Skip to main content
← Back to GamesOct 21, 2023Week 8
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Alabama by 10

Home Win Probability

Alabama 70%

Market (Bovada)

Alabama -8.5

Edge: Alabama -8.5 (1.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 21, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
TennesseeTennessee
1370020
AlabamaAlabama
07171034

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-70-100-137-137-2017-2024-2027-2034-20
AlabamaTennessee

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TENALATENALATENALATENALATENALATENALATENALAALATENALATENALATENALATENTENALATENALATENTD875ydPUNT39ydPUNT38ydPUNT423ydFG1579ydTO3-2ydFG515ydPUNT536ydPUNT3-1ydTD959ydDOWNS49ydTO414ydTD1080ydEND3-1ydTD275ydPUNT38ydFG646ydDOWNS622ydTD547ydPUNT37ydFG1556ydTD3-1ydPUNT31ydPUNT39ydDOWNS942ydPUNT37ydEND630yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Tennessee and Alabama
StatisticTennesseeAlabama
Passing28-4114-21
Pass Yards271220
Rush Yards133138
Total Yards404358
Turnovers12
3rd Down8-185-13
Penalties8-551-5
Possession27:4132:19

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Tennessee
passing
Joe Milton
28/41, 271 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Joe Milton
15 CAR, 59 YDS
receiving
Squirrel White
10 REC, 111 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Alabama
passing
Jalen Milroe
14/21, 220 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jase McClellan
27 CAR, 115 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Isaiah Bond
3 REC, 77 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Joe Milton III pass complete to Jaylen Wright for 2 yds to the TENN 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Joe Milton III pass complete to Squirrel White for 1 yd to the TENN 28

3rd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.88

Joe Milton III run for 9 yds to the TENN 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Joe Milton III pass complete to Squirrel White for 7 yds to the TENN 44

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.77

Jaylen Wright run for 2 yds to the TENN 46

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.26

Jaylen Wright run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.70

Joe Milton III pass complete to Squirrel White for 11 yds to the ALA 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+39 ydsPPA +3.14

Joe Milton III pass complete to Squirrel White for 39 yds for a TD (Charles Campbell KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Jase McClellan for 6 yds to the ALA 31

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Jalen Milroe run for 1 yd to the ALA 32

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Jase McClellan run for 2 yds to the ALA 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

James Burnip punt for 52 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Jaylen Wright run for 4 yds to the TENN 10

2nd & 14Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Jaylen Wright run for 5 yds to the TENN 15

3rd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.10

Joe Milton III pass complete to Squirrel White for 7 yds to the TENN 22

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Jackson Ross punt for 48 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.60

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Malik Benson for 17 yds to the ALA 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jase McClellan run for 5 yds to the TENN 48

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.94

Jase McClellan run for 1 yd to the TENN 47

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Jalen Milroe pass incomplete to Isaiah Bond

4th & 4Punt0 yds

James Burnip punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Dee Williams at the TENN 15

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Jabari Small run for 6 yds to the TENN 21

2nd & 4Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.13

Joe Milton III pass complete to Ramel Keyton for 14 yds to the TENN 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Jabari Small run for 2 yds to the TENN 37

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.77

Jabari Small run for no gain to the TENN 37

3rd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.72

Joe Milton III pass complete to Squirrel White for 12 yds to the TENN 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

(05:21) No Huddle-Shotgun Milton III,Joe rush right for 3 yards gain to the ALA48 (Campbell,Jihaad), out of bounds PENALTY TEN Holding (Mincey,Gerald) 10 yards from TEN49 to TEN39. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.83

Joe Milton III run for 13 yds to the ALA 48

2nd & 7Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.31

Dylan Sampson run for 12 yds to the ALA 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.35

Joe Milton III pass complete to Ramel Keyton for 13 yds to the ALA 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Joe Milton III pass incomplete to Dont'e Thornton Jr.

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Joe Milton III pass complete to McCallan Castles for 6 yds to the ALA 17

3rd & 4Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.05

Dylan Sampson run for 12 yds to the ALA 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Joe Milton III run for 1 yd to the ALA 6

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Joe Milton III pass incomplete to McCallan Castles

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Joe Milton III pass incomplete to Dylan Sampson

4th & 6Field Goal Good+24 yds

Charles Campbell 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Roydell Williams run for 4 yds to the ALA 29

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Jalen Milroe pass incomplete to Earl Little II

3rd & 6Fumble Recovery (Own)-6 ydsPPA -0.48

Jalen Milroe sacked by James Pearce Jr. for a loss of 6 yards to the ALA 23 Jalen Milroe fumbled, recovered by TENN Omarr Norman-Lott , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.24

Joe Milton III pass complete to Squirrel White for 14 yds to the ALA 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Joe Milton III pass incomplete to Kaleb Webb

