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← Back to GamesOct 28, 2023Week 9
GeorgiaGeorgia
43
-Final
20
FloridaFlorida
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Georgia by 20

Home Win Probability

Florida 11%

Market (Bovada)

Florida +14

Edge: Georgia -14 (6.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 28, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
GeorgiaGeorgia
101610743
FloridaFlorida
7001320

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-07-37-177-267-297-3613-4320-43
FloridaGeorgia

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20FLOGEOFLOGEOFLOGEOFLOGEOFLOGEOFLOGEOFLOGEOGEOFLOGEOFLOGEOFLOGEOFLOGEOTD766ydFG1171ydPUNT613ydTD566ydDOWNS46ydTD331ydTO2-14ydTD411ydSAF3-6ydPUNT416ydPUNT32ydPUNT840ydPUNT541ydEND21ydPUNT833ydPUNT413ydFG558ydDOWNS751ydTD676ydTD675ydTD1075ydTD1275ydEND2-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Georgia and Florida
StatisticGeorgiaFlorida
Passing19-2825-34
Pass Yards315230
Rush Yards171109
Total Yards486339
Turnovers01
3rd Down6-124-11
Penalties2-102-17
Possession33:2926:31

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Georgia
passing
Carson Beck
19/28, 315 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Daijun Edwards
15 CAR, 96 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Ladd McConkey
6 REC, 135 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Florida
passing
Graham Mertz
25/34, 230 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Montrell Johnson
9 CAR, 82 YDS
receiving
Ricky Pearsall
6 REC, 99 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Jared Zirkel kickoff for 54 yds , Trevor Etienne return for 23 yds to the FLA 34

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.20

Graham Mertz pass complete to Eugene Wilson III for 27 yds to the UGA 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds to the UGA 36

2nd & 7Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.34

Graham Mertz pass complete to Montrell Johnson Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the UGA 38

3rd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.95

Graham Mertz pass complete to Eugene Wilson III for 9 yds to the UGA 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds to the UGA 26

2nd & 7Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Graham Mertz pass complete to Eugene Wilson III for 1 yd to the UGA 25

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +3.41

Graham Mertz pass complete to Eugene Wilson III for 25 yds for a TD (Trey Smack KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Daijun Edwards run for 4 yds to the UGA 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.82

Carson Beck pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 15 yds to the UGA 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Dillon Bell run for 7 yds to the FLA 49

2nd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Carson Beck pass complete to Marcus Rosemy-Jacksaint for 6 yds to the FLA 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Carson Beck pass complete to Daijun Edwards for 3 yds to the FLA 40

2nd & 7Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.01

Carson Beck pass complete to Oscar Delp for 18 yds to the FLA 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.76

Carson Beck pass complete to Ladd McConkey for 17 yds to the FLA 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Daijun Edwards run for no gain to the FLA 5

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Kendall Milton run for 1 yd to the FLA 4

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Carson Beck pass incomplete

4th & 4Field Goal Good+22 yds

Peyton Woodring 22 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Graham Mertz pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 2 yds to the FLA 27

2nd & 8Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.77

Trevor Etienne run for 13 yds to the FLA 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.92

Trevor Etienne run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Graham Mertz pass complete to Eugene Wilson III for a loss of 6 yards to the FLA 48 lat. to Ricky Pearsall for 4 yds to the FLA 48

2nd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Trevor Etienne run for 3 yds to the UGA 49

3rd & 9Fumble Recovery (Own)-13 ydsPPA -1.53

Graham Mertz sacked by Jalon Walker for a loss of 13 yards to the FLA 38 Graham Mertz fumbled, recovered by FLA Damieon George Jr. , return for 0 yards

4th & 22Punt+13 yds

Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 41 yds , Mekhi Mews returns for 13 yds to the UGA 34

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Carson Beck pass incomplete to Daijun Edwards

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Dillon Bell run for 6 yds to the UGA 40

