILL 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Zach Evans run for 4 yds to the ILL 39

2nd & 6Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.89

Zach Evans run for a loss of 4 yards to the ILL 43

3rd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 7 yds to the ILL 36

4th & 3Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +1.94

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Corey Crooms Jr. for 3 yds to the ILL 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.46

Jordan Nubin run for 2 yds to the ILL 31

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+31 ydsPPA +4.00

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 31 yds for a TD (Dragan Kesich KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Casey Washington for 6 yds to the ILL 31

2nd & 4Penalty-5 yds

Illinois Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ILL 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.91

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 14 yds to the ILL 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.32

Kaden Feagin run for a loss of 1 yard to the ILL 39

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Luke Altmyer pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +3.40

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Casey Washington for 18 yds to the MINN 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Kaden Feagin run for 3 yds to the MINN 40

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 6 yds to the MINN 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.49

Luke Altmyer run for 2 yds to the MINN 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Luke Altmyer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Luke Altmyer run for 3 yds to the MINN 29

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Luke Altmyer pass incomplete

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+47 yds

Caleb Griffin 47 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Zach Evans run for 5 yds to the MINN 34

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.19

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 10 yds to the MINN 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jordan Nubin run for 3 yds to the MINN 47

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.32

Jordan Nubin run for 8 yds to the ILL 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Corey Crooms Jr. for 9 yds to the ILL 36

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.98

Zach Evans run for no gain to the ILL 36

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.59

Athan Kaliakmanis run for 3 yds to the ILL 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.24

Jordan Nubin run for 10 yds to the ILL 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.52

Jordan Nubin run for a loss of 1 yard to the ILL 24

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Athan Kaliakmanis run for 2 yds to the ILL 22

3rd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Jordan Nubin run for 4 yds to the ILL 18

4th & 5Field Goal Good+36 yds

Dragan Kesich 36 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kaden Feagin run for 5 yds to the ILL 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.93

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Pat Bryant for 7 yds to the ILL 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Griffin Moore for 3 yds to the ILL 40

2nd & 7Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.66

Luke Altmyer sacked by Danny Striggow for a loss of 8 yards to the ILL 32

3rd & 15Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.20

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Pat Bryant for 8 yds to the ILL 40

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Hugh Robertson punt for 33 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.77

[NH] Kneel down by KALIAKMANIS, Athan at UMN25 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Kaden Feagin run for 3 yds to the ILL 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.70

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Isaiah Williams for a loss of 2 yards to the ILL 26

3rd & 9Sack-14 ydsPPA -0.32

Luke Altmyer sacked for a loss of 14 yards to the ILL 12

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Jordan Nubin run for 3 yds to the ILL 9

3rd & 7Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.16

Athan Kaliakmanis sacked by Jer'Zhan Newton for a loss of 6 yards to the ILL 15

4th & 13Field Goal Good+34 yds

Dragan Kesich 34 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Luke Altmyer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Kaden Feagin run for 8 yds to the ILL 33

3rd & 2Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.02

Kaden Feagin run for 12 yds to the ILL 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Kaden Feagin run for 1 yd to the ILL 46

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+54 ydsPPA +5.20

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Kaden Feagin for 54 yds for a TD (Caleb Griffin KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 6 yds to the MINN 31

2nd & 4Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.18

Athan Kaliakmanis run for 11 yds to the MINN 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Zach Evans run for 2 yds to the MINN 44

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

Minnesota Penalty, False Start (Aireontae Ersery) to the MINN 39

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete

3rd & 13Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.50

Athan Kaliakmanis sacked by Seth Coleman for a loss of 9 yards to the MINN 30

4th & 22Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 49 yds, downed at the ILL 21

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.59

Luke Altmyer run for no gain to the ILL 21

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.40

Kaden Feagin run for 11 yds to the ILL 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

ALTMYER, Luke pass to the right incomplete thrown to the ILL40. PENALTY UMN Offsides on JOYNER, Jah enforced 5 yards from the ILL32 to the ILL37 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -1.44

Luke Altmyer run for no gain to the ILL 37

2nd & 5Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.13

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Isaiah Williams for a loss of 1 yard to the ILL 36

