Skip to main content
← Back to GamesOct 14, 2023Week 7
IowaIowa
15
-Final
6
WisconsinWisconsin
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Wisconsin by 5.9

Home Win Probability

Wisconsin 67%

Market (Bovada)

Wisconsin -8

Edge: Iowa +8 (2.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 14, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
IowaIowa
070815
WisconsinWisconsin
00606

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40140-73-76-76-126-15
WisconsinIowa

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20IOWWISIOWWISIOWWISIOWWISIOWWISIOWWISIOWWISIOWWISWISIOWWISIOWWISIOWWISIOWWISIOWWISIOWWISIOWPUNT832ydDOWNS1181ydDOWNS1248ydPUNT32ydPUNT3-4ydPUNT30ydTD390ydPUNT37ydPUNT3-4ydPUNT39ydPUNT3-2ydPUNT525ydPUNT32ydPUNT37ydPUNT32ydEND20ydFG1360ydPUNT33ydFG1060ydPUNT32ydPUNT38ydFG628ydSAF3-7ydPUNT37ydPUNT33ydPUNT513ydTO726ydFG517ydTO846ydEND1-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Iowa and Wisconsin
StatisticIowaWisconsin
Passing6-1427-50
Pass Yards37228
Rush Yards200104
Total Yards237332
Turnovers02
3rd Down4-172-17
Penalties5-557-48
Possession30:3329:27

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Iowa
passing
Deacon Hill
6/14, 37 YDS
rushing
Leshon Williams
25 CAR, 174 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Erick All
2 REC, 19 YDS
defense
Wisconsin
passing
Braedyn Locke
15/30, 122 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Braelon Allen
18 CAR, 87 YDS
receiving
Bryson Green
5 REC, 86 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Kaleb Johnson run for 3 yds to the IOWA 28

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Kaleb Johnson run for 2 yds to the IOWA 30

3rd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.78

Leshon Williams run for 8 yds to the IOWA 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Kaleb Johnson run for 3 yds to the IOWA 41

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.54

Kaleb Johnson run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Leshon Williams run for 5 yds to the WIS 45

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Leshon Williams run for 2 yds to the WIS 43

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Deacon Hill pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Tory Taylor punt for 39 yds, downed at the WIS 4

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Braelon Allen run for 2 yds to the WIS 6

2nd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.62

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Will Pauling for 12 yds to the WIS 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+42 ydsPPA +3.30

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Bryson Green for 42 yds to the IOWA 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.05

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Will Pauling for a loss of 1 yard to the IOWA 41

2nd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Tanner Mordecai run for 5 yds to the IOWA 36

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Tanner Mordecai run for 2 yds to the IOWA 34

4th & 4Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.13

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Bryson Green for 12 yds to the IOWA 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.45

Braelon Allen run for 9 yds to the IOWA 13

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

Wisconsin Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the IOWA 18

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Will Pauling for 5 yds to the IOWA 13

4th & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -3.94

Braelon Allen run for a loss of 2 yards to the IOWA 15

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Kaleb Johnson run for 1 yd to the IOWA 16

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Leshon Williams run for 2 yds to the IOWA 18

3rd & 7Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.63

Deacon Hill pass complete to Erick All for 14 yds to the IOWA 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Deacon Hill pass complete to Erick All for 5 yds to the IOWA 37

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Deacon Hill pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.93

Deacon Hill pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 6 yds to the IOWA 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Kaleb Johnson run for 2 yds to the IOWA 45

2nd & 8Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.01

Seth Anderson run for 16 yds to the WIS 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Deacon Hill pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Deacon Hill pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Deacon Hill pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 7 yds to the WIS 32

4th & 3Rush-5 ydsPPA -2.54

Nico Ragaini run for a loss of 5 yards to the WIS 37

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.28

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Bryson Green for 7 yds to the WIS 44

4th & 3Penalty-5 yds

Wisconsin Penalty, False Start (Jake Chaney) to the WIS 39

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Atticus Bertrams punt for 37 yds , returns for no gain to the IOWA 16

