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← Back to GamesNov 4, 2023Week 10
ArmyArmy
23
-Final
3
Air ForceAir Force

House Prediction

Model Margin

Air Force by 29.3

Home Win Probability

Air Force 95%

Market (Bovada)

Air Force -18

Edge: Air Force -18 (11.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 4, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
ArmyArmy
1760023
Air ForceAir Force
03003

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-70-170-203-203-23
Air ForceArmy

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ARMAFARMAFARMAFARMAFARMAFARMAFARMAFARMAFARMAFARMAFARMAFARMAFARMTD475ydDOWNS49ydFG46ydTO418ydTD1143ydTO222ydFG624ydDOWNS1045ydPUNT41ydFG959ydPUNT515ydTO23ydFG34ydPUNT65ydPUNT6-1ydMISS1055ydPUNT32ydPUNT3-6ydDOWNS735ydTO616ydPUNT37ydTO644ydPUNT34ydTO428ydEND413yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Army and Air Force
StatisticArmyAir Force
Passing4-910-24
Pass Yards40104
Rush Yards213155
Total Yards253259
Turnovers06
3rd Down4-145-14
Penalties11-1196-55
Possession32:0927:51

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Army
passing
Bryson Daily
4/9, 40 YDS
rushing
Bryson Daily
36 CAR, 170 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Tyrell Robinson
1 REC, 23 YDS
defense
Leo Lowin
2 TFL, 1 PD
Air Force
passing
Zachary Larrier
9/22, 93 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Zachary Larrier
20 CAR, 45 YDS
receiving
Wyatt Wilson
3 REC, 47 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Kanye Udoh run for 6 yds to the ARMY 31

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.60

Bryson Daily run for 5 yds to the ARMY 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds to the ARMY 38

2nd & 8Rushing Touchdown+62 ydsPPA +5.79

Bryson Daily run for 62 yds for a TD (Quinn Maretzki KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Zac Larrier run for 5 yds to the AFA 30

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Emmanuel Michel run for 3 yds to the AFA 33

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Emmanuel Michel run for 1 yd to the AFA 34

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.20

Emmanuel Michel run for no gain to the AFA 34

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.66

Kanye Udoh run for no gain to the AFA 34

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Bryson Daily pass incomplete to Hayden Reed

3rd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Bryson Daily run for 6 yds to the AFA 28

4th & 4Field Goal Good+45 yds

Quinn Maretzki 45 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Zac Larrier run for 13 yds to the AFA 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Zac Larrier pass incomplete to Jared Roznos

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.51

John Lee Eldridge III run for 7 yds to the AFA 45

3rd & 3Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+2 ydsPPA -1.47

Zac Larrier run for 2 yds to the AFA 43 Zac Larrier fumbled, recovered by ARMY Leo Lowin Larrier,Zac rush middle for 2 yards loss to the AF 43 fumbled by Larrier,Zac at AF 41 recovered by ARMY Lowin,Leo at AF 43, End Of Play.

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Bryson Daily run for 7 yds to the AFA 36

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Bryson Daily run for 2 yds to the AFA 34

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.52

Bryson Daily run for 3 yds to the AFA 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.70

Bryson Daily run for 9 yds to the AFA 22

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Kanye Udoh run for 2 yds to the AFA 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

Kanye Udoh run for no gain to the AFA 20

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Bryson Daily run for 1 yd to the AFA 19

3rd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.25

Bryson Daily pass complete to Casey Reynolds for 7 yds to the AFA 12

4th & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.67

Bryson Daily run for 3 yds to the AFA 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Bryson Daily run for 4 yds to the AFA 5

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Bryson Daily run for 5 yds for a TD (Quinn Maretzki KICK)

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Zac Larrier run for 15 yds to the AFA 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+7 ydsPPA -2.24

Emmanuel Michel run for 7 yds to the AFA 47 Emmanuel Michel fumbled, recovered by ARMY Jimmy Ciarlo Michel,Emmanuel rush middle for 7 yards gain to the AF 47 fumbled by Michel,Emmanuel at AF 41 forced by Gerena,Brett recovered by ARMY Ciarlo,Jimmy at AF 47, End Of Play.

