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← Back to GamesOct 14, 2023Week 7
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Rutgers by 5.7

Home Win Probability

Rutgers 64%

Market (Bovada)

Rutgers -4.5

Edge: Rutgers -4.5 (1.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 14, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Michigan StateMichigan State
7107024
RutgersRutgers
3302127

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-73-76-76-176-2413-2421-2427-24
RutgersMichigan State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MSRUTMSRUTMSRUTMSRUTMSMSRUTMSRUTRUTMSRUTMSMSRUTRUTMSRUTTD1475ydFG1061ydPUNT36ydFG746ydTO950ydMISS811ydTO547ydTO411ydPUNT30ydTD112ydTO224ydFG1050ydEND1-5ydPUNT830ydTD1480ydPUNT3-8ydTD6-22ydPUNT3-1ydTD1273ydTD121ydPUNT33ydEND1226yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Michigan State and Rutgers
StatisticMichigan StateRutgers
Passing18-2913-28
Pass Yards133181
Rush Yards112114
Total Yards245295
Turnovers33
3rd Down4-124-12
Penalties5-386-70
Possession29:5430:06

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Michigan State
passing
Katin Houser
18/29, 133 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Nathan Carter
20 CAR, 52 YDS
receiving
Montorie Foster
5 REC, 48 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Rutgers
passing
Gavin Wimsatt
13/28, 181 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Kyle Monangai
24 CAR, 148 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Christian Dremel
6 REC, 80 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Nathan Carter run for 7 yds to the MSU 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.33

Katin Houser pass complete to Tre Mosley for 4 yds to the MSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Nathan Carter run for 5 yds to the MSU 41

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Nathan Carter run for 3 yds to the MSU 44

3rd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.70

Katin Houser run for 7 yds to the RUTG 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.33

Jalen Berger run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard line

2nd & 11Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.00

Katin Houser pass complete to Montorie Foster Jr. for 12 yds to the RUTG 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Nathan Carter run for 2 yds to the RUTG 36

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Nathan Carter run for 1 yd to the RUTG 35

3rd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Harold Joiner III run for 6 yds to the RUTG 29

4th & 1Fumble Recovery (Own)+3 ydsPPA +1.22

Katin Houser run for 3 yds to the RUTG 26 Katin Houser fumbled, recovered by MSU for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.18

Katin Houser pass complete to Maliq Carr for 13 yds to the RUTG 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Nathan Carter run for no gain to the RUTG 13

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.84

Katin Houser pass complete to Montorie Foster Jr. for 13 yds for a TD (Jonathan Kim KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +2.23

Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Christian Dremel for 29 yds to the MSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Kyle Monangai run for 5 yds to the MSU 31

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Christian Dremel for 4 yds to the MSU 27

4th & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.19

Kyle Monangai run for 8 yds to the MSU 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.18

Kyle Monangai run for 10 yds to the MSU 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Kyle Monangai run for 3 yds to the MSU 6

2nd & 6Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Johnny Langan for 2 yds to the MSU 4

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete

4th & 4Field Goal Good+22 yds

Jai Patel 22 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Nathan Carter run for 1 yd to the MSU 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Katin Houser pass complete to Tyrell Henry for 5 yds to the MSU 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Katin Houser pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Michael O'Shaughnessy punt for 44 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.39

Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Ian Strong for 27 yds to the MSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.31

Kyle Monangai run for a loss of 1 yard to the MSU 49

2nd & 11Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.02

Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Christian Dremel for 14 yds to the MSU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-11 ydsPPA -2.91

Gavin Wimsatt sacked by Cal Haladay for a loss of 11 yards to the MSU 46

2nd & 21Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.45

Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Christian Dremel for 17 yds to the MSU 29

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete

4th & 4Field Goal Good+47 yds

Jai Patel 47 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Jude McAtamney kickoff for 62 yds , return for no gain to the MSU 8

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.36

Katin Houser run for 10 yds to the MSU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Katin Houser pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.14

Jalen Berger run for 10 yds to the MSU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Katin Houser pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.55

Jalen Berger run for a loss of 3 yards to the MSU 25

3rd & 13Penalty0 yds

HOUSER, Katin pass deep to the right incomplete intended for MOSLEY, Tre thrown to the RU45, clock 11:07. PENALTY RU Pass Interference on LONGERBEAM, Robert declined RU Roughing the Passer on DIXON, Flip enforced 15 yards from the MSU25 to the MSU40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Nathan Carter run for 4 yds to the MSU 44