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Kaleb Johnson run for 2 yds to the IOWA 18

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Deacon Hill pass complete to Kaleb Johnson for 4 yds to the IOWA 22

3rd & 4Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.45

Deacon Hill sacked by Alexander Smith for a loss of 10 yards to the IOWA 12

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Tory Taylor punt for 59 yds, downed at the WIS 29

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Atticus Bertrams punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Kaleb Brown at the IOWA 10

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.83

Kaleb Johnson run for 9 yds to the IOWA 19

2nd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.92

Kaleb Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the IOWA 18

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+82 ydsPPA +6.88

Leshon Williams run for 82 yds for a TD (Drew Stevens KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Tanner Mordecai run for 2 yds to the WIS 35

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Jackson Acker for 4 yds to the WIS 39

3rd & 4Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Jackson Acker for 1 yd to the WIS 40

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Atticus Bertrams punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Cooper DeJean at the IOWA 32

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.07

Kaleb Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the IOWA 31

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Leshon Williams run for 3 yds to the IOWA 34

3rd & 8Penalty-5 yds

Iowa Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the IOWA 29

3rd & 13Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.17

Leshon Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the IOWA 28

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Tory Taylor punt for 53 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Jackson Acker run for 2 yds to the WIS 21

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.16

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Will Pauling for 7 yds to the WIS 28

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Atticus Bertrams punt for 38 yds, downed at the IOWA 34

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Leshon Williams run for 4 yds to the IOWA 38

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Kaleb Johnson run for 1 yd to the IOWA 39

3rd & 5Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.98

Deacon Hill sacked by Jordan Turner for a loss of 7 yards to the IOWA 32

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Tory Taylor punt for 54 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.14

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Chimere Dike for 15 yds to the WIS 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.06

Braelon Allen run for 11 yds to the WIS 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Braelon Allen run for 5 yds to the IOWA 49

2nd & 5Pass Reception-6 ydsPPA -2.35

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Jackson Acker for a loss of 6 yards to the WIS 45

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Atticus Bertrams punt for 43 yds, downed at the IOWA 12

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Leshon Williams run for 4 yds to the IOWA 16

2nd & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.44

Leshon Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the IOWA 14

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Deacon Hill pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Tory Taylor punt for 49 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.96

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Will Pauling for 8 yds to the IOWA 48

2nd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.56

Tanner Mordecai run for a loss of 1 yard to the IOWA 49

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Atticus Bertrams punt for 41 yds, downed at the IOWA 8

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Leshon Williams run for 2 yds to the IOWA 10

2nd & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.25

Leshon Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the IOWA 8

3rd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.04

Kaleb Johnson run for 2 yds to the IOWA 10

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Tory Taylor punt for 47 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Braelon Allen run for 8 yds to the WIS 30

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.03

Braelon Allen run for no gain to the WIS 30

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.12

Braelon Allen run for 4 yds to the WIS 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

LOCKE, Braedyn pass to the left incomplete intended for ALLEN, Braelon thrown to the WIS34. PENALTY IOW Roughing the Passer on HURKETT, Ethan enforced 15 yards from the WIS34 to the WIS49 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Skyler Bell for 6 yds to the IOWA 45

2nd & 4Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.63

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Chimere Dike for 11 yds to the IOWA 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Braelon Allen run for 4 yds to the IOWA 30

2nd & 6Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Chimere Dike for 2 yds to the IOWA 28

3rd & 4Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.81

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Braelon Allen for 12 yds to the IOWA 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Jackson Acker run for 3 yds to the IOWA 13

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

3rd & 7Penalty-5 yds

Wisconsin Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the IOWA 18

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

4th & 12Field Goal Good+36 yds

Nathanial Vakos 36 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Deacon Hill pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Leshon Williams run for 3 yds to the IOWA 28

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Deacon Hill pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Tory Taylor punt for 62 yds , returns for no gain to the WIS 6

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Braelon Allen run for 1 yd to the WIS 7

2nd & 9Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.93

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Chimere Dike for 16 yds to the WIS 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.55

