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← Back to GamesOct 28, 2023Week 9
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Tennessee by 4.6

Home Win Probability

Kentucky 37%

Market (Bovada)

Kentucky +3.5

Edge: Tennessee -3.5 (1.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 28, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
TennesseeTennessee
10133733
KentuckyKentucky
0177327

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-73-1010-1317-2017-2317-2624-2627-33
KentuckyTennessee

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20KENTENKENTENKENTENKENTENKENTENKENTENKENTENKENTENKENTENKENTENPUNT39ydTD570ydDOWNS49ydFG68ydFG1066ydFG1044ydTD775ydTD575ydTD1075ydFG759ydUncategorized00ydPUNT39ydDOWNS836ydFG849ydTD675ydPUNT612ydMISS945ydTD1265ydFG965ydEND951yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Tennessee and Kentucky
StatisticTennesseeKentucky
Passing18-2128-39
Pass Yards228372
Rush Yards25372
Total Yards481444
Turnovers00
3rd Down6-135-11
Penalties9-704-21
Possession26:5633:04

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Tennessee
passing
Joe Milton
18/21, 228 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Jaylen Wright
11 CAR, 120 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Dont'E Thornton
3 REC, 63 YDS
defense
Kentucky
passing
Devin Leary
28/39, 372 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Re'Mahn Davis
16 CAR, 42 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Dane Key
7 REC, 113 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Ray Davis run for no gain to the UK 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -0.51

Devin Leary pass complete to Barion Brown for a loss of 5 yards to the UK 20

3rd & 15Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.49

Devin Leary run for 14 yds to the UK 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Wilson Berry punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Dee Williams at the TENN 30

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Jaylen Wright run for 4 yds to the TENN 34

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Joe Milton III pass complete to Dont'e Thornton Jr. for 4 yds to the TENN 38

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.31

Joe Milton III run for 3 yds to the TENN 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Joe Milton III pass complete to Squirrel White for 7 yds to the TENN 48

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+52 ydsPPA +3.96

Jaylen Wright run for 52 yds for a TD (Charles Campbell KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Devin Leary pass complete to Demie Sumo-Karngbaye for 4 yds to the UK 29

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Ray Davis run for 5 yds to the UK 34

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Devin Leary run for no gain to the UK 34

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.20

Ray Davis run for no gain to the UK 34

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.55

Joe Milton III pass complete to Jabari Small for 8 yds to the UK 26

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Jabari Small run for 2 yds to the UK 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Jabari Small run for 2 yds to the UK 22

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Jabari Small run for 4 yds to the UK 18

3rd & 4Penalty-10 yds

Milton III, Joe rush for 6 yards to the KENTUCKY12, PENALTY TENNESSEE holding 10 yards to the KENTUCKY28, NO PLAY.

3rd & 14Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Joe Milton III pass complete to Jaylen Wright for 2 yds to the UK 26

4th & 12Field Goal Good+44 yds

Charles Campbell 44 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.98

Devin Leary pass complete to Jordan Dingle for 22 yds to the UK 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Kentucky Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UK 42

1st & 15Penalty-5 yds

Kentucky Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UK 37

1st & 20Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Devin Leary pass complete to Demie Sumo-Karngbaye for 5 yds to the UK 42

2nd & 15Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.08

Devin Leary run for 10 yds to the TENN 48

3rd & 5Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.30

Devin Leary pass complete to Jordan Dingle for 16 yds to the TENN 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Ray Davis run for no gain to the TENN 32

2nd & 10Penalty+5 yds

Tennessee Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the TENN 27

2nd & 5Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.30

Devin Leary pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 17 yds to the TENN 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Devin Leary pass incomplete to Dane Key

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Ray Davis run for 1 yd to the TENN 10

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Devin Leary pass incomplete to Jordan Dingle

4th & 9Field Goal Good+28 yds

Alex Raynor 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Joe Milton III pass incomplete to Ramel Keyton

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.63

Jaylen Wright run for 11 yds to the TENN 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.60

Jaylen Wright run for 18 yds to the UK 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jaylen Wright run for 5 yds to the UK 41

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

Tennessee Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UK 46

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Dylan Sampson run for 5 yds to the UK 41