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Bryson Daily run for 2 yds to the AFA 45

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Bryson Daily run for 2 yds to the AFA 43

3rd & 6Penalty+15 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Daily,Bryson pass incomplete short right to Short,Noah PENALTY AF Personal Foul (Zdroik,Payton) 15 yards from AF 43 to AF 28, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY ARMY False Start (Filipowicz,Jackson) 5 yards from AF 28 to AF 33. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Penalty+10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Daily,Bryson rush left for 6 yards gain to the AF 27, out of bounds at AF 27 PENALTY ARMY Holding (Buckingham,Shayne) 10 yards from AF 33 to AF 43. NO PLAY.

1st & 25Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.22

Bryson Daily pass complete to Tobi Olawole for 11 yds to the AFA 32

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Bryson Daily pass incomplete to Ay'Jaun Marshall

3rd & 14Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.84

Kanye Udoh run for 9 yds to the AFA 23

4th & 5Field Goal Good+40 yds

Quinn Maretzki 40 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.03

John Lee Eldridge III run for 12 yds to the AFA 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

John Lee Eldridge III run for 3 yds to the AFA 40

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Zac Larrier pass incomplete to Cade Harris

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.39

Zac Larrier pass complete to Brandon Engel for 8 yds to the AFA 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Owen Burk run for 4 yds to the ARMY 48

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Zac Larrier run for 2 yds to the ARMY 46

3rd & 4Penalty+15 yds

Larrier,Zac pass incomplete deep middle to Roznos,Jared PENALTY ARMY Pass Interference (Nicolas-Paul,Bo) 15 yards from ARMY46 to ARMY31, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Owen Burk run for 2 yds to the ARMY 29

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Zac Larrier run for 3 yds to the ARMY 26

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Zac Larrier run for 3 yds to the ARMY 23

4th & 2Fumble Recovery (Own)+7 ydsPPA +1.06

Zac Larrier run for 7 yds to the ARMY 30 Zac Larrier fumbled, recovered by AFA Dane Kinamon Larrier,Zac rush right for 7 yards loss to the ARMY30 fumbled by Larrier,Zac at ARMY28 forced by Powell,Jackson recovered by AF Kinamon,Dane at ARMY30, End Of Play.

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Bryson Daily pass complete to Noah Short for 1 yd to the ARMY 29

2nd & 11Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Bryson Daily run for 6 yds to the ARMY 35

3rd & 5Penalty-10 yds

Army Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the ARMY 28

3rd & 12Penalty0 yds

Army Penalty, Offensive Holding (Yards) declined

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Cooper Allan punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Dane Kinamon at the AFA 28

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Larrier,Zac pass incomplete deep middle to Roznos,Jared PENALTY ARMY Pass Interference (Jones,Cameron) 15 yards from AF 28 to AF 43, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.05

Emmanuel Michel run for 13 yds to the ARMY 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.71

Zac Larrier pass complete to Jared Roznos for 19 yds to the ARMY 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Zac Larrier run for 1 yd to the ARMY 26

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Zac Larrier pass incomplete to Caleb Rillos

3rd & 11Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.39

Zac Larrier pass complete to Brandon Engel for 14 yds to the ARMY 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Zac Larrier run for 1 yd to the ARMY 13

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Zac Larrier pass incomplete to Brandon Engel

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Zac Larrier pass incomplete to Jared Roznos

4th & 11Field Goal Good+30 yds

Matthew Dapore 30 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Bryson Daily run for 7 yds to the ARMY 32

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.33

Jakobi Buchanan run for 4 yds to the ARMY 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Kanye Udoh run for 4 yds to the ARMY 40

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Bryson Daily run for 2 yds to the ARMY 38

