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← Back to GamesOct 28, 2023Week 9
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Ole Miss by 30.8

Home Win Probability

Ole Miss 96%

Market (Bovada)

Ole Miss -24

Edge: Ole Miss -24 (6.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 28, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
VanderbiltVanderbilt
00707
Ole MissOle Miss
13130733

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-010-013-020-026-026-733-7
Ole MissVanderbilt

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20OMVANOMVANOMVANOMVANOMVANOMVANOMVANVANOMVANOMVANOMVANOMVANOMTD675ydTO3-3ydFG42ydPUNT1024ydFG1038ydPUNT3-2ydTD672ydDOWNS47ydTD532ydDOWNS640ydPUNT31ydPUNT37ydTO757ydEND14ydTO837ydDOWNS834ydTD1065ydPUNT54ydDOWNS4-3ydTD947ydPUNT37ydPUNT625ydDOWNS953ydEND220yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Vanderbilt and Ole Miss
StatisticVanderbiltOle Miss
Passing8-2020-29
Pass Yards60254
Rush Yards169177
Total Yards229431
Turnovers21
3rd Down3-155-13
Penalties4-406-46
Possession32:5927:01

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Vanderbilt
passing
Walter Taylor
4/12, 38 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Walter Taylor
20 CAR, 59 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Junior Sherrill
2 REC, 28 YDS
defense
Ole Miss
passing
Jaxson Dart
19/28, 240 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Quinshon Judkins
17 CAR, 124 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Dayton Wade
8 REC, 120 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jaxson Dart pass complete to Tre Harris for 5 yds to the MISS 30

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.84

Quinshon Judkins run for 6 yds to the MISS 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +2.45

Jaxson Dart pass complete to Dayton Wade for 39 yds to the VAN 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Quinshon Judkins run for 6 yds to the VAN 19

2nd & 4Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.38

Jaxson Dart pass complete to Dayton Wade for 1 yd to the VAN 18

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.89

Quinshon Judkins run for 18 yds for a TD (Caden Davis KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Sedrick Alexander run for 4 yds to the VAN 29

2nd & 6Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.05

Ken Seals sacked by Jared Ivey for a loss of 7 yards to the VAN 22

3rd & 13Interception0 ydsPPA +0.24

Ken Seals pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Jaxson Dart pass complete to Dayton Wade for 2 yds to the VAN 9

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.28

Ulysses Bentley IV run for no gain to the VAN 9

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Jaxson Dart pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Good+27 yds

Caden Davis 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Sedrick Alexander run for 1 yd to the VAN 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Ken Seals pass complete to Will Sheppard for 4 yds to the VAN 30

3rd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.78

Ken Seals run for 8 yds to the VAN 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Chase Gillespie run for 4 yds to the VAN 42

2nd & 6Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.05

Ken Seals pass complete to Junior Sherrill for no gain to the VAN 42

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Ken Seals pass complete to Will Sheppard for 5 yds to the VAN 47

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +2.10

Ken Seals run for 1 yd to the VAN 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Ken Seals run for 1 yd to the VAN 49

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Sedrick Alexander run for 5 yds to the MISS 46

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Ken Seals pass incomplete

4th & 4Penalty-5 yds

Vanderbilt Penalty, Delay Of Game (Aeneas DiCosmo) to the VAN 49

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Matthew Hayball punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Rush+40 ydsPPA +2.88

Quinshon Judkins run for 40 yds to the VAN 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Ole Miss Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the VAN 35

1st & 15Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.43

Quinshon Judkins run for 8 yds to the VAN 27

2nd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Quinshon Judkins run for 7 yds to the VAN 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Jaxson Dart pass complete to Dayton Wade for 4 yds to the VAN 16

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Jaxson Dart pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.83

Jaxson Dart pass complete to Tre Harris for 14 yds to the VAN 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.00

Quinshon Judkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the VAN 3

2nd & 3Penalty-5 yds

Ole Miss Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the VAN 8

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Jaxson Dart pass incomplete

3rd & 8Sack-24 ydsPPA -4.05

Jaxson Dart sacked for a loss of 24 yards to the VAN 32

4th & 32Field Goal Good+48 yds

Caden Davis 48 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Chase Gillespie run for 4 yds to the VAN 29

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Ken Seals pass incomplete

3rd & 6Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.48

Ken Seals sacked by Cedric Johnson for a loss of 6 yards to the VAN 23

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Matthew Hayball punt for 49 yds

