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← Back to GamesNov 4, 2023Week 10
PurduePurdue
13
-Final
41
MichiganMichigan
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Michigan by 37.2

Home Win Probability

Michigan 98%

Market (Bovada)

Michigan -31

Edge: Michigan -31 (6.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 4, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
PurduePurdue
060713
MichiganMichigan
17371441

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-017-020-020-634-641-13
MichiganPurdue

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20PURMICPURMICPURMICPURMICPURMICPURPURMICPURMICMICPURMICPURMICPURMICPURMICPURMICPURMICPUNT413ydTD676ydPUNT34ydTD767ydTO10ydFG40ydPUNT36ydPUNT827ydPUNT650ydFG1067ydPUNT34ydFG619ydDOWNS49ydFG620ydEND417ydPUNT619ydPUNT37ydPUNT32ydPUNT520ydTD462ydPUNT35ydTD545ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT519ydPUNT519ydTD657ydTD875ydEND1-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Purdue and Michigan
StatisticPurdueMichigan
Passing12-2824-37
Pass Yards144335
Rush Yards125110
Total Yards269445
Turnovers11
3rd Down1-147-14
Penalties5-581-10
Possession26:0633:54

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Purdue
passing
Hudson Card
12/28, 144 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Tyrone Tracy Jr.
11 CAR, 61 YDS
receiving
Mershawn Rice
1 REC, 43 YDS
defense
Michigan
passing
J.J. McCarthy
24/37, 335 YDS
rushing
Blake Corum
15 CAR, 44 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Roman Wilson
9 REC, 143 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.46

Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 10 yds to the PUR 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Hudson Card pass complete to Jayden Dixon-Veal for 3 yds to the PUR 25

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Hudson Card pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Hudson Card pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Jack Ansell punt for 52 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

J.J. McCarthy run for 3 yds to the MICH 27

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.53

Blake Corum run for no gain to the MICH 27

3rd & 7Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.87

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Roman Wilson for 20 yds to the MICH 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.95

Kalel Mullings run for 14 yds to the PUR 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +1.93

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Donovan Edwards for 37 yds to the PUR 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Blake Corum run for 2 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Devin Mockobee run for 4 yds to the PUR 29

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

Hudson Card run for no gain to the PUR 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Hudson Card pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jack Ansell punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Tyler Morris at the MICH 33

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Blake Corum run for 5 yds to the MICH 38

2nd & 5Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.03

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Roman Wilson for 20 yds to the PUR 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Donovan Edwards for 4 yds to the PUR 38

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.77

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Tyler Morris for 21 yds to the PUR 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.12

Cornelius Johnson run for 14 yds to the PUR 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Blake Corum run for 3 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK)

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -0.92

Hudson Card pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Donovan Edwards run for no gain to the PUR 12

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.31

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Donovan Edwards for no gain to the PUR 12

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Good+30 yds

James Turner 30 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Devin Mockobee run for no gain to the PUR 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Hudson Card pass complete to Tyrone Tracy Jr. for 9 yds to the PUR 34

3rd & 1Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.95

Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the PUR 31

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Jack Ansell punt for 48 yds, downed at the MICH 21

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Blake Corum run for 3 yds to the MICH 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Blake Corum run for 5 yds to the MICH 38

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Blake Corum for 4 yds to the MICH 42

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.14

Blake Corum run for 9 yds to the MICH 30

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.29

Kalel Mullings run for 4 yds to the MICH 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Kalel Mullings run for 2 yds to the MICH 48

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Tommy Doman punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Hudson Card pass complete to Devin Mockobee for 4 yds to the PUR 14

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Devin Mockobee run for 1 yd to the PUR 15

3rd & 5Pass Reception+43 ydsPPA +3.82

Hudson Card pass complete to Mershawn Rice for 43 yds to the MICH 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Devin Mockobee run for 2 yds to the MICH 40

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Hudson Card pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Hudson Card pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Jack Ansell punt for 40 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.70

Blake Corum run for a loss of 2 yards to the MICH 18

2nd & 12Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.84

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Colston Loveland for 17 yds to the MICH 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Purdue Penalty, Roughing the Passer on M'BA, Jeffrey enforced (Jeffrey M'Ba) to the PUR 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Purdue Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (15 Yards) to the PUR 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

MCCARTHY, J.J. pass to the right incomplete intended for MORGAN, Semaj thrown to the PUR15. PENALTY MIC Holding on CORUM, Blake enforced 10 yards from the PUR28 to the PUR38 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.28

J.J. McCarthy sacked by Cole Brevard for a loss of 7 yards to the PUR 45

2nd & 27Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.19

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 16 yds to the PUR 29

3rd & 11Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.60

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Roman Wilson for 14 yds to the PUR 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Donovan Edwards run for 2 yds to the PUR 13

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Good+31 yds

James Turner 31 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 2 yds to the PUR 27

2nd & 8Penalty-10 yds

CARD, Hudson pass to the left complete for 3 yards to BURKS, Deion caught at the PUR25 and advanced to the PUR30 (GRAHAM, Mason). PENALTY PUR Holding on SHEFFIELD, TJ enforced 10 yards from the PUR27 to the PUR17 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Hudson Card pass incomplete

3rd & 18Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.18

Hudson Card pass complete to Deion Burks for 12 yds to the PUR 29

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jack Ansell punt for 37 yds , returns for no gain to the MICH 34

