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← Back to GamesOct 28, 2023Week 9
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Ohio State by 12.5

Home Win Probability

Wisconsin 21%

Market (Bovada)

Wisconsin +14.5

Edge: Wisconsin +14.5 (2.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 28, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Ohio StateOhio State
377724
WisconsinWisconsin
037010

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-30-103-1010-1710-24
WisconsinOhio State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20OSWISOSWISWISOSOSWISOSWISOSWISWISOSWISOSWISOSWISOSWISOSWISOSDOWNS824ydTO215ydFG747ydPUNT417ydMISS40ydPUNT35ydTO754ydPUNT33ydTD752ydPUNT37ydTO734ydFG1251ydTD775ydTD975ydPUNT39ydPUNT839ydPUNT1045ydPUNT634ydPUNT32ydTD345ydDOWNS1025ydPUNT33ydDOWNS516ydEND2-3yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Ohio State and Wisconsin
StatisticOhio StateWisconsin
Passing17-2618-39
Pass Yards226165
Rush Yards18194
Total Yards407259
Turnovers31
3rd Down6-136-16
Penalties6-255-26
Possession35:5024:10

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Ohio State
passing
Kyle McCord
17/26, 226 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
rushing
TreVeyon Henderson
24 CAR, 162 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Marvin Harrison Jr.
6 REC, 123 YDS, 2 TD
defense
Wisconsin
passing
Braedyn Locke
18/39, 165 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Braelon Allen
10 CAR, 50 YDS
receiving
Will Pauling
4 REC, 51 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

TreVeyon Henderson run for 9 yds to the OSU 44

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.44

Kyle McCord pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.11

Kyle McCord run for 2 yds to the OSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.00

Kyle McCord pass complete to Julian Fleming for 14 yds to the WIS 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Xavier Johnson run for 5 yds to the WIS 35

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

TreVeyon Henderson run for 2 yds to the WIS 33

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Kyle McCord pass incomplete

4th & 3Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.45

Kyle McCord sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the WIS 41

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Braelon Allen run for 4 yds to the WIS 45

2nd & 6Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+11 ydsPPA -2.17

Braelon Allen run for 11 yds to the OSU 44 Braelon Allen fumbled, recovered by OSU Davison Igbinosun [NHSG] ALLEN, Braelon rush up the middle for a gain of 11 yards, ALLEN, Braelon fumbled at WIS49 forced by SAWYER, Jack, recovered by OSU IGBINOSUN, Davison at the OSU44, returned 0 yards to the OSU44, End of Play, clock 11:02.

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

TreVeyon Henderson run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.44

TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds to the WIS 47

3rd & 1Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +1.84

Kyle McCord pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 30 yds to the WIS 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Kyle McCord pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Xavier Johnson run for 6 yds to the WIS 11

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Chip Trayanum run for 2 yds to the WIS 9

4th & 2Field Goal Good+27 yds

Jayden Fielding 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Braelon Allen run for 4 yds to the WIS 29 Braelon Allen fumbled, recovered by WIS [NHSG] ALLEN, Braelon rush up the middle for a gain of 4 yards, ALLEN, Braelon fumbled at WIS29 forced by HANCOCK, Jordan, recovered by WIS NELSON, Jack at the WIS29, returned 0 yards to the WIS29, End of Play.

2nd & 6Penalty+10 yds

LOCKE, Braedyn pass to the left incomplete intended for DIKE, Chimere thrown to the WIS40. PENALTY OSU Holding on IGBINOSUN, Davison enforced 10 yards from the WIS29 to the WIS39 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Braelon Allen run for 3 yds to the WIS 42

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Atticus Bertrams punt for 45 yds , returns for no gain to the OSU 24

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Skyler Bell for 5 yds to the OSU 31

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

Wisconsin Penalty, Delay Of Game (Braedyn Locke) to the OSU 36

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Missed+54 yds

Nathanial Vakos 54 yd FG MISSED

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Jesse Mirco punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kyle McCord pass complete to Julian Fleming for 5 yds to the OSU 29