2nd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.51

Katin Houser pass complete to Jaron Glover for 12 yds to the RUTG 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.65

Katin Houser run for a loss of 3 yards to the RUTG 47

2nd & 13Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+5 ydsPPA -1.94

Katin Houser pass complete to Alante Brown for 5 yds Alante Brown fumbled, recovered by RUTG Desmond Igbinosun

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Gavin Wimsatt run for 2 yds to the MSU 44

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Samuel Brown V run for 5 yds to the MSU 39

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Gavin Wimsatt run for 2 yds to the MSU 37

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.69

Samuel Brown V run for 2 yds to the MSU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Missed+53 yds

Jude McAtamney 53 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

HOUSER, Katin pass deep to the left incomplete intended for GLOVER, Jaron thrown to the RU30, clock 06:18. PENALTY RU Pass Interference on ROGERS, Eric enforced 15 yards to the MSU50 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Nathan Carter run for 4 yds to the RUTG 46

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Nathan Carter run for 4 yds to the RUTG 42

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Nathan Carter run for 1 yd to the RUTG 41

4th & 1Penalty+15 yds

Rutgers Penalty, Targeting on POWELL, Tyreem enforced (Tyreem Powell) to the RUTG 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+7 ydsPPA -4.30

Katin Houser pass complete to Montorie Foster Jr. for 7 yds fumbled, recovered by RUTG Robert Longerbeam

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.05

Kyle Monangai run for 9 yds to the RUTG 27

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Kyle Monangai run for 2 yds to the RUTG 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

Michigan State Penalty, Personal Foul (Derrick Harmon) to the MSU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Michigan State Penalty, Delay Of Game (Katin Houser) to the MSU 43

1st & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Jalen Berger run for 2 yds to the MSU 45

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Katin Houser pass incomplete

3rd & 13Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Katin Houser pass complete to Tre Mosley for 3 yds to the MSU 48

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Michael O'Shaughnessy punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.53

Katin Houser run for 12 yds for a TD (Jonathan Kim KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Rutgers Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the RUTG 20

1st & 15Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +2.90

Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to JaQuae Jackson for 29 yds to the RUTG 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -3.08

Gavin Wimsatt pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Jalen Berger run for 6 yds to the MSU 42

2nd & 4Penalty+15 yds

(01:25) HOUSER, Katin pass deep to the right incomplete intended for GLOVER, Jaron thrown to the RU23, clock 01:22. PENALTY RU Pass Interference on LONGERBEAM, Robert enforced 15 yards to the RU43 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

HOUSER, Katin pass deep to the right intercepted by LONGERBEAM, Robert at the RU17 intended for FITZPATRICK, Christian. Longerbeam return for 19 yards to the RU36, out of bounds, clock 01:13. PENALTY RU Offsides on BAILEY, Wesley enforced 5 yards from the RU43 to the RU38 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Jalen Berger run for 4 yds to the RUTG 34

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Katin Houser pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.49

Jalen Berger run for 2 yds to the RUTG 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Katin Houser pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.83

Katin Houser pass complete to Jalen Berger for 10 yds to the RUTG 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Katin Houser pass complete to Montorie Foster Jr. for 8 yds to the RUTG 14

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Katin Houser pass incomplete

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.46

Katin Houser run for no gain to the RUTG 14

4th & 2Field Goal Good+37 yds

Jonathan Kim 37 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

[NHSG] Kneel down by WIMSATT, Gavin at RU20 (team loss of 5), clock 00:00.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Kyle Monangai run for 3 yds to the RUTG 28

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Kyle Monangai run for 2 yds to the RUTG 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.08

Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Johnny Langan for 11 yds to the RUTG 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Christian Dremel for 5 yds to the RUTG 46

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.79

Gavin Wimsatt run for 5 yds to the MSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Kyle Monangai run for no gain to the MSU 49

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Gavin Wimsatt run for 4 yds to the MSU 45

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Flynn Appleby punt for 45 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Nathan Carter run for 3 yds to the MSU 23

2nd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Katin Houser pass complete to Jaron Glover for 3 yds to the MSU 26

3rd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.57

Katin Houser pass complete to Tre Mosley for 9 yds to the MSU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Katin Houser pass complete to Montorie Foster Jr. for 8 yds to the MSU 43

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.02

Nathan Carter run for 3 yds to the MSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.92