3rd & 4Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.84

Carson Beck pass complete to Rara Thomas for 19 yds to the FLA 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Carson Beck pass incomplete

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+41 ydsPPA +4.12

Carson Beck pass complete to Ladd McConkey for 41 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-12 yds

Florida Penalty, Illegal Use of Hands (-12 Yards) to the FLA 13

1st & 22Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.45

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 12 yds to the FLA 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Graham Mertz pass complete to Hayden Hansen for 4 yds to the FLA 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Graham Mertz pass complete to Kahleil Jackson for 5 yds to the FLA 34

4th & 1Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.20

Trevor Etienne run for a loss of 3 yards to the FLA 31

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.22

Daijun Edwards run for 11 yds to the FLA 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

Carson Beck run for no gain to the FLA 20

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.99

Daijun Edwards run for 20 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.20

Graham Mertz sacked by Jamon Dumas-Johnson for a loss of 9 yards to the FLA 16

2nd & 19Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.11

Graham Mertz sacked by Tyrion Ingram-Dawkins for a loss of 5 yards to the FLA 11 Graham Mertz fumbled, recovered by UGA Marvin Jones Jr. , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Kendall Milton run for 2 yds to the FLA 9

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Carson Beck run for 6 yds to the FLA 3

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Daijun Edwards run for 1 yd to the FLA 2

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.80

Daijun Edwards run for 2 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for no gain to the FLA 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Graham Mertz pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.24

Graham Mertz sacked by Mykel Williams and Damon Wilson Jr. for a loss of 6 yards to the FLA 19

4th & 16Blocked Punt0 yds

TEAM punt blocked by Joenel Aguero for a SAFETY blocked by Joenel Aguero for a SAFETY

4th & 16Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Jeremy Crawshaw kickoff for 69 yds , Ladd McConkey return for 15 yds to the UGA 26

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.45

Kendall Milton run for 16 yds to the UGA 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.69

Carson Beck pass complete to Ladd McConkey for 7 yds to the UGA 49

2nd & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.77

Kendall Milton run for a loss of 2 yards to the UGA 47

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Carson Beck pass incomplete

4th & 5Penalty-5 yds

Georgia Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the UGA 42

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Brett Thorson punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FLA 18

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Trevor Etienne run for 2 yds to the FLA 20

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Graham Mertz pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.15

Graham Mertz pass complete to Eugene Wilson III for no gain to the FLA 20

4th & 8Punt-2 yds

Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 58 yds , Mekhi Mews returns for a loss of 2 yards to the UGA 20

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.78

Daijun Edwards run for 11 yds to the UGA 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Carson Beck pass incomplete to Ladd McConkey

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Carson Beck pass complete to Dillon Bell for 4 yds to the UGA 35

3rd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.22

Carson Beck pass complete to Ladd McConkey for 9 yds to the UGA 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.28

Daijun Edwards run for 18 yds to the FLA 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.98

Carson Beck run for a loss of 1 yard to the FLA 39

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Kendall Milton run for 4 yds to the FLA 35

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Carson Beck pass incomplete to Dominic Lovett

4th & 7Penalty-5 yds

Georgia Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the FLA 40

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Brett Thorson punt for 31 yds, downed at the FLA 9

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.49

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 12 yds to the FLA 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +2.49

Graham Mertz pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 29 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Graham Mertz pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Montrell Johnson Jr.

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Kahleil Jackson

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 49 yds, downed at the UGA 1

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Carson Beck run for 2 yds to the UGA 3

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.17

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UGA 2

0th & 8End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Daijun Edwards run for 2 yds to the UGA 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.43

Carson Beck pass complete to Ladd McConkey for 7 yds to the UGA 34

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.05

Carson Beck run for 3 yds to the UGA 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Daijun Edwards run for 1 yd to the UGA 38

2nd & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.24

Carson Beck pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 14 yds to the FLA 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Daijun Edwards run for 3 yds to the FLA 45

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Kendall Milton run for 3 yds to the FLA 42

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Carson Beck pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Brett Thorson punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Ricky Pearsall at the FLA 6