3rd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Bryson Daily run for 2 yds to the ARMY 40

4th & 6Punt+7 yds

Cooper Allan punt for 35 yds , Dane Kinamon returns for 7 yds to the AFA 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Zac Larrier pass complete to John Lee Eldridge III for 3 yds to the AFA 35

2nd & 7Interception0 ydsPPA -1.10

Zac Larrier pass intercepted

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Daily,Bryson pass incomplete deep left to Short,Noah, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY AF Pass Interference (Taylor,Trey) 15 yards from AF 25 to AF 10, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Daily,Bryson sacked for loss of 3 yards to the AF 13 (Richter,Bo) PENALTY ARMY Holding (Finucane,Connor) 10 yards from AF 10 to AF 20. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Bryson Daily run for 1 yd to the AFA 19

2nd & 19Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.05

B. Daily takes a knee

3rd & 21Field Goal Good+38 yds

Quinn Maretzki 38 yd FG GOOD

0th & 21End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Emmanuel Michel run for 3 yds to the AFA 28

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

John Lee Eldridge III run for 5 yds to the AFA 33

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.15

John Lee Eldridge III run for 3 yds to the AFA 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Eldridge III,John Lee rush right for 3 yards gain to the AF 39 (DiDomenico,Max), out of bounds PENALTY AF Illegal Block in Back (Wilson,Wyatt) 10 yards from AF 36 to AF 26. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.52

Emmanuel Michel run for 9 yds to the AFA 35

2nd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Zac Larrier run for no gain to the AFA 35

3rd & 11Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY AF False Start (Engel,Brandon) 5 yards from AF 35 to AF 30. NO PLAY.

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Zac Larrier pass incomplete to Dane Kinamon

4th & 16Punt+4 yds

Carson Bay punt for 37 yds , Tyrell Robinson returns for 4 yds to the ARMY 37

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Bryson Daily run for 2 yds to the ARMY 39

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Bryson Daily run for 7 yds to the ARMY 46

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.26

Bryson Daily run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Shotgun Daily,Bryson rush left for 3 yards gain to the AF 47 (Richter,Bo) PENALTY ARMY Personal Foul (Finucane,Connor) 15 yards from ARMY50 to ARMY35. NO PLAY.

1st & 25Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Bryson Daily pass incomplete to Ay'Jaun Marshall

2nd & 25Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.11

Bryson Daily run for 2 yds to the ARMY 33

3rd & 27Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.03

Jakobi Buchanan run for 3 yds to the ARMY 36

4th & 24Punt+5 yds

Cooper Allan punt for 39 yds , Dane Kinamon returns for 5 yds to the AFA 30

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.94

John Lee Eldridge III run for 10 yds to the AFA 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Zac Larrier pass incomplete to Brandon Engel

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.63

Emmanuel Michel run for 1 yd to the AFA 41

3rd & 9Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +3.64

Zac Larrier pass complete to Wyatt Wilson for 27 yds to the ARMY 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Zac Larrier run for 4 yds to the ARMY 28

2nd & 6Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.40

Aiden Calvert run for 3 yds to the ARMY 25 for a 1ST down Army Penalty, Personal Foul (Bo Nicolas-Paul) to the ARMY 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+6 yds

PENALTY ARMY Personal Foul (Nicolas-Paul,Bo) 6 yards from ARMY12 to ARMY06, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Zac Larrier run for 1 yd to the ARMY 5

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Zac Larrier run for no gain to the ARMY 5

3rd & 5Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.51

Zac Larrier sacked by Quindrelin Hammonds for a loss of 10 yards to the ARMY 15

4th & 15Field Goal Missed+32 yds

Matthew Dapore 32 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Bryson Daily run for 1 yd to the ARMY 21

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Bryson Daily run for 1 yd to the ARMY 22

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Bryson Daily pass incomplete to Tobi Olawole

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Cooper Allan punt for 38 yds , Dane Kinamon returns for no gain to the AFA 40

