Skip to main content
← Back to GamesOct 14, 2023Week 7
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Tennessee by 9.8

Home Win Probability

Tennessee 70%

Market (Bovada)

Tennessee -3

Edge: Tennessee -3 (6.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 14, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Texas A&MTexas A&M
733013
TennesseeTennessee
707620

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-1014-1014-1317-13
TennesseeTexas A&M

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TATENTATENTENTATATENTENTENTENTATATATATENTENTATATENTAPUNT3-4ydPUNT723ydTD980ydDOWNS1057ydTD751ydFG1151ydDOWNS528ydPUNT811ydMISS942ydDOWNS58ydPUNT517ydTD399ydPUNT4-5ydPUNT37ydFG868ydTO1365ydFG1153ydMISS1252ydTO30ydFG40ydTO922yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Texas A&M and Tennessee
StatisticTexas A&MTennessee
Passing16-3411-22
Pass Yards223100
Rush Yards54232
Total Yards277332
Turnovers21
3rd Down5-157-15
Penalties11-9012-115
Possession30:4829:12

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Texas A&M
passing
Max Johnson
16/34, 223 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Le'Veon Moss
15 CAR, 62 YDS
receiving
Noah Thomas
3 REC, 75 YDS
defense
Tennessee
passing
Joe Milton
11/22, 100 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jaylen Wright
19 CAR, 136 YDS
receiving
Chas Nimrod
4 REC, 31 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Le'Veon Moss run for 1 yd to the TA&M 19

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

pass incomplete to Evan Stewart

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Max Johnson pass incomplete to Evan Stewart, broken up by Gabe Jeudy-Lally

4th & 9Penalty-5 yds

Texas A&M Penalty, false start (Earnest Crownover) to the TA&M 14

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Nik Constantinou punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

pass incomplete to Squirrel White

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Jaylen Wright run for 7 yds to the TENN 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.91

Joe Milton III pass complete to Chas Nimrod for 10 yds to the TENN 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Joe Milton III pass complete to Squirrel White for 2 yds to the TENN 44

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

pass incomplete to Ramel Keyton

3rd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Texas A&M Penalty, off-side (Walter Nolen) to the TENN 49

3rd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.19

Jaylen Wright run for a loss of 1 yard to the TENN 48

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Jackson Ross punt for 32 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +1.14

Max Johnson pass incomplete to Max Wright for a 1ST down Tennessee Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Jaylen McCollough) to the TA&M 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Tennessee Penalty, off-side (Elijah Herring) to the TA&M 40

1st & 5Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.84

Max Johnson pass complete to Max Wright for 2 yds to the TA&M 42

2nd & 3Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.39

Le'Veon Moss run for 19 yds to the TENN 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Max Johnson pass incomplete to Evan Stewart, broken up by Gabe Jeudy-Lally

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Max Johnson run for 6 yds to the TENN 33

3rd & 4Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +2.00

Max Johnson pass complete to Noah Thomas for 29 yds to the TENN 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Le'Veon Moss run for 2 yds to the TENN 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Max Johnson run for 2 yds for a TD (Randy Bond KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jaylen Wright run for 1 yd to the TENN 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Joe Milton III pass complete to Chas Nimrod for 4 yds to the TENN 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.59

Joe Milton III pass complete to Chas Nimrod for 6 yds to the TENN 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.38

Jaylen Wright run for 15 yds to the TA&M 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

pass incomplete to Squirrel White

2nd & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.14

Jaylen Wright run for 23 yds to the TA&M 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Jaylen Wright run for 1 yd to the TA&M 25

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

pass incomplete to Chas Nimrod

3rd & 9Penalty-5 yds

Tennessee Penalty, false start (Gerald Mincey) to the TA&M 30

3rd & 14Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.23

Dylan Sampson run for 12 yds to the TA&M 18

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.66

pass incomplete to Dylan Sampson

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Joe Milton III run for 2 yds to the TA&M 49

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Jabari Small run for 7 yds to the TA&M 42

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +1.22

Joe Milton III pass incomplete to Ramel Keyton for a 1ST down Texas A&M Penalty, roughing passer (Shemar Turner) to the TA&M 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.66

Jabari Small run for 9 yds to the TA&M 18

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.63

Jabari Small run for 0 yds to the TA&M 18

3rd & 1Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.51

Jabari Small run for 11 yds to the TA&M 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Joe Milton III pass complete to Jacob Warren for 7 yds for a TD (Charles Campbell KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Rueben Owens run for 4 yds to the TA&M 29

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.24

Rueben Owens run for 9 yds to the TA&M 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.19

Max Johnson pass complete to Evan Stewart for 13 yds to the TENN 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.68

Max Johnson sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the TA&M 43

2nd & 18Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Rueben Owens run for 1 yd to the TA&M 44

3rd & 17Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +3.77

Max Johnson pass complete to Noah Thomas for 18 yds to the TENN 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.50