3rd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.62

Dylan Sampson run for 9 yds to the UK 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Dylan Sampson run for 1 yd to the UK 31

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Joe Milton III pass incomplete

3rd & 9Penalty-5 yds

Tennessee Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UK 36

3rd & 14Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Joe Milton III pass complete to Squirrel White for 5 yds to the UK 31

4th & 9Field Goal Good+49 yds

Charles Campbell 49 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +2.73

Devin Leary pass complete to Barion Brown for 32 yds to the TENN 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.45

Devin Leary pass complete to Dane Key for 10 yds to the TENN 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

JuTahn McClain run for 1 yd to the TENN 32

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Devin Leary pass incomplete to Tayvion Robinson

3rd & 9Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.63

Devin Leary pass complete to Dane Key for 17 yds to the TENN 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Ray Davis run for 4 yds to the TENN 11

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.58

Devin Leary pass complete to Barion Brown for 11 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK)

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.71

Joe Milton III run for 19 yds to the TENN 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Jabari Small run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Jabari Small run for 7 yds to the UK 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jabari Small run for 4 yds to the UK 39

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+39 ydsPPA +3.46

Joe Milton III pass complete to Chas Nimrod for 39 yds for a TD (Charles Campbell KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Ray Davis run for 2 yds to the UK 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.44

Devin Leary pass complete to Anthony Brown-Stephens for 20 yds to the UK 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Devin Leary pass incomplete to Tayvion Robinson

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Demie Sumo-Karngbaye run for 2 yds to the UK 49

3rd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.60

Devin Leary pass complete to Dane Key for 10 yds to the TENN 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Ray Davis run for 3 yds to the TENN 38

2nd & 7Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.89

Devin Leary pass complete to Josh Kattus for 17 yds to the TENN 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Tayvion Robinson run for 6 yds to the TENN 15

2nd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.25

Ray Davis run for 8 yds to the TENN 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Ray Davis run for 7 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Dylan Sampson run for no gain to the TENN 25

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Dylan Sampson run for 4 yds to the TENN 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.75

Joe Milton III pass complete to Ramel Keyton for 18 yds to the TENN 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Joe Milton III pass complete to Ramel Keyton for 7 yds to the UK 46

2nd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.22

Joe Milton III pass complete to Dylan Sampson for 5 yds to the UK 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +0.67

Joe Milton III pass complete to Squirrel White for 25 yds to the UK 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Field Goal Good+34 yds

Charles Campbell 34 yd FG GOOD

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+30 yds

Josh Turbyville kickoff for 65 yds , Barion Brown return for 30 yds to the UK 30

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Jaylen Wright run for 6 yds to the TENN 31

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Jaylen Wright run for 3 yds to the TENN 34

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Joe Milton III run for no gain to the TENN 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Jackson Ross punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Tayvion Robinson at the UK 30

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Ray Davis run for 6 yds to the UK 36

2nd & 4Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.48

Devin Leary pass complete to Dane Key for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.09

Devin Leary pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 9 yds to the TENN 41

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Ray Davis run for 3 yds to the TENN 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-11 ydsPPA -3.04

Devin Leary sacked by Omarr Norman-Lott for a loss of 11 yards to the TENN 49

2nd & 21Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Devin Leary pass incomplete to Ray Davis

3rd & 21Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.74

Devin Leary pass complete to Jordan Dingle for 15 yds to the TENN 34

4th & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.97

Devin Leary pass incomplete to Demie Sumo-Karngbaye

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Milton III, Joe rush for 12 yards to the TENNESSEE46, PENALTY TENNESSEE holding 10 yards to the TENNESSEE24, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Jaylen Wright run for 1 yd to the TENN 25

2nd & 19Pass Reception+47 ydsPPA +4.40

Joe Milton III pass complete to Dont'e Thornton Jr. for 47 yds to the UK 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.67

Jaylen Wright run for 9 yds to the UK 19

2nd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA -0.43

Jaylen Wright run for 8 yds to the UK 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Jaylen Wright run for 3 yds to the UK 8

2nd & 7Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.66

Joe Milton III run for a loss of 5 yards to the UK 13

3rd & 12Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.29

Joe Milton III sacked by Deone Walker for a loss of 4 yards to the UK 17

4th & 16Field Goal Good+35 yds

Charles Campbell 35 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Devin Leary pass complete to Barion Brown for 12 yds to the UK 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Tennessee Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the UK 42

