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← Back to GamesOct 28, 2023Week 9
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Army by 22

Home Win Probability

Army 89%

Market (Bovada)

Army -10

Edge: Army -10 (12.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 28, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
MassachusettsMassachusetts
1308021
ArmyArmy
070714

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-60-137-137-2114-21
ArmyMassachusetts

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MASARMMASARMMASARMMASARMARMMASARMMASARMMASARMMASARMTD975ydMISS543ydTD968ydPUNT726ydMISS730ydTD1676ydMISS941ydEND10ydDOWNS85ydTD630ydTO1281ydPUNT34ydTO826ydPUNT1040ydTD583ydPUNT939ydTO234yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Massachusetts and Army
StatisticMassachusettsArmy
Passing17-239-21
Pass Yards121158
Rush Yards231204
Total Yards352362
Turnovers03
3rd Down7-126-12
Penalties8-501-12
Possession31:3728:23

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Massachusetts
passing
Taisun Phommachanh
17/23, 121 YDS
rushing
Kay'Ron Adams
34 CAR, 234 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Anthony Simpson
7 REC, 36 YDS
defense
Army
passing
Champ Harris
6/8, 130 YDS
rushing
Kanye Udoh
15 CAR, 76 YDS
receiving
Tobi Olawole
2 REC, 57 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Anthony Simpson for 2 yds to the MASS 27

2nd & 8Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.87

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 14 yds to the MASS 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Anthony Simpson for 3 yds to the MASS 44

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Anthony Simpson for 5 yds to the MASS 49

3rd & 2Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +1.31

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to George Johnson III for 3 yds to the ARMY 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete to Christian Wells

2nd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.82

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 14 yds to the ARMY 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete to Gino Campiotti

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+34 ydsPPA +3.60

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 34 yds for a TD (Cameron Carson PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Pass Reception+43 ydsPPA +3.21

Champ Harris pass complete to Tobi Olawole for 43 yds to the MASS 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Kanye Udoh run for 3 yds to the MASS 29

2nd & 7Fumble Recovery (Own)+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Champ Harris run for 7 yds to the MASS 36 Champ Harris fumbled, recovered by MASS Tyson Riley No Huddle-Shotgun Harris,Champ rush middle for 7 yards loss to the UMass36 fumbled by Harris,Champ at UMass36 recovered by Army Riley,Tyson at UMass36, End Of Play.

3rd & 14Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Kanye Udoh run for 4 yds to the MASS 32

4th & 10Field Goal Missed+49 yds

Quinn Maretzki 49 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Shawn Harris Jr. for 5 yds to the MASS 37

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 1 yd to the MASS 38

3rd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.94

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 7 yds to the MASS 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.66

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams for 7 yds to the ARMY 48

2nd & 3Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +0.14

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Anthony Simpson for 3 yds to the ARMY 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.54

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Christian Wells for 11 yds to the ARMY 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 20Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 2 yds to the ARMY 42

2nd & 18Rush+33 ydsPPA +2.76

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 33 yds to the ARMY 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 9 yds for a TD (Cameron Carson KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

CJ Kolodziey kickoff for 58 yds , Tyrell Robinson return for 17 yds to the ARMY 24

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.23

Tyrell Robinson run for 9 yds to the ARMY 33

2nd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.26

Kanye Udoh run for 8 yds to the ARMY 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Champ Harris run for 2 yds to the ARMY 43

2nd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.73

Champ Harris pass complete to Ay'Jaun Marshall for 10 yds to the MASS 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Champ Harris run for 1 yd to the MASS 46

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Tyrell Robinson run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Champ Harris pass incomplete to Casey Reynolds

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Cooper Allan punt for 4 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MASS 46

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Jalen John run for 3 yds to the MASS 49

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete to Gino Campiotti

3rd & 7Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.88

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Gino Campiotti for 20 yds to the ARMY 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.70

Mark Pope run for 9 yds to the ARMY 40

2nd & 19Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.69

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Anthony Simpson for 8 yds to the ARMY 32

3rd & 11Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.62

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Anthony Simpson for 8 yds to the ARMY 24

4th & 3Field Goal Missed+41 yds

Cameron Carson 41 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.89

Kanye Udoh run for 8 yds to the ARMY 32

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.01

Kanye Udoh run for 3 yds to the ARMY 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Kanye Udoh run for 5 yds to the ARMY 40

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Tyrell Robinson run for 4 yds to the ARMY 44

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.29

Kanye Udoh run for 4 yds to the ARMY 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.88

Kanye Udoh run for 8 yds to the MASS 44

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Kanye Udoh run for 3 yds to the MASS 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Kanye Udoh run for 3 yds to the MASS 38

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Hayden Reed run for 3 yds to the MASS 35

3rd & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.14

Bryson Daily run for 10 yds to the MASS 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Kanye Udoh run for 3 yds to the MASS 22

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Bryson Daily pass incomplete to Casey Reynolds

3rd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Kanye Udoh run for 6 yds to the MASS 16

4th & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.65

Bryson Daily run for 5 yds to the MASS 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds to the MASS 4

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.91

Bryson Daily run for 2 yds for a TD (Quinn Maretzki KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Cole Talley kickoff for 60 yds , Shawn Harris Jr. return for 18 yds to the MASS 23

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for no gain to the MASS 23

2nd & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +2.39

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 20 yds to the MASS 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to George Johnson III for 2 yds to the MASS 45

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 2 yds to the MASS 47

3rd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.42

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Mark Pope for 10 yds to the ARMY 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.94

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for no gain to the ARMY 43

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Anthony Simpson for 7 yds to the ARMY 36