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.49

Ulysses Bentley IV run for 16 yds to the MISS 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+48 ydsPPA +2.05

Jaxson Dart pass complete to Dayton Wade for 48 yds to the VAN 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Ulysses Bentley IV run for 6 yds to the VAN 2

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Jaxson Dart run for 1 yd to the VAN 1

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

run for no gain to the VAN 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Jaxson Dart run for 1 yd for a TD (Caden Davis KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Sedrick Alexander run for 3 yds to the VAN 28

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Sedrick Alexander run for 2 yds to the VAN 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Ken Seals pass incomplete

4th & 5Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+2 ydsPPA +0.11

Matthew Hayball run for 2 yds to the VAN 32 Matthew Hayball fumbled, recovered by VAN Matthew Hayball [FAKE PUNT] HAYBALL, Matt rush to the left for a gain of 2 yards, HAYBALL, Matt fumbled at VAN32 forced by BANKS, Tyler, recovered by VAN HAYBALL, Matt at the VAN32, returned 0 yards to the VAN32, End of Play; VAN turnover on downs, clock 09:33.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Jaxson Dart run for 1 yd to the VAN 31

2nd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.70

Jaxson Dart pass complete to Tre Harris for 10 yds to the VAN 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Quinshon Judkins run for 4 yds to the VAN 17

2nd & 6Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.61

Quinshon Judkins run for 11 yds to the VAN 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Jaxson Dart pass complete to Dayton Wade for 6 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Caden Davis kickoff for 63 yds , return for no gain to the VAN 10

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.72

Walter Taylor run for 15 yds to the VAN 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.61

Jayden McGowan run for 18 yds to the VAN 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Walter Taylor run for 2 yds to the VAN 45

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Jayden McGowan run for 3 yds to the VAN 48

3rd & 5Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Walter Taylor pass complete to Chase Gillespie for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Walter Taylor pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Jaxson Dart pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Ulysses Bentley IV run for 1 yd to the VAN 49

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Jaxson Dart pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Fraser Masin punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Jayden McGowan at the VAN 16

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.46

Walter Taylor run for no gain to the VAN 16

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Walter Taylor pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.09

Sedrick Alexander run for 7 yds to the VAN 23

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Matthew Hayball punt for 64 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Jaxson Dart pass complete to Ulysses Bentley IV for 2 yds to the MISS 15

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

DART, Jaxson scrambles up the middle for a gain of 8 yards to the OLE23 (RILEY, Savion). PENALTY Before the snap, OLE Illegal Shift enforced 5 yards from the OLE15 to the OLE10. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 13Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.80

Jaxson Dart pass complete to Jordan Watkins for 23 yds to the MISS 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.42

Jaxson Dart pass complete to Jordan Watkins for 15 yds to the MISS 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.15

Quinshon Judkins run for 9 yds to the VAN 43

2nd & 1Penalty-9 yds

DART, Jaxson pass deep to the right incomplete intended for WADE, Dayton thrown to the VAN25. PENALTY OLE Holding on MCGEE, Quincy enforced 9 yards from the VAN43 to the OLE48 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.58

Jaxson Dart pass complete to Quinshon Judkins for 7 yds to the VAN 45

3rd & 3Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.76

Jaxson Dart pass complete to Tre Harris for 15 yds to the VAN 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+22 yds

Vanderbilt Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jeffrey Ugochukwu) to the VAN 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Sedrick Alexander run for 4 yds to the VAN 26

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Walter Taylor pass complete to Will Sheppard for 5 yds to the VAN 30

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Walter Taylor run for 4 yds to the VAN 34

3rd & 1Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.41

Walter Taylor run for 18 yds to the MISS 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Walter Taylor pass complete to Will Sheppard for 3 yds to the MISS 45

2nd & 7Penalty+15 yds

Ole Miss Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Khari Coleman) to the MISS 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

QB Keeper TAYLOR, Walter rush to the left for a gain of 8 yards to the OLE22 (PRINCE, Deantre). PENALTY VAN Holding on HERNANDEZ, Julian enforced 10 yards from the OLE30 to the OLE40 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Chase Gillespie run for 6 yds to the MISS 34

2nd & 14Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.79

Walter Taylor run for a loss of 4 yards to the MISS 38

3rd & 18Interception0 ydsPPA -1.21

Walter Taylor pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.24

Jaxson Dart pass complete to Tre Harris for 13 yds to the MISS 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Jaxson Dart pass complete to Jordan Watkins for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 4Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.91