Max Johnson pass complete to Ainias Smith for 20 yds to the TENN 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Rueben Owens run for 2 yds to the TENN 16

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

pass incomplete to Max Wright

3rd & 8Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.07

Max Johnson sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the TENN 24

4th & 16Field Goal Good+41 yds

Randy Bond 41 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.89

Max Johnson pass complete to Evan Stewart for 21 yds to the TENN 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Le'Veon Moss run for 4 yds to the TENN 42

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Max Johnson pass complete to Max Wright for 4 yds to the TENN 38

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Le'Veon Moss run for 1 yd to the TENN 37

4th & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -2.34

Max Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the TENN 39

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.05

Joe Milton III sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the TENN 32

2nd & 17Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.72

Jaylen Wright run for 15 yds to the TENN 47

3rd & 2Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.09

Jaylen Wright run for 15 yds to the TA&M 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-8 ydsPPA -2.47

Jaylen Wright run for 2 yds to the TA&M 36 Tennessee Penalty, Offensive holding (Ollie Lane) to the TA&M 46

1st & 18Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.03

Joe Milton III run for 10 yds to the TA&M 36

2nd & 8Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.57

Dylan Sampson run for a loss of 3 yards to the TA&M 39

3rd & 11Rush-10 ydsPPA -2.02

Tennessee Penalty, Offensive holding (Ollie Lane) to the TA&M 49

3rd & 21Fumble Recovery (Own)-1 ydsPPA -0.39

Dylan Sampson run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard line Dylan Sampson fumbled, recovered by TENN Gerald Mincey , return to the 50 yard line

4th & 22Punt0 yds

Jackson Ross punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jabari Small run for 1 yd to the TENN 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +2.01

Joe Milton III pass incomplete to McCallan Castles for a 1ST down Texas A&M Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Demani Richardson) to the TENN 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Jabari Small run for 4 yds to the TENN 45

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +1.64

Joe Milton III pass incomplete to Ramel Keyton for a 1ST down Texas A&M Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Deuce Harmon) to the TA&M 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Texas A&M Penalty, off-side (Walter Nolen) to the TA&M 35

1st & 5Rush-8 ydsPPA -2.37

Jabari Small run for 2 yds to the TA&M 33 Tennessee Penalty, Offensive holding (McCallan Castles) to the TA&M 43

1st & 13Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.79

Joe Milton III pass complete to Dylan Sampson for 9 yds to the TA&M 34

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Dylan Sampson run for 2 yds to the TA&M 32

3rd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.17

Dylan Sampson run for a loss of 1 yard to the TA&M 33

4th & 3Field Goal Missed+51 yds

Charles Campbell 51 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.51

Joe Milton III pass complete to Chas Nimrod for 11 yds to the TA&M 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Jaylen Wright run for 1 yd to the TA&M 32

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

pass incomplete to Ramel Keyton

3rd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Jaylen Wright run for 3 yds to the TA&M 29

4th & 6Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.45

Joe Milton III sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the TA&M 36

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Jabari Small run for 1 yd to the TENN 34

2nd & 9Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.46

Joe Milton III pass complete to Squirrel White for 17 yds to the TA&M 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Jabari Small run for 1 yd to the TA&M 48

2nd & 9Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.46

Joe Milton III sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard line

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

pass incomplete to Squirrel White

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Jackson Ross punt for 49 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.20

Le'Veon Moss run for 1 yd to the TA&M 2

2nd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.14

Le'Veon Moss run for a loss of 1 yard to the TA&M 1

3rd & 10Penalty0 yds

Texas A&M Penalty, delay of game (Max Johnson) to the TA&M 1

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.04

Max Johnson pass incomplete to Jake Johnson, broken up by Kamal Hadden

4th & 10Punt+39 yds

Nik Constantinou punt for 38 yds , Dee Williams punt return for 39 yds for a TD (Charles Campbell KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Le'Veon Moss run for 7 yds to the TA&M 32

2nd & 3Rush-15 ydsPPA -1.87

Texas A&M Penalty, illegal block (Max Wright) to the TA&M 17

2nd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

pass incomplete to Moose Muhammad III

3rd & 18Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.02

Le'Veon Moss run for 3 yds to the TA&M 20

4th & 15Punt+24 yds

Nik Constantinou punt for 29 yds Texas A&M Penalty, illegal formation (Walter Nolen) to the TA&M 44

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

pass incomplete to Le'Veon Moss

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.48

Le'Veon Moss run for 7 yds to the TA&M 43

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

pass incomplete to Le'Veon Moss

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Nik Constantinou punt for 24 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.80

Max Johnson pass complete to Max Wright for 20 yds to the TA&M 45 for a 1ST down

2nd & 18Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.39

Max Johnson pass complete to Rueben Owens for 13 yds to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush-8 ydsPPA -2.48

Max Johnson run for a loss of 8 yards to the TA&M 37 Texas A&M Penalty, intentional grounding (Max Johnson) to the TA&M 37