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Joe Milton III run for 1 yd to the ALA 8

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Joe Milton III pass incomplete to Jacob Warren

4th & 8Field Goal Good+26 yds

Charles Campbell 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Josh Turbyville kickoff for 65 yds , Kendrick Law return for 21 yds to the ALA 21

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Jase McClellan run for 6 yds to the ALA 27

2nd & 4Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +2.89

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Kendrick Law for 34 yds to the TENN 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Jase McClellan run for 3 yds to the TENN 36

2nd & 7Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.90

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Roydell Williams for no gain to the TENN 36

3rd & 7Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.27

Jalen Milroe sacked by Omarr Norman-Lott for a loss of 7 yards to the TENN 43

4th & 14Punt0 yds

James Burnip punt for 43 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Joe Milton III pass complete to Jaylen Wright for 3 yds to the TENN 23

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Joe Milton III pass incomplete to Ramel Keyton

3rd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Joe Milton III pass complete to Jaylen Wright for 4 yds to the TENN 19

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Jackson Ross punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Jalen Milroe run for no gain to the ALA 41

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.04

Jase McClellan run for 10 yds to the TENN 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Jase McClellan run for 3 yds to the TENN 46

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Jalen Milroe pass incomplete to CJ Dippre

3rd & 7Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.58

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 22 yds to the TENN 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.14

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Isaiah Bond for 11 yds to the TENN 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Jase McClellan run for 1 yd to the TENN 12

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Roydell Williams run for 2 yds to the TENN 10

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.94

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 10 yds for a TD (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jaylen Wright run for 1 yd to the TENN 24

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Jaylen Wright run for 3 yds to the TENN 27

3rd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.21

Joe Milton III run for 7 yds to the TENN 34

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.20

Joe Milton III run for no gain to the TENN 34

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Kendrick Law for 4 yds to the TENN 30

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Jase McClellan run for 2 yds to the TENN 28

3rd & 4Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY TEN Delay Of Game 5 yards from TEN28 to TEN23, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Jase McClellan run for 3 yds to the TENN 20

2nd & 7Interception0 ydsPPA -4.21

Jalen Milroe pass intercepted, touchback.

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.78

Joe Milton III run for 11 yds to the TENN 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.33

Joe Milton III pass complete to Squirrel White for 14 yds to the TENN 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jabari Small run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 5Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +1.55

Joe Milton III pass complete to Ramel Keyton for 30 yds to the ALA 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Jabari Small run for 4 yds to the ALA 16

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Jabari Small run for 3 yds to the ALA 13

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.25

Joe Milton III run for 3 yds to the ALA 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Jabari Small run for 2 yds to the ALA 8

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Jabari Small run for 2 yds to the ALA 6

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.82

Joe Milton III pass complete to McCallan Castles for 6 yds for a TD (Charles Campbell KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Amari Niblack for 5 yds to the ALA 40

2nd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.13

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 8 yds to the ALA 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-14 ydsPPA -3.10

Jalen Milroe sacked by Gabe Jeudy-Lally for a loss of 14 yards to the ALA 34

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+29 ydsPPA +2.53

Jase McClellan run for 29 yds to the TENN 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+46 ydsPPA +3.54

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Isaiah Bond for 46 yds for a TD (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Will Reichard kickoff for 61 yds , Cameron Seldon return for no gain to the TENN 4

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Jaylen Wright run for 3 yds to the TENN 7

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.21

Jaylen Wright run for no gain to the TENN 7

3rd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Jaylen Wright run for 5 yds to the TENN 12

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Jackson Ross punt for 58 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.42

Jalen Milroe pass complete to CJ Dippre for 15 yds to the ALA 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY TEN Offside (Norman-Lott,Omarr) 5 yards from ALA45 to ALA50. NO PLAY.

1st & 5Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY TEN Offside (Pearce Jr.,James) 5 yards from ALA50 to TEN45, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY ALA Illegal Snap (McLaughlin,Seth) 5 yards from TEN45 to TEN50. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.73

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Isaiah Bond for 20 yds to the TENN 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Roydell Williams run for 1 yd to the TENN 29

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Jase McClellan run for 5 yds to the TENN 24

3rd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.72

Jase McClellan run for no gain to the TENN 24

4th & 4Field Goal Good+42 yds

Will Reichard 42 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.96

Joe Milton III sacked by Chris Braswell for a loss of 3 yards to the TENN 22

2nd & 13Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.08

Joe Milton III run for 16 yds to the TENN 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Joe Milton III pass incomplete to Kaleb Webb

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.58

Joe Milton III pass complete to Dylan Sampson for 1 yd to the TENN 39

3rd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.51

Joe Milton III pass complete to Ramel Keyton for 8 yds to the TENN 47

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.89

Dylan Sampson run for no gain to the TENN 47

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Jase McClellan run for 7 yds to the TENN 40