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete to Anthony Simpson

4th & 3Field Goal Missed+53 yds

Cameron Carson 53 yd FG MISSED

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Champ Harris pass incomplete to Casey Reynolds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Bryson Daily run for 2 yds to the ARMY 27

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Bryson Daily run for 3 yds to the ARMY 30

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Bryson Daily run for 4 yds to the ARMY 34

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.65

Bryson Daily run for 2 yds to the ARMY 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Jakobi Buchanan run for 3 yds to the ARMY 39

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Bryson Daily pass incomplete to Noah Short

3rd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Bryson Daily run for 4 yds to the ARMY 43

4th & 3Rush+13 ydsPPA +3.14

Cooper Allan run for 13 yds to the ARMY 30

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.26

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 15 yds to the ARMY 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Gino Campiotti run for 3 yds to the ARMY 12

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.97

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 8 yds to the ARMY 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 2 yds to the ARMY 2

2nd & 7Fumble Recovery (Own)+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 4 yds to the ARMY 3 Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams fumbled, recovered by MASS Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams 3 Yd Run (Taisun Phommachanh Pass to George Johnson III for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

CJ Kolodziey kickoff for 58 yds , Tyrell Robinson return for 17 yds to the ARMY 48 Army Penalty, Personal Foul (12 Yards) to the ARMY 12

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Bryson Daily pass complete to Ay'Jaun Marshall for 1 yd to the ARMY 13

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Kanye Udoh run for 5 yds to the ARMY 18

3rd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.87

Bryson Daily run for 6 yds to the ARMY 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +2.22

Tyrell Robinson run for 25 yds to the ARMY 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Bryson Daily pass incomplete to Noah Short

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Jakobi Buchanan run for 3 yds to the MASS 48

3rd & 7Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.69

Bryson Daily pass complete to Casey Reynolds for 20 yds to the MASS 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.50

Kanye Udoh run for 8 yds to the MASS 20

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Tyrell Robinson run for 2 yds to the MASS 13

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Bryson Daily pass incomplete to Ay'Jaun Marshall

3rd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Bryson Daily run for 6 yds to the MASS 7

4th & 2Interception0 ydsPPA -4.05

Bryson Daily pass intercepted by Juan Lua

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 5 yds to the MASS 25

2nd & 5Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams for 1 yd to the MASS 24

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete to George Johnson III

4th & 6Punt0 yds

CJ Kolodziey punt for 35 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Bryson Daily pass incomplete to Ay'Jaun Marshall

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Bryson Daily pass incomplete to Ay'Jaun Marshall

3rd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +3.11

Bryson Daily run for 14 yds to the MASS 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Bryson Daily pass incomplete to Ay'Jaun Marshall

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Kanye Udoh run for 5 yds to the MASS 40

3rd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.50

Bryson Daily pass complete to Tobi Olawole for 7 yds to the MASS 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Bryson Daily pass incomplete to Casey Reynolds

2nd & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -3.46

Bryson Daily pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 1 yd to the MASS 15

2nd & 9Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.01

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 11 yds to the MASS 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 2 yds to the MASS 28

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete to George Johnson III

3rd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.32

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to George Johnson III for 13 yds to the MASS 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for no gain to the MASS 41

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.38

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to George Johnson III for 15 yds to the ARMY 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.71

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 8 yds to the MASS 48

2nd & 18Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 1 yd to the MASS 49

3rd & 17Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.82

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 10 yds to the ARMY 41

4th & 12Punt0 yds

CJ Kolodziey punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ARMY 17

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.02

Champ Harris pass complete to Hayden Reed for 9 yds to the ARMY 26

2nd & 1Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Champ Harris pass complete to Tyrell Robinson for 3 yds to the ARMY 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.98

Hayden Reed run for 8 yds to the ARMY 37

2nd & 2Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +1.78

Champ Harris pass complete to Noah Short for 27 yds to the MASS 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+36 ydsPPA +3.01

Champ Harris run for 36 yds for a TD (Quinn Maretzki KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+10 yds

Cole Talley kickoff for 54 yds , Anthony Simpson return for 10 yds to the MASS 21

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.59

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for no gain to the MASS 21

2nd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.58

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 13 yds to the MASS 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for no gain to the MASS 34

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 7 yds to the MASS 41

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.60

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 4 yds to the MASS 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.14

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 16 yds to the ARMY 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 4 yds to the ARMY 35

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 1 yd to the ARMY 36

3rd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Kay'Ron Lynch-Adams run for 1 yd to the ARMY 35

4th & 11Punt0 yds

CJ Kolodziey punt for 20 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ARMY 20

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.80

Champ Harris sacked by Billy Wooden for a loss of 4 yards to the ARMY 16

2nd & 14Uncategorized0 yds

Brady Small fumbled, recovered by MASS Billy Wooden No Huddle pass complete short to Reynolds,Casey for 38 yards to the UMass46 lateral to Marshall,Ay'Jaun for 11 yards gain to the Army42 lateral to Robinson,Tyrell for 2 yards gain to the Army44 lateral to Short,Noah for 2 yards gain to the Army46 lateral to Olawole,Tobi for 7 yards gain to the UMass47 lateral to Small,Brady for 0 yards to the UMass47 fumbled by Small,Brady at UMass47 recovered by UMass Wooden,Billy at UMass46, End Of Play.

Situational Analysis

Massachusetts

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
38%
24 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
100%
1 play
0%
3 plays
73%
15 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
4th

Army

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
40%
25 plays
2nd
67%
6 plays
0%
1 play
31%
13 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
75%
4 plays
80%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
75%
4 plays