1st & 5Penalty+5 yds

Tennessee Penalty, Delay of Game (5 Yards) to the UK 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Ray Davis run for 5 yds to the TENN 48

2nd & 5Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +1.44

Devin Leary pass complete to Dane Key for 34 yds to the TENN 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Devin Leary run for 8 yds to the TENN 6

2nd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.57

Ray Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the TENN 7

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.67

Devin Leary pass complete to Dane Key for 7 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Joe Milton III pass complete to Ramel Keyton for 5 yds to the TENN 30

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Jabari Small run for 4 yds to the TENN 34

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jabari Small run for no gain to the TENN 34

4th & 1Penalty+6 yds

Kentucky Penalty, Defensive Offside (6 Yards) to the TENN 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Joe Milton III run for 1 yd to the TENN 41

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Jabari Small run for 3 yds to the TENN 44

3rd & 6Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.18

Joe Milton III sacked by Octavious Oxendine and Josaih Hayes for a loss of 7 yards to the TENN 37

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Jackson Ross punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Tayvion Robinson at the UK 20

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Ray Davis run for no gain to the UK 20

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.25

Devin Leary pass complete to Ray Davis for 10 yds to the UK 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.93

Devin Leary pass complete to Dane Key for 21 yds to the TENN 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Devin Leary pass incomplete to Barion Brown

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.92

Devin Leary pass complete to Demie Sumo-Karngbaye for 15 yds to the TENN 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.83

Ray Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the TENN 35

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Devin Leary pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Devin Leary pass incomplete to Barion Brown

4th & 11Field Goal Missed+53 yds

Alex Raynor 53 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Tennessee Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the TENN 20

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Dylan Sampson run for 1 yd to the TENN 21

2nd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.43

Joe Milton III pass complete to Dont'e Thornton Jr. for 12 yds to the TENN 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.10

Dylan Sampson run for a loss of 1 yard to the TENN 32

2nd & 11Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.07

Joe Milton III pass complete to Dylan Sampson for 11 yds to the TENN 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.28

Joe Milton III pass complete to Squirrel White for 9 yds to the UK 48

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Dylan Sampson run for 3 yds to the UK 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Joe Milton III run for 7 yds to the UK 38

2nd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.17

Dylan Sampson run for 9 yds to the UK 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.53

Dylan Sampson run for no gain to the UK 29

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Joe Milton III pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.52

Joe Milton III pass complete to Dylan Sampson for 17 yds to the UK 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.53

Dylan Sampson run for 12 yds for a TD (Charles Campbell KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Devin Leary pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 8 yds to the UK 33

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Devin Leary pass incomplete to Tayvion Robinson

3rd & 2Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.64

Devin Leary pass complete to Jordan Dingle for 8 yds to the UK 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Devin Leary pass complete to Ray Davis for 13 yds to the TENN 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

Tennessee Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the TENN 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.42

Devin Leary pass complete to Josh Kattus for 18 yds to the TENN 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Devin Leary pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Devin Leary pass complete to Ray Davis for 5 yds to the TENN 13

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

Kentucky Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TENN 18

3rd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.33

Devin Leary pass complete to Barion Brown for 8 yds to the TENN 10

4th & 2Field Goal Good+28 yds

Alex Raynor 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Dylan Sampson run for 5 yds to the TENN 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.84

Joe Milton III pass complete to Dylan Sampson for 6 yds to the TENN 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +1.96

Dylan Sampson run for 24 yds to the UK 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Dylan Sampson run for no gain to the UK 40

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Dylan Sampson run for 3 yds to the UK 37

3rd & 7Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.67

Joe Milton III run for 11 yds to the UK 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.59

Dylan Sampson run for a loss of 1 yard to the UK 27

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Dylan Sampson run for 2 yds to the UK 25

3rd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Joe Milton III run for 1 yd to the UK 24

Situational Analysis

Tennessee

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
55%
29 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
6 plays
50%
6 plays
30%
10 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
4th

Kentucky

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
28 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
3 plays
100%
6 plays
56%
9 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
100%
1 play
75%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play