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Jalen Milroe pass incomplete

3rd & 3Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.52

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 22 yds to the TENN 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.71

Jalen Milroe run for 13 yds to the TENN 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Jase McClellan run for 5 yds for a TD (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

(03:42) No Huddle-Shotgun White,Squirrel rush right for 1 yard loss to the TEN24 (Downs,Caleb) PENALTY TEN Holding (Warren,Jacob) 10 yards from TEN25 to TEN15. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.12

Joe Milton III pass complete to Squirrel White for 1 yd to the TENN 14

2nd & 21Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Jaylen Wright run for 4 yds to the TENN 18

3rd & 17Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.35

Joe Milton III pass complete to Jacob Warren for 14 yds to the TENN 32

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Jackson Ross punt for 49 yds , Kool-Aid McKinstry returns for no gain to the ALA 12

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Roydell Williams run for 5 yds to the ALA 17

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Roydell Williams run for 3 yds to the ALA 20

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.76

Jase McClellan run for 5 yds to the ALA 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Jalen Milroe run for 10 yds to the ALA 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Jalen Milroe pass incomplete to Amari Niblack

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.60

Jase McClellan run for no gain to the ALA 35

3rd & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +3.02

Jalen Milroe run for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Jase McClellan run for 2 yds to the TENN 48

2nd & 8Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.42

Jase McClellan run for 11 yds to the TENN 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.57

Jase McClellan run for 1 yd to the TENN 36

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Jalen Milroe pass incomplete to Jermaine Burton

3rd & 9Penalty+10 yds

(10:24) No Huddle-Shotgun Milroe,Jalen pass incomplete short left to Burton,Jermaine PENALTY TEN Holding (Jeudy-Lally,Gabe) 10 yards from TEN36 to TEN26, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Roydell Williams run for 5 yds to the TENN 21

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Jase McClellan run for 2 yds to the TENN 23

3rd & 7Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.58

Jalen Milroe sacked by Joshua Josephs for a loss of 9 yards to the TENN 32

4th & 16Field Goal Good+50 yds

Will Reichard 50 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Dylan Sampson run for 4 yds to the TENN 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.14

Joe Milton III pass complete to Dylan Sampson for 8 yds to the TENN 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Return Touchdown+24 ydsPPA -8.95

Jihaad Campbell 24 Yd Fumble Return (Will Reichard Kick)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jaylen Wright run for 1 yd to the TENN 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Joe Milton III pass incomplete to Ramel Keyton

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Joe Milton III pass incomplete to Jacob Warren

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Jackson Ross punt for 71 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Jase McClellan run for 2 yds to the ALA 5

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.14

Jase McClellan run for 1 yd to the ALA 6

3rd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.06

Jase McClellan run for 6 yds to the ALA 12

4th & 1Punt0 yds

James Burnip punt for 44 yds

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.89

Joe Milton III run for 11 yds to the ALA 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Joe Milton III pass incomplete to Ramel Keyton

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Joe Milton III pass complete to Squirrel White for 7 yds to the ALA 38

3rd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.07

Joe Milton III pass complete to Ramel Keyton for 6 yds to the ALA 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.32

Joe Milton III run for 18 yds to the ALA 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Joe Milton III pass incomplete to Kaleb Webb

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY TEN False Start (Davis,Dayne) 5 yards from ALA14 to ALA19. NO PLAY.

2nd & 15Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.41

Joe Milton III pass complete to Kaleb Webb for 10 yds to the ALA 9

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Joe Milton III pass incomplete to Squirrel White

4th & 5Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY TEN False Start (Davis,Dayne) 5 yards from ALA09 to ALA14. NO PLAY.

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.25

Joe Milton III pass incomplete to Squirrel White

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Jase McClellan run for 3 yds to the ALA 17

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Jase McClellan run for 3 yds to the ALA 20

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Jase McClellan run for 1 yd to the ALA 21

4th & 3Punt+5 yds

James Burnip punt for 47 yds , Dee Williams returns for 5 yds to the TENN 37

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Joe Milton III pass complete to Jaylen Wright for 7 yds to the TENN 44

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.33

Joe Milton III run for 4 yds to the TENN 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.88

Joe Milton III pass complete to Jaylen Wright for 8 yds to the ALA 44

2nd & 2Sack-17 ydsPPA -3.97

Joe Milton III sacked by Dallas Turner for a loss of 17 yards to the TENN 39

3rd & 19Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +3.85

Joe Milton III pass complete to Jaylen Wright for 20 yds to the ALA 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.65

Joe Milton III pass complete to Jaylen Wright for 8 yds to the ALA 33

Situational Analysis

Tennessee

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
45%
31 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
27%
11 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
67%
9 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play

Alabama

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
50%
28 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
1 play
25%
8 plays
27%
11 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
0%
4 plays
67%
6 plays
4th