3rd & 6Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.73

Luke Altmyer sacked by Jah Joyner for a loss of 6 yards to the ILL 30

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Hugh Robertson punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.07

Zach Evans run for a loss of 1 yard to the MINN 31

2nd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Jordan Nubin run for 5 yds to the MINN 36

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Clayton Bush at the ILL 26

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Pat Bryant for 4 yds to the ILL 30

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.68

Kaden Feagin run for no gain to the ILL 30

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Luke Altmyer run for 5 yds to the ILL 35

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

Illinois Penalty, False Start (Jaheim Clarke) to the ILL 30

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Hugh Robertson punt for 50 yds

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.43

Jordan Nubin run for 3 yds to the MINN 23 for a 1ST down Illinois Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Tahveon Nicholson) to the MINN 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.43

Zach Evans run for a loss of 2 yards to the MINN 36

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Clayton Bush at the ILL 19

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Kaden Feagin run for 4 yds to the ILL 23

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Kaden Feagin run for 4 yds to the ILL 27

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.08

Isaiah Williams run for 5 yds to the ILL 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Luke Altmyer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Kaden Feagin run for 2 yds to the ILL 34

3rd & 8Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.43

Luke Altmyer sacked by Kyler Baugh and Jalen Logan-Redding for a loss of 2 yards to the ILL 32

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Hugh Robertson punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.68

Jordan Nubin run for 7 yds to the MINN 38

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.27

Jordan Nubin run for 3 yds to the MINN 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jordan Nubin run for 3 yds to the MINN 44

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Jordan Nubin run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.53

Jordan Nubin run for a loss of 2 yards to the MINN 48

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Williams at the ILL 13

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.40

Isaiah Williams run for no gain to the ILL 13

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.19

Kaden Feagin run for 7 yds to the ILL 20

3rd & 3Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+14 ydsPPA -0.09

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 14 yds Isaiah Williams fumbled, recovered by MINN Justin Walley [NHSG] ALTMYER, Luke pass short up the middle complete for 14 yards to WILLIAMS, Isaiah caught at the ILL25, WILLIAMS, Isaiah fumbled at ILL34 forced by LINDENBERG, Cody, recovered by UMN WALLEY, Justin at the ILL34, returned 0 yards to the ILL34, End of Play, clock 06:38.

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Jordan Nubin run for 3 yds to the ILL 31

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+31 ydsPPA +3.14

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 31 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 5 yds to the ILL 30

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Kaden Feagin run for 3 yds to the ILL 33

3rd & 2Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.25

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 4 yds to the ILL 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.40

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Kaden Feagin for a loss of 2 yards to the ILL 35

2nd & 12Interception0 ydsPPA -0.55

Luke Altmyer pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jordan Nubin run for 3 yds to the MINN 42

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Athan Kaliakmanis run for 3 yds to the MINN 45

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 49 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.46

Kaden Feagin run for no gain to the ILL 16

2nd & 10Penalty0 yds

ALTMYER, Luke pass deep to the right complete for 19 yards to BRYANT, Pat caught at the ILL35 and advanced to the ILL35 (JONES, Tre'Von), out of bounds. PENALTY ILL Holding on CRISLER, Zy enforced half the distance from the goal, 8 yards from the ILL16 to the ILL8 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 18Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.05

Luke Altmyer pass complete to Kaden Feagin for 7 yds to the ILL 15

3rd & 11Sack0 ydsPPA -0.08

Luke Altmyer sacked for 0 yards to the ILL 15

4th & 11Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.30

John Paddock pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 22 yds to the ILL 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.51

John Paddock pass complete to Pat Bryant for 17 yds to the MINN 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+46 ydsPPA +3.54

John Paddock pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 46 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Athan Kaliakmanis run for no gain to the MINN 25

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.29

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.45

Kneel down by PADDOCK, John at UMN26 (team loss of 1).

Situational Analysis

Illinois

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
33%
27 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
43%
7 plays
54%
13 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
86%
7 plays
67%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Minnesota

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
48%
25 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
60%
5 plays
43%
7 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play