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.72

TreVeyon Henderson run for no gain to the OSU 29

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Kyle McCord pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Kyle McCord pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

TreVeyon Henderson run for 4 yds to the OSU 41

3rd & 6Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +3.56

Kyle McCord pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 35 yds to the WIS 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Wisconsin Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the WIS 19

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Kyle McCord pass incomplete

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

TreVeyon Henderson run for 4 yds to the WIS 15

3rd & 1Penalty0 yds

Wisconsin Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Yards) to the WIS 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Interception0 ydsPPA -4.58

Kyle McCord pass intercepted, touchback.

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Braelon Allen run for 3 yds to the WIS 23

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Atticus Bertrams punt for 29 yds

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.71

TreVeyon Henderson run for 10 yds to the WIS 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Kyle McCord pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 1 yd to the WIS 41

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.69

Kyle McCord pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 8 yds to the WIS 33

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.46

Kyle McCord run for 2 yds to the WIS 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.22

Kyle McCord pass complete to Gee Scott Jr. for 11 yds to the WIS 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Chip Trayanum run for 4 yds to the WIS 16

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.64

Kyle McCord pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 16 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Jackson Acker for 4 yds to the WIS 30

3rd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Will Pauling for 3 yds to the WIS 33

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Atticus Bertrams punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Jayden Ballard at the OSU 22

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Xavier Johnson run for 8 yds to the OSU 30

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.09

Chip Trayanum run for 4 yds to the OSU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Kyle McCord pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.32

Kyle McCord pass complete to Carnell Tate for 14 yds to the OSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Kyle McCord pass complete to TreVeyon Henderson for 6 yds to the WIS 46

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.51

TreVeyon Henderson run for 7 yds to the WIS 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Ohio State Penalty, False Start (Gee Scott Jr.) to the WIS 44

1st & 15Interception0 ydsPPA -2.98

Kyle McCord pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.88

Braelon Allen run for 8 yds to the OSU 44

2nd & 2Penalty+5 yds

ALLEN, Braelon rush up the middle for no gain to the OSU44 (HALL JR., Mike). PENALTY OSU Offsides on TUIMOLOAU, JT enforced 5 yards from the OSU44 to the OSU39 and results in a 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.90

Braedyn Locke sacked by Jordan Hancock for a loss of 10 yards to the OSU 49

2nd & 20Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.43

Braedyn Locke pass complete to C.J. Williams for 7 yds to the OSU 42

3rd & 13Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.95

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Will Pauling for 19 yds to the OSU 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Braelon Allen run for 7 yds to the OSU 16

2nd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA -0.18

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Skyler Bell for 5 yds to the OSU 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Braelon Allen run for 9 yds to the OSU 2

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.97

Braelon Allen run for 1 yd to the OSU 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.96

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Skyler Bell for no gain to the OSU 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Braelon Allen run for no gain to the OSU 1

3rd & 1Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.33

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Braelon Allen for no gain to the OSU 1

4th & 1Field Goal Good+19 yds

Nathanial Vakos 19 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.39

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Bryson Green for 27 yds to the OSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Jackson Acker run for 4 yds to the OSU 44

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

3rd & 6Rush+29 ydsPPA +2.37

Braedyn Locke run for 29 yds to the OSU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Jackson Acker for 2 yds to the OSU 13

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +3.07

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Will Pauling for 13 yds for a TD (Nathanial Vakos KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

TreVeyon Henderson run for no gain to the OSU 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.12

Kyle McCord pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 16 yds to the OSU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.34

TreVeyon Henderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the OSU 40

2nd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.50

Kyle McCord pass complete to Gee Scott Jr. for 7 yds to the OSU 47

3rd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.74

Kyle McCord pass complete to Chip Trayanum for 4 yds to the WIS 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.58

TreVeyon Henderson run for 7 yds to the WIS 42

2nd & 3Rush+25 ydsPPA +0.61

TreVeyon Henderson run for 25 yds to the WIS 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.50