Braelon Allen run for 18 yds to the WIS 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.05

Braelon Allen run for 12 yds to the IOWA 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Braedyn Locke run for 7 yds to the IOWA 40

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jackson Acker run for 5 yds to the IOWA 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.91

Braelon Allen run for no gain to the IOWA 35

3rd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Braelon Allen for 1 yd to the IOWA 34

4th & 9Field Goal Good+52 yds

Nathanial Vakos 52 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Kaleb Johnson run for 1 yd to the IOWA 31

2nd & 9Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Deacon Hill pass complete to Johnny Pascuzzi for 1 yd to the IOWA 32

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Deacon Hill pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Tory Taylor punt for 60 yds , returns for no gain to the WIS 6

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Braelon Allen run for 2 yds to the WIS 8

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Skyler Bell for 6 yds to the WIS 14

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Atticus Bertrams punt for 49 yds

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Leshon Williams run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.15

Leshon Williams run for 10 yds to the WIS 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Leshon Williams run for 5 yds to the WIS 35

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Leshon Williams run for 3 yds to the WIS 32

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.73

Leshon Williams run for 1 yd to the WIS 31

4th & 1Field Goal Good+48 yds

Drew Stevens 48 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Drew Stevens kickoff for 65 yds , return for no gain to the WIS 7

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Braelon Allen run for 1 yd to the WIS 8

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

3rd & 9Safety-8 ydsPPA -1.71

Braedyn Locke sacked for a loss of 8 yards for a SAFETY

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Leshon Williams run for 4 yds to the IOWA 47

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Leshon Williams run for 1 yd to the IOWA 48

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Leshon Williams run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Tory Taylor punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Chimere Dike at the WIS 22

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Braelon Allen run for 3 yds to the WIS 25

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Hayden Rucci for 5 yds to the WIS 30

3rd & 2Penalty-5 yds

Wisconsin Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WIS 25

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Atticus Bertrams punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Leshon Williams run for 8 yds to the IOWA 42

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.21

Leshon Williams run for 5 yds to the IOWA 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Kaleb Johnson run for 2 yds to the IOWA 49

2nd & 8Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.61

Kaleb Johnson run for a loss of 3 yards to the IOWA 46

3rd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Leshon Williams run for 1 yd to the IOWA 47

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Tory Taylor punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Chimere Dike at the WIS 13

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.64

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Bryson Green for 8 yds to the WIS 21

2nd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.28

Braelon Allen run for 8 yds to the WIS 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Braelon Allen for 3 yds to the WIS 32

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Skyler Bell for 6 yds to the WIS 38

4th & 1Fumble Recovery (Own)+1 ydsPPA +1.78

Braelon Allen run for 1 yd to the WIS 39 Braelon Allen fumbled, recovered by WIS Riley Mahlman for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -2.14

Braedyn Locke run for no gain to the WIS 39 Braedyn Locke fumbled, recovered by IOWA Jay Higgins

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.46

Leshon Williams run for 15 yds to the WIS 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Kaleb Johnson run for 4 yds to the WIS 20

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.58

Kaleb Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the WIS 21

3rd & 7Fumble Recovery (Own)-1 ydsPPA -0.86

Deacon Hill run for a loss of 1 yard to the WIS 22 Deacon Hill fumbled, recovered by IOWA Deacon Hill

4th & 8Field Goal Good+40 yds

Drew Stevens 40 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.29

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Will Pauling for 18 yds to the WIS 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Will Pauling for 7 yds to the WIS 42

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

4th & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +2.42

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Will Pauling for 4 yds to the WIS 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.13

Braedyn Locke pass complete to Bryson Green for 17 yds to the IOWA 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Braedyn Locke pass incomplete

2nd & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -3.20

Braedyn Locke pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Kneel down by HILL, Deacon at IOW37 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Iowa

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
30%
23 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
0%
7 plays
20%
10 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
33%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
29%
7 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Wisconsin

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
39%
33 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
38%
16 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
25%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
43%
7 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
67%
3 plays
100%
1 play