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.51

Graham Mertz pass complete to Arlis Boardingham for 14 yds to the FLA 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 1 yd to the FLA 21

2nd & 9Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.38

Graham Mertz pass complete to Eugene Wilson III for a loss of 2 yards to the FLA 19

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Ricky Pearsall

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Mekhi Mews at the UGA 28

1st & 10Pass Reception+55 ydsPPA +3.28

Carson Beck pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 55 yds to the FLA 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Kendall Milton run for 1 yd to the FLA 16

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Daijun Edwards run for 2 yds to the FLA 14

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Carson Beck pass incomplete to Rara Thomas

4th & 7Field Goal Good+32 yds

Peyton Woodring 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Graham Mertz pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.22

Trevor Etienne run for 17 yds to the FLA 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.69

Graham Mertz pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 26 yds to the UGA 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Graham Mertz pass complete to Eugene Wilson III for 7 yds to the UGA 25

2nd & 3Penalty-5 yds

Florida Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UGA 30

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

Trevor Etienne run for no gain to the UGA 30

3rd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Graham Mertz pass complete to Eugene Wilson III for 5 yds to the UGA 25

4th & 3Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -3.13

Graham Mertz pass complete to Trevor Etienne for 1 yd to the UGA 24

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.77

Carson Beck pass complete to Dominic Lovett for a loss of 1 yard to the UGA 23

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Carson Beck pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Reception+54 ydsPPA +4.52

Carson Beck pass complete to Ladd McConkey for 54 yds to the FLA 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Daijun Edwards run for 7 yds to the FLA 16

2nd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.59

Daijun Edwards run for a loss of 1 yard to the FLA 17

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.94

Carson Beck pass complete to Dillon Bell for 17 yds for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds to the FLA 28

2nd & 7Rush+48 ydsPPA +3.69

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 48 yds to the UGA 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Graham Mertz pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for a loss of 4 yards to the UGA 21 lat. to Eugene Wilson III for 7 yds to the UGA 21

2nd & 7Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.93

Graham Mertz pass complete to Montrell Johnson Jr. for 16 yds to the UGA 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for no gain to the UGA 5

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Graham Mertz pass complete to Hayden Hansen for 5 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Kendall Milton run for 11 yds to the UGA 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Carson Beck pass complete to Marcus Rosemy-Jacksaint for 2 yds to the UGA 38

2nd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.78

Kendall Milton run for 10 yds to the UGA 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Kendall Milton run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.61

Carson Beck pass complete to Oscar Delp for 13 yds to the FLA 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.40

Carson Beck pass complete to C.J. Smith for 15 yds to the FLA 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.45

Daijun Edwards run for 15 yds to the FLA 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Kendall Milton run for 4 yds to the FLA 3

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Kendall Milton run for 2 yds to the FLA 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Kendall Milton run for 1 yd for a TD (Peyton Woodring KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Kahleil Jackson

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.35

Graham Mertz pass complete to Eugene Wilson III for no gain to the FLA 25

3rd & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.76

Graham Mertz pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 19 yds to the FLA 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Treyaun Webb run for 7 yds to the UGA 49

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.72

Treyaun Webb run for 2 yds to the UGA 47

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.07

Treyaun Webb run for 4 yds to the UGA 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Ricky Pearsall

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.48

Graham Mertz pass complete to Ja'Quavion Fraziars for 13 yds to the UGA 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Graham Mertz pass complete to Eugene Wilson III for 2 yds to the UGA 28

2nd & 8Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.23

Graham Mertz pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 23 yds to the UGA 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Treyaun Webb run for 4 yds to the UGA 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Graham Mertz run for 1 yd for a TD (Trey Smack KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UGA 24

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.33

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UGA 23

Situational Analysis

Georgia

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
40%
30 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
69%
13 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
50%
6 plays
0%
2 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play

Florida

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
39%
23 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
40%
15 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
100%
2 plays
43%
7 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
2 plays