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Hudson Card pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.06

Hudson Card run for 21 yds to the MICH 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

CARD, Hudson pass short to the right incomplete intended for MILLER, Garrett thrown to the MIC11. PENALTY PUR Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on MILLER, Garrett enforced 5 yards from the MIC13 to the MIC18 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Devin Mockobee run for 3 yds to the MICH 15

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Hudson Card pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Hudson Card pass incomplete

4th & 12Field Goal Good+32 yds

Ben Freehill 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Blake Corum run for 3 yds to the MICH 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.13

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Tyler Morris for 6 yds to the MICH 34

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.20

Kalel Mullings run for no gain to the MICH 34

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 7 yds to the MICH 27

2nd & 3Rush+11 ydsPPA -0.02

Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 11 yds to the MICH 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.65

Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the MICH 20

2nd & 14Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Hudson Card run for 6 yds to the MICH 14

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Hudson Card pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Good+31 yds

Ben Freehill 31 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.94

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Colston Loveland for 12 yds to the MICH 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.98

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 23 yds to the PUR 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-18 ydsPPA -2.98

J.J. McCarthy sacked by Nic Scourton for a loss of 18 yards to the MICH 39

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Roman Wilson for 6 yds to the MICH 31

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Blake Corum run for 2 yds to the MICH 33

3rd & 2Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.74

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Colston Loveland for 9 yds to the MICH 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.36

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Blake Corum for a loss of 1 yard to the MICH 41

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Blake Corum run for 3 yds to the MICH 44

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Tommy Doman punt for 44 yds, fair catch by TJ Sheffield at the PUR 12

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Devin Mockobee run for 5 yds to the PUR 17

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Devin Mockobee run for 2 yds to the PUR 19

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Hudson Card pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Jack Ansell punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Blake Corum run for 2 yds to the MICH 47

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Tommy Doman punt for 48 yds, downed at the PUR 5

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 4 yds to the PUR 9

2nd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.46

Hudson Card pass complete to Garrett Miller for 9 yds to the PUR 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Hudson Card pass complete to Deion Burks for 7 yds to the PUR 25

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 2 yds to the PUR 27

3rd & 1Penalty-2 yds

QB Keeper CARD, Hudson rush up the middle for a gain of 2 yards to the PUR29 (BARRETT, Michael). PENALTY PUR Chop Block on JOHNSON, Daniel enforced half the distance from the goal, 13 yards from the PUR27 to the PUR14 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 14Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.20

Hudson Card pass complete to Jayden Dixon-Veal for 11 yds to the PUR 25

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Jack Ansell punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jake Thaw at the MICH 38

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Semaj Morgan for 4 yds to the MICH 42

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Blake Corum run for 3 yds to the MICH 45

3rd & 3Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.12

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Roman Wilson for 11 yds to the PUR 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+44 ydsPPA +3.41

Semaj Morgan run for 44 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Hudson Card pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Devin Mockobee run for 5 yds to the PUR 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Hudson Card pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Jack Ansell punt for 47 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.76

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Roman Wilson for 19 yds to the PUR 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Donovan Edwards run for 3 yds to the PUR 23

2nd & 7Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.81

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Colston Loveland for 17 yds to the PUR 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Blake Corum run for 3 yds to the PUR 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Blake Corum run for 3 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Hudson Card run for 5 yds to the PUR 30

2nd & 5Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.19

Hudson Card sacked by Josaiah Stewart and Kris Jenkins for a loss of 6 yards to the PUR 24

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Hudson Card pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Brendan Cropsey punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Donovan Edwards run for 3 yds to the MICH 42

2nd & 7Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.31

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Semaj Morgan for 23 yds to the PUR 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Donovan Edwards run for 2 yds to the PUR 33

2nd & 8Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.69

J.J. McCarthy sacked by Nic Scourton for a loss of 9 yards to the PUR 42

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Tommy Doman punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Devin Mockobee run for 4 yds to the PUR 7

2nd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.45

Devin Mockobee run for 10 yds to the PUR 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Devin Mockobee run for 1 yd to the PUR 18

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Hudson Card pass complete to Tyrone Tracy Jr. for 4 yds to the PUR 22

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Hudson Card pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Brendan Cropsey punt for 35 yds, downed at the MICH 43

1st & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +1.82

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Roman Wilson for 35 yds to the PUR 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.24

Donovan Edwards run for 7 yds to the PUR 15

3rd & 3Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.12

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Roman Wilson for 11 yds to the PUR 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Donovan Edwards run for 3 yds to the PUR 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Donovan Edwards run for 1 yd for a TD (James Turner KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 2 yds to the PUR 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.29

Hudson Card pass complete to Jayden Dixon-Veal for 8 yds to the PUR 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +2.00

Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 24 yds to the MICH 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.40

Hudson Card pass complete to Jayden Dixon-Veal for 10 yds to the MICH 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 6 yds to the MICH 25

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.60

Devin Mockobee run for no gain to the MICH 25

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.57

Devin Mockobee run for 1 yd to the MICH 24

4th & 3Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +3.80

Hudson Card pass complete to Deion Burks for 24 yds for a TD (Ben Freehill KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Kneel down by MIC at MIC33 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Purdue

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
36%
22 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
29%
7 plays
57%
7 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
0%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
0%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
43%
28 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
67%
3 plays
20%
5 plays
27%
11 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
100%
1 play
29%
7 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play