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← Back to GamesNov 4, 2023Week 10
LSULSU
28
-Final
42
AlabamaAlabama
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Alabama by 7.5

Home Win Probability

Alabama 61%

Market (Bovada)

Alabama -3

Edge: Alabama -3 (4.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 4, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
LSULSU
7147028
AlabamaAlabama
14714742

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-714-714-1421-2828-2835-2842-28
AlabamaLSU

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ALALSUALALSUALALSUALALSUALALSUALALSUALALSUALALSUALALSUALALSUALAPUNT610ydTD585ydTD576ydDOWNS633ydTD958ydMISS854ydMISS742ydTD871ydTD974ydTD575ydEND120ydTD975ydTD970ydPUNT610ydTD668ydTO22ydTD325ydPUNT310ydMISS1250ydDOWNS748ydEND49yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing LSU and Alabama
StatisticLSUAlabama
Passing20-3415-23
Pass Yards272219
Rush Yards206288
Total Yards478507
Turnovers10
3rd Down4-911-14
Penalties8-606-50
Possession26:2733:33

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

LSU
passing
Jayden Daniels
15/24, 219 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jayden Daniels
11 CAR, 163 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Malik Nabers
10 REC, 171 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Alabama
passing
Jalen Milroe
15/23, 219 YDS
rushing
Jalen Milroe
20 CAR, 155 YDS, 4 TD
receiving
Isaiah Bond
5 REC, 60 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jase McClellan run for 4 yds to the ALA 29

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Jalen Milroe pass incomplete to Jermaine Burton

3rd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.09

Jalen Milroe pass complete to CJ Dippre for 11 yds to the ALA 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Jase McClellan run for 4 yds to the ALA 44

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Jalen Milroe pass incomplete to Amari Niblack

3rd & 6Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.24

Jalen Milroe sacked by Harold Perkins Jr. for a loss of 9 yards to the ALA 35

4th & 15Punt0 yds

James Burnip punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Gregory Clayton Jr. at the LSU 15

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Jayden Daniels run for 7 yds to the LSU 22

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.24

Logan Diggs run for 5 yds to the LSU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

(11:31) No Huddle-Shotgun Daniels,Jayden pass incomplete short right to Nabers,Malik broken up by Moore,Malachi PENALTY ALA Personal Foul (Turner,Dallas) 15 yards from LSU27 to LSU42, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Josh Williams for 6 yds to the LSU 48

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.62

Josh Williams run for 6 yds to the ALA 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+46 ydsPPA +3.54

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Malik Nabers for 46 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Nathan Dibert kickoff for 64 yds , Kendrick Law return for 23 yds to the ALA 24

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.39

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Kendrick Law for 16 yds to the ALA 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Jam Miller run for 4 yds to the ALA 44

2nd & 6Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.45

Jalen Milroe run for 11 yds to the LSU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +0.81

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Kobe Prentice for 22 yds to the LSU 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +2.66

Jalen Milroe run for 23 yds for a TD (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Kyren Lacy

2nd & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +2.86

Jayden Daniels run for 24 yds to the LSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Logan Diggs run for 3 yds to the ALA 48

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

(05:56) PENALTY LSU False Start (Lacy,Kyren) 5 yards from ALA48 to LSU47. NO PLAY.

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Malik Nabers

3rd & 12Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.24

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Mason Taylor for 11 yds to the ALA 42

4th & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.85

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Malik Nabers

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.69

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Isaiah Bond for 7 yds to the ALA 49

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.29

Jalen Milroe pass incomplete to Amari Niblack

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.68

Jase McClellan run for 6 yds to the LSU 45 for a 1ST down LSU Penalty, Illegal Substitution (Maason Smith) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Jase McClellan run for 2 yds to the LSU 43

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.09

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Isaiah Bond for 9 yds to the LSU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +0.40

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Isaiah Bond for 21 yds to the LSU 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Jalen Milroe run for 6 yds to the LSU 7

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Jam Miller run for 3 yds to the LSU 4

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.48

Jalen Milroe run for 4 yds for a TD (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+13 yds

Will Reichard kickoff for 61 yds , Kaleb Jackson return for 13 yds to the LSU 17

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Logan Diggs run for 5 yds to the LSU 22

2nd & 5Rush+28 ydsPPA +2.61

Jayden Daniels run for 28 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Logan Diggs run for 3 yds to the ALA 47

2nd & 7Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.53

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Malik Nabers for 22 yds to the ALA 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Brian Thomas Jr.