3rd & 5Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +2.84

Max Johnson pass complete to Noah Thomas for 28 yds to the TENN 22 Tennessee Penalty, roughing holder (Arion Carter) to the TENN 11

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.54

Max Johnson run for a loss of 4 yards to the TENN 15

2nd & 14Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.22

Max Johnson pass complete to Moose Muhammad III for 8 yds to the TENN 7

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

pass incomplete to Evan Stewart

4th & 6Field Goal Good+24 yds

Randy Bond 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Randy Bond kickoff for 65 yds , Dee Williams return for 19 yds to the TENN 19

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Dylan Sampson run for 5 yds to the TENN 24

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Dylan Sampson run for 3 yds to the TENN 27

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.91

Dylan Sampson run for 3 yds to the TENN 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

pass incomplete to Ramel Keyton

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.90

Joe Milton III pass complete to McCallan Castles for 11 yds to the TENN 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Dylan Sampson run for 5 yds to the TENN 46

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.18

pass incomplete to Chas Nimrod

3rd & 5Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.49

Joe Milton III pass complete to McCallan Castles for 13 yds to the TA&M 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Jaylen Wright run for 14 yds to the TA&M 27 for a 1ST down Tennessee Penalty, Offensive holding (Kaleb Webb) to the TA&M 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.57

Jaylen Wright run for 1 yd to the TA&M 36

2nd & 9Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.04

Joe Milton III run for 19 yds to the TA&M 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Jabari Small run for 1 yd to the TA&M 16

2nd & 9Interception0 ydsPPA -4.16

Joe Milton III pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.33

Joe Milton III run for 14 yds to the TENN 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Jaylen Wright run for no gain to the TENN 47

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Jaylen Wright run for 1 yd to the TENN 48

3rd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.74

Joe Milton III pass complete to Squirrel White for 10 yds to the TA&M 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.42

Jaylen Wright run for 10 yds to the TA&M 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.28

Jaylen Wright run for 14 yds to the TA&M 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-15 ydsPPA -2.52

Tennessee Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Javontez Spraggins) to the TA&M 33

1st & 25Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Joe Milton III run for 5 yds to the TA&M 28

2nd & 20Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.37

Jaylen Wright run for a loss of 2 yards to the TA&M 30

3rd & 22Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.04

Jaylen Wright run for 16 yds to the TA&M 14

4th & 6Field Goal Good+31 yds

Charles Campbell 31 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Le'Veon Moss run for 2 yds to the TA&M 18

2nd & 8Penalty+15 yds

Tennessee Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Roman Harrison) to the TA&M 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Max Johnson pass incomplete to Evan Stewart for a 1ST down Tennessee Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Gabe Jeudy-Lally) to the TA&M 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Le'Veon Moss run for 9 yds to the TA&M 46

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Le'Veon Moss run for 2 yds to the TA&M 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

pass incomplete to Max Wright

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99
3rd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +3.08

Max Johnson pass complete to Evan Stewart for 15 yds to the TENN 37 for a 1ST down Tennessee Penalty, Defensive holding (Yards) to the TENN 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Le'Veon Moss run for 3 yds to the TENN 34

2nd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Max Johnson pass complete to Moose Muhammad III for 3 yds to the TENN 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.15

Max Johnson pass complete to Evan Stewart for a loss of 1 yard to the TENN 32

4th & 5Field Goal Missed+50 yds

Randy Bond 50 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

pass incomplete to Evan Stewart

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

pass incomplete to Le'Veon Moss

3rd & 10Interception0 ydsPPA +0.13

Max Johnson pass intercepted

1st & 6Penalty-5 yds

Tennessee Penalty, false start (Kaleb Webb) to the TA&M 11

1st & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Jabari Small run for 2 yds to the TA&M 9

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Joe Milton III pass incomplete to Ramel Keyton, broken up by Tyreek Chappell

3rd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Jabari Small run for 3 yds to the TA&M 6

4th & 6Field Goal Good+24 yds

Charles Campbell 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Josh Turbyville kickoff for 65 yds , Ainias Smith return for 23 yds to the TA&M 23

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.87

Max Johnson pass complete to Jake Johnson for 11 yds to the TA&M 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-10 ydsPPA -1.86

Max Johnson pass complete to Evan Stewart Texas A&M Penalty, Offensive holding (Chase Bisontis) to the TA&M 24

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

pass incomplete to Evan Stewart

2nd & 20Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.81

Max Johnson pass complete to Le'Veon Moss for 19 yds to the TA&M 43

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.11

Le'Veon Moss run for 2 yds to the TA&M 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

pass incomplete to Jake Johnson

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Max Johnson pass incomplete to Ainias Smith, broken up by Tamarion McDonald

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

pass incomplete to Moose Muhammad III

4th & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -0.10

Max Johnson pass intercepted

Situational Analysis

Texas A&M

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
35%
26 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
22%
9 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
33%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Tennessee

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
32%
28 plays
75%
4 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
25%
4 plays
44%
16 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
71%
7 plays
100%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play