Quinshon Judkins run for a loss of 3 yards to the MISS 47

3rd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.65

Jaxson Dart pass complete to Dayton Wade for 12 yds to the VAN 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Quinshon Judkins run for 5 yds to the VAN 36

2nd & 5Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.44

Jaxson Dart sacked by Kane Patterson for a loss of 7 yards to the VAN 43

3rd & 12Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.72

Jaxson Dart run for 8 yds to the VAN 35

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.13

Jaxson Dart pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Patrick Smith run for 9 yds to the VAN 44

2nd & 1Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.38

Walter Taylor run for 11 yds to the MISS 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Walter Taylor run for 2 yds to the MISS 43

2nd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.09

Patrick Smith run for 9 yds to the MISS 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +0.88

Walter Taylor pass complete to Junior Sherrill for 28 yds to the MISS 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush-6 ydsPPA -0.86

Walter Taylor run for a loss of 6 yards to the MISS 12

2nd & 12Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Walter Taylor run for 4 yds to the MISS 8

3rd & 8Penalty+6 yds

Ole Miss Penalty, Defensive Holding (Ladarius Tennison) to the MISS 7

1st & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.13

Walter Taylor run for 5 yds to the MISS 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Walter Taylor run for 2 yds for a TD (Jacob Borcila KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Quinshon Judkins run for 2 yds to the MISS 23

2nd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.28

Jaxson Dart pass complete to Tre Harris for 10 yds to the MISS 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.65

Jaxson Dart sacked by Nate Clifton for a loss of 7 yards to the MISS 26

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Jaxson Dart pass incomplete

3rd & 17Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.09

Quinshon Judkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the MISS 25

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Fraser Masin punt for 25 yds

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.66

Walter Taylor sacked by Jared Ivey for a loss of 8 yards to the VAN 42

2nd & 18Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.62

Ken Seals pass complete to Kamrean Johnson for 13 yds to the MISS 45

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Patrick Smith run for 2 yds to the MISS 43

4th & 3Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.49

Walter Taylor sacked by JJ Pegues and Jared Ivey for a loss of 10 yards to the VAN 47

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Jaxson Dart pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.79

Jaxson Dart pass complete to Dayton Wade for 8 yds to the VAN 39

3rd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.00

Ulysses Bentley IV run for 7 yds to the VAN 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.27

Ulysses Bentley IV run for 13 yds to the VAN 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.45

Ulysses Bentley IV run for a loss of 1 yard to the VAN 20

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Quinshon Judkins run for 3 yds to the VAN 17

3rd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.23

Jaxson Dart run for 7 yds to the VAN 10

4th & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.51

Quinshon Judkins run for 7 yds to the VAN 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Quinshon Judkins run for 3 yds for a TD (Caden Davis KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

AJ Newberry run for 6 yds to the VAN 31

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Walter Taylor pass incomplete

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Walter Taylor run for 1 yd to the VAN 32

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Matthew Hayball punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Jordan Watkins at the MISS 15

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.54

Matt Jones run for 10 yds to the MISS 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Matt Jones run for 2 yds to the MISS 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.87

Spencer Sanders pass complete to Ayden Williams for 14 yds to the MISS 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.69

Spencer Sanders run for a loss of 3 yards to the MISS 38

2nd & 13Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Matt Jones run for 1 yd to the MISS 39

3rd & 12Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Spencer Sanders run for 1 yd to the MISS 40

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Fraser Masin punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jayden McGowan at the VAN 22

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Walter Taylor run for 4 yds to the VAN 26

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Walter Taylor pass incomplete

3rd & 6Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.98

Walter Taylor run for 12 yds to the VAN 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.03

Walter Taylor run for 11 yds to the VAN 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.11

AJ Newberry run for 21 yds to the MISS 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

AJ Newberry run for 3 yds to the MISS 27

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Walter Taylor pass incomplete

3rd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Walter Taylor run for 2 yds to the MISS 25

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.91

Walter Taylor pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Jam Griffin run for 6 yds to the MISS 31

2nd & 4Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.47

Jam Griffin run for 14 yds to the MISS 45 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Vanderbilt

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
39%
23 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
100%
2 plays
0%
6 plays
29%
7 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
33%
9 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays

Ole Miss

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
56%
27 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
1 play
43%
7 plays
67%
9 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
100%
1 play
40%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play