Katin Houser pass complete to Tre Mosley for 8 yds to the RUTG 46

2nd & 2Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.17

Katin Houser pass complete to Tre Mosley for 8 yds to the RUTG 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Jalen Berger run for 6 yds to the RUTG 32

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Katin Houser pass incomplete

3rd & 4Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.01

Jalen Berger run for 12 yds to the RUTG 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Jalen Berger run for 8 yds to the RUTG 12

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Jalen Berger run for 3 yds to the RUTG 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Nathan Carter run for 5 yds to the RUTG 4

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Katin Houser pass complete to Tre Mosley for 4 yds for a TD (Jonathan Kim KICK)

0th & 0Penalty-5 yds

(03:41) KIM, Jonathan kickoff 65 yards from the MSU35 to the RU0, ROCHELLE, Rashad returned 20 yards to the RU20 (WRIGHT, Brandon;HALL, Jordan), clock 03:34. PENALTY MSU Offsides on HALL, Jordan enforced 5 yards from the MSU35 to the MSU30. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.18

Gavin Wimsatt sacked by Brandon Wright for a loss of 8 yards to the RUTG 17

2nd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete

3rd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.04

Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Flynn Appleby punt for 61 yds, downed at the MSU 22

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Nathan Carter run for 1 yd to the MSU 23

2nd & 9Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.36

Nathan Carter run for 10 yds to the MSU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.23

Nathan Carter run for a loss of 2 yards to the MSU 31

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Katin Houser pass incomplete

3rd & 12Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.27

Katin Houser sacked by Max Melton for a loss of 4 yards to the MSU 27

4th & 16Penalty-5 yds

(14:31) O'SHAUGHNESSY, Michael punt 38 yards to the RU35 downed by WILSON, Drew , clock 14:28. PENALTY Before the snap, MSU Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the MSU27 to the MSU22. NO PLAY (replay the down).

4th & 21Fumble Return Touchdown0 ydsPPA -6.62

Aaron Young 0 Yd Fumble Return (Jai Patel Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Katin Houser pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.43

Nathan Carter run for a loss of 2 yards to the MSU 23

3rd & 12Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.09

Katin Houser pass complete to Evan Morris for 1 yd to the MSU 24

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Ryan Eckley punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Christian Dremel at the RUTG 27

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.17

Gavin Wimsatt sacked by Khalil Majeed for a loss of 5 yards to the RUTG 22

2nd & 15Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.92

Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Isaiah Washington for 24 yds to the RUTG 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.29

Kyle Monangai run for 17 yds to the MSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Ian Strong for 4 yds to the MSU 33

3rd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.19

Kyle Monangai run for 6 yds to the MSU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.17

Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Christian Dremel for 11 yds to the MSU 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.88

Kyle Monangai run for 12 yds to the MSU 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

Kyle Monangai run for no gain to the MSU 4

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.70

Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Isaiah Washington for 4 yds for a TD (Gavin Wimsatt pass to Christian Dremel for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.63

Kyle Monangai run for 21 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Nathan Carter run for 1 yd to the MSU 26

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Katin Houser run for 2 yds to the MSU 28

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Katin Houser pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Ryan Eckley punt for 47 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Kyle Monangai run for 2 yds to the RUTG 27

2nd & 8Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.58

Kyle Monangai run for 11 yds to the RUTG 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Kyle Monangai run for 2 yds to the RUTG 40

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Kyle Monangai run for 6 yds to the RUTG 46

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.44

Kyle Monangai run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Kyle Monangai run for 1 yd to the MSU 49

2nd & 9Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.53

Kyle Monangai run for 9 yds to the MSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kyle Monangai run for 5 yds to the MSU 35

2nd & 5Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.42

Kyle Monangai run for 11 yds to the MSU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.43

(02:04) [NHSG] Kneel down by WIMSATT, Gavin at MSU36 (team loss of 12), clock 02:00.

2nd & 22Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

(01:21) [NHSG] Kneel down by WIMSATT, Gavin at MSU43 (team loss of 7), clock 01:17.

3rd & 29Rush0 ydsPPA -0.27

[NHSG] Kneel down by WIMSATT, Gavin at MSU49 (team loss of 6).

Situational Analysis

Michigan State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
43%
28 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
6 plays
40%
5 plays
50%
10 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

Rutgers

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
36%
28 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
1 play
40%
5 plays
56%
9 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
43%
7 plays
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
2 plays