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Owen Burk run for 2 yds to the AFA 42

2nd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.60

Zac Larrier pass complete to Zac Larrier for 8 yds to the AFA 34

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Zac Larrier pass incomplete to Caleb Rillos

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Carson Bay punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ARMY 30

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Bryson Daily run for 2 yds to the ARMY 32

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Bryson Daily run for 1 yd to the ARMY 33

3rd & 7Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +3.34

Bryson Daily pass complete to Tyrell Robinson for 23 yds to the AFA 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY ARMY Illegal Snap (Small,Brady) 5 yards from AF 44 to AF 49. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.72

Bryson Daily run for 8 yds to the AFA 41

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Bryson Daily run for 3 yds to the AFA 38

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Bryson Daily run for 3 yds to the AFA 35

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -2.53

Bryson Daily run for no gain to the AFA 35

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Zac Larrier run for 7 yds to the AFA 42

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.26

Zac Larrier pass incomplete to Brandon Engel

3rd & 3Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.25

Zac Larrier pass complete to Wyatt Wilson for 12 yds to the ARMY 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Zac Larrier run for 7 yds to the ARMY 39

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Zac Larrier pass incomplete to Caleb Rillos

3rd & 3Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY AF False Start (Kinamon,Dane) 5 yards from ARMY39 to ARMY44. NO PLAY.

3rd & 8Fumble Recovery (Own)-5 ydsPPA -1.61

Zac Larrier sacked by Leo Lowin for a loss of 5 yards to the ARMY 49 Zac Larrier fumbled, recovered by ARMY Jack Latore , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Kanye Udoh run for 6 yds to the AFA 45

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Kanye Udoh run for 1 yd to the AFA 44

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Bryson Daily pass incomplete to Liam Fortner

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Cooper Allan punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Dane Kinamon at the AFA 15

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Zac Larrier run for 5 yds to the AFA 20

2nd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.85

Zac Larrier pass complete to Dane Kinamon for 10 yds to the AFA 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Zac Larrier run for 6 yds to the AFA 36

2nd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.95

Zac Larrier pass complete to Wyatt Wilson for 8 yds to the AFA 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Zac Larrier pass incomplete to Wyatt Wilson

2nd & 10Penalty-15 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Larrier,Zac pass incomplete deep right to Kinamon,Dane PENALTY ARMY Pass Interference (Nicolas-Paul,Bo) 15 yards from AF 44 to ARMY41, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -3.76

Zac Larrier pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Bryson Daily run for no gain to the ARMY 23

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Bryson Daily run for 2 yds to the ARMY 25

3rd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.13

Bryson Daily run for 2 yds to the ARMY 27

4th & 6Punt+9 yds

Cooper Allan punt for 52 yds , Dane Kinamon returns for 9 yds to the AFA 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.03

Jensen Jones pass complete to Caleb Rillos for 11 yds to the AFA 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY AF False Start 5 yards from AF 41 to AF 36. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Jensen Jones pass incomplete to Dane Kinamon

2nd & 15Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.91

Jensen Jones run for 14 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 1Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+8 ydsPPA -2.28

Jet Harris run for 8 yds to the ARMY 42 Jet Harris fumbled, recovered by ARMY Dre Miller Harris,Jet rush middle for 8 yards gain to the ARMY42 fumbled by Harris,Jet at ARMY43 forced by Lowin,Leo recovered by ARMY Miller,Dre at ARMY42, End Of Play.

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Bryson Daily run for 5 yds to the ARMY 47

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.96

Champ Harris run for 1 yd to the ARMY 48

3rd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +2.06

Kanye Udoh run for 9 yds to the AFA 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.39

C. Harris takes a knee

Situational Analysis

Army

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
33%
18 plays
50%
4 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
22%
9 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
50%
2 plays

Air Force

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
46%
26 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
50%
6 plays
43%
7 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
40%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
50%
2 plays