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Logan Diggs run for no gain to the ALA 25

3rd & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.73

Jayden Daniels sacked by Justin Eboigbe for a loss of 4 yards to the ALA 29

4th & 14Field Goal Missed+46 yds

Damian Ramos 46 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.15

Jalen Milroe sacked by Paris Shand for a loss of 3 yards to the ALA 26

2nd & 13Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Jalen Milroe run for 5 yds to the ALA 31

3rd & 8Pass Reception+42 ydsPPA +4.15

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Jase McClellan for 42 yds to the LSU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

(09:04) PENALTY ALA False Start (Dippre,CJ) 5 yards from LSU27 to LSU32. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Jalen Milroe pass incomplete to Kobe Prentice

2nd & 15Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.50

Jalen Milroe run for 8 yds to the LSU 24

3rd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Roydell Williams for 5 yds to the LSU 29

4th & 12Field Goal Missed+47 yds

Will Reichard 47 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.02

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Malik Nabers for 11 yds to the LSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jayden Daniels run for 5 yds to the LSU 45

2nd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 8 yds to the ALA 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +0.93

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 23 yds to the ALA 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY ALA Offside (Keenan III,Tim) 5 yards from ALA24 to ALA19. NO PLAY.

1st & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.59

John Emery Jr. run for no gain to the ALA 19

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to John Emery Jr.

3rd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.65

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Malik Nabers for 10 yds to the ALA 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Jayden Daniels run for 9 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+24 yds

Nathan Dibert kickoff for 63 yds , Kendrick Law return for 24 yds to the ALA 26

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

Jam Miller run for no gain to the ALA 26

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 7 yds to the ALA 33

3rd & 3Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +3.54

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Jam Miller for 35 yds to the LSU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Jalen Milroe run for 4 yds to the LSU 28

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Jalen Milroe pass incomplete to Kobe Prentice

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY ALA False Start (Booker,Tyler) 5 yards from LSU28 to LSU33. NO PLAY.

3rd & 11Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.86

Jalen Milroe run for 11 yds to the LSU 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Jalen Milroe pass incomplete to Isaiah Bond

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Jalen Milroe run for 1 yd to the LSU 21

3rd & 9Rushing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +3.44

Jalen Milroe run for 21 yds for a TD (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Kaleb Jackson for 1 yd to the LSU 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Malik Nabers

3rd & 9Rush+40 ydsPPA +4.14

Jayden Daniels run for 40 yds to the ALA 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY LSU Illegal Snap (Turner III,Charles) 5 yards from ALA34 to ALA39. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Penalty-15 yds

LSU Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the ALA 26

1st & 2Passing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +1.49

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 26 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+11 yds

Nathan Dibert kickoff for 35 yds , Robbie Ouzts return for 11 yds to the ALA 41

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.52

Jalen Milroe run for 20 yds to the LSU 39 for a 1ST down Alabama Penalty, Offensive Holding (Yards) declined for a 1ST down

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Logan Diggs run for 4 yds to the LSU 29

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Brian Thomas Jr.

3rd & 6Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.66

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Malik Nabers for 17 yds to the LSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Malik Nabers for no gain to the LSU 46

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.99

Jayden Daniels run for 11 yds to the ALA 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +0.81

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Malik Nabers for 30 yds to the ALA 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Josh Williams run for 4 yds to the ALA 9

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.34

Jayden Daniels run for 7 yds to the ALA 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Josh Williams run for 2 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+30 yds

Nathan Dibert kickoff for 65 yds , Kendrick Law return for 30 yds to the ALA 30

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jalen Milroe run for 5 yds to the ALA 35

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Jase McClellan run for 4 yds to the ALA 39

3rd & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.81

Jam Miller run for 10 yds to the ALA 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Jalen Milroe pass incomplete to Jermaine Burton

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Jalen Milroe pass incomplete to Isaiah Bond

3rd & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +3.16

Jalen Milroe run for 18 yds to the LSU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.54