TreVeyon Henderson run for a loss of 2 yards to the WIS 19

2nd & 12Passing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +3.08

Kyle McCord pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 19 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Jackson Acker run for 6 yds to the WIS 31

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Jackson Acker run for 2 yds to the WIS 33

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Jackson Acker run for 1 yd to the WIS 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Atticus Bertrams punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jayden Ballard at the OSU 24

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.96

Kyle McCord pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 22 yds to the OSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

TreVeyon Henderson run for 5 yds to the WIS 49

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

TreVeyon Henderson run for 2 yds to the WIS 47

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.47

Kyle McCord run for 5 yds to the WIS 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.48

TreVeyon Henderson run for 12 yds to the WIS 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.70

TreVeyon Henderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the WIS 31

2nd & 11Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Kyle McCord pass complete to Chip Trayanum for 3 yds to the WIS 28

3rd & 8Penalty0 yds

Ohio State Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Kyle McCord) to the WIS 37

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Jesse Mirco punt for 30 yds

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.43

Cade Yacamelli run for a loss of 4 yards to the WIS 3

2nd & 14Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.07

Braedyn Locke run for a loss of 1 yard to the WIS 2

3rd & 15Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.88

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Skyler Bell for 16 yds to the WIS 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Jackson Acker run for 6 yds to the WIS 24

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.44

Jackson Acker run for 5 yds to the WIS 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.60

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Bryson Green for 19 yds to the WIS 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Jackson Acker run for 3 yds to the OSU 49

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Jackson Acker run for 1 yd to the OSU 48

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Atticus Bertrams punt for 34 yds, downed at the OSU 14

1st & 10Rush+30 ydsPPA +2.29

TreVeyon Henderson run for 30 yds to the OSU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds to the OSU 47

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

Ohio State Penalty, False Start (Josh Simmons) to the OSU 42

2nd & 12Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.60

Kyle McCord pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 15 yds to the WIS 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

TreVeyon Henderson run for 3 yds to the WIS 40

2nd & 7Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.25

Kyle McCord sacked by Maema Njongmeta for a loss of 1 yard to the WIS 41

3rd & 8Penalty0 yds

Ohio State Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Kyle McCord) to the OSU 48

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Jesse Mirco punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

Wisconsin Penalty, False Start (Joe Huber) to the WIS 5

1st & 14Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.09

Jackson Acker run for 6 yds to the WIS 11

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Atticus Bertrams punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Jayden Ballard at the WIS 45

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.50

Xavier Johnson run for 10 yds to the WIS 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

TreVeyon Henderson run for 2 yds to the WIS 33

2nd & 8Rushing Touchdown+33 ydsPPA +3.34

TreVeyon Henderson run for 33 yds for a TD (Jayden Fielding KICK)

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.96

Braedyn Locke sacked by Tyleik Williams for a loss of 3 yards to the WIS 22

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

3rd & 13Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.29

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Will Pauling for 16 yds to the WIS 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Jackson Acker for 6 yds to the WIS 44

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.92

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Jackson Acker for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Chip Trayanum run for 2 yds to the WIS 48

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.65

Chip Trayanum run for 2 yds to the WIS 46

3rd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.16

Chip Trayanum run for a loss of 1 yard to the WIS 47

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Jesse Mirco punt for 36 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.76

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Vinny Anthony II for 15 yds to the WIS 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.42

Braedyn Locke run for a loss of 1 yard to the WIS 25

3rd & 11Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.09

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Jackson Acker for 2 yds to the WIS 27

4th & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.25

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.49

[NHSG] Kneel down by MCCORD, Kyle at WIS29 (team loss of 2).

2nd & 12Rush0 ydsPPA -0.78

[NHSG] Kneel down by MCCORD, Kyle at WIS30 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Ohio State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
50%
30 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
67%
3 plays
29%
7 plays
63%
8 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
40%
5 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Wisconsin

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
30%
23 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
27%
11 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
0%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
17%
6 plays
75%
4 plays
4th
50%
2 plays