Roydell Williams run for 8 yds to the LSU 25

2nd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA -0.21

Roydell Williams run for 9 yds to the LSU 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.57

Roydell Williams run for 16 yds for a TD (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Jayden Daniels run for 8 yds to the LSU 33

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Logan Diggs run for 1 yd to the LSU 34

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.05

Logan Diggs run for 3 yds to the LSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Mason Taylor for 3 yds to the LSU 40

2nd & 7Penalty-10 yds

(05:16) No Huddle-Shotgun Daniels,Jayden rush right for 25 yards gain to the ALA35 (Moore,Malachi) PENALTY LSU Holding (Campbell,Will) 10 yards from LSU40 to LSU30. NO PLAY.

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Mason Taylor

3rd & 17Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Mason Taylor for 5 yds to the LSU 35

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Jay Bramblett punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Kool-Aid McKinstry at the ALA 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 12 yds to the ALA 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.18

Roydell Williams run for 16 yds to the LSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Jalen Milroe run for 6 yds to the LSU 34

2nd & 4Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.36

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Isaiah Bond for 18 yds to the LSU 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Isaiah Bond for 5 yds to the LSU 11

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.49

Jalen Milroe run for 11 yds for a TD (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Josh Williams run for 7 yds to the LSU 32

2nd & 3Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY LSU Illegal Snap (Turner III,Charles) 5 yards from LSU32 to LSU27. NO PLAY.

2nd & 8Interception0 ydsPPA -0.47

Jayden Daniels pass intercepted

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY ALA False Start (McLaughlin,Seth) 5 yards from LSU25 to LSU30. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Jase McClellan run for 1 yd to the LSU 29

2nd & 14Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.55

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Kendrick Law for 9 yds to the LSU 20

3rd & 5Penalty+10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Milroe,Jalen rush right for 4 yards loss to the LSU24 (Perkins Jr.,Harold) PENALTY LSU Horse Collar Tackle (Perkins Jr.,Harold) 10 yards from LSU20 to LSU10, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Jase McClellan run for 10 yds for a TD (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

(13:01) No Huddle-Shotgun Daniels,Jayden pass incomplete deep left to Nabers,Malik PENALTY ALA Roughing The Passer (Turner,Dallas) 15 yards from LSU25 to LSU40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 5 yds to the LSU 45

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

(12:21) PENALTY LSU False Start (Jones Jr.,Emery) 5 yards from LSU45 to LSU40. NO PLAY.

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Logan Diggs

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Malik Nabers

4th & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY LSU Illegal Snap (Turner III,Charles) 5 yards from LSU40 to LSU35. NO PLAY.

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Jay Bramblett punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Kool-Aid McKinstry at the ALA 25

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Roydell Williams run for 4 yds to the ALA 29

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Jalen Milroe run for 3 yds to the ALA 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.91

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 10 yds to the ALA 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Jalen Milroe run for 2 yds to the ALA 44

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Jase McClellan run for 3 yds to the ALA 47

3rd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.17

Jalen Milroe run for 8 yds to the LSU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Jase McClellan run for 4 yds to the LSU 41

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.66

Jase McClellan run for 7 yds to the LSU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Jase McClellan run for 3 yds to the LSU 31

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Jase McClellan run for 3 yds to the LSU 28

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Roydell Williams run for 3 yds to the LSU 25

4th & 1Field Goal Missed+43 yds

Will Reichard 43 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.39

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Malik Nabers for 27 yds to the ALA 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Malik Nabers for 5 yds to the ALA 43

2nd & 5Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.77

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 13 yds to the ALA 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Malik Nabers

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Malik Nabers for 3 yds to the ALA 27

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Mason Taylor

4th & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.52

Garrett Nussmeier pass incomplete to Malik Nabers

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.95

Jase McClellan run for 8 yds to the ALA 35

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.13

Jase McClellan run for 4 yds to the ALA 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.46

Kneel down by Alabama at ALA37 for loss of 2 yards.

2nd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.65

Kneel down by Alabama at ALA36 for loss of 1 yard.

Situational Analysis

LSU

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play
58%
24 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
71%
7 plays
38%
8 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
100%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Alabama

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
53%
30 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
40%
10 plays
33%
6 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
100%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
100%
4 plays
100%
1 play
4th